Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
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From late September, Bitcoin has embarked on an impressive bullish rally to reach price levels around its all-time high of $124,457. However, it remains speculative as to whether the premier cryptocurrency will maintain this early October momentum to put in a new all-time-high price, or experience a major correction into deeper liquidity zones. Bitcoin Key Levels To Watch: Rally’s Challenge Lies At $125k Resistance In an X post on October 3, key opinion leader (KOL) Ted Pillows shared that Bitcoin is once again approaching critical price levels, backed by data showing trader activity. Pillows based this analysis on the Order Book Heatmap metric, which shows the amount …
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Bitcoin (BTC) is undergoing one of the most challenging periods of the year, with prices retracting nearly 30% from its all-time high of $126,000 reached last month. This decline has raised concerns about a potential bear market, fueling fears within the cryptocurrency community and among BTC investors. Despite this, a new AI-driven simulation by Bitcoin analyst Timothy Peterson offers a more tempered outlook. In a post on X (formerly Twitter), Peterson indicated that while the situation remains complicated, the simulation suggests that the bottom might have already been reached or could occur within the week. Bitcoin Predicted To Experience Slow Recovery In his analys…
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Bitcoin prices have now crashed by over 4% after reaching a new all-time high on August 14. The crypto market leader remains in consolidation, potentially gathering momentum for the next leg up. Amidst this stable market structure, a popular trading expert with the X username KillaXBT provides insights into possible price developments for the next month. CRT Model Flags September As Pivotal For Bitcoin’s Bull Cycle In an X post on August 15, KillaXBT outlines potential BTC price trajectories via in-depth technical analysis of the monthly chart. Using the candle range theory (CRT), the renowned analyst postulates that the premier cryptocurrency would be entering a pivot…
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Bitcoin suffered a sudden and deep drop in November, losing nearly a quarter of its value and wiping out over $1 trillion across the crypto market. Whales Trim Positions Before Crash According to on-chain data from CryptoQuant, large holders played a central role. Wallets holding between 1,000–10,000 BTC pared back their stakes in the weeks leading up to the fall. Those big sellers took profits after the October rally, and in many cases selling was steady rather than panicked. When large players step back like that, market depth can vanish quickly. A quick overview of Bitcoin’s price decline shows prices slid from record highs above $126,000 in October to roughly $81,…
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Bitcoin’s recent wobble has split analysts. Some warn of a deep pullback while onchain trackers point to a mild correction that could already be ending. Traditional Analysis Shows Risk According to Bloomberg analyst Mike McGlone’s post on X, the move under $100,000 may not be finished. He called a fall from recent highs a possible “Speed Bump Toward $56,000,” and said that past rallies often reverted toward the 48-month moving average, now near $56,000. That view implies the potential for a sharp drop — almost 50% from recent peaks — if the current downtrend keeps going. Short, stark statements from established market commentators have pushed concern among some investo…
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Bitcoin price corrected losses and traded above the $114,200 level. BTC is now struggling and might face hurdles near the $116,000 level. Bitcoin started a recovery wave above the $114,000 resistance level. The price is trading below $115,000 and the 100 hourly Simple moving average. There is a bearish trend line forming with resistance at $119,250 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken). The pair might continue to move down if it trades below the $112,500 zone. Bitcoin Price Faces Hurdles Bitcoin price started a recovery wave above the $110,000 pivot level. BTC recovered above the $112,500 and $113,200 resistance levels. The price climbed abov…
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Bitcoin (BTC) continues to show signs of weakness after recently setting a new all-time high earlier this month. As of today, the cryptocurrency is trading at $110,595, reflecting a 4.2% decline over the past week and an 11% drop from its peak of $124,000. The correction highlights an ongoing struggle for momentum even as broader market conditions remain uncertain. This decline has drawn the attention of analysts examining key on-chain and trading metrics. One such measure is the Taker Buy Sell Ratio, which is signaling reduced confidence among traders. According to data from CryptoQuant, this ratio has fallen to levels not seen since late 2021, raising questions about …
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Bitcoin price is correcting gains below $113,500. BTC could continue to move down if it stays below the $114,200 resistance. Bitcoin started a downside correction below the $114,200 support. The price is trading below $114,000 and the 100 hourly Simple moving average. There was a break below a bullish trend line with support at $114,050 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken). The pair might continue to move down if it trades below the $112,000 zone. Bitcoin Price Starts Pullback Bitcoin price extended gains above the $113,500 zone. BTC gained pace for a move above the $115,000 pivot level. The price even spiked above $116,200 before the bears a…
