Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
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The pound and the euro worked perfectly today through the Mean Reversion strategy. I tried trading the yen using Momentum, but the outcome was not great. Today's calm in the Eurozone economic calendar allowed the euro to take a breather after recent turbulence. The absence of fresh data that could shake traders' confidence played into the hands of those who see further growth potential in the single currency. Yesterday's Fed decision, which confirmed its commitment to a dovish monetary policy, continues to support risk assets, including the euro. In the second half of the day, we expect figures on U.S. initial jobless claims, the Philadelphia Fed manufacturing index, and …
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Anglo American (LON: AAL) will shed more than 200 jobs from its Queensland coal division as weak prices and high state royalties hit profits. The company confirmed the cuts would fall across its Brisbane office and mine sites, with many roles to go through voluntary redundancies. Production will not be affected, it said. Workers at the Grosvenor underground mine near Moranbah, which has remained shut since a fire in June 2024, are among those offered redundancies. The Australian Financial Review reported that close to 300 roles would be eliminated, with Grosvenor the main focus. Anglo, the world’s third-largest seaborne exporter of steelmaking coal, said the d…
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On Wednesday, the EUR/USD pair rebounded from the 127.2% corrective level at 1.1896, reversed in favor of the U.S. dollar, and fell into the support zone of 1.1789–1.1802. At the moment, it can be said that traders have fully priced in the Fed meeting and Powell's speech, so today and tomorrow we can expect more logical movements. Looking slightly ahead, I believe that the U.S. dollar's growth was not natural. A rebound from the 1.1789–1.1802 level would favor the euro and a return to growth toward 1.1896. A close below this zone would allow for a continuation of the decline toward the next corrective level of 76.4% at 1.1695. The wave structure on the hourly chart rema…
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The New Zealand dollar has posted sharp losses on Thursday. In the European session, NZD/USD is trading at 0.5904, down 0.97%. New Zealand's GDP slides by 0.97% New Zealand's economy took a tumble in the second quarter, declining 0.9% q/q. This was a sharp downturn from the Q1 gain of 0.9% and below the market estimate of -0.3%. The economy has contracted in three of the last five quarters. Annually, GDP declined 0.6%, unchanged from the first quarter and well below the market estimate of 0%. The New Zealand dollar is down 1% on the soft GDP reading. The GDP report showed broad weakness across the economy as construction and manufacturing posted declines and services were…
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On the hourly chart, the GBP/USD pair on Wednesday rose to the 127.2% Fibonacci level at 1.3708, rebounded from it, and reversed in favor of the U.S. dollar, falling into the support zone of 1.3587–1.3620. Today, consolidation below this zone would allow for a continued decline toward the 76.4% corrective level at 1.3482. A rebound from the zone would work in favor of the pound and a return to growth toward 1.3708. The wave structure remains "bullish." The last completed downward wave did not break the previous low, while the last upward wave easily broke the previous peak. The news background does not allow bears to go on the offensive. The market expects strong monetar…
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The BNB crypto price has officially blasted past the $1,000 mark, flipping Solana and sparking excitement memecoin scene on BSC. This milestone is backed by hard data. As of today, the BNB crypto price sits near $1,015, while Bitcoin holds firm at $116K following the Fed’s 25bps rate cut. Combined with a 148% daily surge in BSC-based crypto memecoin volumes, this feels like the early stirrings of a serious market rotation. Make no mistake, BNB crypto price rally is a signal. BNB’s current $138B market cap has now edged out Solana’s $134B, according to CoinGecko, reclaiming its #5 spot. (source – CoinGecko) While both chains face critiques around decentralization, BS…
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Ethereum is approaching a decisive phase that could carry it into five-figure territory, according to a multi-timeframe analysis from trader Cantonese Cat (@Cantonmeow). Ethereum Ready To Smash All-Time Highs In a video published today, the analyst argues that ETH has cleared a cluster of late-cycle resistances and is now exhibiting a confluence of technical signals—on monthly, weekly, daily, and intraday charts—that “favor some of the higher targets to be met, maybe 1.272, 1.414, 1.618, anywhere around potentially five figures.” These Fib levels would put ETH at $7,752, $9,883 and $14,011 respectively. On the monthly chart, the analyst centers his case on the log-scal…
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Trend analysis (Fig. 1). On Thursday, from the 1.3622 level (yesterday's daily candle close), the market may continue moving downward toward the target of 1.3548 – upper fractal (red dotted line). From this level, the price may rebound upward toward 1.3583 – the 8 EMA (thin blue line). Fig. 1 (daily chart). Comprehensive analysis: Indicator analysis – downward;Fibonacci levels – downward;Volumes – downward;Candlestick analysis – downward;Trend analysis – downward;Bollinger Bands – downward;Weekly chart – downward.General conclusion: bearish trend. Alternative scenario: from the 1.3622 level (yesterday's daily candle close), the price may start moving downward toward 1.…
