Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
6987 tópicos neste fórum
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The GBP/USD currency pair saw a slight increase last week, but overall volatility remains low. The market is still in a wait-and-see mode. The US dollar has no real reasons to grow, except for occasional corrections. The British pound has no reason to rise either, but it does have a trump card—the falling dollar. The British problems date back to 2016, when Brexit began. If you look at the current state of the British economy—issues with bonds and the budget, declining living standards, and so on—it's natural to wonder: why is the pound even rising at all? The pound rises because the dollar is falling, and there's no one else to strengthen it. The choices are limited. Thi…
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The EUR/USD currency pair is likely to continue its upward movement during the upcoming week. Making such a forecast is very easy, even for a beginner. Just open the daily chart and see where (and how fast) the pair is moving in 2025. After all, shouldn't trading follow the trend? So even if the euro dips a little next week, it won't change the overall outlook—there's simply no reason to expect dollar strength. Remember, there are several global reasons for the dollar's decline. The first is that the "dollar trend" lasted 16–17 years, and everyone knows that everything in the economy is cyclical. For example, from 2000 to 2008, there was an "euro trend," from 1992 to 2000…
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GBP/USD 5-Minute Analysis On Friday, the GBP/USD pair also traded sideways with low volatility. In the UK, GDP and industrial production reports came out that day, but they didn't particularly interest the market. At best, the reaction was around 20 pips. So, technically, nothing changed on the hourly timeframe. Next week, at least two events could seriously shake the market. It's obvious the Bank of England will take a pause and keep the key rate unchanged. It's also clear that the Federal Reserve will cut the key rate by 0.25%. However, the Fed could guide the market on how many more cuts to expect for the rest of the year. Currently, one more rate cut is expected i…
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EUR/USD 5-Minute Analysis The EUR/USD currency pair showed ultra-low volatility on Friday. The day's macroeconomic backdrop was quite weak, and traders had already had plenty of diverse information over the week to keep the uptrend intact. The uptrend did persist, but traders were clearly in no hurry to buy more. There may be several reasons. First, traders may be waiting for the Fed meeting—though in our view, everything is already quite clear about that event. Second, the market may be uncertain about the continuation of the trade war, since the Supreme Court could block Trump's tariffs. Third, the market is watching for new Trump moves regarding FOMC members, since…
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Bitcoin price is showing positive signs above $115,000. BTC is now consolidating and might rise further if it clears the $116,500 resistance zone. Bitcoin started a fresh increase above the $115,000 zone. The price is trading near $115,000 and the 100 hourly Simple moving average. There is a bearish trend line forming with resistance at $116,000 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken). The pair might start another increase if it clears the $116,200 zone. Bitcoin Price Holds Gains Bitcoin price started a fresh upward wave above the $112,500 zone. BTC managed to climb above the $113,500 and $114,200 resistance levels. The bulls were able to push …
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Donald Trump never ceases to surprise with his persistence and is ready to use any measure to force Kyiv and Moscow to sign a truce. The American president views Russia's continued war effort as enabled by its steady cash flow, mainly from oil and gas exports. Thus, Trump wants to cut off this dollar flow to Russia, so the Kremlin won't have the means to continue fighting. Frankly, it's hard to judge how effective such measures would be, especially since Moscow has repeatedly made it clear that sanctions will not force them to abandon their objectives. Yet Trump's new tariffs are also under question. The US president not only wants to impose additional tariffs on India an…
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In recent weeks, the market has entered a state of relative calm. This is clearly reflected in the US dollar, which, despite everything, is in no hurry to keep declining. I can't say we're seeing a classic sideways trend or a change in the wave pattern, but market activity has dropped, price swings are small, and there is no mass dollar selloff as before. This could be explained by the uncertainty over what to expect from the FOMC over a one-year horizon (due to the complicated situation involving Donald Trump), and because the US president hasn't recently announced or implemented new tariffs. Trump's attention is now entirely focused on trying to stop the conflict in Ukr…
