Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
11970 tópicos neste fórum
-
The political gridlock has finally broken. The US Congress has officially voted to reopen the federal government, providing an immediate positive catalyst for equities that is erasing the market blues of the past week. The longest-ever government shutdown initially had a muted impact, but as its consequences—such as delays in key economic data, reduced flights, and halted essential functions—began to accumulate, markets took a noticeable negative turn last week. However, the Senate's decisive vote on a compromise bill, which saw moderate Democrats break with their party leadership to make key concessions (such as securing a future vote on extending healthcare subsidies)…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
XRP is printing its most constructive long-term structure on record, according to independent chartist “The Great Mattsby” (@matthughes13), who points to the three-month Ichimoku system and a year-long base forming above its key quarterly averages. XRP Is In The Strongest Bull Run Ever On the latest 3-month XRP/USD chart from Bitstamp, the in-progress candle shows price around $2.31, with the Ichimoku conversion line and baseline tracking just beneath spot. The analyst highlights that XRP “has never built a base above the 3 month conversion or baseline in its history and it’s doing it now for the past year” (posted Nov. 8, 2025). That observation is notable because, in …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Bitcoin has been a source of concern for the crypto community lately. The reason for that is most likely the large declines in altcoin prices at a time when they are supposed to be ripping. Sentiment on CT (Crypto Twitter) has switched multiple times from bearish to bullish over the past couple of weeks. Follow along and discover what our Bitcoin Price Analysis reveals about market structure. According to NorthstarCharts we are still in a bullish trend on the long-term timeframe, and actually sitting on support. Fear and green index show more fear than bears would like. Although this indicator is not decisive on its own. It appears that we have just revisited the 20 …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
A Manhattan jury has deadlocked in a closely watched federal case over whether an alleged MEV exploit on Ethereum amounts to criminal fraud. On November 7, a New York federal judge declared a mistrial after jurors failed to reach a unanimous decision on the fate of brothers Anton and James Peraire-Bueno. According to the Reuters report, Prosecutors say the MIT-educated pair pulled roughly $25M in cryptocurrency from the network in a 12-second on-chain transaction. What Led Judge Jessica Clarke to Dismiss the Jury? The trial ran for several weeks, focusing on how Ethereum blocks are built and whether the brothers’ actions constituted sharp trading or a scheme that cros…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Gold prices saw a sharp rise at the start of the trading week. The precious metal is trading up around 2% on the day and holding near the 4100/oz handle. Last week, new data (data from 3rd party sources) came out showing that the US economy lost jobs in October, particularly in government offices and retail stores. Adding to this bad news, a report on Friday showed that Americans felt much less confident about the economy in early November because families were worried about things getting worse financially. Because of this weak data, financial markets now believe there is a 60% chance that the Fed will cut interest rates in December. By January, the chances of a rate cut…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
The cryptosphere is keeping a close eye on Ethereum (ETH), as the second-largest cryptocurrency by market cap demonstrates resilience amid market shakes. While spot ETF outflows are causing concern in some quarters, underlying network fundamentals and technical charts are painting a cautiously optimistic picture, with analysts pointing to a potential move toward the $4,400 mark. Ethereum ETF Outflows and Institutional Sentiment Despite ETH’s recent price recovery, institutional sentiment appears to be on firmer ground even as exchange-traded funds (ETFs) tied to Ethereum record sizeable outflows. Data show that Ethereum spot ETFs suffered a net outflow of approximatel…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
The crypto industry is approaching a major milestone as the market anticipates the potential approval of an XRP Spot ETF in the United States (US). Analysts suggest that recent developments regarding the US Securities and Exchange Commission’s (SEC) review could deliver the final nail in the coffin for XRP. With ETF filings still awaiting approval, the market is watching closely, as a green light could pave the way to greater mainstream adoption and institutional investment in XRP. XRP ETF To Become Game-Changer For The Market Nate Geraci, President of NovaDius Wealth Management and co-founder of The ETF Institute, recently stated on X social media that the first Spot X…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
The wave pattern on the 4-hour EUR/USD chart has changed — unfortunately, not for the better. While there is no reason yet to cancel the upward trend section that began in January 2025, the wave pattern since July 1 has become much more complex and extended. In my view, the instrument is currently forming corrective wave 4, which has taken on an unusual shape. However, the latest five-wave corrective structure suggests that the decline phase may be coming to an end. The upward trend formation continues, while the news background mostly does not favor the dollar. The trade war launched by Donald Trump continues. The president's confrontation with the Federal Reserve also c…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Ethereum has reclaimed key price levels after a volatile weekend, emerging as one of the strongest performers in the ongoing market rebound. As Bitcoin stabilizes near $100K, altcoins are