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The first Korean Won-backed stablecoin has been launched! BDACS (Busan Digital Asset Custody Services) has become the first South Korean custodian to launch the stablecoin on the Avalanche blockchain. Woori Bank has backed the newly launched stablecoin, dubbed KRW1. According to BDACS’s press release dated 18 September 2025, Korean Won deposits back the KRW1 stablecoin 1:1. Per the press release, BDACS confirmed that it completed a full proof of concept for the KRW1 stablecoin, validating its technical viability. Particularly, the firm mentioned Avalanche’s reliability and security as key reasons for choosing the network. “Every KRW1 is backed 1:1 with won held in escr…
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US stock indices closed mixed at the end of yesterday's session. The S&P 500 fell by 0.10%, while the Nasdaq 100 declined by 0.43%. The Dow Jones Industrial Average, however, gained 0.57%. Futures on US and European stock indices are rising, indicating a recovery in confidence following the Federal Reserve's decision to cut interest rates. Although questions regarding the pace of future policy easing remain unresolved. The S&P 500 futures advanced by 0.4%, and the Nasdaq 100 futures climbed by 0.6%, after the underlying indices edged lower post-Fed announcement. Treasury bonds partially recovered their losses, and the dollar strengthened for a second consecutive…
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Trend analysis (Fig. 1). On Thursday, from the 1.1812 level (yesterday's daily candle close), the market may continue moving downward toward the target of 1.1762 – the 85.4% pullback level (red dotted line). Upon testing this level, the price may rebound upward toward 1.1779 – the upper fractal (red dotted line). Fig. 1 (daily chart). Comprehensive analysis: Indicator analysis – downward;Fibonacci levels – downward;Volumes – downward;Candlestick analysis – downward;Trend analysis – downward;Bollinger Bands – downward;Weekly chart – downward.General conclusion: bearish trend. Alternative scenario: on Thursday, from the 1.1812 level (yesterday's daily candle close), the …
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Binance has reached a historic milestone after its native token, BNB, broke past the $1,000 mark for the first time. The achievement comes on the heels of the Federal Reserve’s decision to cut interest rates by 25bps, a move widely seen as supportive for risk assets. The broader crypto market quickly responded, entering what many analysts describe as a new, more constructive phase with optimism for the weeks ahead. The milestone carries symbolic weight, marking BNB’s transformation from a utility token to one of the most valuable assets in the digital economy. The surge reinforces Binance’s dominance as the largest exchange by trading volume, while highlighting the plat…
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Over the years, different trends have emerged for the Bitcoin price depending on how the month ends, either in the green or in the red. September has been historically bearish, but the few times that the month has ended in the green, there have been bullish implications for the cryptocurrency. As this month is already shaping up to end in the green, this report takes a look at what has happened in previous years when the month of September has been green. Expect Bullishness From Bitcoin Price If September Closes Green In an X post, crypto analyst Rekt Fencer highlighted an interesting trend in the Bitcoin price when the month of September has been favorable. This trend h…
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The US Federal Reserve cut the key interest rate by 0.25 points, with the change coming into effect at 2 PM ET. U.S. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell gave a press conference on the same day, hinting the cut is a risk management move. He went on to say that ‘[…] a quarter point won’t make a huge difference to the economy,’ but that further cuts were inevitable. Bitcoin reacted with a slight dip to $116.2K, reflecting traders’ caution despite the cut going into effect. Overall, Bitcoin has been trading sideways, still trying to find support above $117K. With investors waiting for clearer signals from the Fed, Powell’s comments, although measured, create a possible bul…
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Looking at the crypto market today, there’s a real excitement around the FOMC rate cut, the 25 basis points that becomes news headlines everywhere in a mostly positive way as BTC is dancing around 117K USD, ETH is just above 4.5K USD, creeping up about 0.7% in the last day, while XRP is trading close to 3.07, enjoying a 1.6% gain against. If history is any guide, similar rate cuts usually spark 20–30% gains for high-risk assets over the next few weeks. So yes, there’s cause to be mildly excited. bitcoinPriceMarket CapBTC$2.34T24h7d1y Altcoins are getting attention now that the easing has landed. Data from TradingView shows total crypto market cap rising, suggesting some…
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We introduce you to the daily updated section of Forex analytics where you will find reviews from forex experts, up-to-date monitoring of financial information as well as online forecasts of exchange rates of the US dollar, euro, ruble, bitcoin, and other currencies for today, tomorrow and this trading week.Useful links: My other articles are available in this section InstaForex course for beginners Popular Analytics Open trading account Important: The begginers in forex trading need to be very careful when making decisions about entering the market. Before the release of important reports, it is best to stay out of the market to avoid being caught in sharp market fluctu…
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As the overall market continues to move sideways, Bitcoin (BTC) is attempting to reclaim its local range highs as support. After short-term volatility, fueled by the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) rate cut, the cryptocurrency could be poised to close the month on a positive note. Bitcoin Nears Multi-Month Bullish Run On Wednesday, Bitcoin retested the $117,000 resistance for the first time in nearly a month before being rejected. The cryptocurrency has been hovering between the $107,000-$116,000 levels since late August, falling to the local lows at the start of September. Amid the retracement, investors expected to see another “Rektember,” as it has historically been one of …
