Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
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AUD/USD The Australian dollar fell back below 0.6668 yesterday. Today, the decline continues quite actively. Accordingly, the breakout with consolidation on the 16th turned out to be false, which signals the prospect of medium-term downside movement. Confirmation of this scenario will come if the price moves under the MACD line, located near the August 14 high at 0.6571. This would open the target at 0.6450. On the four-hour chart, the price has broken below the MACD support line. The Marlin oscillator is declining steeply. We expect the situation to develop further along the main bearish scenario. The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com
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Bitcoin is trading within an uptrend channel formed on the H4 chart. Yesterday, after reaching the bottom of the uptrend channel around $114,800, it resumed its bullish cycle and is now trading around $118,000. BTC is likely to continue rising in the coming days. It could reach the 6/8 Murray at $118,750 and possibly even the top of the uptrend channel around $119,400. A good area to look for short opportunities in Bitcoin could be the 6/8 Murray at $118,750 or the top of the uptrend channel. On the other hand, if Bitcoin undergoes a technical correction and consolidates above $116,000, we could expect it to extend its rise. This would be seen as a buying opportunity, wit…
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BNB price is gaining pace above the $980 zone. The price is now showing positive signs and might aim for a move above the $1,000 handle in the near term. BNB price started a fresh increase above the $950 and $975 levels. The price is now trading above $980 and the 100-hourly simple moving average. There is a key bullish trend line forming with support at $960 on the hourly chart of the BNB/USD pair (data source from Binance). The pair must stay above the $960 level to start another increase in the near term. BNB Price Hits New ATH BNB price formed a base above the $900 level and started a fresh increase, beating Ethereum and Bitcoin. There was a steady move above the $…
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ThumzUp Media, a company with ties to Donald Trump Jr., has just made a major move into crypto. The company bought 7.5 million Dogecoin, making it clear that this isn’t just a casual dabble. It’s part of a growing plan to build up a digital asset treasury, and for whatever reason, Dogecoin is now at the center of it. From Likes and Shares to Memecoins This is a company that started off in the ad tech space, helping brands get more attention through social media engagement. Now, it’s buying meme coins. That shift alone tells you something about where their focus is headed. Holding millions of DOGE suggests they’re thinking long-term, not just trying to ride a short-term w…
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The SEC just made a move that could speed up how crypto ETFs get approved in the United States. Until now, getting a spot crypto ETF listed was a long process, often dragging on for months. But with the new changes, exchanges like Nasdaq, NYSE, and Cboe can follow a standard rulebook instead of starting from scratch every time. In some cases, that could cut the wait from eight months down to about two and a half. What’s Actually Changing Before this update, each crypto ETF had to go through a double approval process. The exchange had to get clearance, and the fund manager had to go through their own review. That meant lots of back and forth, uncertainty, and long delays.…
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XRP price started a fresh increase above the $3.020 resistance. The price is now showing positive signs and might gain pace if it clears the $3.120 zone. XRP price is moving higher from the $2.980 support zone. The price is now trading above $3.020 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There was a break above a rising channel with resistance at $3.070 on the hourly chart of the XRP/USD pair (data source from Kraken). The pair could start a fresh increase if the price clears the $3.120 zone. XRP Price Attempts Fresh Increase XRP price extended losses below $3.00 before the bulls appeared, like Bitcoin and Ethereum. The price tested the $2.980 zone and recently start…
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According to on-chain alerts, FalconX pulled 413,075 SOL from major exchanges over an eight-hour stretch, valued at about $98.4 million. The tokens were moved off Binance, OKX, Coinbase and Bybit into wallets linked to the brokerage, reports have disclosed. FalconX Withdrawals Raise Eyebrows Blockchain trackers flagged the transfers as significant because they happened across multiple venues in a short window. FalconX is the largest digital asset prime brokerage, the company’s website shows. Lookonchain and other analytics firms have flagged the pattern as consistent with institutional activity, where assets are moved into custody or cold storage rather than kept on e…
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EUR/USD Following yesterday's Federal Reserve meeting, the rate was cut by the expected 0.25%. However, neither FOMC members nor Jerome Powell himself showed a hawkish stance, which is why the U.S. Dollar Index strengthened by only 0.38% — a modest reaction for such an event. The dot plot indicated the intention to cut rates two more times before year-end. In his remarks, Powell even slightly downplayed the inflationary risks stemming from Trump's tariffs, while the Fed raised its PCE forecast for next year from 2.4% y/y to 2.6% y/y. Indirectly, these steps smooth out the tension in the confrontation with Trump. We allow for a scenario in which inflation picks up again be…
