Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
6896 tópicos neste fórum
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The Canadian dollar has posted small gains on Wednesday. In the North American session, USD/CAD is trading at 1.3762, up 0.17% on the day. BoC reduces rates to 2.5% There were no surprises from the Bank of Canada, which lowered its policy rate by a quarter-point to 2.5%, its lowest level since July 2022. This was the first time the Bank of Canada lowered rates since March, as it was forced to respond to signs of weakness in the economy and lower inflation. The rate statement said that a rate cut was justified, given that the economy had weakened and there was less upside risk to inflation. The US tariffs were expected to have a further dampening effect on economic act…
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Bitcoin is trading above the $115K level as the market enters a decisive week, with attention squarely on tomorrow’s Federal Reserve meeting. Investors prepare for potential policy changes, as they expect the Fed to announce its decision on interest rates—an outcome that could set the tone for global markets in the coming months. Top analyst Axel Adler explains that Bitcoin’s price action reflects cautious optimism. Ahead of the FOMC meeting, BTC is locked in a narrow corridor of $114.6K–$117.1K, with its high/low levels gradually shifting upward. Adler points out that this structure suggests a constructive trend, indicating that buyers are slowly gaining the upper hand…
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The main event of the week — and of today — is the Federal Reserve's policy meeting. As market participants brace for the interest rate decision (scheduled for 18:00 GMT), the dollar is undergoing a correction, with the USDX index rebounding from its two-month low recorded on Tuesday near the 96.55 mark. The dollar is seeing a slight recovery — its sellers appear to be locking in some profits ahead of the key Fed announcement. However, today's Fed decision may shape the future trajectory not only of the US dollar but also of risk assets, including Bitcoin and other digital currencies. The BTC/USD pair, after reaching a four-week high near 117,320.00 in early Europe…
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The Director of Brazil’s National Mining Agency (Agência Nacional de Mineração), Caio Seabra Filho, was arrested on Wednesday as part of a wide-ranging federal operation targeting corruption, environmental crimes, and illegal mining activity in the mineral-rich state of Minas Gerais. Launched by the Federal Police in partnership with the Federal Prosecution Service, the Comptroller General’s Office (CGU), and Brazil’s Internal Revenue Service, the investigation revealed a complex criminal network accused of fraudulently securing environmental and mining licenses. These licenses enabled illegal iron ore extraction in areas protected under federal environmental and…
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Lithium Ionic (TSXV: LTH) said a definitive feasibility study for its Bandeira project in eastern Brazil shows higher returns, lower capital costs and a longer mine life than prior calculations. Thanks to increased reserves and an optimized mine design, Bandeira is now projected to deliver a post-tax net present value of $1.45 billion instead of the $1.31 billion estimated by a May 2024 study, Lithium Ionic said Wednesday in a statement. The project’s internal rate of return climbs to 61% from 40% while the payback period shrinks to 2.2 years from 3.4 years. News of the improved economics comes about four months after Lithium Ionic lifted the project’s contained r…
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Ivanhoe Mines (TSX: IVN) has agreed to a $500 million investment from Qatar that gives its sovereign wealth fund 4% of the Canadian copper miner founded by billionaire Robert Friedland. Ivanhoe Mines plans to issue 57.5 million common shares to the Qatar Investment Authority (QIA) through a private placement at a price of C$12 per share, according to the deal announced on Wednesday. Shares in Ivanhoe were flat at C$13.19 apiece in Toronto on Wednesday morning — about 9% more than the placement offer — valuing the company at C$17.8 billion. The investment “is a powerful endorsement of Ivanhoe Mines’ vision to be a leading supplier of critical metals that will drive…
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Deutsche Bank has raised its 2026 gold price forecast to $4,000 per ounce, citing continued central bank demand, especially from China, a falling US dollar, and rising uncertainty over Fed independence. In a note to clients, analysts led by Michael Hsueh said that the recent surge in gold still has “further headroom to run,” revising their previous forecast of $3,700 to a more bullish $4,000 per troy ounce on average for 2026. The team pointed to macroeconomic volatility and political developments in the US, highlighting uncertainty created by changes in the composition of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) and growing challenges to the Federal Reserve’s in…
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Bitcoin’s price action has managed to break above $115,000 after spending the majority of the past two weeks trading below this level. Bitcoin is now holding firm above $114,000, and the leading cryptocurrency has regained momentum over the past week that shows signs of renewed bullish strength. According to technical analysis, a hidden bullish divergence is forming with the recent price action this week, and this could be the setup that pushes Bitcoin to new price highs. Bitcoin Revealing Hidden Bullish Divergence Technical analysis of Bitcoin’s weekly candlestick timeframe chart, which was posted on the social media platform X by crypto analyst CrypFlow, shows that B…
