Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
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Bitcoin is fighting to reclaim the $90,000 level after a sharp drop earlier today, adding fuel to growing fears of a deeper downtrend. Market sentiment has weakened noticeably, with selling pressure intensifying across spot and derivatives markets. Traders remain cautious as liquidity thins and volatility increases, creating an environment where even minor inflows can trigger outsized price reactions. The recent rejection below $90K highlights the fragility of the current structure and raises questions about whether Bitcoin is entering a more prolonged corrective phase. However, beneath the surface, on-chain data reveals a striking counter-signal. According to On-Chain…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Bitcoin flashed a short-term “buy” signal that previously marked the $49,000 and $74,000 swing lows, according to on-chain analyst Frank (@FrankAFetter), a quant at Vibe Capital Management. “Officially got the Oversold print on the short-term holder MVRV bollinger bands,” he wrote on X, pointing to prior occurrences during the “Yen Carry Unwind” around $49,000 and the “Tariff Tantrum” near $74,000, adding a third instance “Today – $108k. The metric in focus blends the short-term holder market-value-to-realized-value (STH-MVRV) ratio with Bollinger Bands to capture when newer coins trade at statistically depressed valuations versus their cost basis. In the chart Frank sh…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Bitcoin (BTC) has reached a critical turning point, successfully flipping a key horizontal support zone that previously acted as resistance. With momentum now building, the focus has shifted to the next major test: the $117,000 resistance level. A decisive move above this threshold would not only confirm the continuation of the current rally but also set the stage for a potential run toward new highs. Daily Support Flip Confirms Bullish Control Alpha Crypto Signal, in a recent market update, pointed out that BTC is showing renewed strength on the daily timeframe. The leading cryptocurrency successfully flipped a key horizontal zone into support, a move that highlights gr…
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As Bitcoin (BTC) continues to trade near its all-time high (ATH) of $123,218, concerns over rising exchange deposits are mounting. However, fresh on-chain data reveals a significant contrast between the current rally and previous ones – most notably, a decline in BTC deposits to exchanges. Bitcoin Flow Pulse Shows Low Exchange Activity According to a CryptoQuant Quicktake post by contributor Arab Chain, the Bitcoin Inter-Exchange Flow Pulse (IFP) indicator is exhibiting “interesting behavior” in mid-2025. Notably, large investors do not appear to be selling their holdings, despite BTC trading at record highs. Typically, sophisticated investors begin profit-taking as an…
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Brewing tensions between Israel and Iran have triggered global de-risking across risk-on assets, including Bitcoin (BTC). The top cryptocurrency by market cap is down 1.7% over the past 24 hours. That said, technical indicators still point toward a potential new all-time high (ATH) for BTC in the coming months. Bitcoin Tracing The ABCD Pattern According to a recent post on X by crypto analyst Titan of Crypto, BTC appears to be following the ABCD pattern. The analyst noted that Bitcoin is currently trading within a wedge formation and could target as high as $137,000 if it breaks out. For the uninitiated, the ABCD pattern is a classic chart setup with four points and th…
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Following a three-day upward correction, Bitcoin failed to reach the target resistance at 111,904—likely due to the increase in strength of this level provided by the daily MACD indicator line. Today began with a confident decline. The Marlin oscillator, remaining in negative territory, has turned downward. This likely marks the beginning of a new bearish phase, with the nearest target at 102,698. A consolidation below this level would further extend the decline toward the second target at 98,124. On the four-hour chart, the MACD line prevented the price from fulfilling the target level. Now, the price is attempting to move further away from it to the downside. The Marl…
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Bitcoin's exchange rate against the U.S. dollar has been correcting for the second consecutive day after a strong upward movement that began on September 26. If today's daily candle closes as a bearish (black) candle, this will confirm the price's consolidation below the target level of 122,185, as well as below the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level. The next downside target will be the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement level, which aligns with support at 117,418 — the August 22 high. Further decline toward 115,679 is also possible. This level corresponds to the low from July 15 and lies near the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level. A deeper correction below that zone is unlike…
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Bitcoin (BTC) Bitcoin twice managed to break daily candles above the resistance level of 111,904 (yesterday and today), but failed to hold above it. The Marlin oscillator also was unable to find the internal reserves to develop an uptrend in positive territory. Visually, it will return to negative territory today. This means the 111,904 level will be seen as a reversal point, and the price will head toward the nearest target at 107,500—the embedded price channel line. This target is very close to the August–September lows. On the four-hour chart, the price consolidated below the 111,904 level after a false breakout above it. This is a sign of further decline. Here, the …
