Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
6945 tópicos neste fórum
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Bitcoin once again ran into resistance at $118,000 and failed to break through this level. This indicates that the market currently lacks enough bullish momentum to push above $118,000, suggesting that the consolidation phase may continue and potentially open the way for a deeper pullback toward $107,000 and $105,000. Meanwhile, news emerged yesterday that Michigan lawmakers are reviewing a bill that would allow up to 10% of state funds to be invested in Bitcoin. The proposal, which has sparked heated debate among financial and political circles in the state, could set a precedent for other US regions and open a new chapter in the history of public sector investment. S…
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- 25 👀 Traders
The British pound resumed its decline after news that the UK government's borrowing in August exceeded forecasts, dealing a blow to Chancellor of the Exchequer Rachel Reeves ahead of a challenging autumn budget. Even strong retail sales data, which came in better than economists' expectations, failed to provide support. According to data released by the Office for National Statistics on Friday, the deficit amounted to 18 billion pounds sterling, well above the Office for Budget Responsibility's forecast of 12.5 billion pounds, marking the largest monthly borrowing in the past five years. This unexpected increase in borrowing has added fuel to an already difficult economi…
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Trend analysis (Fig. 1). On Friday, the market from the level of 1.3551 (yesterday's daily candle close) may continue moving downward toward the target of 1.3482 – the 61.8% retracement level (red dashed line). When testing this level, a corrective upward movement is possible with a target of 1.3501 – the 38.2% retracement level (yellow dashed line). Fig. 1 (daily chart). Comprehensive analysis: Indicator analysis – down;Fibonacci levels – down;Volumes – down;Candlestick analysis – down;Trend analysis – down;Bollinger Bands – down;Weekly chart – up.General conclusion: downward trend. Alternative scenario: From the level of 1.3551 (yesterday's daily candle close), the p…
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Wondering if the crypto cycle is finally over? Today’s crypto market gives a mixed answer, especially with bulls vs bears in the news. BTC is back just above 117K, while ETH remained steady at nearly 4,541 against USD. Meanwhile, XRP caught some momentum, climbing to roughly 3.04 USD, mostly thanks to buzz around upcoming ETFs. It has been a strange mix, but the total crypto market cap is around $4.18 trillion, stablecoins are flowing in, and big players seem interested again. (source – CoinGecko) DeFi TVL is inching upward, too, sitting at $162 billion right now, which is up just a little, about 0.13% in the last day, says DefiLlama. Stablecoins increased by around…
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Trend analysis (Fig. 1). On Friday, the market from the level of 1.1788 (yesterday's daily candle close) may continue moving downward toward the target of 1.1727 – the 21-period EMA (black thin line). When testing this line, a corrective upward movement is possible with a target of 1.1751 – the 13-period EMA (yellow thin line). Fig. 1 (daily chart). Comprehensive analysis: Indicator analysis – down;Fibonacci levels – down;Volumes – down;Candlestick analysis – down;Trend analysis – down;Bollinger Bands – down;Weekly chart – up.General conclusion: downward trend. Alternative scenario: Today, from the level of 1.1788 (yesterday's daily candle close), the price may start m…
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Polymarket bettors have predicted a 25% chance for Bitcoin ($BTC) to rise above $125K this month. It’s currently down to 17% at the time of writing. Earlier today, Bitcoin touched an intraday high of $117,888, bringing it closer in line with bettors’ predictions. The coin reached its all-time high of $124,517 on 14 August 2025, placing it only 6.1% below its ATH. Despite a 2.6% increase in Bitcoin’s price last month, crossing $125K will depend on sustained momentum fuelled by improving macro conditions and strong ETF inflows. Underscoring this bullish setup, Bitwise’s Matt Hogan said this in an interview with CNBC two months ago: —Matt Hougan, CNBC Interview As $…
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Asia Market Wrap - BoJ Deliver Hawkish Hold Most Read: USD/JPY Technical: USD strength capped (again) below 148.95 range resistance, BoJ keeps rate hike hopes alive A record-breaking global stock rally was slowed down after the Bank of Japan (BoJ) announced its intention to sell off its large holdings of exchange-traded funds (ETFs). This decision negatively impacted Asian markets, causing the MSCI Asia Pacific Index to slip by 0.4% and the Nikkei-225 Stock Average to drop about 0.7%. These declines reversed earlier gains that had been fueled by four key U.S. stock benchmarks all closing at all-time highs in unison for the first time since November 2021. Japanese stock…
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Crypto Insight UK used the first post-cut trading day to reframe the XRP narrative around what he calls the difference between utility and speculation, arguing that the latest burst of institutional developments does not automatically validate “$100 dreams.” While welcoming macro and regulatory tailwinds, he cautioned that euphoria often front-runs fundamentals and urged disciplined profit-taking if XRP reaches what he considers this cycle’s plausible range. “Don’t get caught in the trap of thinking when it starts to send that it’s going to go to $100 or $200 or $50 straight away,” he said, adding that, should XRP push into double digits, “I’m going to be taking a signif…
