Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
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The Bitcoin market remains in a prolonged correction phase, registering a 10.4% price drop in the last seven days. As multiple analysts attempt to chart the asset’s price trajectory amid this volatile period, recent on-chain data have revealed potential local bottom targets. $55,900 Or $44,700 – How Low Can Bitcoin Go? In an X post on November 23, prominent market analyst Ali Martinez shares some insight on Bitcoin’s potential downside targets, amid the heavy price correction seen in recent weeks. Since hitting a new all-time high of $126,198.07 in early October, the leading cryptocurrency has recorded multiple heavy price drops, trading as low as $81,000. Despite gr…
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Bitcoin trades at a critical level, holding steady above $118,000 but failing to gain momentum for a breakout. Price action has continued to tighten over the past several days, and analysts now anticipate a major move once either key supply zones are absorbed or demand breaks below. The market sits on edge, waiting for confirmation of the next trend. Fresh data from CryptoQuant highlights a notable shift in long-term holder (LTH) behavior. At $118K, LTH supply began to decline, signaling the start of a distribution phase. These holders, known for accumulating during downtrends and selling into strength, are now gradually offloading their positions. This transition often…
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The Bitcoin price kicked off the weekend in the worst way possible, falling beneath the $115,000 level for the first time since early July. Considering the supposed significance of this price mark, there have been questions about how much headroom the price of Bitcoin still has. The latest on-chain data suggests that the Bitcoin bull run might not be over just yet. BTC Long-Term Holders Start Distributing In an August 1st post on X, crypto analyst Joao Wedson reported that the Bitcoin cycle for the long-term holders seems to be coming to an end. Wedson emphasized that, regardless of the ongoing excitement around ETFs, on-chain data shows a clear market shift. This …
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Bitcoin is testing uncharted territory after breaking past its previous all-time high of $112,000 last Thursday, igniting a powerful new phase in the bull market. With the price currently hovering above $117,000, bulls are firmly in control as optimism spreads across the crypto market. The breakout comes after weeks of tight consolidation, signaling renewed confidence among investors and traders. On-chain data from CryptoQuant adds further support to the bullish narrative. The Coin Days Destroyed (CDD) metric—used to assess whether long-term holders are selling—has returned to a relatively low average despite the rise in price. This suggests that experienced holders are…
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On-chain data shows that the Bitcoin investors with a holding time greater than six months have seen an upward reversal in their supply for the first time in months. Bitcoin Long-Term Holder Supply Has Just Turned Around As pointed out by Capriole Investments founder Charles Edwards in a new post on X, the 6-month inactive supply has recently witnessed its first uptick since April. This part of the supply, covering tokens that have been dormant (that is, not involved in any transaction on the blockchain) since at least six months ago, belongs to investors popularly known as long-term holders (LTHs). Statistically, the longer investors keep their coins dormant, the less…
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Recent on-chain data shows that a relevant class of Bitcoin investors known as long-term holders has continued to move out of their market positions. LTHs Actively Switching To Distribution In a November 1st post on social media platform X, popular on-chain analyst Burak Kesmeci shared an insight into the prevalent structural bias among Bitcoin’s long-term holders. Kesmeci’s analysis hinges on the Long-Term Holder Net Position Change metric, which tracks the net buying or selling behavior of Bitcoin’s long-term investors over a period of 30 days. Related Reading: Bitcoin At A ‘Do-Or-Die’ Level As Cycle Faces First Real Test: Analyst A positive reading is usually inter…
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Over the last week, Bitcoin (BTC) investors witnessed a heavy market decline as prices crashed by over 5%. This negative performance has moved Bitcoin below $110, 00, pushing the asset near price lows seen in August. As expected, there are also growing implications of this price drop as analysts speculate it could be either another correction or the start of a bearish market. Notably, the X analysis platform, Swissblock, has shared some important market insights that support the steadiness of the present bullish market. Risk Off Signal Indicates No Danger As Bitcoin May Be Ready For Final Round In an X post on September 26, Swissblock provides a vital on-chain analys…
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Price action has been sending dark foreshadowing signs since mid-October, evident in the rapid but inconsistent manner recent all-time highs were reached. As explained in preceding crypto analysis from our blog, the $100,000 level for BTC not only served as a key milestone but was also a pivotal sign of progress in the crypto landscape. Having decisively breached it and extending losses to multi-month lows below $90,000, leveraged investors, late buyers, and trend followers are all scratching their heads. The price action hasn't formed a complete U-turn from the highs yet, but the question is now arising: Is it time for fear and prolonged profit-taking in the crypto ma…
