Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
6934 tópicos neste fórum
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Condor Resources (TSXV: CN) says its Cobreorco project in central Peru has passed an “important” permitting milestone following the approval of its environmental impact statement, moving the project closer to the drilling stage. The permitting process is being carried out by Teck Resources (TSX: TECK.A/TECK.B; NYSE: TECK), which entered the project in late 2023 through an option and joint venture agreement with Condor. Under that agreement, Teck can earn a 55% interest in Cobreorco over three years following the permit issuance by spending $4 million on exploration and paying another $500,000 in cash. The Canadian miner would also take over technical, social and e…
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The global iron ore market is in the midst of a major pricing shift, moving away from the long-standing 62% Fe benchmark toward a new 61% Fe specification. The change, driven by a gradual decline in ore grades and higher impurity levels, is reshaping both the physical and financial sides of the industry and raising big questions about how iron ore is valued. Why the change matters For decades, the 62% Fe grade served as the anchor for global pricing, with Pilbara Blend Fines (PBF) acting as the bellwether. But as mined grades have steadily dropped, the 62% benchmark no longer matches what is actually traded. The move to a 61% Fe baseline, effective from 2026, …
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North-American currencies are leading majors this morning with the employment data beating expectations in the US and Canada. US Non-Farm Payrolls Came at 139K vs 130K expected - but it seems like the market is extrapolating the info even more as ADP missed in the beginning of the week: The greenback is rallying strongly and risk assets are enjoying from the tone. With Canadian data coming in at +8.8K vs -15K expected, the employment data from the Canuck has been surprising to the upside for a few months now. Opinions are the authors'; not necessarily that of OANDA Business Information & Services, Inc. or any of its affiliates, subsidiaries,…
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Data shows the Bitcoin Fear & Greed Index has returned back to the neutral territory, a sign that investors are losing optimism. Bitcoin Fear & Greed Index Has Reset Back To Neutral The “Fear & Greed Index” refers to an indicator created by Alternative that tells us about the average sentiment present among the traders in the Bitcoin and wider cryptocurrency markets. The index makes use of the data of these five factors in order to determine the trader mentality: trading volume, market cap dominance, volatility, social media sentiment, and Google Trends. The indicator represents the calculated sentiment as a score lying between zero and hundred. Values abo…
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Overview: The US dollar's July rally came to an abrupt end last Friday and continues to mostly consolidate as new developments are awaited. In particular, the nomination for Governor Kugler's successor on the Federal Reserve Board may trigger the next act in the drama, though the market now is considerably more comfortable with the idea that the Fed's easing cycle will likely resume next month. Also, Friday is the deadline for the US demand of Russia's ceasefire in Ukraine. Meanwhile, US sectoral tariffs on pharma and chips are anticipated to be announced in the coming days. The US dollar is trading narrowly mixed. The Antipodeans and Scandis lead the G10 higher, while st…
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Helium Evolution (TSXV:HEVI) a Canadian explorer developing assets in southern Saskatchewan, announced this week construction at its planned 12 million standard cubic feet per day helium processing facility in the Mankota area is in its final stages of construction, now more than 95% complete. The estimated total cost for HEVI’s 20% working interest share of the Soda Lake Facility is approximately C$5.2 million ($3.8m). The Soda Lake Facility is expected to be operational in the fourth quarter of 2025 and will initially tie-in three helium wells through a dedicated pipeline gathering system, the company said. Helium’s most critical applications are in med…
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Overview: The US dollar is mostly softer today against the G10 currencies. Ironically, the New Zealand dollar is the strongest following the widely expected quarter-point cut by the central bank. The Canadian dollar is the laggard, the only G10 currency not to have found traction against the greenback. Most emerging market currencies are also enjoying a firm tone, including the South Korean won, ahead of what is expected to be a quarter-point cut from its central bank tomorrow. Despite the strong gains in US equities yesterday, most of the Asia Pacific equity markets fell today. Taiwan, South Korea, and Singapore bucked the trend. Europe's Stoxx 600 is given back most of…
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Overview: The US dollar is trading with a softer bias against nearly all the G10 currencies. Yesterday's losses have been extended. The exception is the Norwegian krone, which is hovering around unchanged levels. The greenback is softer against most emerging market currencies. Despite Britain and France sending aircraft to help protect Polish airspace after more drone incursions, and Warsaw denying China's request to re-open the border with Belarus (a key conduit for Chinese goods into Europe), central European currencies, including the zloty are firmer. The Chinese yuan is at a new high for the year. After new record highs by the S&P 500 and Nasdaq yesterday, most b…
