Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
12188 tópicos neste fórum
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Monad crypto is up 25% since launching less than 24 hours ago, after a rocky start that included a significant sell-off that sent MON to $0.022. Early drama sparked significant speculation about the project after Coinbase temporarily disabled the sell button and withdrawals, prompting many to speculate that the exchange could be about to orchestrate a gigantic pump for MON. Monad is an EVM (Ethereum Virtual Machine) Layer-1 network that raised over $430M across six separate funding rounds, including a public sale on Coinbase. Learn more , SHIB, and PEPE. MAXI aims to bring memecoins into the mod…
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The Zcash monster rally is finally showing cracks. After surging more than 1,500 percent since late September, ZEC has slipped nearly 30 percent from its November high of $750, falling into the mid-$550 range and sparking debate over whether the parabolic rise has topped. Traders now face a market showing early signs of exhaustion and increasing evidence that ZEC’s next decisive move may be lower, not higher. What’s next for Zcash? DISCOVER: Next 1000X Crypto: 10+ Crypto Tokens That Can Hit 1000x in 2025 Zcash Technical Structure Signals a High-Risk Reversal Zone, Will It Crash? Market Cap …
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Is Michael Burry right about the AI bubble? It’s funny because this time around Burry has the same opinion as my local neighborhood barber. So he’s probably right, but he’s early again. Meanwhile, President Donald Trump’s new executive order has formally launched the Genesis Mission, a national AI-for-science initiative that White House officials are calling the most ambitious federal research effort since the Manhattan Project. The directive orders agencies to synchronize their supercomputers, cloud AI systems, and scientific datasets into a unified national platform overseen by the Department of Energy. “The Genesis Mission will bring together our nation’s research a…
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As Bitcoin (BTC) attempts to reclaim the $88,000 area, some market observers believe that the recent lows marked the bottom, and a price recovery rally is underway. Nonetheless, other analysts have warned that the flagship crypto’s November pain could continue if the current levels don’t hold. Bitcoin Finds Local Support On Monday, Bitcoin continued its price recovery from the latest correction, nearing a key resistance for the second consecutive day. Throughout November, the cryptocurrency has struggled to hold multiple crucial levels amid the crypto market volatility, falling below the $100,000 psychological barrier and trading around multi-month lows. Last week, BTC…
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In crypto news today, most are watching another pre-payday pump unfold while BlackRock and its Ethereum buy pump the market’s vibe back to life. After two dry weeks with no inflows, BlackRock suddenly scooped up more than $90 million worth of Ethereum, and the timing couldn’t be more perfect. Bitcoin is inching toward its familiar $90,000 resistance after bouncing beautifully off the 100-week SMA, a level that acted as resistance before launching the 2023 reversal. The king’s chart is hinting at a developing cup-and-handle structure on higher timeframes. (source – BTC Weekly SMA 100, TradingView) Historically, every time BTC holds this moving average after a halving…
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The recent downturn in the crypto market, which saw total valuations plummet from an all-time high of nearly $4.3 trillion to below the $3 trillion mark, has severely impacted many investors. Among those affected is the Trump family, whose wealth reportedly decreased by $1 billion over the past month, according to Bloomberg. Their current net worth now stands at approximately $6.7 billion, down from $7.7 billion in September. Trump Family’s Crypto Portfolio Takes Major Hits The family’s crypto portfolio has suffered significant losses as a result of recent market conditions, including President Trump’s official memecoin, TRUMP, Eric Trump’s Bitcoin (BTC) mining firm, A…
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The S&P 500 recorded its best daily rally in the past six weeks, while the Nasdaq 100 experienced its strongest performance since May, as expectations for a December monetary policy easing by the Fed rose to 81%. The futures market fluctuates between extremes, alternating between disbelief in a federal funds rate cut and complete conviction in such an event. As a result, a safety cushion once again emerges for the broad stock index. Dynamics of US Stock Indices FOMC member Christopher Waller insists on continuing the monetary expansion cycle by the end of the year. In his view, inflation is not a major concern, but rising unemployment could escalate exponentially. …
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Yesterday, stock indices closed higher. The S&P 500 rose by 1.55%, while the Nasdaq 100 gained 2.69%. The Dow Jones Industrial Average jumped by 0.44%. Shares of technology companies contributed to the growth of global stock indices as traders began a data-heavy week with significant optimism regarding a potential interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve in December. The yield on 10-year US Treasury bonds decreased to 4.03%. Oil prices rose as traders considered the prospects of a peaceful agreement between Ukraine and Russia. As I mentioned earlier, investor optimism was fueled by expectations that slowing inflation would allow the Federal Reserve to pursue a more…
