Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
11972 tópicos neste fórum
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EUR/USD Analysis on 5M The EUR/USD currency pair traded with minimal volatility on Monday, as anticipated, making it pointless to discuss whether the price rose or fell over the past day. A movement of 40 pips in 24 hours is market noise. The same applies to the fundamental background. Yesterday, it became known that the U.S. "shutdown" may soon end, which should, in theory, support the dollar. We observed a brief strengthening of the U.S. currency during the American trading session. But why didn't the dollar rise in the morning? Why did it strengthen over the last month and a half while the "shutdown" was ongoing? There is certainly no logic in Monday's movements. F…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
GBP/USD Analysis on 5M The GBP/USD currency pair continued its weak upward movement, with minimal volatility, on Monday, testing the Senkou Span B line. The bounce off this strong and important line provoked a slight decline in the pair during the latter half of the day. Thus, at this time, we cannot confidently state that the local downward trend is complete. The same picture is observed with the euro currency; the price also failed to breach the Senkou Span B line on the first attempt. In both cases, a breach of the Ichimoku cloud on the 4-hour timeframe is required to expect an upward trend. The British pound also has a trendline that needs to be surpassed. The mac…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
The EUR/USD currency pair traded relatively calmly on Monday, as we had warned. There were no macroeconomic events scheduled for the first trading day of the week, but two news items emerged from the White House in the morning. First, Donald Trump promised to distribute $2,000 to all Americans as dividends from the new trade policy, and then he reported on the Senate's exit from the crisis. Before we delve into these two events, we want to remind you that Trump's words should always be divided by eight, or ideally by sixteen. So, Donald Trump promised to distribute $2,000 to all Americans as "helicopter money." Why? Let's remember that all the trade tariffs will ultimatel…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
The GBP/USD currency pair also traded quite calmly on Monday, although it might seem that Trump made many Americans happy with his promises to pay $2,000 each and the imminent end of the "shutdown." Why then did the dollar not strengthen, and why did the market practically ignore these two events? Without delving into the details of the agreement between Democrats and Republicans in the Senate that allowed Trump to promise the imminent end of the government shutdown, let's say that at any moment, things could go wrong. The senators only agreed on temporary funding for the government until January 30. In other words, for 3 months. Thus, it is reasonable to assume that a ne…
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Dogecoin’s technical momentum is “back in the conversation,” with a revived pathway to $1 if current conditions hold, according to crypto analyst VisionPulsed in a November 10 video breakdown focused on DOGE’s structure and momentum profile. While he repeatedly underscored uncertainty around ultimate cycle timing, the analyst said Dogecoin has “reclaimed the uptrend,” adding that the macro uptrend looks broken but the summer uptrend is “valid technically,” especially when viewed on the weekly chart. Dogecoin To $1 Still Possible? VisionPulsed framed the setup as binary for risk takers: “Dogecoin’s road to the bull” if momentum confirms, versus a “path to the pig” near $0…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Bitcoin price is attempting to recover above $105,500. BTC could continue to move up if it clears the $107,000 resistance zone. Bitcoin started a decent recovery wave above the $105,000 support. The price is trading above $105,000 and the 100 hourly Simple moving average. There is a bullish trend line forming with support at $104,000 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken). The pair might continue to move up if it settles above the $107,000 zone. Bitcoin Price Faces Key Resistance Bitcoin price managed to stay above the $102,000 support level and started a recovery wave. BTC recovered above the $103,500 and $104,200 resistance levels. The pair …
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Ethereum is once again knocking on a major resistance level, sparking fresh excitement across the market. After a steady climb, ETH now faces a crucial test near the $3,700 mark, a zone that could determine whether bulls reclaim control or if another pullback is on the horizon Ethereum’s Uptrend On The Line — Will Buyers Step In? According to Crypto King, a well-known crypto analyst, ETH has reached a crucial point on the daily chart that could determine its next major move. The analyst noted that ETH’s price action is currently hovering around a key level, making this moment critical to track the broader market structure. In the post, Crypto King pointed out that the …
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The Internal Revenue Service has published new guidance that clears the way for crypto exchange-traded products to participate in staking without risking their tax classification. This update, labeled Revenue Procedure 2025-31, gives certain trusts the green light to engage in staking while maintaining their federal income tax status. It is a step that could change how retail investors interact with staking rewards, especially through regulated products. How the New Framework Actually Works According to the IRS, a trust can stake digital assets as long as it only holds one type of asset alongside cash and relies on a qualified custodian. The rules are specific to permiss…
