Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
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The Swiss National Bank's (SNB) interest rate decision is scheduled for Thursday, September 25, 2025, followed by a press conference from Chairman Martin Schlegel. It is expected that the central bank will once again keep the key rate at 0.0%, marking a second consecutive meeting without changes after six straight cuts since March of last year. Market expectations do not point to further cuts this year, while any potential moves next year remain uncertain. Investors and traders should closely monitor Schlegel's remarks for signals that could indicate a review of the negative rate policy. This decision will have a significant impact on the Swiss franc's exchange rate and p…
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On the hourly chart, the GBP/USD pair on Wednesday formed a new reversal in favor of the U.S. dollar and consolidated below the 76.4% Fibonacci level at 1.3482, working through the support zone of 1.3416–1.3425. A rebound from this zone favored the pound and led to some growth toward 1.3482. A consolidation above this level will increase the likelihood of continued growth toward the next 100.0% corrective level at 1.3587. The wave situation has turned "bearish." This happened suddenly and unexpectedly. The last completed upward wave broke the previous high, but the last downward wave easily broke the previous low. The news background was mostly neutral for the pound la…
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On Wednesday, the EUR/USD pair formed a new reversal in favor of the U.S. dollar and consolidated below the 1.1789–1.1802 zone. Thus, the decline may continue today toward the 76.4% Fibonacci level at 1.1695. A rebound from this level would favor the euro and growth toward the resistance zone of 1.1789–1.1802. The wave situation on the hourly chart remains simple and clear. The last completed downward wave did not break the low of the previous wave, and the last upward wave did not break the previous peak. Therefore, the trend remains "bullish" at this time. The latest labor market data and the changed Fed monetary policy outlook support bullish traders, but the bears a…
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The crypto market is back in deep red today as Bitcoin BTC ▼-0.80% once again failed to reclaim the crucial $113,500 resistance. After briefly attempting a bounce, BTC has been pushed lower and is now hovering near the weekly lows. Market bears are calling for a potential dip toward $107,000, right in line with the “max pain” zone ahead of a massive $17.5 billion Bitcoin options expiry in just two days. Historically, Bitcoin tends to move toward this level during large expirations, suggesting a possible final flush before a reversal. (Source: Coinglass) Ethereum ETH ▼-3.38% has also broken below the $4,000 mark, adding to the bearish pressure across altcoins. Most major…
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Asia Market Wrap - Asian Stock Rally Takes a Breath Most Read: Gold's (XAU/USD) Bull Run Just Getting Started? A Look at What History Says Asian stock markets took a pause on Thursday after their recent surge, as investors waited for new reasons to buy. Meanwhile, the Japanese yen faced significant selling pressure, especially against the euro and Swiss franc. The broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares (excluding Japan) slipped by 0.1%, coming after a very strong period of rallying over 5% this month and 9% this quarter. Japan's Nikkei index was up slightly by 0.2%, having jumped 7% this month and 13% this quarter. Chinese stocks were the best performers: the CSI300 ind…
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The bull crypto market *is* over, for crypto at least. You should have sold. To be clear, the whole of twitter was saying altseason is here last week. So where is it? What if you’re wrong and the bull market is actually over? And you still didn’t take advantage? Every YouTuber and crypto influencer is telling us to HODL. No way they could all be wrong, right? (Source: TradingView) Just one week after the Fed’s first rate cut of 2025, Chair Jerome Powell struck a cautious note on Tuesday. He admitted the US labor market is softening, inflation is still running hot, and policymakers face what he called “two-way risk.” “There is no risk-free path forward,” Powell said, le…
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Dollar Strengthens, Stocks Slip On Wednesday, the MSCI global equity index declined, while the US dollar gained ground and gold prices fell. Investors were digesting cautious remarks from Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell about the timing of the central bank's next potential rate cut. Powell on Balancing Risks In his first speech since last week's rate reduction, Powell stressed that policymakers must carefully weigh the risks of persistent inflation against the signs of a cooling labor market before making further monetary moves. Market Expectations Despite his careful tone, CME FedWatch data indicates that traders still anticipate a rate cut in October. Housing Mar…
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After hitting its $124,000 all-time high back in July, the Bitcoin price has now moved back into a phase of struggling and consolidation. While many have called this out as only a temporary stop, expecting the Bitcoin price to continue its ascent once the decline is over, crypto analyst EXCAVO has taken a more bearish outlook. According to the analyst, the current market trend actually points to the end of the bull market and the beginning of the next bear market. Why The Bitcoin Price Will Crash In the analysis, EXCAVO outlined why they believe that the Bitcoin bear market was actually over. These were given as the classic signs of a top of the market, and there were th…
