Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
6955 tópicos neste fórum
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GBP/USD 5-Minute Analysis On Wednesday, the GBP/USD currency pair also continued its upward movement until late in the evening. The pound sterling continues to rise steadily and confidently, with all necessary factors supporting it. U.K. data published this week did not spoil the picture for the pound. The British economy is far from being in its best shape, but that's not the main factor for traders right now. At most, domestic reports could have triggered a minor local pullback, while the pound is capable of growing even without supportive data from the U.K. Yesterday, inflation was released and came exactly in line with forecasts. In August, headline CPI remained u…
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On Wednesday, the EUR/USD pair traded more calmly than on Tuesday, when euro quotes were rising throughout the day in geometric progression. Of course, this applies only to the time before the Fed's meeting results and Powell's press conference. As usual, we won't review either the meeting outcome or the post-event market movements here. We continue to believe that such important events require time for thorough analysis. Moreover, markets often trade impulsively and emotionally on those days, so technical conclusions cannot be drawn from the immediate moves. Quite often, the Fed's meeting swings don't fit into the overall technical picture at all, and are better ignored …
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Changpeng “CZ” Zhao has stirred fresh talk that he may be stepping back into a bigger public role at Binance after a sudden change to his X profile and a string of developments around the exchange. Market moves and reports about talks with US law enforcement have fed the chatter, but legal limits remain a central part of the story. Profile Change Sparks Speculation Based on reports, CZ updated his X profile from “ex-@binance” back to “@binance,” a small public tweak that many traders and observers took as a hint he might reengage with the company he founded. The market reacted quickly. BNB, Binance’s native token, climbed and in some feeds was shown near $962.29 on Se…
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Ethereum (ETH) has been consolidating between $4,200 and $4,700 after setting an all-time high last August. While many investors anticipate a strong fourth quarter, Citigroup has issued a tempered outlook, projecting ETH to close the year at $4,300. According to a Reuters report, Citi attributes Ethereum’s demand to the growing adoption of tokenization and stablecoins. However, the bank cautions that much of ETH’s recent price action may be fueled by market sentiment rather than fundamentals. The note highlighted, “Current prices are above activity estimates, potentially driven by buying pressure and excitement over use-cases.” ETF Flows and Diverging Analyst Predi…
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Despite a recent bout of market volatility, Ethereum’s bullish sentiment remains strong. With ETH holding strong above key support levels, its growing institutional demand and dominance in DeFi and staking, many believe the foundation for a new all-time high is already in place. What Could Derail Ethereum’s Path To A New ATH? In an X post, crypto investor CryptoELITES pointed out that Ethereum is still on track for a new all-time high. The ETH chart is exhibiting a similar pattern to previous cycles, bouncing off a bottom trendline. If the pattern holds, it implies that Ethereum has re-entered its main growth channel, the very setup that led to explosive rallies in pri…
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Most Read: Bank of Japan (BoJ) Meeting Preview: Maintaining the Status Quo. Implications for USD/JPY USD/CAD is at a crossroads in many ways and the technicals are showing some interesting patterns. Given that both the Fed and BoC chose to cut rates today could the technicals lead the way in the weeks to come? There is a possibility that the technicals could dominate for now but moving forward I expect the pace of rate cuts to come into play as well as the performance of Oil prices, which will impact the Canadian Dollar. Technical Analysis - USD/CAD Back to the technicals though and following the trendline breakout at the end of July and rally to just above the 1.3900 …
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Cardano (ADA) is trading at $0.876 with a daily volume of $1.28 billion, but sellers remain in control after a sharp 7% decline over two days. On-chain data from Santiment shows the Network Realized Profit/Loss (NPL) metric spiking to its highest level since July, signaling that many investors are cashing out profits. This wave of profit-taking, while not a sign of structural weakness, has capped ADA’s recovery attempts. Analysts emphasize that defending the $0.87–$0.85 support range will be crucial to maintaining ADA’s broader bullish outlook. Technical Outlook: Will ADA Break or Hold? From a technical perspective, Cardano (ADA) is struggling beneath the 50-EMA at …
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Just yesterday, I wrote about Trump's demand for the European Union to impose tariffs on India and China as part of his strategy against Russia. The very framing of this issue raises countless questions, but that's how things stand in Washington. Trump, who had praised Russia for several months, clearly expected that his flattery would help stop the war in Ukraine. In practice, however, the situation turned out differently, and the White House is dissatisfied. He continues to insist that Volodymyr Zelensky and Vladimir Putin must sign a peace agreement, but more than a month has passed since the historic Trump–Putin meeting in Alaska, which was supposed to kickstart negot…