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Bitcoin has entered a phase of elevated uncertainty. Amid declining prices and weakening momentum, large holders have begun moving long-dormant coins. According to CryptoQuant, approximately 15,965 BTC that had remained idle for nearly three years were transferred on Wednesday at a price of around $108,000—equivalent to roughly $1.7 billion. Moves of this scale rarely occur without reason. In past market cycles, the activation of these "sleeping" coins often coincided with the end of rally phases and the start of corrections. However, the current situation is more nuanced. These transfers may represent more than profit-taking—they could signal internal portfolio rebalanci…
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Bitcoin price is struggling below $104,200. BTC could continue to move down if it stays below the $103,500 resistance. Bitcoin started a fresh decline below the $103,500 support. The price is trading below $103,000 and the 100 hourly Simple moving average. There is a key bearish trend line forming with resistance at $102,400 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken). The pair might continue to move down if it fails to surpass the $103,500 zone. Bitcoin Price Dips Again Bitcoin price failed to stay above the $104,000 support level and started a fresh decline. BTC dipped below $103,500 and $102,400 to enter a bearish zone. The decline was such that…
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The Bitcoin market appears to be riddled with an increasing amount of sell-side pressure, as its recent price action reveals bears’ dominance. Interestingly, another on-chain evaluation suggests that the current market movement may be a direct effect of rising panic-induced sales. $1.7B Realized Losses Vs $605M Realized Gains In a Quicktake post on the CryptoQuant platform, GugaOnChain shared that the Bitcoin market has been in a capitulation phase in recent days. This on-chain observation revolves around the Bitcoin Realized Profit and Loss ($) metric. For context, this metric tracks the actual profits (in US dollars) and losses investors realize—or lock in—whenever …
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Bitcoin is once again at a pivotal level, with selling pressure dominating the market and volatility shaking investor confidence. After weeks of choppy trading, BTC is barely holding above the $110,000 mark, a threshold that many analysts view as critical for maintaining a bullish structure. Momentum has clearly shifted in recent sessions, and the market is now bracing for the possibility of a deeper correction. Adding to the concern, top analyst Axel Adler shared insights from the Bitcoin UTXO Age Metrics, which reveal growing signs of distribution from long-term holders. Historically, when older coins begin to move, it often signals that experienced investors are taki…
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After briefly taking on a structure suggesting an imminent recuperation from the October 10 market downturn, the Bitcoin price appears to be heading into the weekend with a clear bearish outlook. According to data from recent on-chain analysis, the world’s largest cryptocurrency still faces an even higher risk of increased bearish pressure, which may lead to a deeper correction over the next few weeks. Binance Records Daily High Of 40 BTC Inflows In an October 17 post on the social media platform X, pseudonymous on-chain analyst Darkfost revealed a shift in the behavior of market participants within Bitcoin’s oldest investor class. In the post on X, the analyst referen…
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Bitcoin has remained trapped in a tight range between $115K and $120K for the past 10 days, signaling an extended phase of price compression. With bulls unable to push the price above the $120,000 resistance, analysts are increasingly warning that a correction may be imminent. The coming days are expected to be decisive, as both technical and on-chain fundamentals point to a potential surge in volatility. According to data from CryptoQuant, a key long-term metric—the Monthly Cumulative Days Destroyed (CDD) to Yearly CDD ratio—has reached an anomalously high level of 0.25. This is occurring within the $106,000 to $118,000 price range, a zone that has seen heavy long-term…
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Bitcoin is facing a critical juncture as its macro retracement converges with a tight mid-range battle between $86,000 and $100,000. With bearish patterns confirmed and short-term support holding, the market now waits to see if bulls can reclaim momentum or if a deeper pullback is on the horizon. Bitcoin Confirms Macro Top: Bearish Phase Underway According to an update from Crypto Patel, Bitcoin appears to have confirmed a market top and is now transitioning into a broader macro retracement phase. The loss of a key bullish support level has shifted the market structure into a bearish phase. The chart shows that a Head and Shoulders formation has fully played out. Class…
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According to CRYPTOWZRD’s recent update, Bitcoin ended the last session on a bearish note, but the broader outlook may soon shift. He noted that the Trump–Putin meeting delivered a productive outcome, which could fuel a positive reaction in the market if conditions remain steady. Daily Candle Shows Slight Bearish Bias, Yet Indecisive In his update, CRYPTOWZRD noted that Bitcoin’s daily candle closed slightly bearish. The analyst explained that although the close leaned to the downside, he would still consider the overall signal indecisive. Turning attention to external factors, CRYPTOWZRD highlighted that the recent meeting between US President Donald Trump and Russia…
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Bitcoin is currently at a crossroads, caught between bullish hopes and bearish pressure. Bulls are struggling to reclaim the $115K level, while bears have been unable to keep BTC below $110K, leaving the market in a tense state of uncertainty. This indecision comes as volatility increases ahead of the upcoming US Federal Reserve meeting, where investors expect a possible announcement on interest rate cuts. Such a decision could significantly impact risk assets, including Bitcoin, by shaping liquidity conditions in global markets. Top analyst Axel Adler highlights that as of today, it has been 504 days since the last halving, a milestone that places the market in a matur…