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Bitcoin once again ran into resistance at $118,000 and failed to break through this level. This indicates that the market currently lacks enough bullish momentum to push above $118,000, suggesting that the consolidation phase may continue and potentially open the way for a deeper pullback toward $107,000 and $105,000. Meanwhile, news emerged yesterday that Michigan lawmakers are reviewing a bill that would allow up to 10% of state funds to be invested in Bitcoin. The proposal, which has sparked heated debate among financial and political circles in the state, could set a precedent for other US regions and open a new chapter in the history of public sector investment. S…
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Bitcoin’s recent climb looks steady but measured. Prices hovered at $118,350 when the key calls were made, and short-term technical models point to a possible rise of about 11% to $129,690 by September 15, 2025. Market gauges are in Bullish territory. The Fear & Greed Index sits at 64 (Greed), and over the last 30 days Bitcoin recorded 13/30 (43%) green days with price volatility around 1.65%. Those figures show momentum, but not runaway behavior. CEO Issues A Cautionary Call According to Canary Capital CEO Steven McClurg, there may be no more than 27% of upside left in this cycle before a downtrend begins. He told viewers there is a greater than 50% chance Bitcoi…
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Bitcoin’s latest push towards $120,000 fizzled into a stall-out that now resembles a “failed breakout zone,” according to market analytics firm Swissblock. In a July 31 thread, the firm said “momentum has failed to ignite,” arguing that realized-profit flows and an overwhelming share of coins sitting in profit have turned every bounce into an opportunity for supply to meet price. Profit-Taking Cools Bitcoin Rally Swissblock framed the setback as a pause rather than a breakdown. “Profit-taking is rising—but not as intense as late 2024,” the firm wrote, adding that the effect through July was “enough to cap upside and trigger consolidation.” The tone is cooling, not capitu…
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Bitcoin fell sharply in recent days, and veteran holders barely blinked while many newer investors showed clear signs of panic. According to crypto commentator Anthony Pompliano, drops of 30% or more are part of Bitcoin’s history — they have happened 21 times over the last decade and tend to occur about once every one and a half years. Reports have disclosed that recent selling has pushed the token to lows around $82,000 during US trading. “So Bitcoiners are used to this,” Pompliano said. “Now, who’s not used to this are the people who are coming from Wall Street. They’re not used to this type of volatility.” Veterans Expect The Swings Pompliano said people who have …
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Earlier today, Bitcoin (BTC) slipped below $115,000 for the first time since August 6, raising concerns that the cryptocurrency’s bullish momentum may be fading. Against this backdrop, the Binance Buying Power Ratio suggests that demand for BTC could be weakening, potentially setting the stage for a deeper price correction. Binance Buying Power Ratio Raises Alarms According to a CryptoQuant Quicktake post by contributor Crazzyblockk, the Binance Buying Power Ratio serves as a reliable indicator of overall market health. The analyst explained that the current reading points to a possible downturn for Bitcoin. To explain, the ratio measures stablecoin inflows against Bit…
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The Bitcoin price has slipped under $117,000 as on-chain data shows the network has observed one of its largest profit realization days of the year. Bitcoin Long-Term Holders Did The Major Share Of Profit-Taking In a new post on X, the on-chain analytics firm Glassnode has talked about the latest trend in the Bitcoin Realized Profit indicator for the short-term holders and long-term holders. The “Realized Profit” measures, as its name suggests, the total amount of profit that the BTC investors are realizing through their transactions. The metric works by going through the transfer history of each coin being sold to see what price it was moved at prior to this. The diff…
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Bitcoin slipped below three-day Ichimoku cloud support on Wednesday, prompting market technician Dr Cat (@DoctorCatX) to flag the first decisive warning for bulls while outlining a tight sequence of conditional signals into month-end. Sharing a chart on X, he wrote: “Bulls finally lost the 3D kumo support which is the first clear red flag to look for.” He cautioned that the breakdown does not guarantee a straight-line slide, adding that “the kumo is very thick here which means the price can be very spiky/turbulent and even further down moves may be ‘bumpy’ for bears with bounces etc…” Why Bitcoin’s Next Bull Window Opens October 31 The analyst framed the next tests throu…
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Following the massive crash that Bitcoin and the entire crypto market suffered over the weekend, the Fear & Greed Index has been pushed down to its lowest level in the last six months. This index, which measures the market sentiment and shows on a scale how investors are feeling about the crypto market, has now fallen back into the Extreme Fear territory. The number on the scale now shows the lowest level it has been since the market crash back in April 2025. Bitcoin Fear & Greed Index Sees Major Crash The Bitcoin Fear & Greed Index uses a number of factors to determine how investors are feeling about the market. It takes into account things like volatility, …
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The cryptocurrency market is in a tense mood after Bitcoin lost important price levels this week, and investor sentiment has taken a beating. This caused the Bitcoin Fear & Greed Index to plunge by 16 points in a single day, sinking to 28 yesterday, its lowest level since March. At the time of writing, the index has recovered slightly to 33, but it still in the Fear zone. This may unsettle many investors, but history shows that fearful conditions may be blessings in disguise for Bitcoin investors. Bitcoin Fear & Greed Index Drops To 28 This week has been tough for many cryptocurrencies, especially Bitcoin. Bitcoin, which started the week above $115,000, entered …