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The pound against the dollar continues testing the resistance level of 1.3650 (upper Bollinger Bands line on the D1 timeframe), despite the general strengthening of the greenback. After Tuesday's sharp drop to 95.96, the U.S. dollar index on Wednesday is attempting to recover at least partially. DXY has returned to the 96 range, and major dollar pairs adjusted accordingly, reflecting the greenback's rebound. However, GBP/USD stands apart: despite the dollar's recovery, the pound keeps pressing the 1.3650 barrier. The UK inflation report, published on Wednesday, favored GBP/USD buyers, as it confirmed persistently high inflation levels, giving the Bank of England ground…
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But aren't they guilty themselves? It turns out Scott Bessent also listed two of his houses as his primary residence. Donald Trump called such actions by Lisa Cook mortgage fraud and a reason to dismiss her from her position as FOMC governor. Should the Treasury Secretary be fired as well? The U.S. president often presents wishful thinking as fact. This also applies to his calls for the Fed to cut the federal funds rate by 50 basis points or more. According to him, the central bank should listen to someone as smart as he is. A massive sell-off of the U.S. dollar allowed EUR/USD to soar to 4-year highs. The euro has never risen so fast during the first nine months of a yea…
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Gold stepped back ahead of the Fed's verdict. Few doubt that the central bank will cut the federal funds rate by 25 basis points to 4.25%. However, the number of dissenters, signals about future monetary policy, and the dot plot forecast will be critical for XAU/USD. The precious metal had long been rising and reached record highs, but investors chose to play it safe before this key event. The best environment for gold is stagflation. It has never fallen in the 21st century during periods when U.S. inflation was rising while the Fed was cutting rates. In this regard, the acceleration of consumer prices in August to 2.9% y/y, coupled with expectations of a renewed monetary…
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Most Read: USD/JPY Technical: Yen eyeing a medium-term bullish breakout against USD from a 5-month range The Bank of Japan is broadly expected to keep its policy rate at 0.5% during its meeting on September 19, 2025. The future economic outlook remains cautious because of political uncertainty within Japan and challenges from international trade. …
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Eric Trump on Tuesday described Bitcoin as a “modern-day gold,” calling it a liquid store of value that can act as a hedge to real estate and other assets. According to reports, the remark came during a TV appearance on CNBC’s Squawk Box, tied to the launch of American Bitcoin, the mining and treasury firm he helped start. Company Holdings And Strategy Based on public filings and company summaries, American Bitcoin has accumulated 2,443 BTC on its balance sheet. That stash has been valued in the low hundreds of millions of dollars at recent spot prices. The firm mixes large-scale mining with the goal of holding Bitcoin as a strategic reserve, which it says will help i…
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Today’s Federal Reserve Rate Cut Is Just the Start, Gold Still Climbing The Federal Reserve cut interest rates by a quarter point today, marking the start of an important new monetary easing cycle. In an 11-1 vote, central bankers lowered the Fed’s benchmark rate to 4.00-4.25%. The lone dissent came from newly appointed Governor Stephan Miran, who wanted a half-point rate cut. A majority of Fed officials indicated they expect at least two more interest rate cuts in 2025, suggesting easing at the October and December meetings. After hitting a new record high earlier this week, gold pulled back after the Fed news. Today’s Fed rate cut was widely expected, and short-term t…
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Today’s Federal Reserve Rate Cut Is Just the Start, Gold Still Climbing The Federal Reserve cut interest rates by a quarter point today, marking the start of an important new monetary easing cycle. In an 11-1 vote, central bankers lowered the Fed’s benchmark rate to 4.00-4.25%. The lone dissent came from newly appointed Governor Stephan Miran, who wanted a half-point rate cut. A majority of Fed officials indicated they expect at least two more interest rate cuts in 2025, suggesting easing at the October and December meetings. After hitting a new record high earlier this week, gold pulled back after the Fed news. Today’s Fed rate cut was widely expected, and short-term t…
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On-chain data shows that XRP whales are currently offloading their coins, which paints a bearish outlook for the altcoin. This comes as XRP struggles to stay above the psychological $3 level and risks dropping to new lows. XRP Whales Offload $480 Million Coins In Two Weeks Santiment data shows that XRP whales have dumped 160 million coins ($480 million) since around September 4, when their holdings peaked at around 6.95 billion. Since then, their XRP holdings have dropped from 6.95 billion to around 6.77 billion. These whales hold between 1 million and 10 million tokens. There is also a similar pattern among whales holding 10 million to 100 million coins and those ho…
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Log in to today's North American session Market wrap for September 17 Both the Bank of Canada (2.75% → 2.50%) and the Federal Reserve (4.50% → 4.25%) cut their rates today which helped to sustain some decent strength in the Canadian Dollar despite pretty negative talks on the Canadian Economy at the decision. The FED actually provided a fairly hawkish cut when looking at the speech from Powell. The Federal Reserve Chair emphasized the decision being centered around the labor market despite economic activity being more than decent. Jerome Powell did mention the resilience of the American consumer and the stable inflation expectation throughout his press conference – This…