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The Bitcoin market suffered a heavy crash on Friday after US President Donald Trump confirmed plans to place a 100% tariff on Chinese goods. The planned order, which was in response to an initial export tax order by the Asian superpower, shook financial markets globally, resulting in total crypto liquidations of $19 billion. However, the market has stabilized in the past few hours with Bitcoin prices now consolidating around $111,000. While investors await the next price movement, a prominent analyst with the X username PlanD has shared two important conditions for the next bullish wave. 2 Important Bitcoin Levels To Watch – Analyst In a recent X post on Saturday, P…
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Although Bitcoin’s (BTC) momentum has stalled over the past week due to escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, the flagship cryptocurrency appears to be forming a bullish inverse head and shoulders pattern on the three-day chart – significantly increasing the likelihood of a new all-time high (ATH) in the coming months. Bitcoin Eyeing New ATH Soon? In an X post published today, crypto analyst Mister Crypto highlighted that BTC is forming an inverse head and shoulders pattern on the three-day chart. The analyst shared the following chart, noting that a successful breakout could propel Bitcoin’s price as high as $150,000. For the uninitiated, the inverse he…
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Bitcoin is showing resilience above the $105,000 mark, holding firm despite ongoing volatility and economic uncertainty. While bulls struggle to break above the all-time high at $112,000, the market remains in a high-stakes consolidation phase. Macroeconomic conditions remain unstable, with weak global growth forecasts and elevated inflation pushing investors into risk-off assets. Still, Bitcoin appears to be thriving under these pressures, strengthening its case as a hedge against traditional financial instability. Top analyst Carl Runefelt recently highlighted a compelling technical development: Bitcoin is forming a massive inverse head and shoulders pattern spanning …
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While Bitcoin continues to hover above the $100,000 threshold, the driving forces behind this historic consolidation phase appear to be more complex than the surface-level narratives of institutional “FOMO” and ETF euphoria. According to multiple leading analysts, a silent rotation is underway—one that suggests long-term holders are offloading their positions while corporate treasuries and institutional buyers quietly absorb the flood. OG Bitcoin Whales Are ‘Dumping’ On Wall Street Charles Edwards, founder of Capriole Investments, delivered a sobering breakdown via X on June 29, challenging the prevailing belief that Bitcoin’s price stagnation amid surging demand is anom…
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Five long-dormant Bitcoin wallets sprang back to life on July 31, moving a total of 250 BTC—nearly $30 million at today’s rates. That’s money mined on April 26, 2010, during Bitcoin’s earliest tests. Traders saw the shift and paused, wondering if a massive sell-off was coming after more than 15 years of silence. Early Coins Stir According to on-chain observers, these coins came from wallets active before the famous “Patoshi pattern” ended. That pattern, often linked to Bitcoin’s creator, slowed down around May 2010. Moving coins from that era can send a jolt through the market, even when the total is small. Around 250 BTC made a splash in today’s headlines. Yet Bitcoin…
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As Bitcoin (BTC) continues to remain range-bound between $110,000 – $115,000, data from crypto exchanges seems divided toward the leading cryptocurrency. While Binance traders are exhibiting a bullish stance, traders from other exchanges are still showing a degree of hesitation. Binance Traders Expecting Bitcoin Price Surge According to a CryptoQuant Quicktake post by contributor Crazzyblockk, fresh derivatives data from Binance is signaling shifting market dynamics – specifically, the recent BTC funding rate on Binance points toward traders taking a bullish stance. On the contrary, the BTC funding rate from other exchanges, such as OKX, Bybit, and Deribit, suggests th…
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Bitcoin’s price has declined slightly following recent gains, falling 2.3% over the past 24 hours to trade at approximately $107,205. This latest movement places the asset 4.1% below its all-time high of over $111,000 recorded last month. Despite the short-term dip, some analysts see familiar signs in derivatives data that could point to the next phase of market movement. Funding Rate Rebounds Signal Potential Upside for Bitcoin According to recent insights shared by on-chain analyst “nino” on CryptoQuant’s QuickTake platform, Bitcoin may be repeating a funding rate pattern that has historically led to price rebounds. The data shows the asset’s funding rate briefly di…
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Bitcoin has reclaimed the crucial $115,000 level after briefly dipping to $112,000 earlier this week, signaling renewed strength from the bulls. The sharp recovery highlights buyers’ resilience following recent volatility, with price action now showing signs of bullish dominance. This rebound comes as traders and investors brace for the potential next leg up, eyeing higher resistance levels. Key market data adds weight to the bullish case. The Bitcoin Futures Open Interest Net Position — a closely watched indicator that tracks the balance between long and short positions — has shifted in favor of the bulls, showing a clear edge over shorts. This change in positioning su…
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Bitcoin is once again challenging the $120,000 resistance level after a stretch of massive volatility for BTC and strong performance from altcoins. While the flagship cryptocurrency has yet to decisively break above its current range resistance, Ethereum has been leading the broader market with an impressive uptrend since April, gaining over 230% and drawing strong institutional interest. The battle at $120K comes amid shifting sentiment in the derivatives market. Data from CryptoQuant shows that in August, the Bitcoin Futures Power index dropped to the zero mark, ending a series of positive readings that had previously accompanied BTC’s rally. According to top analyst …