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We introduce you to the daily updated section of Forex analytics where you will find reviews from forex experts, up-to-date monitoring of financial information as well as online forecasts of exchange rates of the US dollar, euro, ruble, bitcoin, and other currencies for today, tomorrow and this trading week.Useful links: My other articles are available in this section InstaForex course for beginners Popular Analytics Open trading account Important: The begginers in forex trading need to be very careful when making decisions about entering the market. Before the release of important reports, it is best to stay out of the market to avoid being caught in sharp market fluctu…
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Why is no one shilling the RIOT Stock Price? Well, you can put us in the group because, out of the many crypto stocks, shares of Riot Platforms (NASDAQ: RIOT) climbed more than +10% on Tuesday, boosted by record production and renewed optimism around crypto mining. Wall Street sentiment has shifted firmly bullish, with most brokerages rating the stock a Strong Buy or Buy. If Riot Platforms can lease out its data center, as it has recently been rumored, the stock price is estimated to double. If it doesn’t, it’s still one of the best bitcoin miners with one of the healthiest balance sheets. Here is what’s next for Riot and if they will be a top crypto stock in Q4: …
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On Thursday, the Swiss National Bank (SNB) confirmed that the base deposit rate would remain unchanged at 0% after completing its quarterly monetary policy review for Q3 2025. This decision was fully in line with market expectations. The central bank ended its rate-cutting cycle after six consecutive reductions, which began in March last year and continued through June this year. According to the latest SNB statement, Switzerland's GDP growth forecast for 2025 was revised down to 0.2% from the previous 1.0–1.5% range. For 2026, the SNB projects Swiss GDP growth of about 1% (previously 1.0–1.5%). Inflation in the country is forecast to reach 0.0% in Q2 2028. Globally, econ…
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Overview: The foreign exchange market is becalmed today. The greenback is in narrow ranges with a slightly softer bias against most of the G10 currencies, but the Swiss franc and Canadian dollar. The news stream is light, and the leadership of the North American market seems awaited. The US announced a new sectoral investigation into robotics, industrial machinery, and medical devices. Under Section 232 of the Trade Expansion Act, the investigation can last 270 days. Separately, the White House budget office reportedly is preparing for large-scale permanent layoffs during a government shutdown, which looks increasingly likely. Workers deemed nonessential are typically fur…
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Mechanism Capital co-founder Andrew Kang escalated his critique of Tom Lee’s latest Ethereum investment case with an unusually blunt tirade on X, interlacing his rebuttal with a series of sharply worded assertions and data-driven claims. “Tom Lee’s ETH thesis is one of the most retarded combinations of financially illiterate arguments I’ve seen from a well known analyst in a while,” Kang wrote, before listing five pillars he says underpin Lee’s view: “(1) Stablecoin & RWA adoption; (2) Digital oil comparison; (3) Institutions will buy and stake ETH; (4) ETH will be equal to all financial infrastructure companies; (5) Technical analysis.” Is Tom Lee’s Ethereum Thesis …
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The Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) and the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) are gearing up for their upcoming public roundtable meeting scheduled for 29 September 2025. To begin with, the meeting will focus on regulatory harmonisation across digital and traditional finance (TradFi), enabling the unification of fragmented oversight, since digital and TradFi often fall under different regulatory umbrellas. Importantly, the roundtable discussions signal legitimacy. With top crypto exchanges like Kraken and Crypto.com participating in the discussions, the message goes out that the regulators are serious about compliance and collaboration. Further, the …
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China’s Zijin Mining Group (HKG: 2899) has become the world’s third-largest mining company by value after surpassing $100 billion in market value for the first time at Thursday’s close. The milestone places Zijin alongside global heavyweights BHP (ASX: BHP) and Rio Tinto (ASX: RIO), which closed Thursday with market capitalizations of A$212 billion ($140B) and A$169 billion ($111B), respectively. Founded in the 1980s by geologist and current chairman Chen Jinghe, Zijin grew from a small gold mine in southeastern China into a sprawling global player. The company now controls or holds majority stakes in hundreds of operations worldwide. In the past year alone, it ad…
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Franklin Templeton is expanding its Benji Technology Platform to the BNB Chain, making it clear once again that crypto’s integration into mainstream finance is getting serious. The global investment firm, with $1.6T in assets under management, launched the Benji Technology Platform to experiment with the tokenization of traditional fund shares. Each $BENJI token represents one share in the Franklin OnChain US Government Money Fund. $BENJI tokens – already available on Ethereum, Avalanche, Stellar, and Polygon – will now be minted on the BNB Chain as well. But why’s that driving traffic to Maxi Doge ($MAXI), sending its meme coin presale close to $2.5M and placing it as …
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Fundstrat’s Tom Lee drew a crowd at Korea Blockchain Week 2025 with a bold call: Bitcoin could reach as high as $250,000 by year-end, and Ethereum could climb toward $12,000. According to reports, Lee gave a range for Bitcoin of $200,000 to $250,000 and said Ethereum might hit $10,000 to $12,000, with upside to $12,000 to $15,000 under favorable conditions. His case rested on macro tailwinds and growing institutional interest in crypto assets. Market Drivers And Timeline Reports have disclosed Lee’s timing is tied to a mix of factors. He pointed to a possible shift in US monetary policy from a hawkish stance to one that is less aggressive, which he thinks would be pos…