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Solana is strengthening its bullish outlook, with recent price action showing firm momentum above key moving averages. This strength underscores growing buyer confidence and highlights a market structure tilted in favor of further gains. With support levels holding and momentum indicators flashing strength, SOL appears to be building the foundation for its next leg higher in the ongoing bull run. Solana Holds Above Key Moving Averages, Reinforcing Bullish Bias Gemxbt, in a recent post, pointed out that SOL is displaying a strong bullish market structure, with its price action now trading above the 5, 10, and 20-period moving averages. Such alignment of short-term moving …
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The Japanese yen continues sideways consolidation ahead of the Fed's rate decision. Growing recognition that the Bank of Japan will maintain its policy of normalization, combined with cautious market sentiment, has been one of the main factors supporting the yen as a safe-haven currency. At the same time, traders remain restrained and avoid taking aggressive positions ahead of key central bank policy events. The U.S. Federal Reserve is expected to announce its rate decision today, with at least a 25-basis-point cut anticipated amid signs of labor market weakness. This contrasts sharply with the hawkish expectations for the Bank of Japan. The resignation of Japanese Prime …
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Bitcoin has observed a recovery surge toward $117,000 as on-chain data shows Binance users have been making consistent withdrawals recently. Binance Bitcoin Netflow Has Been Negative Recently As pointed out by CryptoQuant community analyst Maartunn in a Quicktake post, BTC has been flowing out of Binance recently. The on-chain indicator of relevance here is the “Exchange Netflow,” which keeps track of the net amount of Bitcoin that’s entering into or exiting out of the wallets connected to a given centralized exchange. When the value of this metric is positive, it means the inflows are overwhelming the outflows on the platform. Generally, one of the main reasons why inv…
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Today, gold prices are correcting from the record high reached on Tuesday, amid a moderate recovery in the U.S. dollar. The U.S. dollar has paused its decline as markets reposition ahead of the key FOMC rate decision, which has put slight pressure on the precious metal. As a result, gold ended its three-day winning streak after setting a new all-time high. Nevertheless, downward potential remains limited. Investors are convinced that the Federal Reserve will resume its rate-cutting cycle, with two cuts expected before the end of this year. This outlook caps further U.S. dollar strength and supports gold, keeping it near historical highs. In addition, geopolitical risks st…
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The wave structure for GBP/USD continues to indicate the formation of an upward impulsive wave sequence. The wave pattern is almost identical to EUR/USD, as the only "driver" remains the U.S. dollar. Demand for the dollar is declining across the market (in the medium term), so many instruments are showing nearly identical dynamics. At the moment, the formation of the assumed wave 5 continues, within which waves 1 and 2 have already been formed. The current wave structure raises no doubts. It should be remembered that much in the currency market now depends on Donald Trump's policies, and not only trade policy. Occasionally, positive news emerges from the U.S., but the mar…
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The much expected FOMC cut finally took place, and it is offering a lot of action throughout markets. The rate is now officially at 4.25% (Between 4% to 4.25%). An additional 50 bps is planned by the FED for the rest of the year. As expected Miran dissented for a 50 bps, the dot plot is a bit more dovish than expected. After the volatile past few days, particularly in FX markets and commodities, [...] took the seat of the most violent movements. You can access the official FOMC statement right here. Summary of Economic Projections can be found right here. Also do not forget to log in at 14:30 E.T. to Jerome Powell's Live Press conference through this link. Let's tak…
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How to Protect Retirement Accounts from Lawsuits Executive Summary Market swings aren’t your only risk in retirement. Legal threats can also erode savings unless you deliberately protect retirement accounts from lawsuits with the right mix of plan selection, documentation, insurance, and timing. This guide turns complex rules into practical steps you can use this year. Why Lawsuit Risk Matters in Retirement Many retirees assume their nest egg is untouchable. However, not all accounts and situations receive equal protection. Personal liability claims, business disputes, divorce orders, tax issues, and poor documentation can expose assets you thought were safe. Your goa…
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Pi Coin is struggling to register any bullish momentum, and all indicators suggest this might continue into the foreseeable future. Since its launch, the Pi Network price has crashed by about 88%, which has left many early supporters and holders worried about its future. Recent market data shows that the decline can be attributed to massive token unlocks and weak liquidity on crypto exchanges. Furthermore, new developments show that unless market dynamics improve, Pi Network may face even more declines in the coming months. Heavy Selling Pressure Pi Due To Token Unlocks Pi’s price action has been full of downtrends, with data showing the cryptocurrency down across multip…
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