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Ethereum price started a fresh increase above $4,520. ETH is now showing positive signs and might attempt to clear the $4,680 resistance. Ethereum is now recovering higher above the $4,550 zone. The price is trading above $4,580 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There was a break above a bearish trend line with resistance at $4,550 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD (data feed via Kraken). The pair could start a fresh increase if it settles above $4,640 and $4,700. Ethereum Price Eyes Steady Increase Ethereum price extended losses below $4,550 before the bulls appeared, like Bitcoin. ETH price tested the $4,415 zone and recently started a recovery wave. The price …
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Prominent analyst Cheeky Crypto (203,000 followers on YouTube) set out to verify a fast-spreading claim that XRP’s circulating supply could “vanish overnight,” and his conclusion is more nuanced than the headline suggests: nothing in the ledger disappears, but the amount of XRP that is truly liquid could be far smaller than most dashboards imply—small enough, in his view, to set the stage for an abrupt liquidity squeeze if demand spikes. XRP Supply Shock? The video opens with the host acknowledging his own skepticism—“I woke up to a rumor that XRP supply could vanish overnight. Sounds crazy, right?”—before committing to test the thesis rather than dismiss it. He frames t…
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Bitcoin price is moving higher above $116,500. BTC is now facing hurdles and might gain bullish momentum if it clears the $117,250 resistance zone. Bitcoin started a fresh increase above the $116,200 zone. The price is trading below $116,200 and the 100 hourly Simple moving average. There is a key bullish trend line forming with support at $115,500 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken). The pair might start another increase if it clears the $117,250 zone. Bitcoin Price Faces Key Hurdle Bitcoin price started a fresh upward wave above the $115,500 zone. BTC managed to climb above the $116,000 and $116,200 resistance levels. The bulls were able …
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On Wednesday, the GBP/USD pair traded relatively calmly until the evening. The evening events and subsequent movements will be analyzed later today, once the dust settles and traders digest all the information. For the pound, it may take another day, as the Bank of England's meeting is scheduled for today, which could also spark major market volatility. As a result, the pair may swing both ways for two consecutive days, movements that are unlikely to be considered systematic. In the EUR/USD review, we discussed the "three doves" within the Fed—Mirran, Bowman, and Waller. These three are ready to vote at FOMC meetings exactly as Trump demands, and while the Fed is not supp…
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On Wednesday, the EUR/USD pair traded more calmly than on Tuesday, when euro quotes were rising throughout the day in geometric progression. Of course, this applies only to the time before the Fed's meeting results and Powell's press conference. As usual, we won't review either the meeting outcome or the post-event market movements here. We continue to believe that such important events require time for thorough analysis. Moreover, markets often trade impulsively and emotionally on those days, so technical conclusions cannot be drawn from the immediate moves. Quite often, the Fed's meeting swings don't fit into the overall technical picture at all, and are better ignored …
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GBP/USD 5-Minute Analysis On Wednesday, the GBP/USD currency pair also continued its upward movement until late in the evening. The pound sterling continues to rise steadily and confidently, with all necessary factors supporting it. U.K. data published this week did not spoil the picture for the pound. The British economy is far from being in its best shape, but that's not the main factor for traders right now. At most, domestic reports could have triggered a minor local pullback, while the pound is capable of growing even without supportive data from the U.K. Yesterday, inflation was released and came exactly in line with forecasts. In August, headline CPI remained u…
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EUR/USD 5-Minute Analysis The EUR/USD currency pair maintained its upward bias throughout the day, right up until the Fed meeting. Trading showed extremely low volatility, as no one in the market wanted to take risks before the central bank's decision. The results of the meeting and all subsequent market moves will be analyzed tomorrow. For today, it's enough to note that the U.S. economy continues to weaken in the "Trump era." Recall that Donald Trump promised "explosive economic growth," but he never clarified when this explosive growth would arrive. Most likely—not anytime soon. In recent months, only activity in the services sector has remained afloat. Unemploymen…
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Changpeng “CZ” Zhao has stirred fresh talk that he may be stepping back into a bigger public role at Binance after a sudden change to his X profile and a string of developments around the exchange. Market moves and reports about talks with US law enforcement have fed the chatter, but legal limits remain a central part of the story. Profile Change Sparks Speculation Based on reports, CZ updated his X profile from “ex-@binance” back to “@binance,” a small public tweak that many traders and observers took as a hint he might reengage with the company he founded. The market reacted quickly. BNB, Binance’s native token, climbed and in some feeds was shown near $962.29 on Se…
