Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
11966 tópicos neste fórum
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The GBP/USD pair reversed a slight decline against the backdrop of moderate dollar weakness but has so far failed to hold above the round level of 1.3100. However, uncertainty regarding the upcoming UK budget and rising expectations of a December interest rate cut by the Bank of England remain a restraining factor for spot price growth. From a technical perspective, the downward break of the important 200-day simple moving average (SMA) last month was seen as a key trigger for bears. Furthermore, oscillators on the daily chart remain deep in negative territory, confirming the likelihood of sellers appearing just above the round level of 1.3100, near the 9-day EMA. Surpass…
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Bitcoin’s six-week collapse has erased over $40,000 from its price, yet—according to Jeff Park, CIO at ProCap BTC and Bitwise advisor—the more important story may lie not in spot markets but in volatility. In his November 22 Substack post “Where Does Bitcoin Go From Here?”, Park argues that “market structure has flipped sharply negative,” citing ETF outflows, the Coinbase discount, structural selling, and liquidations of over-levered longs. But beneath that surface stress, he says, “something in the structure of Bitcoin’s volatility markets is stirring again—something that looks more like the old Bitcoin, not the new one.” Sudden Twist In Bitcoin Skew Has Expert On High…
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Trade Analysis and Advice for Trading the British Pound The price test at 1.3092 occurred when the MACD indicator had already moved significantly downward from the zero line, which limited the pair's downward potential. For this reason, I did not sell the pound. With no major statistics released, the pound showed very low volatility. Market attention is focused on Rishi Sunak's new budget, which will be presented on November 26. The market expects the new budget to include measures to stimulate economic growth and plans for reducing public debt. Investors will carefully watch for any signals that might indicate future monetary policy from the Bank of England. Unfortunatel…
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Trade Analysis and Advice for Trading the European Currency The price test at 1.1530 occurred when the MACD indicator had just started moving upward from the zero line, confirming a correct entry point for buying the euro. However, this did not lead to a significant rise in the pair. Given fairly decent IFO data from Germany, demand for the euro persisted during the first half of the day. However, optimism remained cautious, as the overall economic picture in Europe is still uncertain. Investors are also closely monitoring geopolitical developments. Progress in resolving the Russia-Ukraine conflict could encourage purchases of risky assets, including the euro. Traders sho…
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Most Read: Markets Weekly Outlook - UK Budget in Focus as Global Equities Eye Recovery Market participants are eyeing the US Dollar Index (DXY) as it hovers above the crucial 100.00 barrier. The greenbacks recent rally has been impressive but may fail to gain traction unless acceptance is achieved beyond the 100.00 psychological level. A break above the 100.00 psychological level is no surprise to market participants as we have seen two forays beyond this handle in recent weeks. Having broken below the 100.00 mark in May of 2025, the DXY has attempted two recoveries prior to the current one. The result? A significant materialized each time the DXY attempted a push hig…
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South Africa’s Harmony Gold (JSE: HAR)(NYSE: HMY) has approved construction of its $1.6 billion Eva copper project in Australia, setting a three-year build that begins in the third quarter of 2026, with first production expected in the second half of 2028. Harmony aims to lift its copper output to about 100,000 tonnes a year once Eva is online, a target that includes volumes from its recent $1 billion-acquisition of MAC Copper, owner of the 41,000-tonne-a-year CSA mine in New South Wales. Chief executive Beyers Nel said Eva and the MAC Copper acquisition give Harmony a broader base of metals exposure that strengthens cash flow across commodity cycles. Harmony …
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GBP/USD Brief Analysis: Since the beginning of this year, the GBP/USD main pair has formed an upward wave. Over the past six months, prices have formed a stretched corrective plane. Since November 4, a new upward wave structure with reversal potential has been forming in the sideways plane. Weekly Forecast: In the next couple of days, the pound is expected to continue moving sideways along the support zone. In the second half of the week, increased activity, a reversal, and the start of a bullish price movement may occur. A brief penetration of the lower boundary of calculated support cannot be ruled out. Potential Reversal Zones: Resistance: 1.3230–1.3280Support: 1.30…
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EUR/USD Analysis:The direction of the euro's price movement in its main pair has been set by a downward wave since July of this year. On the daily chart, this section serves as a correction of the previous upward trend. The wave structure is not yet complete. Since September 16, the final part (C) of this wave structure has been developing. Forecast:At the beginning of the upcoming week, a flat sideways movement is expected. A downward vector is possible. Increased volatility, a reversal, and the start of a price rise toward resistance zones may be expected in the second half of the week. Nearby counter zones will limit the weekly movement of the pair. Potential Revers…
