Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
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Bitcoin is trading at a critical level after a quiet weekend, with bulls managing to defend key supports but struggling to generate fresh upside momentum. The market remains tense as investors await the US Federal Reserve’s interest rate decision scheduled for this Wednesday. A potential 25-basis-point cut is widely anticipated, which many see as a sign of a gradual pivot rather than an aggressive measure. Such a move could spark optimism across risk assets, including crypto, as it signals a more supportive monetary environment without triggering fears of economic distress. For Bitcoin, the focus is on whether it can sustain its position above critical price levels whil…
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What should you expect from the FOMC meeting this week? The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meets on September 16–17, with traders betting heavily on a 25-basis-point rate cut. According to the CME FedWatch Tool, there’s a 92% probability of easing, a near certainty. The case rests on cooling inflation and weakening labor data. TLDW: FOMC meeting will likely lower interest rates, effectively turning on money printers. Expect long bond yields to GO UP! “The probability of a quarter-point cut is almost baked in,” analysts at CME noted, pointing to CPI at 2.9% year-over-year and PPI softening below 3%. bitcoinPriceMarket CapBTC$2.29T24h7d1y This will mark the Fed’s …
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This is a follow-up analysis and an update of our prior publication, “Hang Seng Index Technical: Recent sell-off overdone, bullish trend remains intact”, published on 5 September 2025. The Hong Kong 33 CFD Index (a proxy of the Hang Seng Index futures) has staged the expected bullish breakout above its prior 4-week “Ascending Wedge” range resistance of 25,890 and hit the next intermediate resistance at 26,120, as highlighted in our prior report. Thereafter, it extended its gains and scaled up to a 4-year high of 26,583 on 12 September 2025, a rally of 4.7% on the backdrop of a stronger Chinese yuan and robust bullish sentiment in China's Big Tech, such as Alibaba, Bai…
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Savannah Resources (LON: SAV) has boosted the reserve estimate for its Barroso lithium project in northern Portugal by 40% after completing additional prospecting work, further cementing its status as Europe’s largest spodumene deposit. The London-listed company now pegs reserves at more than 39 million tonnes, up from a previous estimate of 28 million tonnes. Shares in Savannah rose 2.4% on the news, giving the company a market capitalization of £104 million ($141.5 million). Strategic role for Europe’s EV supply chain Savannah plans to develop four open-pit mines at Barroso, with the capacity to produce enough lithium each year to supply batteries for ab…
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Dogecoin sits at a technically pivotal juncture, according to crypto analyst CantoneseCat (@cantonmeow), who argues that the next decisive inflection arrives at $0.54—“the final boss”—if the coin can translate an increasingly constructive multi-timeframe structure into weekly acceptance above the Ichimoku cloud. Recording just hours ahead of the weekly close on September 14, he framed DOGE’s backdrop as a steady, methodical rebuild powered by higher-timeframe support retention rather than headline-driven spikes. “I am bullish on Dogecoin,” he said. “There is nothing that I’m really too bearish about here.” Dogecoin Charge Stalls At Ichimoku Wall The crux of his view is …
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Canadian miner Alamos Gold (TSX, NYSE: AGI) is selling its Turkish subsidiary for $470 million to Middle East-based Tumad Madencilik Sanayi, a unit of conglomerate Nurol Holding, ending a billion-dollar legal battle with Ankara. The deal hands over the Kirazlı, Ağı Dağı and Çamyurt projects in northwestern Turkey to Tumad. It also sets out that arbitration proceedings launched in 2021 by Alamos’ Netherlands units against Turkey will remain suspended and be permanently discontinued once contractual milestones are met. Alamos entered Turkey in 2010 but faced persistent setbacks. Its most high-profile clash came in 2019, when mining concessions for the Kirazlı gold p…
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The Australian dollar is coming off its best week since April, posting gains of 1.4%. In the European session, AUD/USD is trading at 0.6657, up 0.12% on the day. China's industrial production, retail sales slip in August China posted disappointing data in September, as the second largest economy in the world continues to cool. Industrial production expanded 5.2% y/y, down from 5.8% in August and below the market estimate of 5.7%. This was the lowest pace of growth since August 2024, as manufacturing activity slowed and domestic remained weak. China's retail sales rose 3.4% y/y in September, below 3.7% in August and the market estimate of 3.8%. This was the slowest pace…
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The GBP/JPY pair remains above the psychological level of 200.00, attempting once again to break through 200.35, which it surpassed on Friday. On Thursday, the Bank of England will publish its monetary policy decision, and it appears the main rate will remain unchanged at 4%. In addition, the regulator is expected to maintain a cautious wait-and-see stance through the end of 2025, given the recent rise in inflation expectations. These factors continue to support the British pound, providing a tailwind for the GBP/JPY pair. The Japanese yen, in contrast, continues to struggle to attract significant buyers amid expectations that domestic political turmoil may give the Bank …
