Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
12185 tópicos neste fórum
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Kevin Hassett, head of the White House National Economic Council, has suddenly become the market’s base case for the next Fed chair – and crypto investors are already gaming out what a “Hassett Fed” would mean. According to Bloomberg-sourced reporting, Hassett has “emerged as the frontrunner” for President Donald Trump’s choice to lead the Federal Reserve, seen as the candidate most aligned with Trump’s preference for lower interest rates. Earlier disclosures showed Hassett previously served as an adviser to Coinbase and holds at least $1 million in Coinbase stock. How Will Hassett Impact The Crypto Market? For crypto allocators, that combination of macro dovishness and …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Yesterday, Bitcoin saw a significant rise, returning to the $90,000 area. This opens the door to an update of the broader resistance around $93,000. Ethereum also returned to the $3,000 mark and is now trying to consolidate at this level. The increase in risk appetite was fueled by the sustained strength of global stock indices, which also affected the cryptocurrency market. However, it's important to remember that the bearish market we observed just a week ago has not gone anywhere, and the current movement should still be viewed as a pursuit of sellers'sellers' stop losses, not as the resumption of a new bullish market. The cryptocurrency market has always been charact…
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The market woke up fast last night as Bitcoin price bounced sharply from its recent bottom that had been forming for days, pulling back above $90,000 while ETH USD finally cracked the $3,000 level again. This jump surprised almost no one. ETF flow data has been turning green for two straight days, with both BlackRock and Fidelity stepping back in. SOL and BNB followed with the same 3% gains, adding to the sense that the worst may have already passed for the crypto market. Market Cap 24h 7d 30d 1y All Time Bitcoin Price Technical Shift and Market Structure…
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On Wednesday, the EUR/USD pair experienced several suitable entry points into the market. Let's take a look at the 5-minute chart to understand what transpired. In my morning forecast, I focused on the 1.1576 level and planned to base my trading decisions on it. The drop and formation of a false breakout around 1.1576 provided a buying opportunity for the euro; however, the pair did not show significant gains. In the second half of the day, long positions based on a false breakout from 1.1560 allowed for re-entry into long positions, resulting in a rise of more than 40 pips. For Opening Long Positions on EUR/USD:The data on the decline in initial jobless claims in the U.…
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The dollar continued to lose ground yesterday—especially against the British pound—and there were sufficient reasons for it. Despite a brief impulse in the dollar after the release of data on a decline in U.S. initial jobless claims, the overall trend remains negative for the American currency. This small positivity was insufficient to compensate for the prevailing market expectations of further monetary easing by the Federal Reserve. The market continues to assess the likelihood of additional Fed rate cuts as high, which puts substantial pressure on the dollar. The publication of the UK budget was favorable for buyers of the British pound. Given the measures taken to clo…
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Bitcoin is sitting at a critical crossroads once again, hovering dangerously close to a liquidity pocket that could trigger deeper losses if bulls fail to respond. Momentum has slowed, volatility is tightening, and attention is now locked on one key level that could determine whether BTC stages a recovery or slips further into the trap below $82,000. Key Resistance at $89,000 Remains Bitcoin’s Biggest Hurdle Analyst Lennaert Snyder highlighted in a recent update that BTC is currently locked in a critical fight for the key $89,000 resistance level. He acknowledged the recent price action, noting that Bitcoin had a “nice bounce” from the support box he posted yesterday, ad…
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[US Dollar Index] Although all technical indicators show that sellers are quite dominant, indicating a potential move toward its nearest support level, today is a national holiday for Thanksgiving Day, which may lead to reduced volatility in the market, especially during the U.S. session. Key Levels 1. Resistance. 2 : 100.07 2. Resistance. 1 : 99.81 3. Pivot : 99.67 4. Support. 1 : 99.41 5. Support. 2 : 99.27 Tactical Scenario: Pressure Zone: If the price breaks down and closes below 99.41, #USDX has the potential to test 99.27. Momentum Extension Bias: If 99.27 is broken and closes below, #USDX will likely continue its decline to 99.01. Invalidatio…
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[Nasdaq 100] With the RSI positioned in the Neutral-Bullish zone and EMA(50) above EMA(200), indicating a Golden Cross, all of this suggests that dominant buyers will cause #NDX to move higher toward its nearest resistance level Today. However, with the national holiday for Thanksgiving, there is a possibility of a decrease in volatility, especially in the U.S. market session. Key Levels 1. Resistance. 2 : 25487.7 2. Resistance. 1 : 25363.0 3. Pivot : 25174.7 4. Support. 1 : 25050.0 5. Support. 2 : 24861.7 Tactical Scenario: Positive Reaction Zone: If #NDX breaks out and closes above 25363.0, it may test the level at 25487.7. Momentum Extension Bias:…