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Blue Moon Metals (TSXV: MOON), a Vancouver-based junior advancing the Nussir copper project in Norway, has secured at least $140 million in financing from Hartree Partners and Oaktree Capital to fund early works. The capital package comprises a $25 million bridge loan already in place, followed by a $50 million senior secured term loan, a $70 million precious metals stream, and up to $20 million in equity for further development and execution, Blue Moon said on Wednesday. The financing to cover engineering, long-lead equipment, underground development and working capital is spearheaded by Hartree, a global energy and commodities trading house, and Oaktree, a Los A…
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Global copper mine production is set to rise by an average annual rate of 2.9% over the next decade, growing from 23.8 million tonnes in 2025 to 30.9 million tonnes in 2034, according to a new report by Fitch Solutions’ BMI. This production growth, says BMI, is largely down to several new projects and expansions coming online, supported by historically elevated copper prices and a positive demand outlook. This year, BMI estimates global copper mine output to rise 2.5% as production in Chile recovers and the giant Oyu Tolgoi mine in Mongolia ramps up. Those in Peru, Russia and Zambia will also remain among the major contributors, it adds. The Fitch unit cites d…
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Copper prices collapsed by 20% on Wednesday afternoon after US President Donald Trump excluded the most widely imported form of copper from his planned import tariffs. In its statement, the White House confirmed that the 50% import tariff will only apply to semi-finished products such as copper pipes, wires, rods, sheets and tubes, and to copper-intensive goods like pipe fittings, cables, connectors and electrical components. Copper futures collapsed following the tariff announcement. The most actively traded COMEX copper futures fell by 19.6% to $4.5235/lb. as of 4:15 p.m. ET, the lowest since early May, following the announcement. Prior to that, US copper …
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Copper for delivery in September fell by more than 1% to a high of $5.0450 per pound or $11,120 per tonne in early trading on the Comex market on Friday as traders take profits after five straight days of gains. Pre-emptive buying in the US ahead of likely tariffs has opened up a massive gap between US and London Metal Exchange prices. Benchmark 3-month copper in London was trading higher at $9,887 per tonne on the LME in morning trading in London on Friday. Reuters reports some Chinese smelters have agreed to process copper from Antofagasta for no charge, but the outcome was better than expected for the smelters, already suffering losses. Shanghai Metals Mark…
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Copper prices edged higher on Thursday, driven by strong Chinese trade data that signaled robust industrial demand, while supply risks from Chile began to cast a shadow over the market outlook. China reported an unexpected surge in both imports and exports in July. Total exports jumped 7.2% from a year earlier, outpacing economists’ projections of 5.6%, as manufacturers expanded into alternative markets despite ongoing US tariffs imposed by President Donald Trump. This export-led momentum is sustaining demand for industrial metals like copper, which are essential components in cars, appliances, electronics, and construction. Chinese manufacturers, facing subdued d…
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Copper jumped to a 15-month high on Monday amid a broader risk-on rally, as traders prepare for this week’s US Federal Reserve meeting with the expectation of a long-awaited interest rate cut. Futures on the London Metal Exchange rose by 1% to $10,173 a ton, the highest since June 2024. Those on the COMEX also gained 1.5% to $4.726 a pound, or about $10,419 a ton. Click on chart for live prices. Copper, a bellwether for the health of the global economy, has now risen for six consecutive trading sessions, as a stream of weak US economic data led traders to raise their bets on the Fed cutting rates. It is widely anticipated that a quarter-point rate cut will c…
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Copper prices climbed to their highest level in more than a year on Thursday, fueled by mounting global supply disruptions and growing expectations that US interest rate cuts will support demand for the industrial metal. Benchmark futures on the London Metal Exchange (LME) briefly rose above $10,500 a tonne for the first time since May 2024, before trading at $10,497.50, up 1.1% as of 11:50 a.m. in London. Three-month futures traded above $10,976 per ton ($4.989 per lb.) on the CME, up 2.2% for the day. Click on chart for live prices. The rally has been bolstered by news that Freeport-McMoRan (NYSE: FCX) declared force majeure at its giant Grasberg mine in Ind…
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Copper surged to a 16-month high in London after Teck Resources (TSX: TECK.A, TECK.B)(NYSE: TECK) lowered its copper production guidance for 2025 after persistent setbacks at its Quebrada Blanca (QB) mine in Chile and Highland Valley Copper (HVC) operation in Canada. Prices climbed as much as 0.5% to $10,815 per tonne on the London Metal Exchange. The company said it now expects to produce 170,000 to 190,000 tons in 2025, down from its previous target of 210,000 to 230,000 tons. Teck also trimmed annual production targets for the next three years. The QB project has long frustrated investors, coming in $4 billion over budget and years behind schedule. Current chal…
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Copper futures hit a new record on Tuesday as the US market continues to brace itself for a 50% tariff next month. The most active September contracts on the CME soared as much as 1.6% to $5.7275 per lb., a new all-time high. Since US President Donald Trump’s tariff announcement earlier this month, copper price have soared past the $5/lb. level to new heights. Following a double-digit move on July 8 (see chart below), the metal has risen by another 2%. Click on chart for live prices. This takes copper’s year-to-date gains to over 40%, making it one of the best performing commodities of 2025, even surpassing that of gold. Meanwhile, corresponding contract…
