Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
11713 tópicos neste fórum
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Overview: The dollar was sold in response to yesterday's FOMC decision. There has been limited follow-through selling in Asia and Europe today. The greenback is mixed as North American participants return. The Swiss franc is the strongest after the central bank left its key policy rate and zero and reaffirmed a high bar to a return to negative rates. On the other hand, the disappointing Australian labor report encouraged the market to push out the first hike next year and the Australian dollar fell amid profit-taking. Emerging market currencies are mixed. The PBOC set the dollar's reference rate at a new low since last October, and both the on- and offshore yuan extended …
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What’s going on with SpaceX and its Bitcoin (BTC) holdings? The privately held company has been in the news for a while regarding its BTC reshuffling activities, and has once again made the news for the same reason. On-chain data suggests that the company shifted a massive chunk of its .cwp-coin-chart svg path { stroke-width: 0.65 !important; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-graph-container.positive svg path:nth-of-type(2) { stroke: #008868 !important; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-coin-trend.positive { color: #008868 !important; background-color: transparent !important; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-coin-popup-holder .cwp-coin-trend.positive {…
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We introduce you to the daily updated section of Forex analytics where you will find reviews from forex experts, up-to-date monitoring of financial information as well as online forecasts of exchange rates of the US dollar, euro, ruble, bitcoin, and other currencies for today, tomorrow and this trading week.Useful links: My other articles are available in this section InstaForex course for beginners Popular Analytics Open trading account Important: The begginers in forex trading need to be very careful when making decisions about entering the market. Before the release of important reports, it is best to stay out of the market to avoid being caught in sharp market fluctu…
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Asia Market Wrap - Nikkei Struggles, Ends the Day Down 0.9% Most Read: The Fed cuts rates by 25 bps to 3.75% – Market Reactions The Nikkei finished lower on Thursday, primarily because of a large drop in SoftBank Group shares. SoftBank's decline mirrored the steep fall of the US tech giant Oracle, which disappointed investors by predicting sales and profit below what Wall Street analysts expected. Although the Nikkei briefly rose by 0.5% earlier in the day, it closed down 0.9% at 50148.82. The broader Topix index also fell by 0.94% after opening at a record high. SoftBank Group was the biggest drag, plummeting 7.69%. Other Japanese technology companies also lost ground…
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On Wednesday, the EUR/USD pair first rebounded from the 1.1645–1.1655 level, but soon after closed above this zone and showed strong growth amid the FOMC meeting. Thus, the upward movement may continue toward the next 38.2% corrective level at 1.1718. A rebound from 1.1718 will favor the US dollar and a moderate decline toward 1.1656. Consolidation above 1.1718 will increase the likelihood of further growth toward the next 23.6% Fibonacci level at 1.1795. The wave structure on the hourly chart remains simple and clear. The last completed downward wave did not break the previous low, while the last upward wave (still forming) broke the previous high. Thus, the trend has …
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Key takeaways Post-FOMC optimism faded fast, with S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 futures reversing sharply on renewed US–China tensions and concerns over AI-related export violations tied to DeepSeek. Sentiment worsened after Oracle’s 11.5% after-hours plunge, as weak revenue reignited worries over stretched AI valuations and dragged index futures lower. Despite the pullback, Nasdaq 100 technicals remain constructive, with improving market breadth and key supports holding, keeping the medium-term bullish reversal bias intact. The post-FOMC rally quickly fizzled in today’s Asia session, with S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 E-mini futures falling -0.8% and -1.1%, effectively …
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Discussions regarding the need for the European Central Bank (ECB) to raise interest rates rather than lower them have completely overturned market expectations for further monetary easing. However, a number of European officials, including Governing Council member Francois Villeroy de Galhau, were quick to dispel such talks. Villeroy stated that the European Central Bank has no grounds for an imminent interest rate hike, as it is likely to keep borrowing costs unchanged at the upcoming meeting next week. The head of the Bank of France noted that it would likely be prudent to maintain interest rates at the current favorable level while remaining flexible and open to fu…
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On the hourly chart, the GBP/USD pair continued its upward movement on Wednesday after rebounding from the 61.8% retracement level at 1.3294 and consolidated above the resistance level of 1.3352–1.3362. Thus, the upward movement may continue today if the price rebounds from this zone from above, aiming for 1.3425. Consolidation below the 1.3352–1.3362 level will favor the US dollar and a moderate decline toward the 61.8% Fibonacci level at 1.3294. The wave structure turned "bullish" two weeks ago. The last completed upward wave broke the previous peak, while the last downward wave failed to break the previous low. Thus, the trend remains "bullish" at this time. The news…
