Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
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The cryptocurrency landscape is witnessing a remarkable shift, with the BNB price emerging as a standout performer among the top ten cryptocurrencies by market capitalization. Over the past week, Binance Coin has surged by 30%, propelling its price to a new all-time high just shy of $1,350. This latest rally translates to a major 600% increase from its last bear market lows. Binance Coin Becomes Third-Largest Cryptocurrency The recent momentum has been particularly noteworthy, as the BNB price eyes to turn the $1,300 mark as its new support for further upside movements, retracing only 2% from its peak after its record-breaking rally on Tuesday. This minimal pullback…
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Bitcoin recently tested the $124,000 level before quickly pulling back. Selling pressure was observed during the Asian trading session, which drove the leading cryptocurrency back to the $121,500 area, where buyers once again became active. However, how long they can maintain this level of support remains uncertain. According to recent data, inflows into spot Bitcoin ETFs have slowed but not reversed, supporting the broader market as Bitcoin trades near its historical highs. This stable, albeit moderate, stream of capital reflects continued interest from institutional investors, despite market volatility and rumors of a deeper correction. In the context of global economi…
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The U.S. dollar slightly retreated in the second half of the previous day. The Federal Reserve appears to be leaning toward further interest rate cuts this year, but whether a rate cut will happen at the October meeting remains uncertain. Economic data continues to point to difficulties in growth across several sectors, while inflation remains above the Federal Reserve's 2% target. This creates pressure on the central bank to take action to stimulate the economy. Cutting interest rates is one of the Fed's most commonly used tools for that purpose. Lower rates make it easier for businesses and individuals to borrow, which should encourage higher spending and investment. On…
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Key takeaways The Japanese yen has weakened sharply, losing 3.7% against the USD as markets priced in pro-stimulus expectations from new LDP leader Sanae Takaichi, fuelling the “Takaichi Trade.”Despite short-term JPY weakness, Japan’s consumer confidence continues to improve, supporting the Bank of Japan’s (BoJ) gradual rate hike stance.The BoJ’s policy rate curve remains upward trending, signalling gradual monetary tightening into 2026.The US–Japan 10-year yield spread has broken (intraday) below key support at 2.47%, a potential signal for medium-term USD/JPY weakness ahead. In the past three sessions since Monday, 6 October 2025, the Japanese yen has weakened sig…
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Bitcoin’s recent price action suggests a cooling phase after its failed attempt to secure a close above the $123,000–$124,000 all-time high zone. While short-term retracement appears likely, the broader market structure remains bullish. This correction could serve as a healthy reset before Bitcoin gathers momentum for its next major wave, with $150,000 standing as the next target. Heatmap Reveals Key Gaps In Bitcoin’s Support Levels ZYN, a prominent crypto analyst, recently posted an update on X highlighting a key observation from Bitcoin’s cost basis heatmap. The analyst noted that there’s limited support between the $121,000 and $120,000 levels, creating a fragile zone…
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The euro is trading around 1.1644, rebounding from having reached the 7/8 Murray level around 1.1596. The euro could reach the 8/8 Murray level around 1.1718 in the coming days and could even cover the gap it left around 1.1740. If bearish pressure prevails, we could expect EUR/USD to reach the psychological support level of 1.1500. The eagle indicator is showing a positive signal, so any pullback in EUR/USD will be seen as a buy signal in the coming days, with targets at 1.1718 and 1.1745. The euro is moving within a bearish trend channel formed since September 17 and could continue its decline until it reaches the 6/8 Murray level around 1.1500. The material has been pr…
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Gold is trading around 4,020, below the 21 SMA and below the uptrend channel formed since early October. The H1 chart shows that gold is undergoing a technical correction, and we could expect it to reach +1/8 Murray around $3,906. If the price consolidates above 4,035, we could expect it to reach +2/8 Murray around 4,062. The H1 chart shows strong overbought conditions. So, if the price closes the gap left at the close of Wednesday's session, we could expect it to reach the 4,040 level and even 4,062. Our outlook will be bearish as long as the gold price consolidates below 4,062. Therefore, any technical rebound, as long as the price remains below this area, will be seen …
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Macroeconomic Report Overview: Very few macroeconomic reports are scheduled for Thursday, and all of them are secondary in nature. In Germany, import, export, and trade balance data will be released; however, these figures are unlikely to have a meaningful impact on trader sentiment. It may seem like yesterday's disappointing industrial production report from Germany triggered the euro's decline, but in reality, the euro stopped falling right after that data was published. Economic calendars for the UK, the Eurozone, and the U.S. remain largely empty today. Fundamental Events Breakdown: There is only one major fundamental event on Thursday — but it is a signific…
