Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
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Trade analysis and advice on trading the British pound The test of the 1.3104 level occurred when the MACD indicator had already moved significantly below the zero line, which limited the pound's downward potential. For this reason, I did not sell the pound and stayed out of the market. The euphoria that followed yesterday's Bank of England decision to keep interest rates unchanged—while hinting at possible policy easing later this year—proved short-lived. Despite the Bank's efforts to maintain stability, the key factor driving the pound right now remains political uncertainty. The incomplete budget process poses significant risks for the economy, as the lack of a clear f…
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Trade analysis and advice on trading the Japanese yen No tests of the key levels I outlined occurred during the first half of the day, and the pair's volatility left much to be desired. In the second half of the session, demand for the U.S. dollar against the yen is expected to return only if the University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index and inflation expectations data turn out strong. There will also be a speech by FOMC member Philip N. Jefferson. The market closely monitors consumer sentiment data because it reflects the current state of the economy and households' willingness to spend. Strong figures may indicate an improvement in economic conditions and, as a re…
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The AUD/JPY pair is attempting to recover from the round level of 99.00. However, the fundamental backdrop remains tilted in favor of the bears, suggesting a higher likelihood of continued downside after the recent pullback from 101.20, the yearly high recorded in October. Data released today from Japan point to signs of weakening private consumption. Combined with the newly announced stimulus program of Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi, this may prompt the Bank of Japan to refrain from tightening monetary policy. Such a scenario does not raise traders' expectations for yen appreciation, which helps support the AUD/JPY pair. However, the minutes of the Bank of Japan's Septem…
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Newmont’s (NYSE: NEM) restructuring plan after its acquisition of Newcrest Mining has impacted around 16% of its entire workforce, according to a memo seen by Reuters. In late August, Bloomberg reported that the world’s largest gold miner would carry out a sweeping restructuring plan following its $17 billion buy of Australia’s Newcrest in 2023. The plan, reflecting Newmont’s efforts to streamline operations and integrate the two companies, could lead to thousands of job losses, Bloomberg said. As part of this integration, Newmont launched an overhaul project, known internally as ‘Project Catalyst’ — as revealed by Reuters. Restructuring complete Citing a c…
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XRP is holding firm on the weekly time frame despite the latest market-wide drawdown, according to an Elliott Wave roadmap shared by crypto technician Hov (@HovWaves). On Hov’s Bitstamp-based 1W chart, the current candle sits near $2.22 with three days and several hours left to close, and the structure remains nested inside a higher-time-frame impulse that he counts as wave iii completed, wave iv in progress, and a prospective wave v aiming materially higher. Is The XRP Bottom In? The key reference band for pullbacks is defined by Fibonacci retracements measured from the latest vertical advance. Hov plots the 0.236 retracement at $2.094, the 0.382 at $1.548, the 0.5 at …
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Gold prices advanced on Friday to recover from a weekly loss, as traders weigh their outlook on US monetary policy following the release of private sector jobs data. Spot gold rose almost 0.5% to $3,995 an ounce by midday, having briefly touched the $4,000 level earlier. US gold futures saw similar gains, trading at just above $4,005 an ounce in New York. Click on chart for live prices. The move follows Thursday’s private US data showing the biggest October job cuts in more than 20 years, which sparked concerns about a softer labor market and boosted expectations of another Federal Reserve interest rate cut — a scenario that would benefit gold. “The private …
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Oil has been one of the least performing commodities throughout 2025, despite being subject to heightened volatility. While it saw spikes in June 2025 following the Iran-Israel 12-day war (from $63 to $78!) and bouts of Ukraine-Russia related news, bearish fundamentals have largely brought the commodity lower. The combination of several major factors has kept selling pressure on Oil: Economic sanctions designed to hurt Russian exportsA general slowdown in global tradeHigher outputs from OPEC+ members who have been flooding the market due to internal issues. …
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Consumer sentiment plunged in November 2025, with the University of Michigan index dropping 6.2% month-over-month to 50.3 — nearly 30% lower than a year agoLayoffs surged to 153,074 in October, up 175% year-over-year, marking the highest level since 2020, as companies cut costs and accelerate automationPrivate-sector jobs rose modestly by 42,000 in October, while wage growth stagnated at 4.5% year-over-year, signaling a cooling but still balanced labor market November 2025 brought a series of troubling signals from the U.S. economy, deepening concerns about its future direction. The latest data on consumer sentiment and the labor market indicate growing caution from bo…
