Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
2423 tópicos neste fórum
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Minutes from the Fed’s June 17-18 policy meeting, released at 14:00 EDT, have done little to change the narrative surrounding future monetary policy decisions. Markets predict the Federal Reserve will maintain rates on July 30th and make its first 2025 rate cut in its September 17th decision. Fed Minutes June 17-18: Key takeaways Unanimous in vote to maintain the federal fund rate between 4.25 and 4.50%, minutes reaffirmed the Fed’s concerns on tariff-borne inflation, although acknowledged that uncertainty on the general economic outlook has “diminished but remains elevated”While predictions for a July rate cut remain essentially unchanged, the minutes she…
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Tech was in focus in today's session, particularly throughout the last few hours as NVIDIA just hit the $4 trillion market cap and Bitcoin, Ethereum rallied consequently. Sentiment still shows a few signs of hesitation, particularly with disappointing Prime Day numbers dragging Consumer defensive stocks down relative to other sectors. European stocks are to be monitored as they have had consecutive positive days above 1.50%, led by the German DAX. In terms of Commodities, softs had a decent performance led by Cocoa, Sugar and Lumber – in terms of more commonly traded commodities though, US Oil and Gold are almost completely unchanged. Read More: Trump tarif…
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Despite a risk-off opening to this week, the latest tariff delay from the Trump administration brought back some risk appetite. The Nasdaq retested its all-time highs (22,945 on its CFD) and the S&P 500 came close to it. Only the Dow Jones is once again lagging on the positive sentiment, with deeper US productivity concerns due to the tariff menace still being real for Consumer Defensive stocks. Markets are still off an ecstatic mood which is starting to show a few cracks. The real main change to this week's flows is the US Dollar starting to show some signs of rebound, up around 1 full handle from its 96.50 lows. The FOMC Minutes are released about an hour ago, w…
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In a monthly chart shared on July 8, crypto analyst Kevin (@Kev_Capital_TA) outlined a long-term bullish thesis for Dogecoin (DOGE), identifying a clear historical pattern that may signal the next major leg in its price trajectory. The focal point of the chart is the 1.618 Fibonacci extension—used as a key projection level—which Kevin implies is Dogecoin’s next major upside target. Based on the chart, this level corresponds to $3.94. History Says Dogecoin Will Hit $3.94 Dogecoin’s price action has followed a remarkably consistent macro-pattern across three major market phases. In each, DOGE formed a clear descending wedge, followed by an impulsive breakout and parabolic …
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A new analysis shows that Bitcoin (BTC) may be on the verge of a calculated price crash that could take it below $107,000 before igniting the next bullish rally. The cryptocurrency market structure currently reflects a short-term bearish correction within a broader bullish trend, supporting the likelihood of a potential surge to new all-time highs soon. Bitcoin Prepares For Final Dip Below $107,000 Crypto market expert, Tehi Thomas, in a recent TradingView post, suggested that Bitcoin’s current structure may be entering its final corrective phase. The analyst points to a potential price crash below the $107,000 level as part of a strategic play by smart money. The an…
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On Wednesday afternoon, Bitcoin (BTC) surged to a remarkable all-time high (ATH) of $112,022, breaking free from its previous consolidation phase and lower resistance levels. Bitcoin Rally Faces Critical Test John Glover, the chief investment officer at crypto lending platform Ledn and a former managing director at Barclays Investment Bank, noted that the recent rally appears to be a retest of the previous all-time high set on May 22, which encountered selling pressure. As some investors opted to take profits, notable publicly traded companies, including Trump Media & Technology Group and GameStop, have announced their intentions to purchase Bitcoin to bolster the…
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Tether Holdings SA, issuer of the world’s largest stablecoin, is said to have stockpiled $8 billion worth of gold in a secure vault in Switzerland, according to a Bloomberg report. In a statement to Bloomberg this week, the El Salvador-based crypto firm confirmed that it holds around 80 metric tons of gold, the majority of which are owned outright by the company. The amount, it adds, makes Tether “one of the largest gold holders in the world outside of banks and nation states,” comparable to that of UBS Group. Tether is the issuer of the USDT stablecoin, a cryptocurrency whose value is pegged to the USD on a near one-to-one basis. The company receives dollars in r…
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Bitcoin has been showing notable correlation to the stock equities recently, but data shows Ethereum is charting a more independent path. Bitcoin & Ethereum Showing Different Degrees Of Correlation To Other Assets In a post on X, the institutional DeFi solutions provider Sentora (previously IntoTheBlock) has talked about how the latest Correlation Matrix has looked between the two largest cryptocurrencies, Bitcoin and Ethereum, and traditional markets. The “Correlation Matrix” here refers to an indicator that tells us how closely tied together the prices of two given assets currently are. When the value of this metric is positive, it means the assets are reacting to…