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Copper prices held steady on Monday as traders continue to assess the impact of a major mine shutdown on global supplies. Three-month futures traded at above $10,000 per ton ($4.6125 per lb.) on the CME, down 0.3% for the day. In London, the metal traded at just under $10,000/ton, holding onto Friday’s advance. Click on chart for live prices. The moves follow an announcement by Freeport McMoRan that it will temporarily suspend its Grasberg mine in Indonesia — the second-largest copper producer in the world — following a mud flow incident that trapped seven workers underground two weeks ago. As of Monday, the bodies of two workers had been recovered. Operatio…
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Copper prices surged nearly 6% on Monday, supported by a weaker dollar and investor concerns over potential US tariffs on copper imports. On the COMEX, copper for July delivery rose 5.8% to $4.949 per pound ($10,887 per tonne). The rally followed President Trump’s announcement late Friday that the US will double tariffs on steel and aluminum to 50%, starting this Wednesday. Benchmark three-month copper on the London Metal Exchange (LME) was up 0.7% at $9,572 per metric ton as of 07:06 GMT. China’s commodity markets were closed on Monday for the Dragon Boat Festival holiday. The dollar edged lower, paring gains from last week, as markets assessed the po…
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To meet the world’s future needs, copper prices must at least double their current levels in order to incentivize companies to build more mines, a study published in the latest issue of the SEG Discovery journal suggests. According to the study, led by researchers from the University of Michigan, Cornell University and the University of Queensland, the problem isn’t about finding enough copper in the ground, but the rate at which companies are mining to satiate the rapid consumption of metal driven by two major themes: economic development and clean energy. These two drivers of demand are at odds when it comes to how resources are to be allocated, because, as the …
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Copper prices fell to the lowest in a week on Monday after opening the market higher, as investors continue to monitor the final details on imminent US tariffs on the metal. The most active copper futures on the COMEX fell by nearly 3% to $5.613/lb., a sharp pullback following a record-setting rise last week that saw prices approach the $6/lb. level. Click on chart for live prices In London, the benchmark three-month copper contract was down more than 1% at $9769.50/tonne, having risen by 0.6% earlier to $$9,824.50/tonne. The decline comes just days before the official implementation of the touted 50% tariff on the industrial metal, the details of which rema…
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Copper prices fell on Monday, giving back part of last week’s strong gains even as supply concerns persist following deadly disruptions at Indonesia’s Grasberg mine. Benchmark three-month copper on the London Metal Exchange (LME) slipped 0.7% to $10,639.50 per tonne by mid-afternoon trading, erasing earlier advances. The decline followed copper’s biggest weekly gain in a year. On the CME, three-month futures traded at $11,115 per tonne ($5.0525 per pound), down 1% for the day. Click on chart for live prices. A stronger US dollar weighed on prices. The greenback advanced after France’s prime minister announced his resignation and Japan appeared set to appo…
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Copper prices pulled back on Wednesday after briefly touching their highest levels since late March in London, as traders balanced concerns over supply with an uncertain demand picture from China. On the London Metal Exchange, copper climbed as much as 0.6% to $10,038 a tonne before easing 0.1% to $9,967 by 11:22 a.m. Shanghai time. The red metal gained 3% in August and remains up about 14% so far this year. In the US, COMEX futures were steady, with the most-active contract slipping 0.14% to $4.638 per pound ($10,203/t) on Wednesday morning. Click on image for live updates China concerns A weaker US dollar and the prospect of interest rate cuts have und…
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Copper prices rose on Friday, putting the metal on track for a fourth straight weekly gain, as upbeat economic signals from the U.S. and China buoyed demand expectations. The benchmark three-month copper contract on the London Metal Exchange (LME) rose as much as 0.8% to $9,898 per metric ton, hovering near its highest level in a month. Futures on the COMEX also gained, with the most-active contract climbing 1% to $4.5880 per pound ($10,093/t). Economic tailwinds from the US and China In the US, revised government data showed the economy expanded at a 3.3% annualized pace in Q2, stronger than the previously reported 3% growth. The revision was driven by a picku…
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Copper climbed to a three‑month high on Tuesday, driven by tightening supply on the London Metal Exchange (LME) and an improved risk appetite linked to hopes of easing US–China trade tensions. Market attention remains fixed on tariffs, which continue to shape global metal flows. Supply squeeze LME copper prices are set to close out the first half of the year with a gain of 12%, beaten only by the tin market, largely due to the investigation into US copper imports announced by President Trump in February. There’s been a rapid drawdown in inventories on the London Metal Exchange and in China recently after traders moved record volumes to the US in a bid to f…
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