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US Spot Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs finally broke their six-day losing streak on November 6, posting their first day of net inflows after nearly a week of continuous capital outflows. Data from SoSoValue shows that Bitcoin ETFs drew $240.03 million in new investments over the past 24 hours, while Ethereum ETFs gained $12.51 million. Solana ETFs, meanwhile, continued to show remarkable consistency, bringing in $29.22 million in daily inflows. That figure extended Solana’s winning streak to eight consecutive days of positive capital movement, even as other major digital-asset ETFs struggled to maintain momentum. A Strong Debut For Solana ETFs Data shows that Solana ETFs lau…
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Market Force – The Real Reason Markets Move Market Force In every financial market, forex, stocks, commodities, or crypto, price movement boils down to one fundamental principle: the balance between supply and demand. While traders often rely on technical analysis or news events to guide decisions, the underlying driver of every market move is the same: when supply and demand fall out of balance, prices must adjust until equilibrium is restored. Market Force – Supply and Demand Drive Every Market Move Markets are in a constant quest for equilibrium. When there are more buyers than sellers, prices rise. When sellers outweigh buyers, prices fall. This ongoing tug of war c…
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According to Bayberry Capital, XRP’s market price does not match its real-world role. The hedge fund firm argues the token is often judged like a speculative coin when it actually serves as plumbing for moving value between financial systems. The research compares the current stage of XRP to early internet infrastructure — quiet work laying the base while prices drift — and says many investors miss that deeper build-out. Ripple CEO Brad Garlinghouse has also stressed the token’s role across multiple settlement uses, reports show. Bayberry Capital Warns Mispricing Reports have disclosed that the investment house sees XRP as a liquidity tool, not just a tradable asset. I…
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The Ethereum price dropped nearly 25% this quarter, slipping to lows around $3,099 before stabilizing around $3,300 amid broad market weakness and rising U.S.–China trade tensions. Data from Lookonchain revealed that three new wallets withdrew 4,920 ETH (worth $16.25 million) from Tornado Cash, a move coinciding with a 13% weekly price drop. Analysts linked the pattern to large-scale repositioning by whales, with some addresses previously associated with HEX founder Richard Heart, who reportedly transferred over 162,000 ETH ($619 million) into Tornado Cash earlier this year. Despite the sell-off, the Crypto Fear & Greed Index remained in “Extreme Fear” at 21/100, …
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Silver has long been a favored precious metal for investors who want to strengthen and diversify their portfolios with tangible assets. For many U.S. pre-retirees and retirees, silver can play an important role in protecting retirement savings from inflation, market volatility, and long-term currency risk. Physical silver is available in several forms, but silver bars and silver coins remain the most popular choices. Understanding the differences between these two options can help investors make decisions that align with their goals, especially when building a diversified precious metals strategy or funding a self-directed Gold IRA. The Difference Between Silver Bars and …
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Introduction Every so often, a coin comes along that feels more like a secret than a piece of currency. The 1870 $3 Gold Coin is one of those secrets, a golden whisper from a bygone era when America was expanding westward, railroads were weaving the nation together, and gold was still king. Today, it stands as one of the most fascinating survivors of 19th-century U.S. Mint history. Though its face value seems modest by modern standards, the $3 gold piece represents a short-lived experiment in monetary innovation and a window into the ambitions of a young, growing nation. The Origin of the $3 Gold Coin The $3 gold denomination was born out of practicality, or at least, t…
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Introduction Every so often, a coin comes along that feels more like a secret than a piece of currency. The 1870 $3 Gold Coin is one of those secrets, a golden whisper from a bygone era when America was expanding westward, railroads were weaving the nation together, and gold was still king. Today, it stands as one of the most fascinating survivors of 19th-century U.S. Mint history. Though its face value seems modest by modern standards, the $3 gold piece represents a short-lived experiment in monetary innovation and a window into the ambitions of a young, growing nation. The Origin of the $3 Gold Coin The $3 gold denomination was born out of practicality, or at least, t…
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The wave pattern on the 4-hour EUR/USD chart has changed — unfortunately, not for the better. It's still too early to conclude that the upward segment of the trend has ended, but the latest decline in the euro forced a revision of the wave count. Now we can observe a series of corrective structures, which likely form part of the global wave 4 within the broader upward trend. In this case, wave 4 has taken on an unusually extended form, but the overall wave pattern remains coherent. The construction of the upward trend segment continues, and the news background still largely fails to support the U.S. dollar. The trade war initiated by Donald Trump continues. The conflict b…
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For GBP/USD, the wave structure continues to indicate the formation of an upward trend segment (see lower chart), although in recent weeks it has taken on a complex and ambiguous form (see upper chart). The pound has declined too sharply, making the trend segment that began on August 1 appear uncertain. It is likely that wave c of 4 has taken the shape of a five-wave corrective pattern. If that is indeed the case, then the rise in quotations should resume within a new upward wave sequence, forming part of the anticipated wave 5. The downward wave sequence that began on September 17 could theoretically become even more extended and complex. However, in any case, it still h…