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Bitcoin continues to consolidate just below its all-time high of $112K, holding firmly above key support at $105K despite repeated bearish attempts to push the price lower. This tight trading range reflects market uncertainty, yet the structure favors bulls as long as support levels remain intact. Meanwhile, macroeconomic conditions are evolving rapidly. The US Congress recently passed President Donald Trump’s “big, beautiful” economic package ahead of the self-imposed July 4 deadline, signaling a new phase of fiscal stimulus marked by tax cuts and aggressive spending. Combined with strong job reports, these factors suggest inflation may soon accelerate — a trend that h…
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Bitcoin price started a fresh increase above the $108,500 zone. BTC is now up over 3% and showing positive signs above the $110,000 level. Bitcoin started a fresh increase above the $108,500 zone. The price is trading above $110,500 and the 100 hourly Simple moving average. There was a break above a bearish trend line with resistance at $108,800 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken). The pair could continue to rise if it clears the $112,000 resistance zone. Bitcoin Price Eyes More Gains Bitcoin price started a fresh increase after it cleared the $108,500 resistance zone. BTC gained pace for a move above the $108,800 and $109,500 resistance. B…
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Ethereum price started a fresh increase above the $2,720 zone. ETH is now consolidating gains and might aim for a fresh move above $2,800. Ethereum started a fresh increase above the $2,650 level. The price is trading above $2,720 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There is a key parabolic curve forming with support at $2,750 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD (data feed via Kraken). The pair could start a fresh increase if it remains supported above the $2,720 zone in the near term. Ethereum Price Rallies Above $2,700 Ethereum price started a fresh increase above the $2,650 zone, beating Bitcoin. ETH price gained pace for a move above the $2,720 resistance zone and…
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Cardano has slipped about 1.54% in the past day, but signs are pointing toward a turn in its fortunes. Traders have spotted a rare weekly golden cross on the ADA/USD chart. That happens when a shorter moving average crosses above a longer one. It can signal that buyers are gaining the upper hand after months of sideways action. First Ever Weekly Golden Cross According to analyst Mr. Brownstone, Cardano just logged its first‑ever weekly golden cross, with the 50‑week moving average climbing above the 200‑week line. ADA is trading at $0.60, under both its 50‑day MA at $0.66 and its 200‑day MA at $0.64. That gap means bulls need more firepower to push price back above key…
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XRP price started a fresh increase above the $2.320 zone. The price is now showing positive signs and might climb above the $2.45 resistance. XRP price started a fresh increase above the $2.350 zone. The price is now trading above $2.320 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There is a key bullish trend line forming with support at $2.380 on the hourly chart of the XRP/USD pair (data source from Kraken). The pair could start another increase if it stays above the $2.350 zone. XRP Price Rallies Over 5% XRP price started a fresh increase after it settled above the $2.30 level, beating Bitcoin and Ethereum. The price was able to climb above the $2.350 resistance level…
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Bitcoin continues to hover just below its previous all-time high, consolidating around the $109,000 mark despite a modest 1.9% gain over the past day. The asset reached a 7-day high of $110,307 but has yet to reclaim the historic high of $111,814, a level set back in May. While short-term price action remains within a tight range, on-chain data reveals deeper structural developments that could shape Bitcoin’s trajectory in the weeks ahead. As attention focuses on Bitcoin’s potential for a breakout, some analysts are turning to supply dynamics for clues. One notable observation comes from CryptoQuant contributor Chairman Lee, who has identified a significant reduction in…
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Solana started a fresh increase above the $155 zone. SOL price is now consolidating gains and might struggle to rise above the $160 resistance. SOL price started a fresh upward move above the $150 and $155 levels against the US Dollar. The price is now trading above $152 and the 100-hourly simple moving average. There is a key bullish trend line forming with support at $155 on the hourly chart of the SOL/USD pair (data source from Kraken). The pair could start a fresh increase if it clears the $160 resistance zone. Solana Price Aims Higher Solana price started a decent increase after it cleared the $152 resistance, like Bitcoin and Ethereum. SOL climbed above the $155 …
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The US national debt recently hit a new all-time high (ATH), surging above $36.5 trillion and putting significant pressure on the US Dollar Index (DXY). As the DXY struggles under the weight of mounting debt, crypto analysts believe capital may soon shift to risk-on assets like Bitcoin (BTC). DXY Breakdown Suggests Bitcoin Rally According to a recent CryptoQuant Quicktake post by contributor Darkfost, the DXY has dropped to a historically weak level, currently trading 6.5 points below its 200-day moving average (MA) – the largest deviation in the past 21 years. For the uninitiated, the DXY measures the value of the US dollar relative to a basket of six major foreign cu…