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Dogecoin started a steady increase above $0.150 against the US Dollar. DOGE is now consolidating and might correct lower to $0.1480. DOGE price started a fresh increase above $0.1450 and $0.150. The price is trading above the $0.150 level and the 100-hourly simple moving average. There is a bullish trend line forming with support at $0.1490 on the hourly chart of the DOGE/USD pair (data source from Kraken). The price could aim for a fresh increase if it remains stable above $0.1480. Dogecoin Price Holds Gains Dogecoin price started a fresh increase after it settled above $0.1420, like Bitcoin and Ethereum. DOGE climbed above the $0.150 resistance to enter a positive zo…
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According to trading records and company filings, Grayscale’s new spot Dogecoin ETF — ticker GDOG — opened quietly, pulling in just $1.4 million in trading volume on its first day on NYSE Arca. Muted Debut On NYSE Arca Reports have disclosed that the debut fell well short of some public forecasts. Bloomberg analyst Eric Balchunas had suggested the fund might see roughly $10–12 million in opening-day volume, a target that the actual figures did not meet. That gap has drawn quick commentary from traders and analysts, who say the launch exposure was smaller than expected for a high-profile first spot product. Grayscale’s paperwork shows the ETF began life with holdings o…
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Analysis of Macroeconomic Reports: There are very few macroeconomic reports scheduled for Thursday, and none of them are significant. Essentially, the entire macroeconomic background of the day boils down to a single consumer confidence index in Germany. Clearly, this report is likely to provoke at best a very minor market reaction and will not impact the broader picture. In the UK, the European Union, and the U.S., event calendars are empty today. Analysis of Fundamental Events: There are also a few fundamental events scheduled for Wednesday. In the European Union, speeches by European Central Bank representatives Cipollone, de Guindos, and Machado will take…
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Analysis of Wednesday's Trades: 1H Chart of the EUR/USD Pair The EUR/USD currency pair continued its upward movement on Wednesday, despite experiencing a decline during the day. The macroeconomic background was relatively weak. Essentially, there was only one report to highlight—durable goods orders in the U.S., which, as expected, prompted a market reaction but did not significantly affect overall markets. What did we observe? The report came out more positively than anticipated, which led to a predictable rise in the dollar. However, the trend on the hourly timeframe shifted upward a few days ago, the daily timeframe remains flat, and the global trend continues to…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Analysis of Wednesday's Trades: 1H Chart of the GBP/USD Pair The GBP/USD pair also traded higher on Wednesday, though there were few compelling reasons for the move. The only significant macroeconomic report of the day (durable goods orders in the U.S.) was positive (and prompted a rise in the dollar), while the publication of the final budget draft for 2026 in the UK cannot clearly be described as positive (though it's possible to find a silver lining in any barrel of tar). Nevertheless, by the end of the day, the British pound appreciated. We have repeatedly warned that much of the GBP/USD pair's decline over the past two months has been illogical. In other words, …
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XRP price started a steady increase above $2.20. The price is now consolidating gains and might aim for another increase if it clears $2.280. XRP price started a fresh increase above the $2.220 zone. The price is now trading above $2.20 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There is a bullish trend line forming with support at $2.180 on the hourly chart of the XRP/USD pair (data source from Kraken). The pair could continue to move up if it clears $2.280. XRP Price Holds Ground XRP price started a decent upward move above $2.10 and $2.120, beating Bitcoin and Ethereum. The price gained pace for a clear move above the $2.20 resistance. The bulls even pumped the pric…
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A cryptocurrency analyst has pointed out how XRP has bounced off the bottom level of a Parallel Channel and could be headed toward its midway line. XRP Recently Found Support At The Lower Line Of A Parallel Channel In a new post on X, analyst Ali Martinez has discussed about a technical analysis (TA) pattern forming in the 3-day price of XRP. The pattern in question is a “Parallel Channel,” appearing whenever an asset’s price consolidates between two parallel trendlines. The upper level of the channel provides resistance to the asset, making tops probable at it. Similarly, the lower line can facilitate bottom formations by acting as a source of support. A breakout of e…
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Ethereum price started a recovery wave and surged above $3,0000. ETH might continue to rise if it clears the $3,120 resistance. Ethereum started a recovery wave above $2,950 and $3,000. The price is trading above $3,000 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There is a key bullish trend line forming with support at $2,880 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD (data feed via Kraken). The pair could continue to move up if it settles above the $3,120 zone. Ethereum Price Rallies Over 5% Ethereum price managed to stay above $2,850 and started a recovery wave, like Bitcoin. ETH price was able to climb above the $2,880 and $2,950 levels. The bulls were able to push the price ab…
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As the cryptocurrency ecosystem matures and evolves, a new narrative is gaining traction that positions XRP for an upcoming institutional-driven surge that could redefine market expectations. With momentum building around XRP exchange-traded funds, one prominent analyst now believes the asset could be on the verge of a rally so large it may outperform Bitcoin’s own ETF-driven surge. Why Analysts Believe XRP Is Poised For A Larger Upside Than Bitcoin XRP is entering its ETF chapter, and the scale of what’s coming could make Bitcoin look small. Crypto analyst Xfinancebull mentioned on X that early players like Grayscale, Bitwise, Franklin, and Canary Funds are already live…