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In previous outlooks, I concluded that the fate of both major pairs once again largely depends on the news flow from the United States. And this isn't just about the events listed in the classic forex calendars, but also the developments surrounding the Trump vs. Fed standoff, the trade war, and the resolution of the conflict in Ukraine. Still, for now, these events are not having a strong direct impact on the FX market. The key event will be the Federal Reserve meeting, even if the decision is already priced in. Nobody in the market doubts that the interest rate will be cut by 25 basis points for the first time since last year. However, labor market weakness is intensify…
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The fate of the British pound, like that of the euro, is mainly out of its own hands. Right now, almost everything on the market depends on how investors feel about the dollar—and in 2025, that sentiment is strongly negative. If this market mood persists through year-end, demand for the pound will only continue to grow. Notably, the current wave pattern has remained unchanged for a long time and still suggests a bullish segment is unfolding. The new week brings the Bank of England meeting, which should not be taken lightly. In recent meetings, what mattered most was the mood of the MPC Committee—rather than the specific decision made or not made. The BoE is almost certain…
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The euro continues to rest on its laurels as the US dollar declines. The euro doesn't even have to do anything to attract investors and traders — market participants are fleeing the dollar like the plague, but money can't just float in the air; it needs to take the form of some currency. How many real alternatives to the dollar are there in today's world? The euro, the pound, and, at best, the yen and the franc. Thus, the main beneficiaries in 2025 are currencies that aren't even making any real effort. Everything in the FX market now hinges on a simple question: Will the US dollar keep falling? If yes, the euro and pound will continue to rise. If the dollar begins to str…
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The upcoming week promises to be volatile and informative. The central event will be the September Federal Reserve meeting, whose outcome will overshadow all other fundamentals. Let's first review the key macroeconomic reports for EUR/USD that will be released in the coming days. On Monday, the US will publish the New York Empire State Manufacturing Index, based on a survey of New York Fed district manufacturers. After two months of growth, it's expected to fall to 4 points, signaling a fading of the momentum seen in July and August. For dollar bulls, the index must not return to negative territory, especially with the ISM Manufacturing Index (in contraction since Ma…
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The case concerning Donald Trump's tariffs has reached the US Supreme Court. Initially, the lawsuit brought by 12 Democratic governors and several private businesses was heard by the International Trade Court, which handed down a clear verdict: the tariffs were illegal. Donald Trump immediately appealed, and the case went to the US Court of Appeals, which also decided unequivocally—Trump had overstepped his authority in imposing tariffs on 185 countries. Yet Trump did not give up and requested that the Supreme Court review the case. The hearing is scheduled for November 9, which means the tariffs will certainly remain in place until that date. Donald Trump cites the 1977 …
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The Federal Reserve will hold its fifth meeting this year. At the previous four, monetary policy parameters remained unchanged, despite market expectations for a rate cut stretching back to last year. However, let me remind you that FOMC members regularly comment on their views of the economy and monetary policy outlook. So, no market participant can say that FOMC members gave false hope—since the start of this year, Fed officials have consistently said the base scenario for 2025 is two rounds of easing. One more rate cut is planned for next year, and another for 2027. Also, remember that once per quarter, the so-called "dot plot" is published, which visualizes all FOMC p…
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Ethereum (ETH) stands out with one of the best price performances from last week as a general bullish sentiment swept across the crypto market. During this period, the dominant altcoin gained by 9.06% with its prices briefly entering the $4,700 price range. As the majority of investors hold green positions, on-chain data support price movements to remain bullish, albeit only for the short term. Ethereum MVRV Suggests Positive Momentum, Eyes On 2.4 Barrier Prominent crypto analyst Burak Kesmeci has recently shared a potentially impactful on-chain analysis on the Ethereum market. Using data from Glassnode, Kesmeci has observed that the Ethereum MVRV ratio has recently rea…