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South Africa’s Gold Fields (JSE: GFI) is reportedly selling a A$1.1 billion ($720 million) stake in Northern Star Resources (ASX: NST), with JPMorgan running an auction process that began after Thursday’s market close. Gold Fields inherited the holding through its $2.4 billion takeover of Australian gold miner Gold Road Resources (ASX: GOR), which won shareholder approval this week. The shares are being sold at a floor price of A$21.85 each, according to The Australian. This reflected a 2.7% discount to Northern Star’s last-traded price of A$22.66 before the sale was announced. The divestment comes amid record-breaking gold prices and only days after Gold Fie…
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Bitcoin is approaching a decisive inflection in its four-year cycle, with a euphoric “blowoff” advance likely to begin within days—or the market having already printed its peak at month 33—according to cycle analyst Bob Loukas. In a video published on September 24, 2025, Loukas told viewers he remains “heavily” inclined toward an imminent upside resolution into a cycle high during Q4, while outlining the risk markers that would instead confirm the top is already in. Bitcoin Blowoff Top Imminent Or Already In Loukas framed the present as the late stage of Bitcoin’s rising phase, noting that the advance from the bear-market low has been “a pretty consistent uptrend marked …
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Nine of Europe’s biggest banks—including ING, UniCredit, Danske Bank, SEB, KBC, DekaBank, Banca Sella, and Raiffeisen Bank International—have decided to collaborate on a euro-backed stablecoin. Under the European Union’s (EU) Markets in Crypto-Assets Regulation (MiCA) framework, the collaborating banks will roll out the stablecoin in the second half of 2026. Will this be a game-changer for European crypto payments? Will the euro-backed stablecoin reduce Europe’s reliance on US dollar-denominated stablecoins? On 25 September 2025, ING released the joint statement confirming that “the initiative will provide a real European alternative to the US-dominated stablecoin mark…
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The Euro has been very tenacious throughout the year. It is currently the top two in major currency performance this year, with only its neighbor, the Swissie, keeping it in check (the difference in performance between the two is very small). Trends can be expected to continue, particularly when they reverse flows that have been seen in the past 10 years. So, what has been going on with the Euro since the 2010s? The Euro was in a secular downtrend against the US Dollar, for example, due to lower growth, a disadvantageous trade balance, companies fleeing the overregulated economic zone, generally lower rates (implying basis trade activity), and some not-so-nice events l…
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The road ahead for Hyperliquid does not look so bright. In fact, the decentralized trading platform could face lots of tribulations, “painful” ones, according to an expert. Related Reading: Bitmine’s Ethereum Appetite Grows With Fresh $70 Million Buy Aster, a new DEX built on the BNB Chain, has grabbed market attention this week after a dramatic price surge and heavy on-chain flows. Traders and observers say the token’s spike has shifted capital away from established rivals, while heated commentary from a high-profile trader has added to the drama. Aster Surpasses Rivals In Volume And Revenue According to on-chain trackers, Aster’s 24-hour perpetual trading volume has…
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Volatility is back again after relatively unsurprising sessions since the past week FOMC. It seems that the since last week, the 2025 theme of currency debasing, seeing a huge rally in metals (Gold, Silver at their yearly highs) and equities was intact after the September meeting which resulted in a cut. Stocks had been continuing their way higher, and metals had retracted slightly before surging again to new highs. But risk-assets have been sending alerts since Monday, with Cryptocurrencies – usually early runners for profit-taking–seeing some strong outflows (look at the Total Crypto Market cap which is hanging around its December 2024 highs, 10% lower than its most …
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Mining companies could see earnings drop by as much as 25% over five years due to nature degradation, Barclays said in a new report. The bank’s stress test, published in Navigating Nature Risk: Applying the TNFD’s LEAP Framework, analysed 250 mines linked to 30 companies and about 9,000 European power facilities. It found that transition risks such as higher water prices, stricter pollution rules, expansion of protected areas and increased minerals recycling pose the greatest threat to miners. Power companies faced smaller potential earnings declines of around 10%, mainly due to physical risks such as droughts and floods. The World Economic Forum estimates…
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Goldman Sachs has lowered its global copper supply forecast for both 2025 and 2026, citing recent disruptions at the world’s second-largest mine. Production at the Grasberg mine in Indonesia has been under suspension since Sept. 8 after a landslide unleashed 800,000 tonnes of mud into the Block Cave area, trapping seven workers and causing severe damage across the mine’s infrastructure. US-based Freeport McMoRan (NYSE: FCX), the mine’s operator, immediately halted mining activities to prioritize the rescue of the mine workers, and to date has recovered two bodies. As the search continues, the company has declared force majeure and is investigating the incident. …
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