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Bitcoin price started a recovery wave above $90,000. BTC is now consolidating and might soon aim for a move above the $91,500 zone. Bitcoin started a recovery wave and climbed toward $92,000. The price is trading above $90,000 and the 100 hourly Simple moving average. There was a break above a key bearish trend line with resistance at $88,000 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken). The pair might continue to move up if it settles above the $91,500 zone. Bitcoin Price Eyes Steady Gains Bitcoin price managed to stay above the $86,500 level. BTC formed a base and recently started a recovery wave above the $88,000 resistance zone. There was a brea…
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Bitcoin has struggled below the $90,000 level since last week and is now attempting to stabilize as selling pressure continues to shape market sentiment. The sharp downturn from the recent cycle high has left bullish traders on the defensive, with confidence weakening across spot and derivatives markets. Analysts who just weeks ago projected continuation toward new all-time highs are now shifting their tone, with many calling for the beginning of a bear market. The broader market environment has amplified these concerns. Momentum has flipped downward, liquidity has thinned, and buyers have been unable to reclaim key resistance levels that would signal strength. As Bitco…
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The GBP/USD currency pair traded relatively calmly on Wednesday until the UK budget for the 2026 financial year was published. It is important to remember that the Labor Party faced a serious dilemma: "raise taxes and lose voter support" or "do not raise taxes and increase borrowing." To give a glimpse of the outcome, the Chancellor of the Exchequer, Rachel Reeves, opted for the first option. At this point, the specifics of the new budget are not yet fully known, but it is already clear that total taxes will increase by £26 billion. While this may not seem like a large amount for the entire country when broken down per capita, British farmers protested by breaking through…
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The EUR/USD currency pair traded with moderate volatility on Wednesday, but it is still well below its previous levels. Currently, the average daily movement is around 55 pips. This is not a one-off or weekly lull in the market; rather, it is the average over the past month and a half, as shown in the illustration below. The average over the last five days is 58 pips, indicating that above-average volatility is now more the exception than the rule. Yesterday, the only relatively significant event was the durable goods orders report in the U.S. We warned that this report could provoke volatility, but at the same time, we advised against expecting any lasting impact on trad…
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Analysis of GBP/USD 5M The GBP/USD currency pair rose sharply on Wednesday, though it also fell sharply during the day. Such "swings" were due to fundamental and macroeconomic backgrounds. First, a report on durable goods orders in the U.S. came out, beating expectations and strengthening the U.S. dollar. Shortly afterward, the UK's 2026 budget was announced, which could have led to another decline in the British pound, as taxes were increased contrary to the Labor Party's promises and Rachel Reeves's personal assurances. However, instead of a decline, we saw a rise. Why? Because the market had sold off the pound for two months based on questionable factors, it clearl…
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Analysis of EUR/USD 5M The EUR/USD currency pair experienced relatively good volatility for the second consecutive day on Wednesday. While we cannot say that the rise of the European currency was logical in terms of macroeconomic and fundamental factors, we have repeatedly stated that any upward movement at this moment is inherently logical, as the upward trend persists. Besides the upward trend, a flat pattern persists on the daily timeframe. Given that the price has dipped into the lower boundary (1.1400) twice in recent weeks, a reversal and purely technical growth was also plausible. Thus, yesterday's growth in the pair amid fairly decent U.S. statistics did not s…
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Ethereum (ETH) is holding firm around the $2,900 level as improving macro sentiment, renewed whale accumulation, and rising ETF inflows strengthen expectations for a short-term rebound toward $3,400. Related Reading: Capriole Founder Not Bearish On Bitcoin Despite Headwinds—Here’s Why With Federal Reserve rate-cut odds now above 80%, traders are positioning for a potential shift in risk appetite that could benefit major cryptocurrencies, especially ETH. Fed Pivot Hopes and Institutional Demand Bolster Ethereum Ethereum has traded between $2,700 and $3,300 in recent weeks, but fresh catalysts are helping the asset stabilize above $2,900. The biggest driver is macroe…
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Tether, the entity behind the world’s largest stablecoin by market capitalization, USDT, has experienced a downgrade in its rating by S&P Global. This decision, made public on Wednesday, stems from what the agency describes as “persistent gaps in disclosure” and a growing allocation of “high-risk assets” within Tether’s reserves. The assets highlighted include Bitcoin (BTC), gold, corporate bonds, secured loans, and other investments, all of which entail various risks, including credit, market, interest rate, and foreign exchange vulnerabilities. Tether CEO Responds To S&P Downgrade In a recent research note, S&P Global detailed that this upgrade came as pa…
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