gaining momentum, with ETH once again leading the charge. The recovery comes amid renewed optimism across the crypto sector, as traders and investors position for potential upside following weeks of correction and fear-driven selling. According to a CryptoQuant report by analyst Darkfost, Ethereum trading volume has reached record highs on Binance, highlighting the speculative nature of the current market. The report notes that speculation now plays a much larger role than in previous …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Metals attempt to retake their unforeseen 2025 run higher in today's wild session. Higher than expected inflation, released on Oct 24 during to the BLS shutdown, brought back some calm in a squeezing metals market. While Gold went from $4,380 to just below $3,900, marking a 10.80% correction, Silver moved even more sharply with a drawdown of 16%. A comeback in the US Dollar and hawkish Fed repricings had severely hurt demand for metals. However, this demand is now rapidly coming back as the yet-again pushed back government reopening is being priced for a Republican sweep, where more aggressive fiscal spending is widely expected to remain reckless. This was one of the m…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Barrick Mining (TSX: ABX; NYSE: B) says it’s reviewing operations to curtail unplanned downtime and improve worker safety as the Canadian miner shifts its focus to North America. Toronto-based Barrick is about halfway through the review, additional details of which will be released in February, interim CEO Mark Hill said Monday after the company reported third-quarter results. Barrick wants to better plan maintenance and eliminate “unexpected surprises” such as a recent roaster failure at the Carlin complex in Nevada, which caused the company to lose seven days of production at the end of the third quarter, he said. “We can’t keep having things go wrong unexpected…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Momentum for institutional adoption of XRP has surged as the Depository Trust & Clearing Corporation (DTCC) added five spot XRP exchange-traded funds (ETFs) to its database, marking a key pre-launch milestone. Related Reading: MEXC Users At Risk Of Losing Their Crypto? Ex-Public Advisor Exposes ‘Structural Rot’ The listings include products from Bitwise, Franklin Templeton, 21Shares, Canary Capital, and CoinShares, all of which are categorized as “active and in the pre-launch stage.” DTCC Lists Five Spot XRP ETFs, Signaling Institutional Readiness While the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) has yet to give final approval, analysts view DTCC listings as …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Log in to today's North American session Market wrap for November 10. This week opened on some false hopes for an early conclusion of the US government shutdown after what were described as productive US Senate discussions this past Sunday. Unfortunately, those initial hopes did not materialize, but there is light at the end of the tunnel. We are now on the 40th day of the shutdown, and the pressure is mounting. The airport situation in the US is becoming disastrous, with more than 1,000 flights seeing delays due to a critical shortage of air traffic controllers. Nonetheless, prediction markets remain optimistic, currently pricing a 92% chance that the shutdown will …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Arthur Hayes says Zcash is now his second-largest liquid holding after Bitcoin, and the market took notice. The BitMEX co-founder shared the update on X late Friday. He said his family office, Maelstrom, now holds more ZEC than anything else except Bitcoin. According to the tracker, the whale sent $6.27 million to Hyperliquid and placed a limit-long order for 20,800 ZEC, worth approximately $ 12.12 million. As the market moved higher, the trader’s position briefly showed approximately $1.51 million in unrealized gains. They later closed the trade and walked away with roughly $1.25M in profit. Futures activity also picked up. CoinGlass data shows Zcash open intere…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Two in favor, two against. Groups of opposing factors continue to influence EUR/USD. As a result, after volatile movements in early November, the main currency pair tends toward consolidation. Markets are no longer discussing a coordinated currency intervention at Mar-a-Lago aimed at weakening the U.S. dollar, similar to the Plaza Accord in 1985. Doubts about a Federal Reserve rate cut also support the greenback. However, it has serious vulnerabilities as well. In the first half of the year, Donald Trump often talked about the excessive strength of the American currency, which negatively impacts competitiveness. He urged the Fed to follow the European Central Bank's lead,…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
The euro-dollar pair reacted quite calmly to the news that senators had agreed to end the longest shutdown in U.S. history. At the market open, the price dropped only 20 pips – sellers could not develop a downward movement. The short-term southern momentum faded, and the initiative in the pair shifted to EUR/USD buyers, who, however, have not yet achieved any success. The pair is attempting to overcome the resistance level at 1.1590 (the Tenkan-sen line on the D1 time frame)—but lethargically, "without fire." In my opinion, there are several reasons for this caution. First, the shutdown is not yet officially over. Senators have taken a serious first step toward ending…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
The Bank of England has expectedly kept the interest rate at 4.00%, but the 4 -5 vote split shows that this decision was not easy. The head of the BoE, Bailey, cast his decisive vote for maintaining the rate, expressing the view: "Instead of lowering the interest rate now, I would prefer to wait and see if the resilience of disinflation is confirmed through upcoming economic events this year." Thus, the BoE was literally one step away from a rate cut. The press conference clarified somewhat why the rate was maintained – inflation was persistently rising in discussions, and Bailey indicated that two consecutive cuts are too rapid a pace. According to new BoE forecasts, une…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
