Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
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The liquidity engine that has supported risk assets, including Bitcoin, since the beginning of 2025 is now shifting into reverse. According to macro analyst Tomas (@TomasOnMarkets), the six-month upswing in Federal Reserve liquidity has ended, and a potentially destabilizing wave of debt issuance by the US Treasury is about to begin. In a post published on X late Sunday, Tomas warned: “ Federal Reserve Liquidity set to fall… The Fed liquidity upswing that began on January 1 2025 is now over.” Bitcoin Enters Danger Zone The catalyst behind this reversal is the recent $5 trillion debt ceiling increase passed by Congress last week. That legislative decision gives the Treasu…
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In a monthly chart shared on July 8, crypto analyst Kevin (@Kev_Capital_TA) outlined a long-term bullish thesis for Dogecoin (DOGE), identifying a clear historical pattern that may signal the next major leg in its price trajectory. The focal point of the chart is the 1.618 Fibonacci extension—used as a key projection level—which Kevin implies is Dogecoin’s next major upside target. Based on the chart, this level corresponds to $3.94. History Says Dogecoin Will Hit $3.94 Dogecoin’s price action has followed a remarkably consistent macro-pattern across three major market phases. In each, DOGE formed a clear descending wedge, followed by an impulsive breakout and parabolic …
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USDJPY has been the most affected major pair since the US Dollar reversal that happened since July 1st, rising to a maximum of 6464 pips (around 4.50%), a consequential move in Forex. Beyond the position covering due to oversold and overpositions US Dollars adding to a conclusion of a weekly Head and Shoulders in the Dollar Index, Yen traders haven't been able to find any fundamental reason to be long that currency. Japan's monetary policy, despite being more hawkish than the past 20 years, is still loose – especially compared to the US which keeps pushing back their cuts (strong data obliges). Furthermore, a lack of new communication from the Bank of Japan is also cons…
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The SEC has decided to give itself more time before making a call on Bitwise’s request to allow in‑kind redemptions for its Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs. Instead of approving or rejecting the proposal outright, the commission extended the review window to September 8. The move keeps the door open, but also signals that regulators want to tread carefully before allowing ETF shares to be swapped directly for crypto. What’s at Stake In‑kind redemptions may sound technical, but the idea is pretty simple. It would let large investors trade ETF shares for the actual assets underneath, like Bitcoin or Ether, instead of receiving the cash value. It’s a standard feature in traditi…
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An initial economic study for Vital Metals’ (ASX: VML) Tardiff project in the Northwest Territories outlines output that would make it one of the largest rare earth concentrate producers outside China. Tardiff, part of Vital’s larger Nechalacho project about 110 km northeast of Yellowknife, would produce 56,000 tonnes of concentrate annually, grading 26.4% total rare earth oxides (TREO) and 3.3% niobium pentoxide, the company said Monday. Vital shares gained 5% to A$0.11 apiece on Monday in Sydney, for a market capitalization of A$12.38 million. The proposed open pit mine with an initial capital cost of $291 million would have a post-tax net present value of $…
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US President Donald Trump’s executive order to fast-track deep-sea mining has reignited fierce global debate over the future of ocean resources, international law and environmental oversight. Framed as a bid to reduce US reliance on China for critical minerals, such as nickel and copper, the move has instead sparked concerns over ecological damage and international stability. Signed in April, Trump’s directive leverages the US Deep Seabed Hard Mineral Resources Act to bypass international regulatory bodies and directly authorize seabed mining operations, including in international waters. This path circumvents the United Nations’ International Seabed Authority (I…
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Markets have just received the data for both ADP Private Employment (104K vs 78K estimate) and the Annualized US GDP Data (3% vs 2.4% exp), with both showing strong signs for the largest Economy yet again. Equity Markets have been moving choppy since the weekly gap at the open, and as the US Dollar is making fresh new highs, it is a good time to look at US Treasury Bonds. These are not the most commonly traded asset class by Retail Traders but they still represent a gigantic volume of financial transactions daily, particularly US Treasuries. Bonds have been struggling to find strong demand despite the June war-fears and the few bouts of flight-to-safety that markets ha…
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A fresh move by the SEC could clear the path for the first US spot ETFs tracking altcoins like XRP. Traders and investors are watching closely as new rules aim to speed up approvals by late 2025. This change comes just months after in-kind creation and redemption for crypto ETPs won the regulator’s blessing. New Listing Standards Open Door According to the recent filing of the US Securities and Exchange Commission, any coin with at least six months of futures trading on a platform such as Coinbase’s derivatives exchange can qualify for an exchange-traded product. The six-month rule replaces a longer review process that could stretch into 240 days. Instead, exchanges ca…
