Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
11972 tópicos neste fórum
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EUR/USD is trading around 1.1545, rebounding after reaching the psychological level of 1.1500. A technical correction will likely follow in the coming hours towards the 21 SMA located at 1.1527. EUR/USD could continue its rise in the coming days until it reaches 7/8 Murray at 1.1591. If downward pressure prevails in the coming hours and the euro falls below 1.1500, we could expect it to reach 6/8 Murray at 1.1474. On the contrary, if the euro consolidates above 1.1527, it could be seen as a positive sign, and we could buy with targets at 1.1596 and at the 8/8 Murray located at 1.1718. The outlook remains positive. So, in the short term, we expect the euro to reach the st…
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The crypto market is eyeing a critical week ahead as Fed Rate cut odds fluctuate below 70%. However, Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller is leaning towards an interest-rate cut in December. Waller said, “My concern is mainly labor market, in terms of our dual mandate. So I’m advocating for a rate cut at the next meeting. You may see a more of a meeting-by-meeting approach once you get to January.” Critical economic data releases are set to be released this week. After a turbulent week that saw Bitcoin plunge to $82,000 before staging a slight weekend rebound, everyone is closely monitoring rate cut probabilities. Meanwhile, Bitwise Chief Investment Officer …
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Anglo American’s (LON: ANGLO) Quellaveco copper mine in southern Peru has produced 1 million tonnes of copper since operations began in 2022, marking a major milestone for one of South America’s newest copper mines. The Quellaveco mine, which an expected mine life of 36 years and annual capacity of 300,000 tonnes in its first 10 years of operations, quickly reached its designed output. It delivered more than 300,000 tonnes of copper in both 2023 and 2024 as the company continued to ramp up performance. With an expected 36-year mine life, Quellaveco is slated to produce between 310,000 and 340,000 tonnes in 2025. Anglo American says that level of output could supp…
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South Korea is serious about its anti-money laundering laws, and as such, the Korean Financial Intelligence Unit (FIU) is all set to sanction crypto exchanges that are not following the protocols to the T. According to the regulatory body, not clamping down on companies that don’t follow protocols hurts the integrity of the country’s growing crypto market, which has gained political momentum in recent times. As of this moment, the FIU has already taken action against Dunamu, the parent company behind Upbit, Korea’s largest crypto exchange, recently acquired by Naver. Furthermore, it has inspected other big names, including Bithumb, Coinone, Korbit, and GOPAX, to see if …
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The wave structure on the 4-hour chart for EUR/USD has changed but remains generally understandable. There is no question of canceling the uptrend that began in January 2025, but the wave structure since July 1 has become significantly more complex and elongated. In my view, the instrument is currently forming corrective wave 4, which has taken an unusual shape. Inside this wave, we see only corrective structures, so there is no doubt about the corrective nature of the decline. I believe the upward trend is not yet complete, and its targets are scattered up to the 25th figure. The series of waves a-b-c-d-e appears complete, so in the coming weeks I expect the formation of…
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What to Know: BitMine has bought 21,537 more $ETH for about $60M, now holding over 3% of supply despite roughly $4B in unrealized losses. The company plans a US-based MAVAN validator network to generate staking revenue and turn its massive Ethereum stack into active infrastructure. SUBBD is building an AI-powered creator content platform on Ethereum, using $SUBBD for payments, rewards, and access to automated content tools. The $SUBBD presale combines fixed 20% staking rewards with multi-x upside forecasts, but remains a high-risk early-stage Ethereum ecosystem play. BitMine has just grabbed another 21,537 Ethereum tokens for around $60M, even though it is already sit…
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The GBP/USD pair reversed a slight decline against the backdrop of moderate dollar weakness but has so far failed to hold above the round level of 1.3100. However, uncertainty regarding the upcoming UK budget and rising expectations of a December interest rate cut by the Bank of England remain a restraining factor for spot price growth. From a technical perspective, the downward break of the important 200-day simple moving average (SMA) last month was seen as a key trigger for bears. Furthermore, oscillators on the daily chart remain deep in negative territory, confirming the likelihood of sellers appearing just above the round level of 1.3100, near the 9-day EMA. Surpass…
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Bitcoin’s six-week collapse has erased over $40,000 from its price, yet—according to Jeff Park, CIO at ProCap BTC and Bitwise advisor—the more important story may lie not in spot markets but in volatility. In his November 22 Substack post “Where Does Bitcoin Go From Here?”, Park argues that “market structure has flipped sharply negative,” citing ETF outflows, the Coinbase discount, structural selling, and liquidations of over-levered longs. But beneath that surface stress, he says, “something in the structure of Bitcoin’s volatility markets is stirring again—something that looks more like the old Bitcoin, not the new one.” Sudden Twist In Bitcoin Skew Has Expert On High…