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Data shows the Bitcoin Fear & Greed Index has surged back into the neutral zone after the recovery rally in the cryptocurrency’s price. Bitcoin Fear & Greed Index Now Has A Value Of 51 The “Fear & Greed Index” refers to an indicator created by Alternative that measures the average sentiment present among traders in the Bitcoin and wider cryptocurrency markets. The metric uses the data of the following five factors to determine the investor mentality: trading volume, market cap dominance, volatility, social media sentiment, and Google Trends. The index uses a numerical scale running from zero to hundred for representing this sentiment. All values above 53 cor…
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Data shows the Bitcoin Fear & Greed Index has seen a bearish flip following the plunge in the cryptocurrency’s price to $113,000. Bitcoin Has Continued Its Recent Drawdown Since setting a new all-time high (ATH) above $124,000 one week ago, Bitcoin has been facing a downtrend. The bearish momentum has only furthered during the past day, with BTC hitting a low under $113,000. Below is a chart that shows how the coin’s recent performance has looked. From the graph, it’s visible that BTC has seen a bit of recovery after forming a low around $112,400, but at the current price of $113,800, the asset is still notably below the levels from the last few days. As is usua…
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Bitcoin is turning heads once again as it climbs steadily within a rising channel, teasing a potential explosive move. According to chart watchers, the current rally aligns with Wave (5) of an Elliott Wave structure, historically the phase that unleashes the most aggressive price action. With momentum building and institutional demand ramping up, could this be the final leg before Bitcoin launches toward uncharted territory? Rising Channel Holds Firm As Wave (5) Builds Steam In a recent update, market analyst LSplayQ pointed out that Bitcoin is steadily climbing within a clearly defined rising channel, with the price now trading close to $118,000. This structured upward …
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Bitcoin price is currently at a critical juncture, sitting right on top of the Bull Market Support Band. Throughout past bull cycles, this band has historically served as a crucial support level, with price retesting it during corrections and bouncing off it to continue its upward trend. Why This Level Matters For Bitcoin Uptrend In an X post, full-time crypto trader and investor, Daan Crypto Trades, has pointed out that Bitcoin is currently sitting directly on top of the Bull Market Support Band. This level has long been regarded as one of the most reliable high-timeframe momentum indicators. Daan Crypto Trades noted that while Bitcoin has seen short-term consolidatio…
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Bitcoin is holding steady above its 50-day Simple Moving Average (SMA), showing signs of underlying strength despite a lack of clear directional momentum. With rising trading volume and mixed technical indicators, the next move could swing either way, keeping the market on edge. RSI Holds Neutral As Bitcoin Awaits A Clearer Signal According to Shaco AI, in a recent update on X, Bitcoin is currently hovering around $107,264.17, positioning itself just above two key moving averages. It’s nudging the 25-day SMA at $107,229.82 and holding slightly above the 50-day SMA, which sits at $107,040.81. This positioning reflects a mild bullish bias in recent sessions, keeping both b…
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Bitcoin is walking a fine line again. After sliding for six straight trading sessions, the world’s largest cryptocurrency bounced back from a key support level around $114,432. That small rebound is catching attention, but it’s not enough to suggest a strong rally is around the corner. Labor Data Fuels Fed Speculation Recent economic data in the US isn’t helping much. Reports showed that job growth came in weaker than expected, with the unemployment rate rising to 4.2%. Average hourly wages only went up by 0.3%, pointing to a cooling labor market. These numbers are adding weight to the idea that the Federal Reserve might soon hit pause on interest rate hikes—or even lo…
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Bitcoin has seen a rebound since retesting the short-term holder Realized Price, a sign that this historical on-chain support may be holding. Bitcoin Short-Term Holder Realized Price Just Acted As Support As explained by CryptoQuant author IT Tech in an X post, Bitcoin found support around the short-term holder Realized Price during the latest dip. The “Realized Price” here refers to an on-chain indicator that measures the cost basis of the average investor on the BTC network. When the price of the cryptocurrency is above this metric, it means the holders as a whole are in a state of net unrealized profit. On the other hand, it being under the indicator implies the ove…
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Bitcoin’s three-year advance may be rolling over, according to Chartered Market Technician Tony Severino, who argues that BTC has now completed a “triple bearish divergence” on higher timeframes – a structure he characterises as the trend “dying under the hood” even as price printed fresh highs. Bitcoin Has Hit A Triple Bearish Divergence In a video published on November 24 and shared on X, Severino says he had to go beyond standard references to formalise the pattern. “I really never heard that statement before,” he admits of the term triple negative divergence. “There wasn’t a lot of information on Google […] I turned to AI, turned to ChatGPT.” His working definition: …
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