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Speculations across the crypto space have ignited a wave of excitement for the XRP price as rumors linking BlackRock, the world’s largest asset manager, and Ripple, a crypto payments company, continue to spread. The possibility of XRP reaching $1,000 before the end of 2025 has become the latest hot topic, fueled by bold claims from top analysts who believe that this rumored partnership could set the stage for one of the most explosive bull runs in this cycle. BlackRock And Ripple Rumors To Send XRP Price To $1,000 Crypto market analyst ‘The Real Remi Relief’ has stirred significant interest with his post on X social media, claiming that if ongoing rumors about a potenti…
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Recent repeated failures to overcome resistance around 154.50, along with a break below the support level at 153.30–153.25 (previously resistance), confirm the likelihood of further downside movement in the USD/JPY pair. However, positive oscillators on the daily chart indicate that any further decline is likely to find strong support near the round level of 153.00 or around 152.50. A drop toward 152.00, followed by a slight move below this level, could be viewed as a new trigger for the bears. Such a development would open the way for a continuation of the recent pullback from the October and November highs near 154.50, a level that was also observed in February 2025. On…
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Charles Edwards, founder of Capriole Investments, has identified a concerning trend in the Bitcoin (BTC) and broader cryptocurrency market that adds to the ongoing sentiment of bearishness among investors. Over 1 Million BTC Sold By OG Investors Since June In a recent post on the social media platform X (formerly Twitter), Edwards highlighted that “OG” Bitcoin whales are actively cashing out their holdings. Accompanying his remarks was a chart illustrating the extent of this phenomenon, showing on-chain spending from “OG” Bitcoin holders—those who have held their assets for over seven years. The chart prominently features two color-coded categories: orange for $100 …
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Week in review – Markets are starting to get worried from a prolonged shutdown Navigating through the headlines can be difficult in Markets. Even when Stock indices break new records week after week, negative headlines can lead readers to adopt a more pessimistic view compared to how things really are – this explains, in part, the “Buy the rumours, Sell the news” adage. However, when Stock indices start to reverse sharply, headlines begin to have a snowball effect. November trading began at the beginning of this week and brought with it some winter headwinds: Almost all global stock indices are lower, and cryptocurrencies have taken a huge hit, leaving investors sc…
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South Korea is taking a fresh look at how it handles sanctions against North Korea after the United States imposed penalties on individuals and entities linked to the regime’s crypto operations. The U.S. Treasury recently hit eight people and two organizations for laundering digital assets that allegedly support Pyongyang’s weapons program. The Chain Reaction Starts in Washington It all began when U.S. officials exposed a network of North Korean actors accused of funneling stolen crypto through laundering operations. The money, traced back to hacks and ransomware attacks, is believed to fund the country’s missile and nuclear development. Source: Shutterstock In respons…
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Cardano has entered a difficult phase as selling pressure intensifies across the crypto market. The price of ADA has fallen below the $0.60 level, a critical threshold that previously acted as both support and a psychological anchor for traders. With this breakdown, bullish momentum has faded, and the asset now faces mounting resistance amid a broader market downturn dominated by caution and fear. Market sentiment toward Cardano has turned notably bearish, reflecting growing uncertainty about short-term price stability. However, several analysts view the current decline as part of a natural market reset, potentially setting the stage for a healthier recovery once sellin…
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Following the crypto market crash on October 10, a bearish sentiment has dominated, with on-chain data indicating a continued decline in digital asset prices. Bitcoin (BTC), for instance, is nearing one of its worst weekly performances of the year, having recorded a 6% drop over the past seven days. The leading cryptocurrency has fallen below the critical $100,000 mark for four consecutive days. If this downward trend persists and is confirmed in the coming days, it could exacerbate selling pressure and further instill fear in the market, potentially leading to broader price declines. Short-Term Weakness Likely To Persist Taking a broader view, the market presents a mi…
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Kazakhstan is planning to build a national crypto reserve fund worth between $500 million and $1 billion by early 2026. The money will come from digital assets seized during criminal investigations and mining proceeds that have been brought back from overseas. The idea is to take what’s been recovered and turn it into a structured fund that feeds into the country’s broader financial strategy. Building a Fund Without Holding Raw Crypto Instead of stockpiling tokens directly, the fund will rely on crypto-related ETFs and shares in blockchain-focused companies. It will be overseen by the Astana International Financial Centre alongside the investment arm of Kazakhstan’s cen…
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