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It isn't typical to see as much FX volatility ahead of such a key FOMC. Currency Markets had been particularly slow throughout August after some post-NFP correction in the US Dollar – Despite having reasons to sell the USD further, particularly after Powell's dovish speech at Jackson Hole, end-summer slow trading largely contained volatility for fiat majors. To catch up with the volatility seen in Equities (which kept flying higher throughout that entire period), the US Dollar took a two-day downward train to start this week. The greenback saw close to 1% moves in Monday and yesterday's consecutive sessions against European currencies particularly – The widest range thro…
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Riding on the coattails of dollar weakness and safe-haven demand for much of 2025, USD/CHF currently trades at monthly lows of 0.78698, down -1.10% in yesterday’s session aloneDespite renewed deflationary pressures, as seen in Monday's PPI report, safe-haven flows concerning U.S. policy, especially regarding trade, continue to benefit CHF pricingWhile the SNB has been expected to return to its usual playbook of currency interventions to weaken the franc, recent market realisations suggest that new leadership is less interested in ‘interventionist’ policy Currently on pace for its best yearly performance in over two decades, 2025 has been an interesting year for dollar-…
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Ahead of the highly anticipated FOMC meeting later today, the total crypto market cap is up a decent 0.5% to over $4.1T. The Bitcoin price is steady above $116,000, and traders are generally upbeat, expecting BTC USD to explode above $118,000 and towards all-time highs set in mid-August. While confidence is high, the pace at which the Bitcoin price will tick higher largely depends on macro factors. This time around, eyes are on Jerome Powell and the FOMC. Besides the rate cut decision, their comments on the economy and monetary policy in the coming months before the end of the year will have a huge bearing on capital inflows, not only to Bitcoin crypto but also to other …
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Arthur Hayes believes the macro domino that sends Bitcoin to $1 million has just tipped. In a post on X late Monday, the BitMEX co-founder argued that the US Federal Reserve is preparing markets for “yield curve control” (YCC) under what he called a “third mandate,” pointing to the confirmation of economist Stephen Miran to the Fed’s Board of Governors and a fresh Bloomberg report raising the same specter. “With Fed board member Miran now confirmed, the MSM is preparing the world for the Fed’s ‘third mandate’ which is essentially yield curve control. LFG! YCC -> $BTC = $1m,” Hayes wrote. His comment came hours after Bloomberg published “Fed ‘Third Mandate’ Forces Bond…
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There’s a new worry for the crypto market. Companies that hold huge amounts of digital assets on their balance sheets are struggling, and their declining values are putting about 4% of all circulating Bitcoin at risk. While the digital asset treasuries (DATs) are feeling the squeeze, Ethereum-focused ones seem to be holding up just fine. Some of the best altcoins to buy, like Best Wallet Token ($BEST), prove why, as they offer you more bang for your buck. Why Ethereum Holds the Advantage These DATs are basically public companies that have bet big on crypto, and their health is a key driver of demand. The main issue is a sharp drop in their market net asset values, or m…
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Pump.fun, one of the popular launchpads on Solana, has been making headlines with its $PUMP token surging 77% over the past week. In July, the project initiated a buyback program and put its profits back into $PUMP, rewarding diamond hands with a price increase in the process. Despite $PUMP dipping since its $0.012 ATH in early July, Pump.fun’s recent marketing efforts and creator rewards have helped push the token to a $0.0087 peak, sparking talks of a full recovery and a potential rally. This uptick reflects strong community support and highlights just how popular Pump.fun’s creator initiative is right now. Through this program, Pump.fun aims to reward meme coin crea…
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Potential deep drop in the S&P 500 after the Fed's announcement Analysts forecast that the S&P 500 index could face a significant decline following the Federal Reserve's upcoming decision on interest rates. The index is expected to potentially drop into the 5916–5973 range, posing risks not only of a short-term correction but also of a long-term recession for the U.S. economy. Investors are seriously concerned about the possibility of slower economic growth if the Fed opts for a more hawkish stance. The market remains cautious as it awaits the outcome of the meeting. [More at the link.] US stock indices close lower amid Fed rate decision anticipation Yesterday, m…
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Ecuador’s President Daniel Noboa has cast doubt on the future of DPM Metals (TSX: DPM) Loma Larga gold project, handing responsibility for its approval or rejection to authorities in the southern province of Azuay. The move follows a request from provincial leaders last week that Environment Minister María Luisa Cruz revoke the environmental permit granted to Dundee in June. On Tuesday, residents marched through Cuenca, the provincial capital, protesting the $419-million project. Demonstrators in the “March for Water” argued the mine would threaten the region’s water supply. Experts counter that while the concession lies within the El Cajas Massif Biosphere Reserv…