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Dogecoin started a fresh decline below the $0.260 zone against the US Dollar. DOGE is now consolidating and might dip further if it stays below $0.2550. DOGE price started a fresh decline below the $0.2550 level. The price is trading below the $0.2550 level and the 100-hourly simple moving average. There is a bearish trend line forming with resistance at $0.2570 on the hourly chart of the DOGE/USD pair (data source from Kraken). The price could extend losses if there is a move below $0.2420. Dogecoin Price Trims Gains Dogecoin price started a fresh decline after it closed below $0.2620, like Bitcoin and Ethereum. DOGE declined below the $0.260 and $0.2550 support level…
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A cryptocurrency analyst has pointed out how the Open Interest for Bitcoin and the altcoins is forming a setup that previously led to a market downturn. Bitcoin & Altcoins Have Seen A Jump In Open Interest Recently In a new post on X, CryptoQuant community analyst Maartunn has discussed about the latest trend in the Open Interest for Bitcoin and the altcoins. This indicator measures the total amount of positions related to a given asset or group of assets that are currently open on all centralized derivatives exchanges. It takes into account both long and short positions. When the value of the Open interest rises, it means speculative interest in the market is goin…
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Wednesday Trade Review:1-Hour GBP/USD Chart On Wednesday (and into Thursday), the GBP/USD pair continued a weak downward movement — despite having virtually no fundamental reason for doing so. Let's recall that the trend for the pound turned bullish after the downward trendline was broken. There's been no meaningful macroeconomic or fundamental news for the British currency this week. On the other hand, U.S. developments — including the ongoing government shutdown and unrest in Chicago — clearly don't favor dollar strength. Last week's U.S. economic data fell short of expectations, and the Federal Reserve is expected to cut rates two more times before year-end. All of…
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Wednesday Trade Breakdown:1-Hour EUR/USD Chart On Wednesday, the EUR/USD currency pair traded in both directions while maintaining a downward bias on the hourly timeframe. The main decline occurred during the Asian session, so even the one major macroeconomic report — Germany's industrial production, which disappointed significantly — had virtually no impact on the euro. In the evening, the minutes from the latest FOMC meeting revealed that about half of the committee members expect further monetary easing. The key interest rate could be cut two more times by year-end. However, this information had already been public knowledge since September 17, the date of the Fede…
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[Nasdaq 100 Index] – [Thursday, October 09, 2025] Given the Golden Cross between EMA(50) and EMA(200) and the RSI(14) being in the Neutral-Bullish zone, #NDX is likely to strengthen toward its nearest resistance level in the near term. Key Levels 1. Resistance. 2 : 25381.4 2. Resistance. 1 : 25265.9 3. Pivot : 25044.8 4. Support. 1 : 24929.3 5. Support. 2 : 24708.2 Tactical Scenario Positive Reaction Zone: If #NDX breaks out and closes above 25,044.8, it has the potential to test 25,265.9. Momentum Extension Bias: If 25,265.9 is surpassed, the next target to be tested would be 25,381.4. Invalidation Level / Bias Revision The upside bias weakens if #NDX …
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[USDX] – [Thursday, October 09, 2025] Although both EMAs are still in a Golden Cross, but with the appearance of a Bearish Divergence along with the RSI in the Neutral-Bearish area indicates potential weakness in #USDX today. Key Levels 1. Resistance. 2 : 99.29 2. Resistance. 1 : 99.05 3. Pivot : 98.80 4. Support. 1 : 98.56 5. Support. 2 : 98.31 Tactical Scenario Pressure Zone: If #USDX breaks down and closes below 98.56, it has the potential to continue its decline toward 98.31. Momentum Extension Bias: If 98.31 is breached and closes below, the 98.07 level will likely be tested. Invalidation Level / Bias Revision The downside bias is held if #USDX rem…
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XRP price started a fresh decline below $2.90. The price is now struggling and might continue to move down if it trades below $2.820. XRP price is slowly moving lower below the $2.90 zone. The price is now trading below $2.90 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There is a key bearish trend line forming with resistance at $2.880 on the hourly chart of the XRP/USD pair (data source from Kraken). The pair could start a fresh decline if it settles below $2.820. XRP Price Dips Further XRP price failed to stay above $3.00 and started a fresh decline, like Bitcoin and Ethereum. The price declined below $2.950 and $2.920 to enter a short-term bearish zone. The price tes…
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Binance Coin (BNB) extended its hot streak, trading above $1,310 (up 3% on the day and 30% on the week), as it flipped XRP to become the third-largest cryptocurrency by market value. BNB’s market cap now hovers near $182–185 billion, capping a seven-day run that outpaced Bitcoin and Ethereum. The surge followed a clean breakout above $1,100 and $1,200, with bulls now eyeing $1,360 and the psychological $1,500 handle if momentum holds. On the downside, $1,200–$1,240 is the first support zone traders are watching for a healthy retest. Record On-Chain Activity and Meme-Season Tailwinds Currently, BNB Chain is printing cycle-high activity. Daily transactions have ranged…
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Ethereum price failed to extend gains above $4,600 and declined. ETH is now moving lower and might extend losses below $4,400 in the short term. Ethereum started a downside correction below $4,600 and $4,550. The price is trading below $4,550 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There is a short-term rising channel forming with support at $4,460 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD (data feed via Kraken). The pair could continue to move down if it trades below $4,400. Ethereum Price Dips Again Ethereum price extended gains above $4,620 and $4,650, like Bitcoin. ETH price tested the $4,750 resistance zone before there was a fresh decline. A low was formed at $4,414 and t…