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The US stock market appeared unfazed by renewed tariff headlines on Wednesday, 9 July. Major indices broke out from a two-day consolidation, led by a 2.8% surge in artificial intelligence giant Nvidia. The company made history as the first to reach a US$4 trillion market valuation. The Nasdaq 100 rose 0.7%, the S&P 500 gained 0.6%, and the Dow Jones Industrial Average trailed with a 0.5% advance. Despite the gains, all three indices stalled at key short-term resistance levels: S&P 500 at 6,290, Nasdaq 100 at 22,920, and Dow Jones Industrial Average at 44,560. close …
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Bitcoin’s price movement remains in focus as it continues to consolidate just below its previous all-time high. Despite a brief surge that brought it within range of its $111,000 peak, the asset has struggled to establish a breakout. As of the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading around $108,927, representing a 0.2% increase over the past 24 hours. The persistence of this consolidation phase comes amid growing market discussions around spot and derivatives behavior. Binance Spot-Perpetual Delta Reflects Cautious Leverage One of the more notable on-chain observations comes from CryptoQuant contributor BorisVest, who analyzed the prolonged negative delta between spot and …
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Greece has entered new territory in crypto enforcement. For the first time, authorities in the country have seized digital assets linked to a cybercrime case. The move follows a phishing attack that drained funds from a local user’s Bybit account and signals a growing ability to handle crypto-related crimes through the legal system. Background: What Happened with Bybit The case began when a Greek citizen lost more than $150,000 worth of crypto in a phishing scam targeting users of the Bybit exchange. The attacker tricked the victim into revealing login credentials, then quickly transferred the assets out and tried to bury the trail using a series of wallet hops. Source:…
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If you thought wrapping a traditional asset in a blockchain token would sidestep securities laws, think again. David Hirsch, who leads the SEC’s Crypto Assets and Cyber Unit, made it very clear during a recent talk at Yale: tokenization does not change what the asset is at its core. He was talking about the growing trend of turning real-world assets like stocks or bonds into digital tokens on a blockchain. The idea sounds modern, even forward-thinking, but from the SEC’s perspective, it’s still the same product. Hirsch’s message was blunt. A security is a security, no matter how you package it. Tokenization Doesn’t Equal Exemption The crypto industry has embraced tokeni…
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XRP has been one of the most-watched altcoins recently, with multiple developments emerging for its parent company, Ripple. However, while Ripple has seen a lot of positives, XRP has continued to struggle when it comes to price. Amid the selling, bulls have put up an impressive fight to hold the support above $2.2 for the time being. This has led to the formation of a new inverse head and shoulders pattern that could signal a reversal is coming. Analyst Highlights Bullish Formation For XRP Price Crypto analyst TheSignalyst, in a new analysis, showed that the XRP price has begun another bullish formation. This time around, it is the Inverse Head and Shoulders pattern that…
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Most Read: S&P 500, Dow Jones Q3 Outlook: Tariffs, Tech, and Small Cap Concerns U.S. stock futures and the dollar slipped after President Donald Trump escalated trade tensions by announcing a 50% tariff on copper and sending new letters to raise tariffs on other countries. Asian Market Wrap S&P 500 futures dropped 0.3%, and the dollar slipped 0.1% on Thursday. Treasuries and Asian stocks stayed steady, while Bitcoin held near its record high from Wednesday around the $112k mark. close …
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Overview: The continued release of US tariff announcements shapes the near-term considerations. Of the surprises, the 50% tariff on Brazil (10% on April's "Liberation Day") is among the most egregious. The US has a trade surplus with it and the letter made clear a personal animosity over the treatment of former President Bolsonaro. After having achieved retracement targets of the slide since the June 23 tirade against the Fed Chair Powell, the dollar has softer against most currencies today. Among the G10, the Swiss franc is the only one to be struggling to achieve traction. The Polish zloty, Turkish lira, and Taiwanese dollar are showing small losses. The Mexican peso is…
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The euro continues to have a quiet week and is drifting for a third consecutive day. In the European session, EUR/USD is trading at 1.1730, up 0.09% on the day. German inflation dips to 2% as food, energy prices fall German inflation rose 2.0% y/y in June, in line with the consensus and a drop lower than the 2.1% gain recorded in the past two months. The drop in CPI was driven by declines in energy and food prices. However, service prices remain high and continue to fuel inflation. Monthly, inflation was flat, in line with the consensus and a touch lower than the 0.1% gain in May. Opinions are the authors'; not necessarily that of…
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In a livestream broadcast on X, independent market technician Kevin, known online as @Kev_Capital_TA, argued that crypto markets are only now entering what he called “the real bull run,” pointing to a confluence of technical signals, macroeconomic data and inter-market correlations that he believes have not been fully appreciated by traders. The Real Bull Run Starts Here Kevin placed particular emphasis on the behavior of Tether dominance (USDT.D), the share of crypto market capitalization held in the dollar-pegged stablecoin. The analyst displayed two long-term logarithmic USDT.D charts, each showing an initial sharp decline followed by what he described as a “rising ch…
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