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Coinbase is giving retail investors a fresh shot at getting in early on digital tokens. The company has rolled out a new platform that allows users to buy tokens before they go live on the exchange. Kicking things off is a sale for Monad Labs, which will be the first project featured. Coinbase plans to keep the momentum going by hosting around one token sale each month. Just One Week to Make Your Move The process is straightforward but time-sensitive. Investors will have exactly one week to request tokens through the platform. An algorithm will handle the allocations, aiming to spread tokens out more evenly instead of letting whales scoop up the bulk. If it works, i…
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Ethereum price started a recovery wave above $3,500. ETH is showing positive signs but faces hurdles near the $3,650 resistance. Ethereum started a decent upward move above $3,420 and $3,500. The price is trading above $3,550 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There is a bullish trend line forming with support at $3,520 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD (data feed via Kraken). The pair could continue to move up if it clears the $3,650 zone. Ethereum Price Faces Resistance Ethereum price managed to stay above $3,250 and started a recovery wave, like Bitcoin. ETH price was able to climb above the $3,350 and $3,420 resistance levels. The bulls pushed the price above …
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According to technical commentary from analyst Javon Marks, Shiba Inu appears to have left a long accumulation zone and may be entering a fresh bullish phase. The token first showed a breakout in March 2024 and pushed up toward $0.000046. It reached about $0.00003328 on December 8, 2024, before falling hard in 2025. Analyst Points To Accumulation Breakout Marks highlights early bullish signals, including what he calls bullish divergences on the MACD that showed up earlier this year. Based on reports, he expects a move back into the $0.000032 area. He even projects a potential 200% rally to that level from where the token trades now. From the current quoted price of $0.…
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XRP price started a decent increase above $2.420. The price is now consolidating and might aim for more gains above the $2.580 level. XRP price stayed above $2.40 and started a decent increase. The price is now trading above $2.50 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There is a short-term contracting triangle forming with resistance at $2.256 on the hourly chart of the XRP/USD pair (data source from Kraken). The pair could continue to move up if it clears $2.580. XRP Price Gains Traction XRP price started a decent upward move above $2.320 and $2.350, like Bitcoin and Ethereum. The price gained pace for a clear move above the $2.420 resistance. The pair even surpa…
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Gold is trading around $4,132 with a strong upward movement that began at the opening of this week's session. Over the past 24 hours, gold has gained more than $140 in price. Yesterday, at the opening of this week's trading, gold was hovering around $4,000. Now, the price is around $4,132, so it is likely to continue rising until it reaches strong resistance at $4,162. On the H4 chart, we can see that gold is trading within an upward trend channel and is likely to reach overbought levels, given the strong resistance at the $4,162 and $4,155 levels. The Eagle indicator has reached overbought levels, so we should be very cautious in case a technical correction occurs during…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Bitcoin is trading around $105,616, undergoing a technical correction after reaching a weekly high of $107,500. According to the H4 chart, we can see that Bitcoin encountered strong resistance around $107,000. Currently, the BTC price is below this level, indicating that the decline is likely to continue. Crypto could find good support around the 21 SMA located at $103,794 or around the bottom of the ascending trend channel located at $104,000. Should Bitcoin reach the $104,000 price level in the coming hours, it will be seen as an opportunity to resume buying with targets at $108,967 (around the 3/8 Murray and the 200 EMA). The instrument could finally reach the 4/8 Murr…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
EUR/USD is trading around 1.1555, above the 21-period SMA, with a positive bias. In the coming hours, we could expect a technical correction towards the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level around 1.1530. This level is key, as the euro could find strong support around 1.1530 to 1.1545. Should the price consolidate above this area, it could be seen as an opportunity to resume buying, with targets at the 7/8 Murray level at 1.1596, and potentially even reaching the 8/8 Murray level at 1.1718. If EUR/USD remains below 1.1530, it could be seen as a continuation of the bearish cycle, potentially reaching the 6/8 Murray level around 1.1474. The euro has the potential to continue r…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Trade Analysis for Monday: 1H Chart of the EUR/USD Pair The EUR/USD currency pair traded mostly sideways on Monday and failed to break past the important level of 1.1584. In principle, not much was expected from Monday. The macroeconomic background was completely absent in all the countries of interest, and Donald Trump's morning promises to soon end the "shutdown" did not catch anyone's interest. The market did not experience euphoria over the conclusion of the "shutdown," just as it had ignored the "shutdown" for a month and a half. Recall that over the past month and a half, the U.S. currency had been rising moderately, which contradicted the fundamental backdrop…