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Analysis of Trades and Tips for Trading the Japanese YenThe test of the price at 156.84 coincided with the moment the MACD indicator was beginning to move upward from the zero mark, confirming the right entry point for buying the dollar. As a result, the pair rose towards the target level of 157.16. The dollar only briefly rose against the Japanese yen, but there was no significant support from buyers. The USD/JPY pair continues to consolidate, with the bullish trend remaining intact. The temporary rise in the dollar against the yen can be seen as an attempt to sustain its climb amid broader upward momentum. The lack of a significant influx of buyers suggests traders are …
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Analysis of Trades and Tips for Trading the British Pound The test of the price at 1.3087 occurred when the MACD indicator had moved significantly below the zero mark, which limited the pair's downward potential. For this reason, I did not sell the pound. The absence of U.S. data weighed on the dollar against the British pound, prompting traders to adopt a wait-and-see approach and keeping the pair within the channel. However, attention is now focused on the new UK budget, which will be presented tomorrow. Expectations for this event are so high that significant movements in the pound today are unlikely. Tomorrow's budget will be crucial for the UK's economy in the coming…
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Analysis of Trades and Tips for Trading the Euro The test of the 1.1547 price level came at a time when the MACD indicator had risen sharply from the zero mark, limiting the pair's upside potential. For this reason, I didn't buy the euro. A second test of 1.1547 shortly after led to the implementation of Sell Scenario #2, resulting in a drop of more than 25 pips for the pair. The lack of U.S. data negatively affected the dollar, providing only slight support for the euro in the afternoon. The lack of key data prevented traders from assessing the U.S. economy, creating uncertainty. The euro, in turn, gained some momentum but quickly faded. Although the euro has its own iss…
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Bitcoin has been in freefall recently, but this popular indicator is yet to reach the same highs as the last two cycles. Is the real top still ahead for the asset? Bitcoin aSOPR Has Been Consolidating For The Last Two Years As pointed out by an analyst in a CryptoQuant Quicktake post, the Bitcoin aSOPR has been consolidating between converging trendlines for nearly two years. The Spent Output Profit Ratio (SOPR) is an indicator that tells us whether the BTC investors are selling their coins at a profit or loss. When the value of this metric is greater than 1, it means the average holder is transferring their coins at some net profit on the blockchain. On the other hand…
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Several entry points into the market were formed yesterday. Let's look at the 5-minute chart and analyze what happened. In my morning forecast, I highlighted the 1.3087 level and planned to make decisions based on it. The decline and formation of a false breakout around 1.3087 led to a buy entry for the pound, resulting in a 20-pip increase. In the afternoon, the situation around the level of 1.3087 repeated itself, leading to a recovery in the pair of more than 30 pips. To open long positions on GBP/USD: The lack of U.S. data negatively affected the dollar against the British pound. But now all eyes are on the UK's new budget, which will be presented tomorrow, so it is …
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Several suitable entry points into the market were formed yesterday. Let's look at the 5-minute chart and analyze what happened. In my morning forecast, I highlighted the 1.1529 level and planned to base my decisions on it. The rise and formation of a false breakout around 1.1529 led to a sell entry for the euro; however, the pair did not fall as anticipated. In the afternoon, active bear movements around 1.1551 and the unsuccessful consolidation above it led to solid sales, with the pair returning to the support level of 1.1522. To Open Long Positions on EUR/USD: The lack of U.S. data weighed on the dollar, providing slight support to the euro in the afternoon. This mor…
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Yesterday, Bitcoin surprised with its persistence, rising to $89,200. Ethereum also performed well, stopping just one step away from $3,000. Yesterday, the open interest in BTC showed the sharpest 30-day decline of the current cycle. The last time this occurred was during the 2022 bear market. This indicates that a serious "cleaning" of the market, which everyone has been anticipating, has partially taken place. Many investors closed losing trades after a week of declines and liquidations. Historically, all of this creates conditions for forming a bottom and the subsequent recovery of the long-term bullish trend. Although the recovery will not be instantaneous, these sig…
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The euro and the pound held their ground against the U.S. dollar, though risk assets came under pressure towards the end of U.S. trading. The lack of U.S. data adversely affected the dollar's positions, providing slight support to the euro and the pound at the start of the North American session, but the pressure on the pairs soon returned. Traders were deprived of an important benchmark for assessing the state of the American economy, which created uncertainty and made them cautious. Typically, the publication of macroeconomic data, such as employment levels, inflation, and GDP figures, serves as a compass indicating market direction. In the absence of this data, market …