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Ethereum’s treasury stocks are starting to exhibit early signs of a potential market reversal, sparking renewed optimism across the cryptocurrency landscape. This movement among treasuries often serves as a leading signal of shifting sentiment within the broader ETH ecosystem. A Look At The Data Behind Ethereum On-Chain Recovery In a subtle shift that suggests the broader market may be stabilizing, Ethereum treasury stocks are beginning to flash early signs of reversal. Despite these encouraging signals, Ethereum remains well below its all-time high (ATH). Investor Ted Pillows pointed out on X that the institutional interest will only return once the charts show sustaine…
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EUR/USD Yesterday, the euro reached and tested the target support level at 1.1605 before reversing upward, likely with the intention of closing Monday's price gap. The immediate growth target is the signal-interim level at 1.1779. A breakout above this level would open the path toward the upper boundary of the price channel near the 1.1910 mark. The signal line of the Marlin oscillator has formed its own upward channel, and the current reversal is occurring from its lower boundary — a technical confirmation of bullish momentum building. The first growth target is the MACD line at 1.1687, followed by 1.1779. On the four-hour chart, the resistance from the MACD line coinci…
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GBP/USD On Wednesday, the British pound reached the target support level of 1.3369, corresponding to the June 23 low. Previously, this level was slightly lower, based on the July 16 low. A rebound occurred from this support zone, which could potentially lift the price above the MACD line (at 1.3434), thereby opening the path toward the next target at 1.3525. However, the Marlin oscillator remains in negative territory, suggesting that the anticipated upward movement will not be easy — especially considering that the entire 1.3369–1.3525 range represents a long-term zone of free movement. On the four-hour chart, the MACD line at 1.3430 is the immediate resistance. The Ma…
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Natural Gas (NG) Over the past two weeks, the price of natural gas has made two unsuccessful attempts to break above the weekly balance and MACD indicator lines. As of today, the price has returned below the key support level of 3.333. The Marlin oscillator has also failed to enter positive territory and is now indicating a potential downward reversal. The nearest target at 3.086 is open. With a high degree of probability, the decline could extend well below this initial target — toward 2.643. On the daily chart, the price held above the 3.333 level for six consecutive sessions, but all attempts to build upward momentum were thwarted by technical resistance from higher …
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On Wednesday, the GBP/USD currency pair again traded slightly lower — but only marginally so. In our accompanying article on EUR/USD, we discussed the reasons for the euro's decline (spoiler alert: there are hardly any). Here, we take a closer look at the pound's behavior and ask — why is it falling at all? After all, the political crisis in France has nothing to do with the British currency. In fact, the answer is already clear. The pound has even fewer reasons to fall than the euro. The situation in France, which can hardly be called a genuine crisis, has no bearing on GBP. Suggesting that the pound is falling due to a political reshuffle in France makes as much sense a…
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The EUR/USD currency pair traded lower throughout Tuesday and Wednesday, declining steadily without major pauses, even overnight. This drop has been swift and persistent. So, let's ask an important question: do traders really understand that such a move requires major fundamental justification? And do they realize that it's not enough to isolate a single event—they need to consider the entire spectrum of macroeconomic and fundamental signals? Reading various expert commentaries brings to mind the classic line from the film "Casablanca": "Round up the usual suspects." At the moment, the euro does not have any serious reasons to be falling, yet many analysts are pointing fi…
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Bitcoin price corrected gains and traded below the $125,000 pivot level. BTC is now consolidating near $122,200 and might struggle to rally above $125,000s. Bitcoin started a downside correction below the $124,000 level. The price is trading below $123,500 and the 100 hourly Simple moving average. There is a bullish trend line forming with support at $122,200 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken). The pair might continue to move down if it trades below the $122,000 zone. Bitcoin Price Dips Again Bitcoin price extended gains above the $125,000 zone. BTC climbed above the $125,250 and $125,500 resistance levels before the bears appeared. A new …
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Bitcoin is entering a critical phase, preparing for a decisive move that will determine its short-term trajectory. After weeks of volatility and record-breaking highs, BTC now faces a pivotal test — it must either reclaim its all-time highs and enter a new phase of price discovery, or continue its correction to establish a stronger base of consolidation around current levels. The market appears finely balanced, with traders watching closely for signs of direction. Recent onchain data highlights a surge in new buyers, marking one of the strongest inflows of fresh capital seen in months. This trend suggests renewed bullish momentum, as investors increasingly view Bitcoin’…
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