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Crypto traders are back on the hunt for the next 100x crypto, and two familiar names are heating up: ENA and LINK. Both tokens are showing impressive growth, strong fundamentals, and bullish technical patterns, but can they really deliver the kind of returns traders dream about? With the Fed’s 25bps rate cut earlier this week boosting risk appetite across markets, altcoins like Ethena and Chainlink are positioned to run. Here’s why analysts are betting on these two tokens heading into Q4 2025. link on solPriceMarket CapLINK$30.73K24h7d1y DISCOVER: 15+ Upcoming Coinbase Listings to Watch in 2025 Could Crypto Ethena Hit $1 Soon and Achieve Next 100x? Ethena crypto has qu…
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The US stock market is drawing investors like a magnet. It's hard to resist when, for the first time since November 2021, all four major indices—S&P 500, Nasdaq 100, Dow Jones, and Russell 2000—close at record highs. Such an event has happened only 25 times in the 21st century. Combined with record treasury holdings by non-residents, it's clear that American exceptionalism is alive and well—though with a new twist. Foreign investors collectively own $20 trillion in US-issued stocks and $14 trillion in bonds, including Treasuries. Their exodus in response to Donald Trump's tariffs drove the S&P 500 down to a 15-month low in early April. Since then, the prevailing m…
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Gold prices have fallen from a new all-time high amid a strengthening U.S. dollar, following the Federal Reserve's announcement of an anticipated interest rate cut after months of intense White House pressure to reduce borrowing costs. This decision, made despite lingering concerns about persistent inflation, triggered a wave of selling in gold, which is traditionally seen as a safe-haven asset during periods of economic uncertainty and currency weakness. Although the rate cut was expected, some analysts saw it as a sign of the Fed's vulnerability to political pressure. Investors fear that further concessions could lead to runaway inflation and undermine confidence in th…
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Yesterday's latest failed attempt by Bitcoin to break above $118,000 could present significant challenges for its near-term growth prospects. The third consecutive failure to push beyond this range signals that bullish sentiment for a run to all-time highs in the near-term is quickly dwindling. Meanwhile, the crypto market continues to evolve. Yesterday, trading began in the US for the first spot XRP ETF and Dogecoin ETF from REX-Osprey. This step marks an important milestone in the legitimization of cryptocurrencies as an asset class, expanding access for a broader range of investors and traders. The launch of the XRP ETF and Dogecoin ETF triggered mixed reactions in t…
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[Litecoin] – [Friday, September 19, 2025] Although Litecoin is subject to potential correction, with the EMAs still in a Golden Cross configuration, it continues to present an upside bias. Key Levels 1. Resistance. 2 : 122.24 2. Resistance. 1 : 120.49 3. Pivot : 117.29 4. Support. 1 : 115.54 5. Support. 2 : 112.34 Tactical Scenario Positive Reaction Zone: If the price of Litecoin rises and breaks to close above 117.29, there is potential for further gains toward 120.49. Momentum Extension Bias: If 120.49 is breached and closes above, Litecoin could potentially test the 122.24 level. Invalidation Level / Bias Revision The upside bias weakens if Litecoin's…
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[Uniswap] – [Friday, September 19, 2025] Although the RSI indicator is at a Neutral-Bearish level, the Golden Cross position of both EMAs increases the likelihood of further strengthening in the Uniswap cryptocurrency today. Key Levels 1. Resistance. 2 : 9.921 2. Resistance. 1 : 9.776 3. Pivot : 9.517 4. Support. 1 : 9.372 5. Support. 2 : 9.113 Tactical Scenario Positive Reaction Zone: If the price of Uniswap strengthens, breaking and closing above 9.517, it has the potential to continue its rally to the 9.776 level. Momentum Extension Bias: If 9.776 is successfully breached and closed above, Uniswap may move up to test the 9.921 level. Invalidation Level …
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Trade Review and Advice on Trading the Japanese YenThe test of the 147.49 price level occurred when the MACD indicator had already moved significantly above the zero line, which limited the pair's upside potential. For this reason, I did not buy the dollar and missed a good upward move. The jump in the Philadelphia Manufacturing Index to 21 points in August led to instant dollar buying and a drop in the Japanese yen. This surge took most analysts by surprise—forecasts had called for much lower readings—and triggered an immediate reassessment of the US economic outlook. Investors eager to catch any signs of recovery quickly turned to the dollar as a safe haven and profit i…
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Trade Review and Advice on Trading the British PoundThe test of the 1.3631 price coincided with the moment when the MACD indicator had just started moving down from the zero line, confirming the validity of the sell entry on the pound and resulting in a drop of more than 60 pips for the pair. The Bank of England's decision to keep rates unchanged did not help the pound; the market reacted with disappointment, viewing the lack of hawkish signals as a sign of caution and indecisiveness from the central bank in tackling inflation. On the one hand, the decision to hold rates at current levels can be seen as a balanced approach, accounting for the risks of slowing economic gro…
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Trade Review and Advice on Trading the EuroThe test of the 1.1823 price coincided with the moment when the MACD indicator had just started to move down from the zero line, confirming the validity of the sell entry for the euro. As a result, the pair dropped by 50 pips. The explosive growth of the Philadelphia Manufacturing Index triggered an instant surge in demand for the dollar and, as a result, a weakening in the euro's position. The optimistic data encouraged investors to actively buy the US currency, which was perceived as a sign of an improving US economy. In the near term, the dollar's strengthening trend is likely to persist, especially if positive economic report…