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On Friday, the EUR/USD pair performed a false breakout of the 76.4% corrective level at 1.1517 and failed to continue the downward movement. Thus, the trend remains bearish, but the bulls have not yet lost all chances for their own trend. If they resume their advance this week, the bullish trend will still have a chance to form. At the moment, the quotes have consolidated above the 1.1517 level, which allows us to expect continued growth toward the 61.8% Fibonacci level at 1.1594. The wave situation on the hourly chart remains simple and clear. The last upward wave did not break the previous peak, while the most recent completed downward wave broke the previous low. Th…
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On the hourly chart, the GBP/USD pair on Friday returned to the 161.8% corrective level at 1.3110. A rebound of the quotes today from the resistance zone of 1.3110–1.3139 will favor the U.S. dollar and a slight decline toward the 200.0% Fibonacci level at 1.3024. A consolidation of the pair above the 1.3110–1.3139 level will allow us to expect continued growth toward the 127.2% corrective level at 1.3186. The wave situation remains completely bearish. The last upward wave failed to break the previous high, while the most recent completed downward wave broke the previous low. Unfortunately for the pound, the fundamental background has worsened for it in recent weeks, ma…
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The U.S. dollar has struggled to grow after reports that internal disagreements within the Federal Reserve have intensified in recent weeks. Officials have taken different positions ahead of the central bank's December monetary policy meeting — all while Chair Jerome Powell has remained silent since his last remarks following the Fed's October meeting. The situation escalated late last week when New York Federal Reserve President John Williams, sometimes regarded as a confidant of the Fed Chair, voiced support for a rate cut after several other policymakers had spoken out against it. A series of recent statements indicates that other voting members of the Federal Open Ma…
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Trend Analysis (Fig. 1). On Monday, the market, from the level of 1.3096 (the close of Friday's daily candle), may continue moving upward toward 1.3148 — a historical resistance level (blue dashed line). When testing this level, the price may begin moving downward toward 1.3127 — the support line (red bold line). Fig. 1 (daily chart). Comprehensive Analysis: Indicator analysis — upward;Fibonacci levels — upward;Volumes — upward;Candlestick analysis — upward;Trend analysis — upward;Bollinger Bands — upward;Weekly chart — upward.Overall conclusion: upward trend. Alternative scenario: From the level of 1.3096 (the close of Friday's daily candle), the price may continue movi…
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The crypto space could soon see a wave of fresh US capital flood the markets, following President Trump’s promise of a $2,000 ‘DOGE Dividend’ cheque to citizens after the end of a record-breaking Government shutdown. A liquidity injection into the crypto market could come at a perfect time, as Bitcoin is trading at a massive discount at $86,000, down -32% from its October 6 all-time high of $126,000. The 43-day shutdown in the United States also froze the US Government’s main account at the Federal Reserve. There was plenty of money flowing in during that period, but spending was blocked. Now, Trump has ended the budget dispute with a signature, and the funds are gradual…
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Trend Analysis. This week, the price at the level of 1.3096 (the closing of the last weekly candle) may begin to move upwards with a target of 1.3270 – a historical resistance level (blue dashed line). When testing this level, the price may pull back down to a target of 1.3224 – the 8-period EMA (blue thin line). Comprehensive Analysis: Indicator analysis – up;Fibonacci levels – up;Volumes – up;Candlestick analysis – up;Trend analysis – up;Bollinger Bands – up;Monthly chart – up.Conclusion from Comprehensive Analysis: Upward trend. Overall assessment of the GBP/USD weekly candle calculation: the price is most likely to have an upward trend this week, with the absence o…
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Trend Analysis (Fig. 1). This week, the market, from the level of 1.1512 (the close of the last weekly candle), may begin moving upward toward 1.1663 — the 14.6% retracement level (red dashed line). When testing this level, the price may retrace downward toward 1.1592 — the 38.2% retracement level (blue dashed line). Fig. 1 (weekly chart). Comprehensive Analysis: Indicator analysis — upward;Fibonacci levels — upward;Volumes — upward;Candlestick analysis — upward;Trend analysis — upward;Bollinger Bands — upward;Monthly chart — upward.Conclusion from the comprehensive analysis: upward trend. Overall forecast for the weekly EUR/USD candle: the price this week will most li…
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Trend Analysis (Fig. 1). On Monday, the market, from the level of 1.1512 (the close of Friday's daily candle), may begin moving upward toward 1.1556 — a historical resistance level (blue dashed line). Upon reaching this level, a downward move is possible toward 1.1546 — the 8-period EMA (thin blue line). Fig. 1 (daily chart). Comprehensive Analysis: Indicator analysis — upward;Fibonacci levels — upward;Volumes — upward;Candlestick analysis — upward;Trend analysis — upward;Bollinger Bands — upward;Weekly chart — upward.Overall conclusion: upward trend. Alternative scenario: From the level of 1.1512 (the close of Friday's daily candle), the price may begin moving upward …
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What to Know: Saylor’s ‘I Won’t Back Down’ message comes as Bitcoin slides toward $80K–$85K, pressuring leveraged players and reigniting crash warnings. Strategy’s 649K+ BTC stack remains profitable on paper, but the stock premium has nearly vanished, testing investor patience with the treasury bet. U.Today+1 Bitcoin Hyper aims to solve Bitcoin’s throughput, fees, and programmability issues with an SVM-based Layer-2 that keeps Bitcoin as the settlement layer. The $HYPER presale has raised over $28M, offers around 41% staking rewards, and targets multi-X upside if its Layer-2 roadmap and ecosystem delivery succeed. Bitcoin just pulled off one of the nastiest rug-pull-l…
