Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
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Against the backdrop of anticipation for key data releases, prevailing dollar-selling sentiment has pushed EUR/USD up to 1.1800 — its highest level since July 3. Optimism regarding the economic outlook for the euro area's largest economy could strengthen and provide additional momentum to the single currency if German data comes in stronger than expected. This, in turn, should support the continuation of the EUR/USD rally. At the same time, market reaction to a potential disappointment is likely to remain limited, given the reduced likelihood of further rate cuts by the European Central Bank and rising expectations of a more accommodative monetary policy from the U.S. Fed…
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Asia Market Wrap - Nikkei, Topix Hit Fresh Highs Global stocks are at an all-time high, and gold prices have reached a new record. This is happening as markets ramp up rate cut bets ahead of the FOMC meeting on Wednesday. The MSCI All Country World Index, a measure of global stocks, has risen for 10 straight days—its longest winning streak in over four years. On the Japanese stock market, the two main indexes, the Nikkei 225 and the Topix, both reached all-time highs. Meanwhile, in Hong Kong, the Hang Seng Index saw a small gain of 0.08%. In mainland China, the CSI 300 index, which tracks top companies, experienced a slight decline of 0.38%. In two separate events …
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Crypto is holding on steady amid big stories on Nvidia monopoly business under fire in China, nerves around the FOMC Meeting, and the winding down of the SEC Gemini lawsuit. BTC ▲0.79% is sitting pretty near $116K. ETH ▲0.04%, although dropped from $4,759 last week, is holding above $4,500, as the market is waiting. bitcoinPriceMarket CapBTC$2.31T24h7d1y Over in China, regulators are challenging what many believe is an unfair grip—that is, the Nvidia monopoly business model, especially following its Mellanox takeover in 2020. Because this Nvidia Monopoly Business setup affects GPU supply, many AI crypto projects and miners could feel the squeeze. Decentralized alternat…
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Michael Saylor has just purchased 525 more Bitcoins, increasing Strategy’s total BTC holdings to 638,985, valued at approximately $73B. Anchored in Saylor’s thesis that Bitcoin is superior to gold, Strategy has parked its cash reserves in $BTC, shielding itself from inflation and currency fluctuations. Saylor’s investment has made Strategy the largest corporate holder of $BTC in the world. Despite a recent dip in the Strategy’s stock price, several companies and some US states are considering similar moves with their own treasuries. Strategy’s massive $BTC buy has strengthened investor confidence in Bitcoin’s future, increasing demand for Bitcoin-related projects, such…
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On Monday, the EUR/USD pair continued its upward move, as I expected, and on Tuesday morning reached the target – the resistance zone at 1.1789–1.1802. A rebound from this zone would favor the U.S. dollar and a decline toward the 76.4% corrective level at 1.1695. Consolidation above this zone would increase the probability of continued growth toward the next Fibonacci level of 127.2% – 1.1896. The wave structure on the hourly chart remains simple and clear. The last completed upward wave broke the peak of the previous one, while the last downward wave did not break the prior low. Thus, the trend can now be considered bullish, although not the strongest or most confiden…
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After a terrible start to its launch back in July this year, the PUMP token has finally found its spark, managing to lead the recent market recovery. The Pump.Fun native token rose by over 140% over the last month, featuring prominently at the top of the gainers’ list during this time. A slowdown has since rocked the altcoin after this, but it may not be the end of the story. Pump.Fun Surpasses Hyperliquid In Daily Revenue In an interesting turn of events, Pump.Fun, the native platform behind the PUMP token, has overtaken Hyperliquid in terms of daily revenue. Hyperliquid, an on-chain perps trading platform, has been the third-highest on-chain revenue generator, right be…
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On the hourly chart, the GBP/USD pair continued to rise on Monday, worked through the resistance zone of 1.3611–1.3620, and on Tuesday morning closed above it. Thus, the pound continues to gain momentum, bulls keep attacking, and quotes keep rising toward the next Fibonacci level of 127.2% – 1.3708. The wave structure continues to shift to a bullish stance. The last completed downward wave did not break the previous low, while the new upward wave broke the last peak. Therefore, the trend can currently be considered bullish. The news background does not allow bears to launch a serious offensive. On Monday, traders received no significant data, but bulls still kept press…
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The British pound failed to fully benefit from the positive UK statistics. According to official data, the UK labour market continued to cool over the summer as companies prepared for further tax increases, which will weigh on the economy. The Office for National Statistics reported that the number of employees fell by another 8,000 in August, marking the seventh consecutive decline. This was only slightly better than economists' forecasts. Wage growth excluding bonuses over three months slowed to 4.8%, the lowest in three years. Private sector wage growth, closely watched by the Bank of England, slowed to 4.7%. The unemployment rate remained at a four-year high of 4.7%, …