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Sui Crypto is about to have a major breakout in Q4. The L1 blockchain created by former Facebook devs has been thrust into the spotlight with Google’s launch of the Agentic Payments Protocol (AP2), a framework built for AI-driven payments. Backed by PayPal, Salesforce, and dozens of others, AP2 aims to let autonomous agents manage direct purchases and recurring transactions with little to no human input. According to analyst MartyParty, AP2 “creates a traceable audit trail, making automated purchases safer,” while setting the stage for broader Web3 applications in subscriptions and digital content monetization. Here’s what else you need to know about Sui crypto heading …
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Solana has been in the spotlight after delivering a powerful rally, surging more than 50% since August and climbing to the $248 level. This move has reaffirmed bullish sentiment across the market, with momentum continuing to build around one of the leading altcoins. Analysts are now calling for the possibility of a massive surge in the coming weeks, pointing to both technical strength and increasing institutional participation as key drivers. Bulls appear firmly in control as Solana consolidates its gains at higher levels, showing resilience even in the face of broader market volatility. Unlike past rallies driven mainly by retail speculation, this surge is being accomp…
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Today, the pound and the Australian dollar were traded using the Mean Reversion strategy. I tried to trade the yen through Momentum, but the result was mediocre. The released data showing a decline in the Consumer Price Index in the eurozone put pressure on the euro. However, falling inflation is not an unconditional signal for policy easing. Observers note that the slowdown in consumer price growth may be driven not only by the ECB's effective measures but also by weaker economic growth in the region and external factors such as lower energy prices. In this context, a premature rate cut could lead to undesirable consequences, something some ECB representatives have recen…
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Trade review and tips for trading the Japanese yen The price test of 146.62 in the first half of the day occurred when the MACD indicator had already moved far above the zero mark, which limited the pair's upward potential. The second test of 146.62, when the MACD was in the overbought area, led to the execution of sell scenario #2 and a 30-point drop in the yen. In the second half of the day, everything depends on the FOMC. The key interest rate will be announced, the committee's economic review will be published, and then Jerome Powell's press conference will take place. The recent unstable economic situation in the country makes the FOMC's decision a powerful factor ca…
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Trade review and tips for trading the British pound The price test of 1.3631 occurred when the MACD indicator had already moved far below the zero mark, which limited the pound's downward potential. In the first half of the day, inflation data was released in the UK. The market showed no reaction. The pound sterling continued to trade within a narrow sideways channel. It will likely remain there until the Fed's decision. In the second half of the day, the FOMC decision on the key interest rate, FOMC economic projections, and Jerome Powell's press conference are expected. Markets are frozen in anticipation. Investors and analysts around the world are preparing for the mome…
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Trade review and tips for trading the euro The price test of 1.1845 occurred when the MACD indicator had already moved far below the zero mark, which limited the downward potential of the pair. For this reason, I did not sell the euro. Weak inflation data in the euro area, which fell to the target of 2.0%, is holding back EUR/USD growth, as it gives the European Central Bank the freedom to cut rates promptly if necessary. For this reason, the ECB will most likely approach decision-making with caution, carefully assessing all possible risks. In the current economic situation, the most probable scenario is maintaining the existing policy, providing room for maneuver dependi…
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BHP (ASX, NYSE: BHP) and Lundin Mining’s (TSX: LUN) joint venture in Argentina is investing more than $400 million near the Chilean border, aiming to develop a multibillion-dollar copper project that could become the country’s next major production hub. The venture, Vicuña Corp, was created in January after the partners acquired Filo Corp. It controls both the Filo del Sol deposit in straddling the border Argentina-Chile and the Josemaría deposit in Argentina’s San Juan province. Since the acquisition, Vicuña has carried out tests and pre-construction work at Josemaría, with plans to seek approvals and begin production in 2030. The company also extended the mine’…
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This is a follow-up analysis and a timely update of our prior publication, “USD/JPY Technical: Mild JPY strength detected ahead of US CPI”, published on 11 September 2025. In the last four weeks, the US dollar has weakened significantly against several major currencies, such as the euro, which rallied to a 4-year peak against the greenback on Tuesday, 16 September, but the bearish momentum of the US dollar has lagged against the Japanese yen (see Fig. 1). …
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It is September, and it is the month when the crypto market usually flips the script. This September, memecoins are front and center, and Toshi crypto is leading the memecoin space. While the crypto sentiment shifts bullish following the Fed’s rate cut odds, retail money is pouring into Solana memecoin crypto plays like PENGU and Toshi, which just posted a massive 49% daily pump. (source – CME watch) Currently trading around $0.00088 with a market cap north of $366 million, Toshi crypto is crushing rivals like BRETT, while boosting confidence across the Solana memecoin sector. With daily volume on Toshi spiking past $363 million, fueled by a Korean Upbit listing, an…
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