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The EUR/USD pair started the current week on a positive note, holding above the 1.1730 level. In the event of a pullback, the downward potential appears limited, given the divergence in expectations for European Central Bank and Federal Reserve policy, as well as ahead of key central bank events scheduled for this week. As expected, last Thursday the ECB left interest rates unchanged, maintaining optimism about economic growth and inflation. In addition, the regulator emphasized that it would be guided by incoming data at its meetings, without making specific commitments in advance regarding the future path of rates. This approach reduced expectations of further borrowing…
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Bitcoin remains quite resilient, following an uptrend. However, this growth is fragile, experts warn investors. Meanwhile, the outlook for the US dollar is unstable and leans negative. Against this backdrop, analysts believe that the dollar may require shock therapy for a meaningful recovery. On Monday, September 15, Bitcoin opened the day with a slight decline, trading near $115,670. At its daily peak, the leading cryptocurrency reached $116,181. According to analysts, BTC has launched a new upward wave, rising above $112,500 and breaking through resistance levels at $113,500 and $114,200. At the start of the new week, Bitcoin bulls managed to push the price above $115…
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On Friday, the EUR/USD pair consolidated ahead of a new and important week. Quotes remained throughout the day above the 76.4% retracement level at 1.1695, which preserves the prospects of growth toward the resistance zone at 1.1789–1.1802. Thus, on Monday and Tuesday, in the absence of new signals, I expect the uptrend to continue. Likely weak growth, as the news background during these days will be light. A close below 1.1695 would favor the U.S. currency and a decline toward the support zone at 1.1637–1.1645. The wave picture on the hourly chart remains simple and clear. The last completed upward wave broke the peak of the previous wave, while the last downward wave…
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On the hourly chart, GBP/USD traded sideways on Friday just below the 100.0% retracement level at 1.3587. A rebound from this level would favor the U.S. dollar and a decline toward the 76.4% Fibonacci level at 1.3482, which traders could then work through. A consolidation above the resistance zone of 1.3611–1.3620 would allow for further growth toward the next 127.2% retracement level at 1.3708. The wave picture continues to shift toward bullish. The last completed wave downward broke through two previous lows, while the new upward wave broke through the last two peaks. Thus, at this point it can be assumed that a new bullish trend is starting after more than two month…
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Overview: The US dollar begins the important week quietly but heavier against all the G10 currencies, led by sterling. It is pushing against the $1.36 cap that has blocked the upside over the past couple of months. All but a few emerging market currencies also enjoy a firmer tone today. The Mexican peso has recorded a new high for the year as the greenback slips toward MXN18.40. The appeals court ruling on President Trump's firing of Federal Reserve Governor Cook may come today ahead of the tomorrow's start of the FOMC meeting, which is widely expected to cut rates by 25 bp for the first time this year. Equities are mostly higher. There were a few exceptions in the Asia …
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Bitcoin continues to gain bullish momentum. At the time of early European trading, it has once again returned to its weekly high around $116,800. Ethereum has also seen solid gains after ending last week on an optimistic note. As traders gear up for the upcoming Federal Reserve meeting — which could push the crypto market even higher — Arthur Hayes gave a new interview, urging Bitcoin investors to remain patient, as the current bull market could last until 2026. Hayes expects Donald Trump to launch a major economic stimulus in mid-2026, potentially triggering explosive growth in the cryptocurrency market. Hayes' forecast is based on several key factors. First, he exp…
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Trend analysis. This week, from the level of 1.3556 (the closing of the last weekly candle), the price may continue moving upward toward 1.3787 – the upper fractal (red dashed line). Upon testing this level, the price may retrace downward toward 1.3658 – the upper fractal (weekly candle of July 6, 2025). Fig. 1 (weekly chart). Comprehensive analysis: Indicator analysis – upward;Fibonacci levels – upward;Volumes – upward;Candlestick analysis – upward;Trend analysis – upward;Bollinger Bands – upward;Monthly chart – upward.Conclusion from comprehensive analysis: upward trend. Overall summary of GBP/USD weekly candle calculation: during the week, the price is most likely t…
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Trend analysis (Fig. 1). This week, from the level of 1.1734 (the closing of the last weekly candle), the market may continue moving upward toward 1.1886 – the 161.8% target level (red dashed line). Upon testing this level, the price may retrace downward toward 1.1828 – the upper fractal (blue dashed line). Fig. 1 (weekly chart). Comprehensive analysis: Indicator analysis – upward;Fibonacci levels – upward;Volumes – upward;Candlestick analysis – upward;Trend analysis – upward;Bollinger Bands – upward;Monthly chart – upward.Conclusion from comprehensive analysis: upward trend. Overall summary of EUR/USD weekly candle calculation: during the week, the price is most likel…
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Trend analysis (Fig. 1). On Monday, from the level of 1.3556 (the closing of Friday's daily candle), the market may start moving upward toward 1.3593 – the upper fractal (yellow dashed line). Upon testing this line, the price may then move downward toward 1.3582 – the upper fractal (daily candle of September 11, 2025). Fig. 1 (daily chart). Comprehensive analysis: Indicator analysis – upward;Fibonacci levels – upward;Volumes – upward;Candlestick analysis – upward;Trend analysis – upward;Bollinger Bands – upward;Weekly chart – upward.Overall conclusion: upward trend. Alternative scenario: from the level of 1.3556 (the closing of Friday's daily candle), the price may sta…