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Wall Street hits fresh highs On Thursday, US stock markets closed at record levels. The rally came a day after the Federal Reserve cut its key interest rate by a quarter of a percentage point, sparking optimism among investors. Intel surges on Nvidia's investment The biggest market mover was Intel. Its shares skyrocketed 22.8%, marking the strongest one-day gain since October 1987. The jump followed Nvidia's announcement of a 5 billion dollar investment in the struggling chipmaker. Meanwhile, shares of rival Advanced Micro Devices slipped 0.8%. Nvidia rebounds Nvidia itself advanced 3.5%, recovering losses from the previous session, which had been triggered by concerns …
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The Dogecoin price had seen an initial run-up to $0.3 before the correction that brought it back toward $0.26 again. The aftermath of this has been uncertain price movements for the meme coin, especially as bulls and bears vied for control of the digital asset. At this junction, there is now a near equal opportunity for the price to actually go in either direction, and crypto analyst MyCryptoParadise has outlined the conditions that could favor either side. Why Dogecoin Price Is Still Bullish Despite the Dogecoin price decline, there is still a lot of bullishness in the current price action. This comes with the breakout of a classic falling wedge pattern, which is bullis…
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The US dollar quickly regained the upper hand, indicating the presence of major buyers in the market even though the Federal Reserve cut interest rates the previous day. Apparently, without a good correction in risk assets, another move to the upside will be hard to achieve. Strong Philadelphia Manufacturing Index numbers gave the dollar a boost. Traders, encouraged by the unexpectedly high readings, rushed to buy the US currency, viewing it as a sign of strengthening in the US economy. The euro, on the other hand, came under heavy selling pressure. Today, German Producer Price Index (PPI) data is due. If the figure comes in below economists' forecasts, it could trigger a…
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This is a follow-up analysis and an update of our prior publication, “USD/JPY Technical: Yen eyeing a medium-term bullish breakout against USD from a 5-month range”, published on 17 September 2025. The USD/JPY dropped further on Wednesday, 17 September 2025, with an initial intraday loss of -0.7% to print an intraday low of 145.48 before it reversed up higher ex-post FOMC to close higher and erased all its initial losses, reinforced by Fed Chair Powell’s “less dovish” press conference. The USD/JPY has managed to survive at the 145.95 medium-term support (the lower boundary of the “Ascending Wedge” range configuration) in place since the 22 April 2025 low of 139.89 and…
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Solana started a fresh increase above the $245 zone. SOL price is now correcting some gains and might find bids near $242 or $240. SOL price started a fresh upward move above the $242 and $245 levels against the US Dollar. The price is now trading above $240 and the 100-hourly simple moving average. There was a break above a key bearish trend line with resistance at $240 on the hourly chart of the SOL/USD pair (data source from Kraken). The pair could extend losses if it dips below the $240 zone. Solana Price Corrects Some Gains Solana price started a decent increase after it settled above the $232 zone, beating Bitcoin and Ethereum. SOL climbed above the $240 level to…
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Macroeconomic Report Analysis: Very few macroeconomic reports are scheduled for Friday. The only report worth noting is UK Retail Sales. This release could trigger a minor market reaction—but only if the actual figure deviates significantly from the forecast. Overall, the market may take a breather today after two very active days featuring two central bank meetings and a key inflation report out of the UK. Fundamental Events Analysis: There is absolutely nothing notable on the fundamental calendar for Friday. The European Central Bank, Federal Reserve, and Bank of England meetings have all concluded, providing the market with all the necessary information for f…
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Thursday Trade Review:1H Chart of GBP/USD The GBP/USD pair exhibited movements on Thursday similar to those of EUR/USD—or rather, it would be more accurate to say that EUR/USD mirrored GBP/USD. The key event of the day was the Bank of England meeting. After the results were announced, the British pound continued to decline, despite the absence of strong reasons for it to fall, even on Wednesday evening. The BoE left its monetary policy unchanged and noted that core inflation is slowing and wage growth is decelerating—subtly opening the door for another policy easing this year. However, we don't really see any slowdown. Headline inflation in the UK has been rising for …
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Thursday Trade Review:1H Chart of EUR/USD On Thursday, the EUR/USD pair continued its downward movement after Wednesday evening, though we consider this move to lack logic. If you think about it, there was not a single reason for the euro to fall on Thursday, nor for the dollar to rise. However, the Bank of England's meeting triggered a drop in the pound sterling, which, in turn, pulled the euro down as well. Yet there were no strong reasons for the pound's decline in recent days—the BoE took an absolutely neutral stance, UK inflation was unchanged and matched forecasts, and the unemployment rate was also steady and aligned with market expectations. The same can be sa…
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