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Ethereum (ETH) has been consolidating between $4,200 and $4,700 after setting an all-time high last August. While many investors anticipate a strong fourth quarter, Citigroup has issued a tempered outlook, projecting ETH to close the year at $4,300. According to a Reuters report, Citi attributes Ethereum’s demand to the growing adoption of tokenization and stablecoins. However, the bank cautions that much of ETH’s recent price action may be fueled by market sentiment rather than fundamentals. The note highlighted, “Current prices are above activity estimates, potentially driven by buying pressure and excitement over use-cases.” ETF Flows and Diverging Analyst Predi…
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Despite a recent bout of market volatility, Ethereum’s bullish sentiment remains strong. With ETH holding strong above key support levels, its growing institutional demand and dominance in DeFi and staking, many believe the foundation for a new all-time high is already in place. What Could Derail Ethereum’s Path To A New ATH? In an X post, crypto investor CryptoELITES pointed out that Ethereum is still on track for a new all-time high. The ETH chart is exhibiting a similar pattern to previous cycles, bouncing off a bottom trendline. If the pattern holds, it implies that Ethereum has re-entered its main growth channel, the very setup that led to explosive rallies in pri…
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Most Read: Bank of Japan (BoJ) Meeting Preview: Maintaining the Status Quo. Implications for USD/JPY USD/CAD is at a crossroads in many ways and the technicals are showing some interesting patterns. Given that both the Fed and BoC chose to cut rates today could the technicals lead the way in the weeks to come? There is a possibility that the technicals could dominate for now but moving forward I expect the pace of rate cuts to come into play as well as the performance of Oil prices, which will impact the Canadian Dollar. Technical Analysis - USD/CAD Back to the technicals though and following the trendline breakout at the end of July and rally to just above the 1.3900 …
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Cardano (ADA) is trading at $0.876 with a daily volume of $1.28 billion, but sellers remain in control after a sharp 7% decline over two days. On-chain data from Santiment shows the Network Realized Profit/Loss (NPL) metric spiking to its highest level since July, signaling that many investors are cashing out profits. This wave of profit-taking, while not a sign of structural weakness, has capped ADA’s recovery attempts. Analysts emphasize that defending the $0.87–$0.85 support range will be crucial to maintaining ADA’s broader bullish outlook. Technical Outlook: Will ADA Break or Hold? From a technical perspective, Cardano (ADA) is struggling beneath the 50-EMA at …
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Just yesterday, I wrote about Trump's demand for the European Union to impose tariffs on India and China as part of his strategy against Russia. The very framing of this issue raises countless questions, but that's how things stand in Washington. Trump, who had praised Russia for several months, clearly expected that his flattery would help stop the war in Ukraine. In practice, however, the situation turned out differently, and the White House is dissatisfied. He continues to insist that Volodymyr Zelensky and Vladimir Putin must sign a peace agreement, but more than a month has passed since the historic Trump–Putin meeting in Alaska, which was supposed to kickstart negot…
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The pound against the dollar continues testing the resistance level of 1.3650 (upper Bollinger Bands line on the D1 timeframe), despite the general strengthening of the greenback. After Tuesday's sharp drop to 95.96, the U.S. dollar index on Wednesday is attempting to recover at least partially. DXY has returned to the 96 range, and major dollar pairs adjusted accordingly, reflecting the greenback's rebound. However, GBP/USD stands apart: despite the dollar's recovery, the pound keeps pressing the 1.3650 barrier. The UK inflation report, published on Wednesday, favored GBP/USD buyers, as it confirmed persistently high inflation levels, giving the Bank of England ground…
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But aren't they guilty themselves? It turns out Scott Bessent also listed two of his houses as his primary residence. Donald Trump called such actions by Lisa Cook mortgage fraud and a reason to dismiss her from her position as FOMC governor. Should the Treasury Secretary be fired as well? The U.S. president often presents wishful thinking as fact. This also applies to his calls for the Fed to cut the federal funds rate by 50 basis points or more. According to him, the central bank should listen to someone as smart as he is. A massive sell-off of the U.S. dollar allowed EUR/USD to soar to 4-year highs. The euro has never risen so fast during the first nine months of a yea…
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Gold stepped back ahead of the Fed's verdict. Few doubt that the central bank will cut the federal funds rate by 25 basis points to 4.25%. However, the number of dissenters, signals about future monetary policy, and the dot plot forecast will be critical for XAU/USD. The precious metal had long been rising and reached record highs, but investors chose to play it safe before this key event. The best environment for gold is stagflation. It has never fallen in the 21st century during periods when U.S. inflation was rising while the Fed was cutting rates. In this regard, the acceleration of consumer prices in August to 2.9% y/y, coupled with expectations of a renewed monetary…
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Most Read: USD/JPY Technical: Yen eyeing a medium-term bullish breakout against USD from a 5-month range The Bank of Japan is broadly expected to keep its policy rate at 0.5% during its meeting on September 19, 2025. The future economic outlook remains cautious because of political uncertainty within Japan and challenges from international trade. …
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