Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
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Analysis of Trades and Recommendations for Trading the European Currency The test of the 1.1527 price level occurred at a moment when the MACD indicator had already moved far above the zero line, which limited the pair's upward potential. For this reason, I did not buy the euro. The second test of 1.1527 led to the implementation of scenario No. 2 for selling the euro; however, losses were recorded on the trade since the pair did not show any downward reversal. Germany's economy posted zero GDP growth in the third quarter of this year. These expected data supported the euro's exchange rate and did not attract new sellers into the market. However, a warning sign is the slo…
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Only the British pound did I try to trade today using the Mean Reversion strategy, but even there I did not wait for a strong downward reversal. Using the Momentum strategy, I traded the Japanese yen, which rose sharply against the U.S. dollar. According to the report, Germany's GDP in the third quarter of this year remained unchanged compared to the second quarter. Although zero growth has increased the chances of a technical recession, the sense of industrial stagnation is causing more serious concern. Economists warn that without significant changes in policy and external factors, Germany may face a prolonged period of economic decline. The impact of this downturn may …
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Overview: The US dollar is mostly narrowly mixed against the G10 currencies. The Japanese yen is the notable exception. It leads the major currencies with around a 0.35% gain as the dollar slips to a four-day low near JPY156 after peaking last week slightly shy of JPY158. The dollar-bloc currencies join the Swiss franc and Swedish krona nursing small losses. With the pendulum swinging back in favor a Fed cut next month, emerging market currencies have caught a bid. There are a couple of minor exceptions and the Russian ruble, which is off almost 0.6%. US stocks extended the pre-weekend recovery yesterday, and the S&P 500 posted its largest gain in a little over a m…
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A cryptocurrency analyst has pointed out how a technical analysis (TA) signal that led into major price declines in the past has returned for Bitcoin. Monthly MACD Has Turned Bearish For Bitcoin In a new post on X, analyst Ali Martinez has talked about a signal that has formed in the Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD) for Bitcoin. MACD is a TA indicator that’s generally used for timing buys and sells in an asset’s price chart. The indicator consists of two lines: MACD line and signal line. The first of these, the MACD line, is found by subtracting the 26-period exponential moving average (EMA) of the price from its 12-period EMA. The signal line tracks the 9-…
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On Monday, the EUR/USD pair consolidated above the 76.4% retracement level at 1.1517, which allowed it to continue its upward movement. However, by the end of the day, the quotes returned to the 76.4% level. Today, a rebound from this level will again work in favor of the European currency and a slight rise toward the 61.8% Fibonacci level at 1.1594. A consolidation of the pair below 1.1517 will allow us to expect a slight decline in the euro. The wave situation on the hourly chart remains simple and clear. The last upward wave did not break the high of the previous wave, while the last completed downward wave broke the previous low. Thus, at this time the trend remain…
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On the hourly chart, the GBP/USD pair on Monday made another return to the 161.8% corrective level at 1.3110. A rebound from this level will work in favor of the US dollar and a new decline of the pair toward the 200.0% Fibonacci level at 1.3024. Consolidation of the pair above the 1.3110–1.3139 level will allow traders to expect growth toward the 127.2% corrective level at 1.3186. The wave situation remains fully "bearish." The last upward wave failed to break the previous peak, while the last downward (completed) wave broke the previous low. Unfortunately for the pound, the information background has worsened for it in recent weeks, and now the bulls are finding it e…
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Bitcoin (BTC) is undergoing one of the most challenging periods of the year, with prices retracting nearly 30% from its all-time high of $126,000 reached last month. This decline has raised concerns about a potential bear market, fueling fears within the cryptocurrency community and among BTC investors. Despite this, a new AI-driven simulation by Bitcoin analyst Timothy Peterson offers a more tempered outlook. In a post on X (formerly Twitter), Peterson indicated that while the situation remains complicated, the simulation suggests that the bottom might have already been reached or could occur within the week. Bitcoin Predicted To Experience Slow Recovery In his analys…
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Asia Market Wrap - Asian Shares Post Modest Gains Most Read: How fast the tides turn – Market wrap for the North American session - November 24 Global stock markets grew for the third consecutive day, largely thanks to technology stocks and the increasing chance that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will cut interest rates in December. The overall MSCI All Country World Index increased by 0.1% after more Fed officials voiced support for a rate reduction, making investors more optimistic. Asian stocks rose by 0.4%, with tech giants like TSMC performing well. After being closed for a holiday on Monday, Japan's Nikkei index finished the day up just 0.1%, despite a strong start; …