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XRP’s decline in recent weeks has led to questions among holders who worry that Ripple may be pushed into selling more of its XRP reserves to maintain operations. This concern resurfaced as discussions around Ripple’s shifting business model gained traction, especially with the company’s RLUSD stablecoin. The conversation was held on the social media platform X, where Ripple’s Chief Technology Officer, David Schwartz, stepped in to address whether a lower XRP price could force Ripple into additional token sales. Ripple CTO Says Falling Prices Do Not Increase Selling Pressure Schwartz’s comment came as a response after a user argued that Ripple might gradually shift its…
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In roughly two weeks, the Bitcoin price has plunged by over 24%, extending losses from October 10. As it stands, digital gold is down a massive 32% from its all-time high. Whether or not the BTC USD price will recover remains to be seen. The good news for optimistic bulls is that the Bitcoin price is stabilizing, even edging higher over the week. Interestingly, though these entities have been selling for months now, other entities, including firms like MicroStrategy, MetaPlanet, and spot Bitcoin ETFs, have been accumulating. Still, it remains to be seen whether this trend will continue. However, with fewer coins in the hands of LTHs, it may signal that the market i…
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BHP (ASX, NYSE, LON: BHP) has dropped its latest approach to buy Anglo American (LON: AAL) after attempting to disrupt Anglo’s planned $53-billion merger with Canada’s Teck Resources (TSX: TECK.A/TECK.B). The world’s largest miner contacted Anglo’s board last week as Teck and Anglo shareholders prepared for a Dec. 9 vote on the deal. BHP withdrew the offer Monday, saying it still sees strategic merit in a tie-up but remains confident in its own growth plan. “While BHP continues to believe that a combination with Anglo American would have had strong strategic merits and created significant value for all shareholders, BHP is confident in the highly compelling poten…
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Market Insights Podcast (24/11/2025): As we start week 48, join OANDA Senior Market Analyst Kelvin Wong and podcast host Jonny Hart as they discuss the end-of-week rally in US equities, the upcoming UK budget on Wednesday, ever-changing expectations of the FOMC meeting in December, as well as the latest on the FX markets, including JPY and AUD. Join OANDA Senior Market Analyst Kelvin Wong and podcast host Jonny Hart as they review the latest market news and moves. MarketPulse provides up-to-the-minute analysis on forex, commodities and indices from around the world. MarketPulse is an award-winning news site that delivers round-the-clock commentary on a wide range…
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Is this a crypto dead-cat-bounce? Or, have bulls finally found a floor? As is clear, Bitcoin is firm above $82,000, and one of the most closely watched coins, Hedera crypto, is among the top performers in the last day. While the HBAR USD price remains in tatters, down 19% in the last week. However, it has mostly been in the green over the past 24 hours. Up nearly 5%, HBAR crypto appears to be shaking off weakness and possibly readying for an explosive surge, unwinding recent losses. Market Cap 24h 7d 30d 1y All Time If HBAR USDT breaks above $0.16, it ma…
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What to Know: Strategy’s $836M Bitcoin buy during a drawdown reinforces institutional conviction in $BTC even as volatility spikes and macro signals stay noisy. Renewed expectations for further Fed rate cuts in 2025 support the broader risk-asset case, potentially extending the current crypto cycle into next year. Wallet infrastructure, Bitcoin scaling, and stablecoin payment rails are positioned as structural winners if on-chain activity and ETF-driven adoption keep growing. Best Wallet Token, Bitcoin Hyper, and Tron each tap into those narratives with different risk profiles: high-yield presales on one side, a revenue-generating Layer-1 on the other. The crypto mark…
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An interesting setup observed by crypto analyst Bitguru could suggest that the Dogecoin price is on the path to another major recovery. This setup has previously led to major rallies in the past, having produced similar results at two separate times. Thus, it is not a stretch that the crypto analyst expects that Dogecoin will replicate this move once the setup is complete again. Dogecoin Moving Out Of Consolidation The trend that the crypto analyst highlights has to do with the overall trend and movement of the Dogecoin price during each rally. So far, each rally seems to be mirroring the others quite closely, with the same set of things playing out each time and leading…
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A global chess match is unfolding over the control of copper, rare earths, and other critical minerals that will influence the balance of power for decades. While debate often centres on Washington, Beijing, and the industrial hubs of Europe and East Asia, one of the most consequential fronts lies far from the usual geopolitical spotlight. Balochistan, a remote and historically overlooked region in western Pakistan, has quietly become a contested space between competing development models. China has deepened its footprint through the Saindak Mine and the China Pakistan Economic Corridor, while the West is returning with force through Barrick Mining’s $9 billion Reko Diq c…
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