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Bitcoin is once again at a decisive moment after several days of tight consolidation around the $110K level. Bulls are making an effort to defend this critical support, while also eyeing the $113K resistance as the next key barrier. A breakout above it could provide the momentum needed for BTC to retest higher supply zones and reignite bullish sentiment. However, the market remains fragile, with volatility and fear weighing heavily on investor confidence. Top analyst Axel Adler provided important context from the derivatives market. According to Adler, the Bitcoin Futures Pressure Score currently stands at 18%, which is considered low to moderate and closer to the neutr…
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What is Bitcoin — a risky asset or a safe haven? While investors are still debating the right answer, BTC/USD has reached a new all-time high, benefitting from a "double win" amid the ongoing US government shutdown. As the S&P 500 hits its 31st record high of the year and gold soars past $3,900 per ounce, the environment is becoming increasingly favorable for tokens. Back in late September, Bitcoin was losing ground due to troubles with crypto treasuries and declining trading activity. But nature abhors a vacuum. By the week ending October 3, investors had poured $3.2 billion into a group of 12 crypto-focused ETFs — the second-largest weekly inflow in history. Open i…
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A major breakthrough has just arrived for Bitcoin and the crypto industry from one of the most influential financial regulatory bodies in the United States. The Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA), which oversees the country’s largest mortgage liquidity providers, has issued a directive that could change how digital assets are viewed. Under this directive, mortgage liquidity providers have been officially ordered to begin preparations for considering cryptocurrencies as part of a borrower’s asset portfolio during mortgage evaluations. Crypto As Mortgage-Eligible Asset In a recent post on the social media platform X, FHFA Director Bill Pulte issued a directive instruc…
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Companies around the globe made 60 Bitcoin announcements in five days, signaling a surge in corporate interest. Between June 9 and 13, companies added thousands of BTC to their balance sheets and revealed plans for billions more. This week’s activity shows that more businesses are treating Bitcoin like any other financial asset. Six New Bitcoin Treasuries Open Doors According to data shared by @btcNLNico on X, six firms created fresh Bitcoin treasuries and together added 404 BTC in just one week. American Bitcoin Corp led the pack with an initial purchase of 215 BTC as it moves toward a public merger under the ABTC ticker. Bitmine and Gumi also made their debut in …
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Bitcoin is still trying to regain short-term bullish momentum, as shown by its price action in the past 24 hours. After briefly slipping below $104,500, the cryptocurrency bounced back to trade above $106,000, and technical analysis now shows a technical formation that could cause the start of a more extended rally. Interestingly, as seen in the daily Ichimoku chart shared by analyst Titan of Crypto, Bitcoin is currently on the verge of confirming a golden cross, which is a bullish signal, within the coming days. Ichimoku Cloud Builds Case For Bullish Breakout Taking to the social media platform X, crypto analyst Titan of Crypto highlighted the recent daily price clo…
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Bitcoin (BTC) is showing signs of repeating a historic Golden Cross pattern that led to a long-term parabolic run. While the cryptocurrency’s recent pullback near the $100,000 region may have alarmed the crypto market, analysts suggest that this move is part of a broader trend that could push BTC to its next price high. Golden Cross Formation Pits Bitcoin At $150,000 Bitcoin has once again flashed a classic bullish signal, the Golden Cross, prompting renewed optimism for a major price rally in the coming months. According to a technical analysis by ‘Chain Mind,’ a crypto analyst on X (formerly Twitter), Bitcoin may be on the verge of an explosive surge to $150,000 if th…
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Bitcoin is testing a critical support level near $110,000 after being rejected from the $116,000 supply zone, a level that has now become a major point of contention between bulls and bears. The market remains fragile following the historic volatility from Friday’s crash, which erased billions in leveraged positions and triggered widespread uncertainty. While the price has managed to stabilize above key moving averages for now, momentum appears to be weakening as buyers struggle to absorb continued selling pressure. Some analysts warn that if Bitcoin fails to hold this zone, a deeper correction toward the $105,000–$107,000 region could follow, marking another shakeout b…
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Eric Trump on Tuesday described Bitcoin as a “modern-day gold,” calling it a liquid store of value that can act as a hedge to real estate and other assets. According to reports, the remark came during a TV appearance on CNBC’s Squawk Box, tied to the launch of American Bitcoin, the mining and treasury firm he helped start. Company Holdings And Strategy Based on public filings and company summaries, American Bitcoin has accumulated 2,443 BTC on its balance sheet. That stash has been valued in the low hundreds of millions of dollars at recent spot prices. The firm mixes large-scale mining with the goal of holding Bitcoin as a strategic reserve, which it says will help i…
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