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Trend analysis (Fig. 1). On Tuesday, the market from the level of 1.3595 (closing of yesterday's daily candle) may continue upward movement with the target at 1.3624 – historical resistance level (blue dotted line). When testing this level, the price may begin moving downward with the target at 1.3593 – upper fractal (yellow dotted line). Fig. 1 (daily chart). Comprehensive analysis: Indicator analysis – upward;Volumes – upward;Candlestick analysis – upward;Trend analysis – upward;Bollinger Bands – upward;Weekly chart – upward.Overall conclusion: upward trend. Alternative scenario: from the level of 1.3595 (closing of yesterday's daily candle), the price may start movi…
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We introduce you to the daily updated section of Forex analytics where you will find reviews from forex experts, up-to-date monitoring of financial information as well as online forecasts of exchange rates of the US dollar, euro, ruble, bitcoin, and other currencies for today, tomorrow and this trading week.Useful links: My other articles are available in this section InstaForex course for beginners Popular Analytics Open trading account Important: The begginers in forex trading need to be very careful when making decisions about entering the market. Before the release of important reports, it is best to stay out of the market to avoid being caught in sharp market fluctu…
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Wall Street starts the week on a high US stock markets closed Monday with solid gains. Both the S&P 500 and Nasdaq reached fresh intraday records as investors turned their attention to the upcoming Federal Reserve meeting scheduled later this week. Musk boosts Tesla stake Shares of Tesla advanced 3.6 percent after filings revealed that CEO Elon Musk purchased nearly one billion dollars' worth of the electric-car maker's stock on Friday. Alphabet hits new milestone Google's parent company Alphabet set a historic benchmark, with its market capitalization crossing the three trillion dollar threshold for the first time. Fed meeting in focus All eyes are now on the Fede…
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Trend analysis (Fig. 1). On Tuesday, the market from the level of 1.1760 (closing of yesterday's daily candle) may continue upward movement with the target at 1.1788 – the upper fractal (yellow dotted line). When testing this level, the price may pull back downward to test the upper fractal at 1.1774 (daily candle from 15.09.2025). Fig. 1 (daily chart). Comprehensive analysis: Indicator analysis – upward;Volumes – upward;Candlestick analysis – upward;Trend analysis – upward;Bollinger Bands – upward;Weekly chart – upward.Overall conclusion: upward trend. Alternative scenario: from the level of 1.1760 (closing of yesterday's daily candle), the price may continue moving u…
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Gold set a new record this week as traders and investors anticipate more dovish actions from the Federal Reserve, including further rate cuts in the coming months. On Tuesday, the price of gold surpassed Monday's all-time high of about $3,685 per ounce, also supported by the US dollar dropping to its lowest level in over seven weeks. While this week's rate cut is already priced in, the Fed will also release its quarterly economic and rate projections—known as the "dot plot"—and Fed Chair Jerome Powell will hold a press conference after the decision. The latest surge in the precious metal indicates growing uncertainty about global economic stability and rising inflation e…
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On-chain data shows inflows into Bitcoin have recently been so large that they outweigh the cumulative capital that entered BTC in its first 15 years. Bitcoin Realized Cap Shows Acceleration In Inflows Recently In a new post on X, CryptoQuant founder and CEO Ki Young Ju has shared the trend in the Realized Cap of Bitcoin over its entire history. The “Realized Cap” here refers to an on-chain indicator that measures, in short, the total amount of capital that the investors as a whole have put into the cryptocurrency. When the value of this metric rises, it means the investors are feeding a net amount of capital into the network. On the other hand, it going down suggests …
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Yesterday, Bitcoin slipped down to the $114,600 area and spent most of the day there. Today, however, active buying with the opening of the European session is an encouraging sign. The key question is whether BTC can stay above $116,000 rather than fall further as it did yesterday—we'll know soon. If Bitcoin does hold this level, the road to $117,000 and $119,000 opens up. Ethereum remained at the same levels as yesterday. Meanwhile, some crypto market experts—including Arthur Hayes—expect that once the Fed launches QE, BTC could reach $200,000 by the end of 2025. Under favorable conditions, Bitcoin could rise to $250,000, and by the end of 2028, it could reach $1,000,00…
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Trade Review and Advice on Trading the Japanese YenThe test of 147.45 coincided with MACD moving far above zero, which limited the pair's upside potential. For this reason, I did not buy the dollar, which turned out to be correct. A sharp 0.5% rise in Japan's services activity index supported the yen. As a key part of the Japanese economy, growth in services reflects improved consumer and business confidence, potentially boosting domestic demand and easing recession fears, which favorably affects the attractiveness of the yen. Still, one indicator should not be overestimated. The situation on the currency markets is complex and influenced by many factors, including tomorr…
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Trade Review and Advice on Trading the British PoundThe first test of 1.3588 coincided with MACD moving far below zero, which limited downside potential. For this reason, I did not sell the pound. The second test at 1.3588 occurred when MACD was in oversold territory, allowing Scenario #2 to play out with a 20-pip rise. Today, reports on U.K. jobless claims, the unemployment rate, and average earnings will be published. Together, these reports offer a comprehensive view of labor market conditions, and their simultaneous publication creates a powerful flow of information that requires careful analysis. The change in the number of applications for unemployment benefits serv…