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We introduce you to the daily updated section of Forex analytics where you will find reviews from forex experts, up-to-date monitoring of financial information as well as online forecasts of exchange rates of the US dollar, euro, ruble, bitcoin, and other currencies for today, tomorrow and this trading week.Useful links: My other articles are available in this section InstaForex course for beginners Popular Analytics Open trading account Important: The begginers in forex trading need to be very careful when making decisions about entering the market. Before the release of important reports, it is best to stay out of the market to avoid being caught in sharp market fluctu…
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Trend analysis (Fig. 1). On Monday, from the level of 1.1734 (the closing of Friday's daily candle), the market may continue upward toward 1.1788 – the upper fractal (yellow dashed line). Upon reaching this level, a downward move toward 1.1747 – the upper fractal (daily candle of September 12, 2025) – is possible. Fig. 1 (daily chart). Comprehensive analysis: Indicator analysis – upward;Fibonacci levels – upward;Volumes – upward;Candlestick analysis – upward;Trend analysis – upward;Bollinger Bands – upward;Weekly chart – upward.Overall conclusion: upward trend. Alternative scenario: from the level of 1.1734 (the closing of Friday's daily candle), the price may continue…
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Dogecoin jumped back into the spotlight on Monday after fresh price calls from market commentators and a clear technical move on charts. According to Ali Martinez, the meme token could head as high as $0.45, a level last seen at the end of 2021. DOGE was trading at around $0.29, more than 5% higher than it was yesterday, and traders are watching whether now-support at $0.27 holds. Technical Breakout And Volume Spike Trading activity around the breakout caught attention. Based on reports, DOGE pushed above the $0.27 zone that had capped rallies through the summer and then consolidated above it, a pattern traders view as healthy. The weekly chart showed a breakout f…
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Asia Market Wrap - Asian Shares Edge Higher, Japanese Markets Closed Most Read: Markets Weekly Outlook - S&P 500, Nasdaq & Dow Jones on a Tear as Fed Rate Cut Looms Asian stock markets rose, following a global trend, as investors expect the US Federal Reserve to cut interest rates soon. Even with disappointing economic news from China—where business activity slowed and investment fell sharply for the second month in a row. The MSCI Asia Pacific Index, a measure of stocks across Asia, climbed 0.2% to surpass its previous record set in February 2021. Meanwhile, a global stock index held steady after hitting its own record high on Friday. Due to a holiday in Japan…
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Last Friday, US equity indices closed mixed. The S&P 500 edged down 0.05%, while the Nasdaq 100 gained 0.49%. The Dow Jones Industrial Average slipped 0.49%. At the start of this week, the indices remain close to all-time highs, as investors focus on the upcoming Federal Reserve decision on monetary policy. The global equity index held steady after closing at its highest on Friday. The MSCI Asia Pacific Index pared gains after briefly closing above its previous record from February 2021. Chinese indexes advanced 0.4%, despite weak data on manufacturing and consumption. French 10-year bond futures fell after Fitch Ratings downgraded France's credit rating from AA- to…
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Banks lift European markets European stocks opened the week with modest gains, largely supported by bank shares. Investors are bracing for a pivotal series of central bank meetings in the coming days, with the US Federal Reserve at the center of attention. Rubis shines after takeover talk Shares of French energy retailer Rubis surged following reports of potential acquisition interest. According to market sources, both CVC Capital Partners and commodities trader Trafigura are considering a deal. The news sent Rubis stock up by 6.7 percent, making it the best performer within the STOXX 600 index. The company's market value is estimated at around 3.5 billion dollars. Bank…
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Crypto analyst Maartunn (@JA_Maartun) warned on September 14 that a familiar—and historically unfriendly—market pattern has reappeared: speculative leverage pouring into altcoins while Bitcoin’s derivatives positioning stays conspicuously muted. “History doesn’t repeat, but it often rhymes, and right now a major warning signal is flashing,” he said, stressing that his message is not to incite panic but to flag a shift in market climate that “any smart investor” should not ignore. At the core of Maartunn’s diagnosis is open interest, the notional value of active futures and perpetual positions across venues. “We keep throwing around this term, open interest. What is it? W…
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The crypto market remains steady but cautious ahead of the September 16–17 Federal Reserve meeting. Investors are closely watching for signals on monetary policy, with many asking the same question: what is the best crypto to buy in this environment? Bitcoin BTC ▼-0.45% is trading around $115,700 after briefly dipping under $115,000. On the daily chart, BTC has reclaimed the $112K support and now faces resistance near $120,000. A breakout above this level could open the path back toward $124,000, while failure to hold $112,000 risks a retest of $108,000. bitcoinPriceMarket CapBTC$2.30T24h7d1y Ethereum ETH ▼-1.21% is hovering above $4,600 after a small dip, while altcoin…
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