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Tether, the company behind the market’s largest stablecoin USDT, has announced major financial results for the second quarter (Q2) of the year, reporting a net profit of $4.9 billion. Tether Achieves $5.7 Billion In Earnings For H1 2025 According to the report, this surge in profitability comes amid the issuance of over $13.4 billion in new USDT, boosting the total circulating supply to more than $157 billion—a remarkable $20 billion increase since the beginning of the year. At the end of Q2 2025, Tether’s exposure to US Treasuries reached $127 billion, comprising $105.5 billion in direct holdings and an additional $21.3 billion in indirect investments. The company’…
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The market highly anticipated this release with prior months of price action making renewed all-time high almost daily – A very strong earnings season is a glad contributor to that. Nevertheless, there has been some angst in Markets as some deals have been concluding with some sacrifices, rates are held higher and the August 1st deadline for those who haven't reached a deal is right here. Markets are also continuously looking to know more from the effect of the Trump Administration's policies, and it felt like Participants had been surprised to the upside for all the preceding releases – as if players were always expecting bad numbers. But bad numbers they received: To…
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After an impressive run-up back in July, the Dogecoin price as suffered a slowdown, just like the rest of the market. With this, the bears seem to have reclaimed control once again, pushing Dogecoin deeper into loss territory after taking out an important position at $0.2. Nevertheless, the current decline seems to pale in comparison to the bullishness that continues to dominate among investors, with the expectations that this correction will be only temporary. Dogecoin Price Still Showing Signs Of Bullishness According to an analysis shared by crypto analyst KrissPax, the Dogecoin price may be down right now, but it is not out of the game. This is because the meme coin …
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An independent market analyst who tracks on-chain order-flow data says South Korea’s Upbit exchange may now wield outsized influence over the spot price of XRP, the world’s fifth-largest crypto-asset by market capitalization. In a series of posts on X, the trader known as “Dom” (@traderview2) published a chart of cumulative-volume-delta (CVD) across eight venues that appears to show Korean selling pressure easing just as the token found a local bottom. Is Upbit In Control Of The XRP Price? “Korean market Upbit may actually control the price of XRP more than we think. Right when they stopped their selling pressure, we bottomed, despite Binance continuing its selling,” Dom…
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On-chain data shows Bitcoin investors who purchased near the price top are choosing to hold even after the latest pullback. Bitcoin Cost Basis Distribution Shows Supply Still Firm Above $118,000 In a new post on X, the on-chain analytics firm Glassnode has discussed the latest trend in the Cost Basis Distribution Heatmap of Bitcoin. This indicator tells us about how much of the asset’s supply was purchased at the various spot price levels. In on-chain analysis, supply cost basis is considered a key concept, as investor behavior is often more pronounced when the cryptocurrency is trading at or near its acquisition level. When the market mood is bullish, investors in pro…
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What if use cases are overstated, talk of financial instruments is largely exaggerated, and the main reason people like crypto is to generate USD? If you think that, you’re likely an unusually savvy investor. You might also be Crypto Chase (@CryptoChase), a well-known crypto influencer and trader on X. He recently posted an analysis of two increasingly strange observations: Bitcoin has been largely stagnant recently, struggling to finally break past the $120K barrier and stay there. Ethereum is rolling, posting 2% gains for the day, 20% for the week, and an incredible 45% for the month. Why the discrepancy? Why is Bitcoin – still by far the largest crypto – struggling…
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On-chain data shows the Dogecoin whales have gone on a buying spree recently, a sign that could be bullish for the memecoin’s price. Dogecoin Whales Have Accumulated During The Past Week In a new post on X, analyst Ali Martinez has talked about the latest trend in the holdings of the Dogecoin whales. The metric shared by the analyst is the “Supply Distribution” from on-chain analytics firm Santiment, which tells us about the total amount of DOGE supply that a particular wallet group is holding right now. Addresses or investors are put into these cohorts based on the number of tokens that they are carrying in their balance. All wallets with 5 coins, for example, are pla…
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After hitting a new multi-month high, Cardano (ADA) has retraced alongside the rest of the market. Some analysts suggest that the cryptocurrency is ready to reclaim crucial resistance levels and hit new highs in the coming months. Cardano Holds Crucial Support Despite Pullback On Thursday, Cardano experienced an 11% drop after surpassing the $1.00 barrier for the first time since March. ADA’s retracement was fueled by the crypto market’s pullback, which saw massive liquidations throughout the day. According to CoinGlass data, the crypto market saw over $1.05 billion in liquidations over the last 24 hours, driven by higher-than-expected macroeconomic signals. Notably, t…
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Let’s try to answer why the crypto market is down today. Yesterday, the U.S. Producer Price Index (PPI) for July rose 0.9% month-over-month and 3.3% year-over-year, far above forecasts of 0.2% and 2.5%. It was the largest monthly jump since June 2022, fueled by rising service costs in machinery wholesaling, portfolio fees, hospitality, and freight, alongside higher prices for vegetables and meat. The higher-than-expected data renewed inflation concerns, dampening hopes for a Federal Reserve rate cut and prompting traders to reassess the best crypto to buy in a more risk-off environment. Crypto markets reacted immediately. Bitcoin slid 5.88% to under $117,200, down fr…