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Trade Review and Advice on Trading the EuroThe price test at 1.1773 coincided with the MACD indicator moving far above the zero mark, which limited the pair's upward potential. For this reason, I did not buy the euro. Yesterday, the euro continued its rise, with weak U.S. data helping it break through to new monthly highs. This morning, business confidence indicators in the eurozone and Germany from the ZEW research center, the German current conditions index, and fresh eurozone industrial production figures will be released. These will serve as key markers of the region's economic health. The ZEW Economic Sentiment Index will provide valuable information for assessing gr…
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The U.S. dollar continued to lose ground actively, which comes as no surprise. The market is increasingly convinced that the Federal Reserve will be forced to act more dovishly, which undermines dollar buyers' confidence. This morning, the eurozone and Germany will release ZEW business sentiment indices, the ZEW current conditions index for Germany, and eurozone industrial production figures. These reports will be important indicators of the region's economic health, helping assess business confidence and industrial sector dynamics. The ZEW sentiment index, as a barometer of business expectations, will provide insight into the outlook for economic growth in the eurozone a…
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As investor anxiety grows over the possibility of a new bearish cycle, the case for Bitcoin (BTC) to resume its halted upward trajectory has gained significant traction among top market experts. Market analyst Ash Crypto recently highlighted several key factors, including demand and supply dynamics, a surge in US equities, and increasing inflows from exchange-traded funds (ETFs), suggesting that the current market conditions could favor Bitcoin’s resurgence. Market Makers Accused Of Manipulating Bitcoin Prices In a post on X (formerly Twitter), Ash pointed out that while US stocks are reaching new all-time highs, Bitcoin has struggled to break above the $117,000 mark, …
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Crypto markets enter a decisive week as investors brace for the Federal Reserve’s FOMC meeting on September 17, where a 25bps rate cut is widely expected. Bitcoin has already shown choppy price action, briefly slipping below $115K before regaining support, while traders eye potential volatility around the Fed’s decision. Attention is also shifting to Coinbase’s Base network after Jesse Pollak hinted at the possibility of launching a native token and a possible airdrop. With Bitcoin consolidating and new opportunities emerging, investors are asking which altcoins might be the best to buy right now. EXPLORE: Coinbase Is Thinking About a Token for Base Network Bitcoin BTC …
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Solana started a fresh increase above the $232 zone. SOL price is now correcting gains below $240 and might aim for another increase if it stays above $20. SOL price started a fresh upward move above the $232 and $240 levels against the US Dollar. The price is now trading below $240 and the 100-hourly simple moving average. There was a break below a bullish trend line with support at $242 on the hourly chart of the SOL/USD pair (data source from Kraken). The pair could extend losses if it dips below the $230 zone. Solana Price Dips Below Support Solana price started a decent increase after it found support near the $212 zone, beating Bitcoin and Ethereum. SOL climbed a…
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Macroeconomic Report Analysis: There are plenty of macroeconomic releases scheduled for Tuesday. None of these is extremely important, but each carries some weight and may impact the market. The U.K. unemployment rate is on the rise. The higher it goes, the more the Bank of England will need to cut rates. But inflation, which is also rising, prevents it from doing so. Inflation remains the more critical metric. Jobless claims and wage data are less important. In the Eurozone today, industrial production will be published; in Germany, the ZEW economic expectations index; in the U.S., industrial production and retail sales. All of these may provoke reactions if actual f…
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[Natural Gas] – [Tuesday, September 16, 2025] Although the EMA has not yet formed a Golden Cross, the RSI is in the Neutral Bullish area, so Natural Gas has the potential to strengthen today. Key Levels 1. Resistance 2: 3.135 2. Resistance 1: 3.089 3. Pivot: 3.002 4. Support 1: 2.956 5. Support 2: 2.869 Tactical Scenario Positive Reaction Zone: If the #NG price successfully breaks through and closes above 3.089, it will potentially lead to #NG strengthening all the way to 3.135. Momentum Extension Bias: If the 3.135 level is successfully broken through and closes above it, 3.222 has the potential to be the next level to be tested. Invalidation Level / Bias Revision Upside…
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[Silver] – [Tuesday, September 16, 2025] All technical indicators are bullish, although a divergence on the RSI indicates the potential for a limited correction. Key Levels 1. Resistance 2: 43,160 2. Resistance 1: 42,900 3. Pivot: 42,435 4. Support 1: 42,175 5. Support 2: 41,710 Tactical Scenario Positive Reaction Zone: If the price breaks out and closes above 42,900, Silver has the potential to move to 43,160. Momentum Extension Bias: If the 43,160 level breaks out and closes above it, 43,625 will be the next target to be tested. Invalidation Level / Bias Revision The upside bias weakens when the Silver price weakens and closes below 41,710. Technical Summary EMA(50): 42…
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