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Bitcoin is entering a fragile stage after days of selling pressure and uncertainty pushed the price into consolidation around the $110,000 level. Bulls are working to defend this key area, but momentum has clearly faded. The market now finds itself in a holding pattern, with investors cautious about whether Bitcoin will stabilize or break lower in the sessions ahead. Despite the weakness, there are no clear signals yet of a deeper correction. Historically, retracements within ongoing bull markets often serve as resets rather than trend reversals, but the pressure on Bitcoin has nonetheless sparked debate about its short-term direction. Holding above current levels is be…
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Although Bitcoin (BTC) has recorded slight gains over the past month – up 3.6% in the last 30 days – the leading cryptocurrency is experiencing a lack of Apparent Demand, indicating broader market weakness that could lead to a price slump in the near term. Bitcoin Apparent Demand Enters Negative Territory According to a recent CryptoQuant Quicktake post by contributor Crazzyblockk, Bitcoin’s new buyer demand is failing to absorb the combined supply pressure from freshly mined BTC and selling from long-term holders (LTHs). As a result, BTC’s Apparent Demand has turned negative. The analyst noted that the imbalance between buyer demand and excessive supply has created a …
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After hitting a weekend high of $116,689 on September 15, Bitcoin (BTC) fell slightly, trading just above $114,000 at the time of writing. However, fresh data from Binance crypto exchange indicates that the Bitcoin Scarcity Index recently witnessed its first spike since June 2025. Bitcoin Scarcity Index Spikes, Will BTC Rally? According to a CryptoQuant Quicktake post by contributor Arab Chain, the Bitcoin Scarcity Index witnessed its first spike yesterday since June 2025. The analyst referred to the latest exchange data from Binance to confirm the spike in Bitcoin Scarcity Index. For the uninitiated, the Bitcoin Scarcity Index measures how limited the available supply…
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As Bitcoin (BTC) tries to recover from its weekend sell-off that saw it almost crash to $100,000, some crypto analysts think that the BTC market likely “lost its pulse.” As a result, the leading cryptocurrency may be on the cusp of losing its bullish momentum. Bitcoin At The Risk Of Losing Momentum? According to a CryptoQuant Quicktake post by contributor TeddyVision, Bitcoin’s Inter-Exchange Flow Pulse (IFP) has been trending lower, confirming that inter-exchange activity is slowly fading. For the uninitiated, the IFP measures liquidity as it moves between crypto exchanges. In essence, it can be considered a proxy to determine how active arbitrage and market-making re…
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Following a fresh wave of bearish pressure on Friday, December 5, the price of Bitcoin has struggled beneath the psychological 90,000 level for much of the weekend. However, the latest on-chain data suggests that the premier cryptocurrency might be readying for its next healthy upward move. BTC SOPR Drops To Lowest Level Since Early 2024 In a December 6 post on the X platform, CryptoOnchain hypothesized that a local bottom appears to be forming for the price of Bitcoin. According to the market pundit, the selling pressure, especially amongst long-term holders, seems to be fading off at the moment. This market observation centers on the Spent Output Profit Ratio (SOPR) …
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Bitcoin’s (BTC) ongoing price correction has been accompanied by several other negative developments that continue to grab investors’ attention. Most recently, market analyst Darkfost has observed a significant crash in Bitcoin spot trading volume, while highlighting potential long-term implications of such an event. Binance Records $40B Loss In BTC Monthly Spot Trading The spot trading volume refers to the total amount of Bitcoin that is bought and sold for immediate delivery on exchanges within a specific time period. It is a key market indicator used to gauge participation, liquidity, and investor interest. According to Darkfost in an X post on December 6, the Bitc…
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On-chain analytics firm Glassnode has pointed out how the current Bitcoin market is reminiscent to the structure from the first quarter of 2022. Bitcoin Dynamics Are Currently Looking Similar To Early 2022 Bear Market In its latest weekly report, Glassnode has discussed about how the broader Bitcoin market structure is starting to resemble Q1 2022. First, the analytics firm has shared the data of its Supply Quantiles Cost Basis Model, highlighting price levels that correspond to a certain degree of investor profitability. In the chart, three supply quantiles are listed: 0.75, 0.85, and 0.95. If Bitcoin trades at the first of these levels, 75% of the supply will be in p…
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Renowned market analyst with X username KillaXBT has shared a compelling overview of the present Bitcoin market structure, highlighting key support and resistance zones while also postulating on the next market move. Bitcoin Traders Should Brace For Deep Liquidity Sweep – Analyst The Bitcoin market movement in Q4 2025 has gone against most previous popular predictions of a bull rally. While Bitcoin impressively reached a new all-time high of $126,000 in early October, the maiden cryptocurrency has recorded significant corrections since then, losing 24.31% of its market value. In an X post on November 15, KillaXBT provides an insightful technical analysis of the presen…
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