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Gold prices have rallied from an overnight low around the $3323/oz handle to a high of $3360/oz before settling around the $3350/oz mark.The precious metal looks set to continue its choppy price action at the start of a busy week. The recovery in Gold from the overnight low could in part be down to lower US Treasury Yields with the benchmark 10Y US Treasury yield falling from its recent highs. Russia-Ukraine Developments as Trump and Zelensky Set to Meet European leaders will meet with Zelenskiy and Trump on Monday to discuss a possible deal to end the Russia-Ukraine war. Under the proposed plan, Russia would give up small areas of occupied Ukraine, while Ukraine would…
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Bitcoin (BTC) has once again slipped under the $120,000 price mark, retracing after reaching a new all-time high above $124,000 last week. As of the latest market data, BTC is trading around $115,557, down 2.5% in the past 24 hours and nearly 7% below its peak. This price movement suggests that the asset is currently consolidating after its recent rally, leaving market participants watching closely for the next directional move. Meanwhile, analysts are turning to on-chain data for signals on Bitcoin’s potential trajectory. One such perspective comes from PelinayPA, a contributor to CryptoQuant’s QuickTake platform, who examined long-term holder (LTH) behavior using a se…
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XRP slipped below the critical $3.00 level this week, extending its losing streak as whale sell-offs and regulatory uncertainty weighed heavily on the market. Currently trading at $2.8, XRP has made a 3.68% decline in the past 24 hours, with trading volume rising slightly by 0.82% to $6.85 billion. The latest downturn comes after on-chain data revealed that whales offloaded 470 million XRP tokens over the past 10 days, slashing their cumulative holdings to just 7.63 billion coins. Large-scale exits by wallets holding between 10 million and 100 million XRP suggest institutional desks and high-net-worth traders are taking profits after XRP’s recent rally to above $3.39 e…
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The chief executive officer of SOL Strategies has a strong belief in the potential of Bitcoin, despite recent setbacks by the top crypto asset. Leah Wald told members of the press she expects bitcoin to make a steep move before year end. Her baseline? The vaunted $175,000 mark – a price she called a conservative read compared to some loftier forecasts. The market has already surprised a lot of people — bitcoin hit about $124,000 recently — so big swings are not impossible. Institutional Interest Drives Momentum According to Wald, part of the push comes from big money moving in. She pointed to companies like BlackRock and high-profile investors such as Cathie Wood, and…
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Prominent analytics firm Glassnode has shared new on-chain insights into the Bitcoin market, pointing to the next major support zone amid a euphoric market mood on Friday. The world’s leading cryptocurrency briefly surged to above $117,000 after comments from US Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell signaled a possible shift away from the central bank’s long-standing hawkish stance. Bitcoin’s Crucial Defense Level At $104,000–$108,000: Data In an X post on August 22, Glassnode explains that Bitcoin’s UTXO Realized Price Distribution (URPD) suggests the $104,000–$108,000 range has emerged as a critical support zone, backed by significant investor activity. Notably, mor…
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According to a recent video by angel investor and crypto influencer Armando Pantoja, many XRP holders feel stuck as rival coins keep climbing. He pointed out that focusing only on getting XRP to $10,000 misses the point. Instead, he urged people to look at returns and real uses. This shift in perspective could change how investors see the token’s potential. Emphasis On ROI Based on reports, Pantoja noted that wanting XRP at $10,000 is unrealistic. He said you can get the same gains without waiting for that sky-high price. For example, Bitcoin would need to hit over $300,000 to triple your stake if you bought it at today’s levels. But XRP only needs to reach about $8 f…
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OPEC+ decided on a smaller-than-expected oil supply increase.Disagreements within OPEC+, particularly between Saudi Arabia and Russia, add uncertainty to oil policies.Despite a downgraded global growth forecast by the OECD, oil prices are supported by factors.Most Read: Markets Today: Euro Area Inflation Drops, OECD Downgrades Growth and Trump-Xi Meeting Oil prices surged yesterday ending the day with a 3.75% gain as OPEC+ surprised markets with a supply increase that came in below expectations. Add to this rising tensions between Russia and Ukraine over the weekend and the perfect cocktail for gains materialized. Ukraine launched major drone attacks on several Russian ai…
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Ethereum continues to demonstrate strength, holding firm above key support levels and outperforming much of the crypto market despite growing macroeconomic uncertainty. Since its April lows, ETH has more than doubled in value, gaining over 100%, and shows no signs of slowing down. While many assets have faced heavy selling pressure amid volatility in global markets, Ethereum remains resilient, showing consistent buying interest and maintaining its upward trajectory. Top analyst Carl Runefelt shared a bullish perspective, noting that Ethereum price stays strong on the daily timeframe. According to Runefelt, if Bitcoin starts moving sideways, Ethereum could seize the oppo…
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