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Trend Analysis (Fig. 1) On Thursday, from the level of 1.3378 (yesterday's daily candle close), the market may begin moving downward toward the target of 1.3378 – the 5-period EMA (thin red line). From this line, the price may possibly rebound upward toward the target of 1.3400 – a historical resistance level (blue dotted line). Fig. 1 (Daily Chart) Comprehensive Analysis: Indicator analysis – downFibonacci levels – downVolumes – downCandlestick analysis – downTrend analysis – downBollinger Bands – downWeekly chart – downOverall conclusion: a downward trend. Alternative Scenario:From the level of 1.3378 (yesterday's daily candle close), the price may begin moving dow…
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Ark Invest CEO Cathie Wood says Bitcoin’s long-running four-year pattern may be losing its grip as big financial players buy and hold more of the supply, a shift that could tame price swings and change how investors plan ahead. Institutional Buying Is Changing Markets According to Wood, large firms and spot ETFs are slowly locking up coins that used to flow in and out of retail hands. The most recent halving, on April 20, 2024, cut the miner reward to 3.125 BTC. On a daily basis, that reduction translated to about a 450 Bitcoin drop in supply each day, a figure some analysts call small compared with the trillions attributed to the market’s value and the billions moving…
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Trend Analysis (Fig. 1) On Thursday, from the level of 1.1694 (yesterday's daily candle close), the market may begin moving downward toward the target of 1.1672 – the 14.6% retracement level (red dotted line). When testing this level, the price may rebound upward toward the target of 1.1717 – the 38.2% retracement level (blue dotted line). Fig. 1 (Daily Chart) Comprehensive Analysis: Indicator analysis – downFibonacci levels – downVolumes – downCandlestick analysis – downTrend analysis – downBollinger Bands – downWeekly chart – downOverall conclusion: a downward trend. Alternative Scenario:On Thursday, from the level of 1.1694 (yesterday's daily candle close), the mark…
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The Cardano price is once again in the spotlight after the latest FOMC decision, with ADA attempting to stabilize following another volatile macro week. With the Federal Reserve delivering its third consecutive 25-basis-point rate cut, traders initially rushed into risk assets, but the reaction faded quickly. The big question now is whether December will bring meaningful upside for Cardano crypto holders or more chop as the market processes the implications of the new policy direction. Market Cap 24h 7d 30d 1y All Time FOMC Cuts for the Third Time – What…
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Expectations within the crypto community were high when the news broke that the Fed (Federal Reserve) again cut interest rates by 25 bps, bringing the federal fund rate to its lowest level in more than three years, but today, the enthusiasm has died down a bit as the broader crypto market failed to get back its momentum. With the Fed announcing the rate cut, .cwp-coin-chart svg path { stroke-width: 0.65 !important; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-graph-container.positive svg path:nth-of-type(2) { stroke: #008868 !important; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-coin-trend.positive { color: #008868 !important; background-color: transparent !important; } .c…
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[#USDX] With all technical indicators condition which indicating the weakness, then #USDX has the potential to decline toward its nearest support level today. Key Levels 1. Resistance. 2 : 99.47 2. Resistance. 1 : 99.05 3. Pivot : 98.80 4. Support. 1 : 98.38 5. Support. 2 : 98.13 Tactical Scenario: Pressure Zone: If the price breaks down and closes below 98.38, it is likely to continue its decline to 98.13. Momentum Extension Bias: If 98.13 is broken, then it could test the level at 97.71. Invalidation Level / Bias Revision: The downside bias is restrained if #USDX strengthens and breaks above 99.47. Technical Summary: EMA(50) : 98.84 EMA(200): 99…
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[Nasdaq 100 Index] With all technical indicators condition showing weakness in the NDX, such as the Death Cross formation and the RSI(14) being in the Neutral-Bearish level, sellers are quite dominant in the Nasdaq 100 Index today. Key Levels 1. Resistance. 2 : 26037.7 2. Resistance. 1 : 25904.1 3. Pivot : 25700.9 4. Support. 1 : 25567.1 5. Support. 2 : 25364.1 Tactical Scenario: Pressure Zone: If the price of #NDX breaks down and closes below 25700.9, there is potential for it to continue declining to 25567.1. Momentum Extension Bias: If 25567.1 is broken, then #NDX could test the level at 25364.1. Invalidation Level / Bias Revision: The downside …
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The market got what it wanted. The Fed executed a hawkish cut, lowering the federal funds rate to 3.75% and signaling a pause in the cycle of monetary easing. However, the central bank did not close the door on further easing. Moreover, Jerome Powell's emphasis on labor market weakness and the Fed's decision-making dependence on data make monetary expansion in 2026 quite likely. This was well received by US stock indices, with the S&P 500 registering its strongest reaction to an FOMC meeting since March, while the Russell 2000 reached a new record high. S&P 500's Reaction to Fed Meetings The stock market benefited from a triple advantage provided by the Fed. No…
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Crypto markets lurched lower after the Federal Reserve delivered exactly what everyone said they wanted: the third straight 25bps cut to close out 2025. Santiment’s latest deep dive makes a simple, slightly uncomfortable point: retail treated it as a green light, whales treated it as exit liquidity. Bitcoin shortly rallied to $94,044, Ether surged to $3,433, XRP hit $2.10 and Solana managed to reach $142, but the momentum was short-lived. The BTC price fell by more than 5% at one point, ETH even fell by more than 8.5%. What Caused The Crypto Market Plunge? On 11 December, the FOMC confirmed another quarter-point reduction, completing what Santiment calls the “trifecta o…