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The outcome of the Fed meeting was, as expected, a 0.25% rate cut. But, as I noted in the previous article, all the attention was on the central bank's published forecasts for key macroeconomic indicators through the end of this year and the next two years. It was precisely the forecasts, not the fact of the rate cut — which had already been priced into asset values — that gave significant support to the main beneficiary of this theme, which has been dominating the markets in recent weeks. First, let's look at the forecasts. The main point is that the Fed projects further rate cuts amid consumer inflation stabilizing around 3%. At the press conference, Chair Jerome Powell…
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Asia Market Wrap - Choppy Trade as Markets Digest Fed Decision Most Read: USD/CAD Outlook: Head and Shoulder Pattern in Play as Fundamentals Provide Interesting Dilemma Global stock markets were unstable on Thursday after the US Federal Reserve announced its first interest rate cut of the year. Investors were left uncertain about the speed of future rate cuts because the Fed suggested it would take a cautious, step-by-step approach to further easing. Contracts for the S&P 500 advanced 0.5% while those for the Nasdaq 100 gained 0.7%, after the underlying benchmarks posted minor declines following the Fed’s decision. In Asia, a broad index of shares, the MSCI Asia-Pa…
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US-based crypto exchange Coinbase has made a significant appeal to the Department of Justice (DOJ) regarding a wave of lawsuits aimed at its operations. The company is urging federal action to address what it describes as an “increasingly fragmented and hostile” regulatory landscape for the crypto market. Coinbase Urges Federal Action In a recent letter, Coinbase highlighted the steps taken by the current Administration to create a more equitable framework for digital asset regulation. This includes the introduction of stablecoin legislation and two pending bipartisan market-structure bills aimed at fostering uniformity in the oversight of cryptocurrencies. Coinbase a…
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In a situation of two-sided risks, there is no risk-free path. Treat the rate cut as a reduction in risk management. How should risky assets have reacted to Jerome Powell's rhetoric? Correct — with a roller coaster ride! Stocks initially surged, then plunged, but by the close of the trading session managed to recover their lost positions. The "bulls" lined up to buy the dip in the S&P 500 and were rewarded. After a nine-month pause, the Fed resumed its cycle of monetary easing. Markets expected this, but the fact that the FOMC forecasts pointed to two more federal funds rate cuts by the end of the year became a rally catalyst. Then came the classic "sell the fact afte…
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During the Asian session, Bitcoin stopped just one step away from the 118,000 mark, although only yesterday, after the Federal Reserve's rate decision, BTC had updated the level of 114,800. Several factors drive this sharp rally: the continued inflow of institutional investors, rising interest from retail traders, and the Fed's ongoing monetary easing. Institutional players, who had previously shown caution, are likely to keep building positions in Bitcoin now that the Fed has confirmed its dovish stance, viewing BTC as a hedge against inflation and instability in traditional financial markets. Before the Fed's decision, the average daily BTC purchases by public companie…
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The U.S. dollar initially lost ground against risk assets but quickly regained its position after Fed Chair Jerome Powell's speech. Yesterday, the Federal Reserve cut interest rates by a quarter point. At first, the euro and the pound reacted with gains, but without clear hints from Powell on further aggressive rate cuts this year, the dollar sharply rebounded. The market had expected a stronger signal confirming the Fed's readiness to ease monetary policy. The lack of firm commitments disappointed traders who had counted on more aggressive measures to stimulate the economy. Uncertainty about the Fed's next steps pushed investors toward the dollar, traditionally seen as a…
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Trade Review and Advice on Trading the Japanese YenThe test of 146.17 occurred when the MACD indicator had just started moving downward from the zero line, confirming the correct entry point for selling the dollar. As a result, the pair fell by more than 40 pips. Yesterday's Fed decision to cut rates led to a temporary strengthening of the yen, but then demand for the dollar returned. The initial market reaction to the Fed's rate cut was predictable: the yen, traditionally seen as a safe-haven asset, strengthened. The key factor behind the subsequent reversal was the absence of clear signals from the Fed regarding future monetary policy. Traders hoping for stronger statem…
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Trade Review and Advice on Trading the British PoundThe test of 1.3660 occurred when the MACD indicator had already moved far above the zero line, which limited the pair's upside potential. For this reason, I did not buy the pound. The Fed's decision to cut rates initially strengthened the pound, but demand for the dollar quickly returned. The market had expected more decisive action from the regulator, possibly clearer signals of further rate cuts in the near future. The absence of such guidance triggered a reassessment of risks and a return to more conservative strategies. The dollar, as a traditional safe-haven asset, once again drew investor interest amid concerns abo…
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