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Key takeaways Dow Jones continues to outperform despite the AI-led sell-off, holding smaller losses than the Nasdaq 100 and maintaining relative strength supported by value-oriented sector weightings.Intermarket signals favour the value factor, with a re-steepening US yield curve and a bullish breakout in value ETF versus momentum ETF, reinforcing the case for medium-term DJIA outperformance over tech-heavy indices.The DJIA’s medium-term uptrend remains intact, with price still above its ascending channel support and momentum stabilising; holding 45,650/45,020 keeps the bullish structure intact, with resistances at 48,460 and 49,130/49,220. This is a follow-up analy…
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Monad crypto is up 25% since launching less than 24 hours ago, after a rocky start that included a significant sell-off that sent MON to $0.022. Early drama sparked significant speculation about the project after Coinbase temporarily disabled the sell button and withdrawals, prompting many to speculate that the exchange could be about to orchestrate a gigantic pump for MON. Monad is an EVM (Ethereum Virtual Machine) Layer-1 network that raised over $430M across six separate funding rounds, including a public sale on Coinbase. Learn more , SHIB, and PEPE. MAXI aims to bring memecoins into the mod…
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The Zcash monster rally is finally showing cracks. After surging more than 1,500 percent since late September, ZEC has slipped nearly 30 percent from its November high of $750, falling into the mid-$550 range and sparking debate over whether the parabolic rise has topped. Traders now face a market showing early signs of exhaustion and increasing evidence that ZEC’s next decisive move may be lower, not higher. What’s next for Zcash? DISCOVER: Next 1000X Crypto: 10+ Crypto Tokens That Can Hit 1000x in 2025 Zcash Technical Structure Signals a High-Risk Reversal Zone, Will It Crash? Market Cap …
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Is Michael Burry right about the AI bubble? It’s funny because this time around Burry has the same opinion as my local neighborhood barber. So he’s probably right, but he’s early again. Meanwhile, President Donald Trump’s new executive order has formally launched the Genesis Mission, a national AI-for-science initiative that White House officials are calling the most ambitious federal research effort since the Manhattan Project. The directive orders agencies to synchronize their supercomputers, cloud AI systems, and scientific datasets into a unified national platform overseen by the Department of Energy. “The Genesis Mission will bring together our nation’s research a…
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As Bitcoin (BTC) attempts to reclaim the $88,000 area, some market observers believe that the recent lows marked the bottom, and a price recovery rally is underway. Nonetheless, other analysts have warned that the flagship crypto’s November pain could continue if the current levels don’t hold. Bitcoin Finds Local Support On Monday, Bitcoin continued its price recovery from the latest correction, nearing a key resistance for the second consecutive day. Throughout November, the cryptocurrency has struggled to hold multiple crucial levels amid the crypto market volatility, falling below the $100,000 psychological barrier and trading around multi-month lows. Last week, BTC…
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In crypto news today, most are watching another pre-payday pump unfold while BlackRock and its Ethereum buy pump the market’s vibe back to life. After two dry weeks with no inflows, BlackRock suddenly scooped up more than $90 million worth of Ethereum, and the timing couldn’t be more perfect. Bitcoin is inching toward its familiar $90,000 resistance after bouncing beautifully off the 100-week SMA, a level that acted as resistance before launching the 2023 reversal. The king’s chart is hinting at a developing cup-and-handle structure on higher timeframes. (source – BTC Weekly SMA 100, TradingView) Historically, every time BTC holds this moving average after a halving…
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The recent downturn in the crypto market, which saw total valuations plummet from an all-time high of nearly $4.3 trillion to below the $3 trillion mark, has severely impacted many investors. Among those affected is the Trump family, whose wealth reportedly decreased by $1 billion over the past month, according to Bloomberg. Their current net worth now stands at approximately $6.7 billion, down from $7.7 billion in September. Trump Family’s Crypto Portfolio Takes Major Hits The family’s crypto portfolio has suffered significant losses as a result of recent market conditions, including President Trump’s official memecoin, TRUMP, Eric Trump’s Bitcoin (BTC) mining firm, A…
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The S&P 500 recorded its best daily rally in the past six weeks, while the Nasdaq 100 experienced its strongest performance since May, as expectations for a December monetary policy easing by the Fed rose to 81%. The futures market fluctuates between extremes, alternating between disbelief in a federal funds rate cut and complete conviction in such an event. As a result, a safety cushion once again emerges for the broad stock index. Dynamics of US Stock Indices FOMC member Christopher Waller insists on continuing the monetary expansion cycle by the end of the year. In his view, inflation is not a major concern, but rising unemployment could escalate exponentially. …