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Trade Analysis and Advice for Trading the British Pound The price test at 1.3092 occurred when the MACD indicator had already moved significantly downward from the zero line, which limited the pair's downward potential. For this reason, I did not sell the pound. With no major statistics released, the pound showed very low volatility. Market attention is focused on Rishi Sunak's new budget, which will be presented on November 26. The market expects the new budget to include measures to stimulate economic growth and plans for reducing public debt. Investors will carefully watch for any signals that might indicate future monetary policy from the Bank of England. Unfortunatel…
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Trade Analysis and Advice for Trading the European Currency The price test at 1.1530 occurred when the MACD indicator had just started moving upward from the zero line, confirming a correct entry point for buying the euro. However, this did not lead to a significant rise in the pair. Given fairly decent IFO data from Germany, demand for the euro persisted during the first half of the day. However, optimism remained cautious, as the overall economic picture in Europe is still uncertain. Investors are also closely monitoring geopolitical developments. Progress in resolving the Russia-Ukraine conflict could encourage purchases of risky assets, including the euro. Traders sho…
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Most Read: Markets Weekly Outlook - UK Budget in Focus as Global Equities Eye Recovery Market participants are eyeing the US Dollar Index (DXY) as it hovers above the crucial 100.00 barrier. The greenbacks recent rally has been impressive but may fail to gain traction unless acceptance is achieved beyond the 100.00 psychological level. A break above the 100.00 psychological level is no surprise to market participants as we have seen two forays beyond this handle in recent weeks. Having broken below the 100.00 mark in May of 2025, the DXY has attempted two recoveries prior to the current one. The result? A significant materialized each time the DXY attempted a push hig…
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South Africa’s Harmony Gold (JSE: HAR)(NYSE: HMY) has approved construction of its $1.6 billion Eva copper project in Australia, setting a three-year build that begins in the third quarter of 2026, with first production expected in the second half of 2028. Harmony aims to lift its copper output to about 100,000 tonnes a year once Eva is online, a target that includes volumes from its recent $1 billion-acquisition of MAC Copper, owner of the 41,000-tonne-a-year CSA mine in New South Wales. Chief executive Beyers Nel said Eva and the MAC Copper acquisition give Harmony a broader base of metals exposure that strengthens cash flow across commodity cycles. Harmony …
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GBP/USD Brief Analysis: Since the beginning of this year, the GBP/USD main pair has formed an upward wave. Over the past six months, prices have formed a stretched corrective plane. Since November 4, a new upward wave structure with reversal potential has been forming in the sideways plane. Weekly Forecast: In the next couple of days, the pound is expected to continue moving sideways along the support zone. In the second half of the week, increased activity, a reversal, and the start of a bullish price movement may occur. A brief penetration of the lower boundary of calculated support cannot be ruled out. Potential Reversal Zones: Resistance: 1.3230–1.3280Support: 1.30…
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EUR/USD Analysis:The direction of the euro's price movement in its main pair has been set by a downward wave since July of this year. On the daily chart, this section serves as a correction of the previous upward trend. The wave structure is not yet complete. Since September 16, the final part (C) of this wave structure has been developing. Forecast:At the beginning of the upcoming week, a flat sideways movement is expected. A downward vector is possible. Increased volatility, a reversal, and the start of a price rise toward resistance zones may be expected in the second half of the week. Nearby counter zones will limit the weekly movement of the pair. Potential Revers…
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On Friday, the EUR/USD pair performed a false breakout of the 76.4% corrective level at 1.1517 and failed to continue the downward movement. Thus, the trend remains bearish, but the bulls have not yet lost all chances for their own trend. If they resume their advance this week, the bullish trend will still have a chance to form. At the moment, the quotes have consolidated above the 1.1517 level, which allows us to expect continued growth toward the 61.8% Fibonacci level at 1.1594. The wave situation on the hourly chart remains simple and clear. The last upward wave did not break the previous peak, while the most recent completed downward wave broke the previous low. Th…
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On the hourly chart, the GBP/USD pair on Friday returned to the 161.8% corrective level at 1.3110. A rebound of the quotes today from the resistance zone of 1.3110–1.3139 will favor the U.S. dollar and a slight decline toward the 200.0% Fibonacci level at 1.3024. A consolidation of the pair above the 1.3110–1.3139 level will allow us to expect continued growth toward the 127.2% corrective level at 1.3186. The wave situation remains completely bearish. The last upward wave failed to break the previous high, while the most recent completed downward wave broke the previous low. Unfortunately for the pound, the fundamental background has worsened for it in recent weeks, ma…
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The U.S. dollar has struggled to grow after reports that internal disagreements within the Federal Reserve have intensified in recent weeks. Officials have taken different positions ahead of the central bank's December monetary policy meeting — all while Chair Jerome Powell has remained silent since his last remarks following the Fed's October meeting. The situation escalated late last week when New York Federal Reserve President John Williams, sometimes regarded as a confidant of the Fed Chair, voiced support for a rate cut after several other policymakers had spoken out against it. A series of recent statements indicates that other voting members of the Federal Open Ma…