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Trade Analysis for Monday: 1H Chart of the GBP/USD Pair The GBP/USD pair attempted to continue its upward movement from recent days on Monday, but overall, it moved sideways more than up. This is not surprising, as no significant news became available to traders on Monday. Of course, the news about the possible end of the "shutdown" can be considered "important," but let's remember that the "shutdown" is not yet over, and what is being discussed is a temporary truce between the Democrats and Republicans and temporary funding for the U.S. government and its services. As early as next year, America could very well face a new "shutdown" if the Democrats and Republicans …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Analysis of Macroeconomic Reports: Several macroeconomic reports are scheduled for Tuesday, with the most significant ones coming from the UK. The unemployment rate, changes in the number of unemployment benefit claims, and wage changes will be published in Great Britain. Recall that the Bank of England expects further increases in unemployment to 5.1%, while official forecasts suggest a rise to 4.9% for the end of September. Thus, the British pound will struggle to garner market support today, but we continue to believe the market is largely overlooking the macroeconomic backdrop. In Germany and the Eurozone, the ZEW Economic Sentiment Indexes will be published, whi…
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As investors navigate a landscape marked by heightened uncertainty, the Bitcoin price is currently trading nearly 20% below its all-time highs. However, a group of analysts has drawn parallels between the present performance and the significant rally observed in 2023. Positive Signals For The Bitcoin Price In a recent update shared on the social media platform X (formerly Twitter), analysts from The Bull Theory highlighted that the Bitcoin price has once again closed a weekly candle above the 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA), a critical indicator that has historically supported every major uptrend over the past two and a half years. This EMA level has been test…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Solana started a decent upward move above the $165 zone. SOL price is now consolidating and faces hurdles near the $172 zone. SOL price started a decent upward move above $162 and $165 against the US Dollar. The price is now trading above $165 and the 100-hourly simple moving average. There is a rising channel forming with resistance at $175 on the hourly chart of the SOL/USD pair (data source from Kraken). The price could continue to move up if it clears $172 and $175. Solana Price Eyes Upside Break Solana price remained stable and started a decent recovery wave above $155, like Bitcoin and Ethereum. SOL was able to climb above the $162 pivot level. There was a move …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
On-chain data shows XRP profit realization has witnessed a huge spike recently, but price has rebounded back above $2.50 anyway. XRP Realized Profit Is Up 240% Since Late September In a post on X, on-chain analytics firm Glassnode has talked about the latest trend in the Realized Profit of XRP. The “Realized Profit” here refers to an indicator that measures the total amount of profit investors as a whole are “realizing” through their transactions every day. The metric works by going through the transfer history of each token being transacted on the chain to see what price it was last moved at. If the previous selling price for any coin was less than the current spot pri…
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The U.S. dollar has failed to regain its leadership over several risk assets, which still have room to grow. Yesterday, the U.S. Senate passed a bill to end the shutdown. Markets reacted with cautious optimism to this news. Traders, weary of uncertainty, perceived this as a first step toward restoring normal government operations. However, concerns about the long-term economic consequences of the shutdown persist. Before the bill takes effect, it must pass a vote in the Republican-controlled House of Representatives. In the first half of the day, data are expected from the ZEW Institute on the business sentiment index for Germany, as well as the current situation index an…
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[Natural Gas] – [Tuesday, November 11, 2025] With all technical conditions supporting the strengthening of Natural Gas, such as the RSI in the Neutral-Bullish zone and both EMAs forming a Golden Cross, then the opportunities for #NG to strengthen Today are quite favorable. Key Levels: 1. Resistance. 2 : 4.626 2. Resistance. 1 : 4.499 3. Pivot : 4.382 4. Support. 1 : 4.255 5. Support. 2 : 4.138 Tactical Scenario: Positive Reaction Zone: If the price of #NG rises above 4.382, there is potential to test the 4.499 level. Momentum Extension Bias: If 4.499 is exceeded, Natural Gas has the potential to continue its strengthening up to 4.626. Invalidation Leve…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
[Platinum] – [Tuesday, November 11, 2025] Although a Bearish Divergence has appeared on the RSI indicator, but its position in the Neutral-Bullish zone along with both EMAs still in a Golden Cross formation gives probability to #PLF to strengthen today. Key Levels: 1. Resistance. 2 : 1637.8 2. Resistance. 1 : 1616.7 3. Pivot : 1582.8 4. Support. 1 : 1561.7 5. Support. 2 : 1527.8 Tactical Scenario: Positive Reaction Zone: If #PLF breaks through and closes above 1616.7, it has the potential to continue its strength up to the 1637.8 level. Momentum Extension Bias: If 1637.8 is surpassed, Platinum will test the 1671.7 level. Invalidation Level / Bias Revi…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Bitcoin rose to $107,500 today, then quickly fell back to around $105,000. It seems that $105,000 is currently a balanced midpoint, above which there are significantly fewer buyers. Consolidation is necessary for further growth, so there are no serious concerns regarding the bullish market that began last weekend. Today, an interesting report from CryptoQuant caught my eye, highlighting a sharp increase in spot market demand for BTC. This is corroborated by the increase in Bitcoin outflows from centralized exchanges. Large investors appear to be actively absorbing the available supply, withdrawing coins to cold wallets for long-term storage. Such a trend usually indicate…
Last reply by Ben Graham,