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The latest FOMC of the Federal Reserve meeting put a clear spotlight on Jerome Powell hawkish tone, and it’s already shaping market sentiment across crypto assets. In the first few minutes of his remarks, Powell’s comments set the stage for how we should evaluate the implications for crypto. The FOMC decision was expected to trim rates by 25 basis points, which happened, combined with reminders that inflation is still “somewhat elevated,” which reflects a cautious shift. In support of our goals, and in light of the balance of risks to employment and inflation, today the Federal Open Market Committee decided to lower our policy interest rate by 1/4 percentage point.” Ev…
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Yesterday, gold prices rose for the third consecutive day after the Federal Reserve announced the widely anticipated rate cut. Silver also soared to record highs. The price of gold increased by 0.5% and approached the mark of $4,248 per ounce, as treasury yields and the dollar declined following the last FOMC meeting of the year. The US central bank lowered interest rates for the third meeting in a row, maintaining the probability of only one rate cut in 2026. It is worth noting that the Fed's dovish stance favorably impacts precious metals, which typically benefit from low interest rates since they do not pay interest. Despite the cautious stance of the Fed, investors s…
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The recent decision by the US Federal Reserve to lower interest rates by a quarter point and adjust its more dovish expectations for the coming year to a more conservative approach has weakened the positions of Bitcoin and Ethereum, leading to sell-offs of many altcoins in the cryptocurrency market. However, there is a ray of hope that the market can weather these developments. Yesterday, US Senator Cynthia Lummis announced her intention to release a draft bill outlining the structure of the crypto market by the end of this week. This will allow industry representatives and both parties to review the bill before consideration next week. Senator Lummis's statement is un…
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The US dollar found itself under pressure again after representatives of the Federal Reserve lowered the interest rate for the third consecutive time and maintained their forecast for only one more rate cut in 2026 and another in 2027. On Wednesday, the Federal Open Market Committee voted 9 to 3 to reduce the federal funds rate by a quarter percentage point to a range of 3.5% to 3.75%. The committee also made minor adjustments to its statement, indicating greater uncertainty about when the next rate cut might occur. This put pressure on the US dollar, although not as significantly as many traders had anticipated. While the rate cut was expected, it sparked a wave of di…
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Analysis of Trades and Trading Tips for the Japanese YenThe test of the 156.63 price coincided with the MACD indicator moving significantly below the zero mark, which limited the pair's downside potential. For this reason, I did not sell the dollar. Yesterday, the Federal Reserve voted 9 to 3 to lower the key interest rate by a quarter percentage point to 3.75%. This led to a weakening of the dollar and a strengthening of the Japanese yen. The Fed's decision aligned with the expectations of many analysts. The dollar's weakening after this news was immediate. Investors redirected their assets toward currencies with higher yields, leading to an increase in demand for the ye…
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Analysis of Trades and Trading Tips for the British PoundThe test of the price at 1.3318 coincided with the moment when the MACD indicator was beginning to move upwards from the zero mark, confirming the correct entry point for buying the pound. As a result, the pair rose by more than 30 pips. Yesterday, the Federal Reserve voted to lower the key interest rate by a quarter percentage point to 3.75%. This led to a weakening of the dollar and a strengthening of the British pound. The Fed's decision to cut rates was anticipated. In justifying their decision, Fed officials cited the slowdown in labor market growth. Immediately after this, the British pound showed strong growt…
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Analysis of Trades and Trading Tips for the EuroThe test of the price at 1.1645 came at a moment when the MACD indicator was beginning to move upwards from the zero mark, confirming the correct entry point for buying euros. As a result, the pair rose by more than 60 pips. The day before, the Federal Open Market Committee voted, with a majority (9 to 3), to lower the key interest rate by 0.25%, establishing a target range of 3.5%-3.75%. This action resulted in a weakening of the US dollar and a strengthening of the euro. Proponents of monetary policy easing insisted on the need to stimulate the economy amid a slowdown in labor-market growth. However, the long-term effects …
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Yesterday, stock indices closed higher. The S&P 500 rose by 0.67%, while the Nasdaq 100 strengthened by 0.33%. The Dow Jones Industrial Average jumped by 1.05%. The rally in the stock market, driven by the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts, has come to a halt as disappointing results from Oracle Corp. exerted pressure on tech stocks. Investors are also reassessing their positions in light of the reality of a more cautious approach to future rate cuts. Oracle's earnings report, which fell short of expectations, raised concerns about the overall resilience of the technology sector, which has been the primary driver of market growth in recent months. The decline in…
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