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Trend Analysis (Fig. 1). On Monday, the market, from the level of 1.3096 (the close of Friday's daily candle), may continue moving upward toward 1.3148 — a historical resistance level (blue dashed line). When testing this level, the price may begin moving downward toward 1.3127 — the support line (red bold line). Fig. 1 (daily chart). Comprehensive Analysis: Indicator analysis — upward;Fibonacci levels — upward;Volumes — upward;Candlestick analysis — upward;Trend analysis — upward;Bollinger Bands — upward;Weekly chart — upward.Overall conclusion: upward trend. Alternative scenario: From the level of 1.3096 (the close of Friday's daily candle), the price may continue movi…
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The crypto space could soon see a wave of fresh US capital flood the markets, following President Trump’s promise of a $2,000 ‘DOGE Dividend’ cheque to citizens after the end of a record-breaking Government shutdown. A liquidity injection into the crypto market could come at a perfect time, as Bitcoin is trading at a massive discount at $86,000, down -32% from its October 6 all-time high of $126,000. The 43-day shutdown in the United States also froze the US Government’s main account at the Federal Reserve. There was plenty of money flowing in during that period, but spending was blocked. Now, Trump has ended the budget dispute with a signature, and the funds are gradual…
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Trend Analysis. This week, the price at the level of 1.3096 (the closing of the last weekly candle) may begin to move upwards with a target of 1.3270 – a historical resistance level (blue dashed line). When testing this level, the price may pull back down to a target of 1.3224 – the 8-period EMA (blue thin line). Comprehensive Analysis: Indicator analysis – up;Fibonacci levels – up;Volumes – up;Candlestick analysis – up;Trend analysis – up;Bollinger Bands – up;Monthly chart – up.Conclusion from Comprehensive Analysis: Upward trend. Overall assessment of the GBP/USD weekly candle calculation: the price is most likely to have an upward trend this week, with the absence o…
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Trend Analysis (Fig. 1). This week, the market, from the level of 1.1512 (the close of the last weekly candle), may begin moving upward toward 1.1663 — the 14.6% retracement level (red dashed line). When testing this level, the price may retrace downward toward 1.1592 — the 38.2% retracement level (blue dashed line). Fig. 1 (weekly chart). Comprehensive Analysis: Indicator analysis — upward;Fibonacci levels — upward;Volumes — upward;Candlestick analysis — upward;Trend analysis — upward;Bollinger Bands — upward;Monthly chart — upward.Conclusion from the comprehensive analysis: upward trend. Overall forecast for the weekly EUR/USD candle: the price this week will most li…
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Trend Analysis (Fig. 1). On Monday, the market, from the level of 1.1512 (the close of Friday's daily candle), may begin moving upward toward 1.1556 — a historical resistance level (blue dashed line). Upon reaching this level, a downward move is possible toward 1.1546 — the 8-period EMA (thin blue line). Fig. 1 (daily chart). Comprehensive Analysis: Indicator analysis — upward;Fibonacci levels — upward;Volumes — upward;Candlestick analysis — upward;Trend analysis — upward;Bollinger Bands — upward;Weekly chart — upward.Overall conclusion: upward trend. Alternative scenario: From the level of 1.1512 (the close of Friday's daily candle), the price may begin moving upward …
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What to Know: Saylor’s ‘I Won’t Back Down’ message comes as Bitcoin slides toward $80K–$85K, pressuring leveraged players and reigniting crash warnings. Strategy’s 649K+ BTC stack remains profitable on paper, but the stock premium has nearly vanished, testing investor patience with the treasury bet. U.Today+1 Bitcoin Hyper aims to solve Bitcoin’s throughput, fees, and programmability issues with an SVM-based Layer-2 that keeps Bitcoin as the settlement layer. The $HYPER presale has raised over $28M, offers around 41% staking rewards, and targets multi-X upside if its Layer-2 roadmap and ecosystem delivery succeed. Bitcoin just pulled off one of the nastiest rug-pull-l…
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XRP’s decline in recent weeks has led to questions among holders who worry that Ripple may be pushed into selling more of its XRP reserves to maintain operations. This concern resurfaced as discussions around Ripple’s shifting business model gained traction, especially with the company’s RLUSD stablecoin. The conversation was held on the social media platform X, where Ripple’s Chief Technology Officer, David Schwartz, stepped in to address whether a lower XRP price could force Ripple into additional token sales. Ripple CTO Says Falling Prices Do Not Increase Selling Pressure Schwartz’s comment came as a response after a user argued that Ripple might gradually shift its…
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In roughly two weeks, the Bitcoin price has plunged by over 24%, extending losses from October 10. As it stands, digital gold is down a massive 32% from its all-time high. Whether or not the BTC USD price will recover remains to be seen. The good news for optimistic bulls is that the Bitcoin price is stabilizing, even edging higher over the week. Interestingly, though these entities have been selling for months now, other entities, including firms like MicroStrategy, MetaPlanet, and spot Bitcoin ETFs, have been accumulating. Still, it remains to be seen whether this trend will continue. However, with fewer coins in the hands of LTHs, it may signal that the market i…
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