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Strategy, formerly known as MicroStrategy, the largest public holder of Bitcoin (BTC), finds itself at the center of a stormy controversy involving JPMorgan as Bitcoin prices continue to struggle. With signs of a potential bear market emerging, fresh rumors suggest that one of the world’s largest banks allegedly holds a significant short position on Strategy’s stock (MSTR), which has plunged 69% from its record high of $543 per share last year. Strategy Faces Potential MSCI Exclusion The turmoil escalated last week when JPMorgan issued a warning that Strategy might soon be removed from major equity indices, specifically the MSCI USA Index. JPMorgan’s analysts noted t…
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A Bitcoin Millionaire family in British Columbia discovered that crypto wealth can bring danger in the worst way. What started as online bragging in a tight-knit community ended in a targeted home invasion that lasted through the night. The attackers were not random burglars. They arrived with a plan, weapons, and a clear goal: force a transfer of Bitcoin and other digital assets. The case, revisited in court in mid-November 2025, is now one of Canada’s clearest examples of “crypto torture” crimes. It also carries a rare twist of courage, because the daughter’s escape stopped the nightmare from going even further. …
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Dogecoin started a recovery wave above the $0.1420 zone against the US Dollar. DOGE is now facing hurdles near $0.1540 and might struggle to continue higher. DOGE price started a decent upward move above $0.140 and $0.1420. The price is trading above the $0.1450 level and the 100-hourly simple moving average. There is a bearish trend line forming with resistance at $0.1530 on the hourly chart of the DOGE/USD pair (data source from Kraken). The price could extend losses if it stays below $0.1530 and $0.1540. Dogecoin Price Faces Hurdles Dogecoin price started a recovery wave from the $0.1330 zone, like Bitcoin and Ethereum. DOGE climbed above the $0.1320 and $0.140 resi…
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Crypto markets are confronting a fast-moving repricing of US monetary policy expectations, and macro trader Alex Krüger argues that even after last week’s sharp dovish turn, futures curves still fail to discount what a Trump-aligned Federal Reserve leadership could look like. Fed Cut Mispricing Sets Up Crypto Repricing Event In a post on X, Krüger shared a CME-derived table of implied policy rates for late-stage 2026 and framed it as the market’s baseline for the post-Powell transition. The table shows an expected fed funds rate of 3.47% for the April 29, 2026 FOMC meeting (347 bps), drifting to 3.29% for June 17, 2026 (329 bps), to 3.10% for September 16, 2026 (310 bps)…
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European Central BankAnalysis of Macroeconomic Reports: Several macroeconomic reports are scheduled for Tuesday, but they are not generating much interest at the moment. The market continues to show minimal volatility and no clear direction. The U.S. dollar continues to weaken very little, without sufficient grounds for it. However, the market is still not in a hurry to sell the U.S. currency. Today in Germany, the third estimate of GDP for the third quarter will be released, and in the U.S., the weekly ADP employment report, the Producer Price Index, and retail sales data will be released. These are interesting reports, but the market is expecting others. Traders ar…
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Monday Trade Analysis: 1H Chart of the GBP/USD Pair The GBP/USD pair did not trade on Monday. Of course, this could not have been the case in reality, but in terms of market movements in the British pound, there was a noticeable absence, clearly visible on any timeframe. Thus, there is essentially nothing to analyze based on yesterday's data. We could write a bunch of unnecessary information about the speeches of various officials or geopolitical events, but what is the point if the market shows no interest in this information and does not react? Overall, the British pound has been trading within another sideways channel for three consecutive days. This time, it is b…
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Analysis of Monday's Trades: 1H Chart of the EUR/USD Pair The EUR/USD currency pair attempted to resume its upward movement on Monday, but the result was another flat response. As we can see, market movements remain either absent or illogical. On Monday, they were virtually non-existent. The overall volatility for the day was below 50 pips, and the price remained within the range established on Friday. The macroeconomic backdrop was almost non-existent, except for a single German business climate index, which had no impact on the pair's movement. Fundamentals were also lacking. Meanwhile, the flat trend on the daily timeframe persists. It has continued for several m…
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[Platinum] With both EMAs beginning to form a Golden Cross and the RSI positioned in the Neutral-Bullish level, then today Platinum has the potential to strengthen. Key Levels: 1. Resistance. 2 : 1584.0 2. Resistance. 1 : 1571.0 3. Pivot : 1549.0 4. Support. 1 : 1536.0 5. Support. 2 : 1514.0 Tactical Scenario: Positive Reaction Zone: If the price of #PLF successfully breaks out and closes above 1571.0, it may have the opportunity to test 1584.0. Momentum Extension Bias: If 1584.0 is broken and closed above, Platinum could test the level at 1606.0. Invalidation Level / Bias Revision: The upside bias weakens if the price of Platinum weakens and breaks…
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