The only event on Monday was the first step toward establishing a temporary truce between Democrats and Republicans aimed at ending the record U.S. "shutdown." This lengthy phrasing describes what transpired on the first day of the week. Many market participants were quick to celebrate this event, but it is not entirely clear what they now expect from the dollar. If they expect a new increase in value, how can they explain its strengthening over the past month and a half? Will the dollar rise on the "shutdown," and then again on the completion of the "shutdown"? However, as more information emerged from open sources, it became clearer that the end of the temporary governm…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
The pound has been actively rising against the dollar for the second consecutive week, reflecting the overall weakness of the American currency. Last week, the GBP/USD pair rebounded from the 30th figure and is now approaching the resistance level at 1.3200 (the upper line of the Bollinger Bands on H4 and, simultaneously, the upper boundary of the Kumo cloud on the same time frame). The dollar reacted weakly to the news that U.S. senators had preliminarily agreed to adopt a temporary budget, thus ending the shutdown. After a minor decline (only 30 pips), the GBP/USD pair reversed sharply and hit its one-and-a-half-week high at 1.3190. The dollar did not benefit from t…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
The situation is moving toward a temporary end to the "shutdown," but what does this bode for the dollar? At first glance, everything seems fine. The "shutdown" is coming to an end, the economy will stop losing billions of dollars, and government employees will start receiving their salaries. But is everything so clear-cut? It should be noted that the dollar has felt quite good throughout the "shutdown," so I would not expect a new strengthening from it now. However, further deductions allow for the possibility of a serious decline in the American currency. First, the wave analysis still indicates that an upward trend section is being built. The U.S. dollar has exceeded i…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Fortune Minerals (TSX: FT) announced Monday that it has entered into a binding offer letter for a loan of C$3.8 million ($2.7 million from Prosper NWT, a public agency of the Government of Canada’s Northwest Territories. The loan will enable Fortune to complete the purchase of the Lamont County, Alberta refinery and existing facilities from JFSL Field Services LLC where the company plans to construct a hydrometallurgical facility to process concentrates from the NICO cobalt-gold-bismuth-copper mine in the NWT. The NICO project is an advanced-stage asset consisting of a proposed open pit and underground mine and concentrator. Anchoring the mine is a cobalt-gold-…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Leading Chainlink crypto oracle rival BAND Protocol has revealed a mega integration with Arc – is BAND price set for a comeback in November? Band’s data feeds are now live on Circle’s Arc testnet, giving developers an early way to tap on-chain price data as BAND shows a small lift on the charts. Band Protocol said on Monday that it has connected its price oracles to Arc’s public testnet. The first feed provides USDC/USD data for teams building stablecoin-focused finance tools. The rollout went live on November 10 and is described as an initial step before adding support for more assets as Arc moves toward mainnet. Band Protocol states that the integration is designed…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Ethereum is showing renewed strength after days of intense selling pressure and widespread uncertainty across the crypto market. Following a sharp drop below the $3,300 level, bulls are now attempting to reclaim $3,600, with the next major objective set at $4,000 — a level that could confirm a shift in market momentum if conquered. Amid this recovery effort, key on-chain data highlights a surprising move from one of the market’s most closely watched traders — the so-called Anti-CZ Whale. This investor gained notoriety for shorting ASTER shortly after Changpeng Zhao (CZ) — the former CEO of Binance and one of the most influential figures in crypto — publicly mentioned bu…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
The Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell has hinted at plans to begin adding reserves back to the system. For XRP holders, the shift could prove pivotal. As the Fed prepares to inject fresh reserves, the XRP could once again benefit from an environment of expanding liquidity and easing financial conditions. XRP holders are paying close attention as Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell signals that the Fed will soon add reserves to its balance sheet, subtly setting the stage for the next phase of US monetary policy where digital reserves are not optional. Crypto analyst Xfinancebull has noted on X that President Donald Trump had recently mentioned that the US maintains a cr…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
US President Donald Trump’s latest promise of a tariff-funded “dividend” sent shockwaves through markets Monday, and traders in digital assets moved quickly to price in the possibility of extra cash in American pockets. The plan would pay at least $2,000 to most adults and has been described as part of a broader push to use tariff receipts for direct payments. Tariff Dividend Sparks Market Moves According to reports, the proposal is being presented as a way to convert tariff revenue into direct payments to citizens, with proponents linking the move to stronger consumer spending and higher risk appetite among investors. Trump said the government could afford the new pa…
Last reply by Ben Graham,