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Yesterday, stock indices closed higher. The S&P 500 rose by 1.55%, while the Nasdaq 100 gained 2.69%. The Dow Jones Industrial Average jumped by 0.44%. Shares of technology companies contributed to the growth of global stock indices as traders began a data-heavy week with significant optimism regarding a potential interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve in December. The yield on 10-year US Treasury bonds decreased to 4.03%. Oil prices rose as traders considered the prospects of a peaceful agreement between Ukraine and Russia. As I mentioned earlier, investor optimism was fueled by expectations that slowing inflation would allow the Federal Reserve to pursue a more…
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Analysis of Trades and Tips for Trading the Japanese YenThe test of the price at 156.84 coincided with the moment the MACD indicator was beginning to move upward from the zero mark, confirming the right entry point for buying the dollar. As a result, the pair rose towards the target level of 157.16. The dollar only briefly rose against the Japanese yen, but there was no significant support from buyers. The USD/JPY pair continues to consolidate, with the bullish trend remaining intact. The temporary rise in the dollar against the yen can be seen as an attempt to sustain its climb amid broader upward momentum. The lack of a significant influx of buyers suggests traders are …
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Analysis of Trades and Tips for Trading the British Pound The test of the price at 1.3087 occurred when the MACD indicator had moved significantly below the zero mark, which limited the pair's downward potential. For this reason, I did not sell the pound. The absence of U.S. data weighed on the dollar against the British pound, prompting traders to adopt a wait-and-see approach and keeping the pair within the channel. However, attention is now focused on the new UK budget, which will be presented tomorrow. Expectations for this event are so high that significant movements in the pound today are unlikely. Tomorrow's budget will be crucial for the UK's economy in the coming…
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Analysis of Trades and Tips for Trading the Euro The test of the 1.1547 price level came at a time when the MACD indicator had risen sharply from the zero mark, limiting the pair's upside potential. For this reason, I didn't buy the euro. A second test of 1.1547 shortly after led to the implementation of Sell Scenario #2, resulting in a drop of more than 25 pips for the pair. The lack of U.S. data negatively affected the dollar, providing only slight support for the euro in the afternoon. The lack of key data prevented traders from assessing the U.S. economy, creating uncertainty. The euro, in turn, gained some momentum but quickly faded. Although the euro has its own iss…
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Bitcoin has been in freefall recently, but this popular indicator is yet to reach the same highs as the last two cycles. Is the real top still ahead for the asset? Bitcoin aSOPR Has Been Consolidating For The Last Two Years As pointed out by an analyst in a CryptoQuant Quicktake post, the Bitcoin aSOPR has been consolidating between converging trendlines for nearly two years. The Spent Output Profit Ratio (SOPR) is an indicator that tells us whether the BTC investors are selling their coins at a profit or loss. When the value of this metric is greater than 1, it means the average holder is transferring their coins at some net profit on the blockchain. On the other hand…
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Several entry points into the market were formed yesterday. Let's look at the 5-minute chart and analyze what happened. In my morning forecast, I highlighted the 1.3087 level and planned to make decisions based on it. The decline and formation of a false breakout around 1.3087 led to a buy entry for the pound, resulting in a 20-pip increase. In the afternoon, the situation around the level of 1.3087 repeated itself, leading to a recovery in the pair of more than 30 pips. To open long positions on GBP/USD: The lack of U.S. data negatively affected the dollar against the British pound. But now all eyes are on the UK's new budget, which will be presented tomorrow, so it is …
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Several suitable entry points into the market were formed yesterday. Let's look at the 5-minute chart and analyze what happened. In my morning forecast, I highlighted the 1.1529 level and planned to base my decisions on it. The rise and formation of a false breakout around 1.1529 led to a sell entry for the euro; however, the pair did not fall as anticipated. In the afternoon, active bear movements around 1.1551 and the unsuccessful consolidation above it led to solid sales, with the pair returning to the support level of 1.1522. To Open Long Positions on EUR/USD: The lack of U.S. data weighed on the dollar, providing slight support to the euro in the afternoon. This mor…
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Yesterday, Bitcoin surprised with its persistence, rising to $89,200. Ethereum also performed well, stopping just one step away from $3,000. Yesterday, the open interest in BTC showed the sharpest 30-day decline of the current cycle. The last time this occurred was during the 2022 bear market. This indicates that a serious "cleaning" of the market, which everyone has been anticipating, has partially taken place. Many investors closed losing trades after a week of declines and liquidations. Historically, all of this creates conditions for forming a bottom and the subsequent recovery of the long-term bullish trend. Although the recovery will not be instantaneous, these sig…
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