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Solana (SOL) has emerged as a major headliner following an impressive 20.89% gain over the last week. Solana’s price now sits comfortably within the $240 price range and is only 18.05% away from its present all-time high at $294. Interestingly, renowned market expert Ali Martinez has noted a positive effect of SOL’s recent price surge, which points to a sustained price rally. SOL Surges Above Key $205 Resistance: Fibonacci Levels Point Toward $362 In an X post on September 13, Martinez shares an in-depth technical analysis of the Solana price structure, which shows significant potential for a prolonged uptrend. Notably, SOL’s price gain from last week resulted in a brea…
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Gold prices are poised to continue their upward momentum and move “significantly” higher due to a confluence of macroeconomic and political dynamics, Sprott Asset Management says. In its latest precious metals report written by market strategist Paul Wong, the firm specifically sees inflation risk as a primary driver of gold prices, as the full impact of US tariffs has yet to set in. “With tariffs taking effect, the cost of goods is expected to rise, especially as post-tariff inventory reaches consumers. This inflationary pressure typically boosts demand for gold, which serves as a hedge against purchasing power erosion,” Wong wrote. Additionally, the uncertai…
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Is physical gold the best legacy asset compared to stocks, property, or art? Executive summary: Physical gold is durable, simple to own, and easy to divide among heirs. Stocks usually build more long-term wealth but can be volatile and tax heavy inside certain retirement accounts. Property and art can pass on stature or income, yet both demand upkeep, expertise, and time. The best legacy asset balances simplicity, liquidity, taxes, and the skills of your heirs, not just headline returns. What makes a strong legacy asset A legacy asset should be easy to pass on, easy to value, and hard to ruin. It should not force heirs into quick sales at bad prices. It should have clear…
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According to veteran trader Peter Brandt, Dogecoin’s price has pushed back above the $0.3 mark, a level that traders watched closely this week. TradingView data shows an 11% rise in a session that sent the coin to a multi-month high, and the move has drawn fresh attention ahead of the first spot DOGE ETF. Volume is high and many eyes are now on how long buyers can hold gains. Meme Coin Retakes A Key Level Based on reports, the rebound came even after the planned ETF launch was delayed. Bloomberg analysts Eric Balchunas and James Seyffart said the REX-Osprey fund has been pushed to next week and will hold spot DOGE among other assets. That structure could allow some in…
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Decades after the United States’ large-scale uranium mining industry mushroomed in Utah and New Mexico in the 1950s, the industry is returning to its Southwest roots in a revival spurred by economic and political currents. Arizona, Colorado, New Mexico, Texas and Utah are seeing the release of new uranium resources, permit fast-tracking, and production and processing starts after an industry downturn of several years. “[Uranium] producers were for the most part out of business, meaning their deposits were closed and mines were on care and maintenance for the greater part of 10 years,” John Ciampaglia, CEO of Sprott Asset Management, told The Northern Miner in an A…
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The steady appreciation in the Ethereum price continues to mirror how resilient the cryptocurrency has become in the market. Despite the waves of skepticism experienced in the past, there seems to have been a recent major shift in investor behavior, which shows a level of optimism in the potential growth of the Ether token. Ethereum Netflow Across Exchanges Consistently Negative In a September 13 post on social media platform X, on-chain analyst Darkfost revealed how Ethereum’s investors have been acting behind the scenes over the past few months. According to Darkfost, there has been a major shift in investor behavior since Ethereum’s last price drop from $4,000 to $…
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Analysts are highlighting ETH USD priming to retest $4,700 – and amid the upside pressure – is dark money rotating into Ethereum? A wallet tied to a $300M Coinbase scam bought $18.9M worth of Ether as ETH ripped past $4,700 Yesterday. According to Lookonchain, a crypto address linked to the “Coinbase hacker” campaign bought 3,976 ETH for $18.9 million on Sept. 13. The operation, described as a wide-scale social engineering campaign, targeted Coinbase users and has kept the wallet under close surveillance from on-chain analysts. The timing of the latest ETH accumulation has reinforced speculation of a market rotation into Ether. Traders noted the wallet’s moves …
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In Africa crypto news this week: South African finance firm Altvest Capital is set to raise $210 million to create a Bitcoin reserve treasury for its investors. Altvest is following global trends, set in motion by MicroStrategy and MetaPlanet, in adding Bitcoin to its balance sheet. In the same market, Binance has partnered with the payment platform Zapper to scale merchant payments in South Africa. Binance is a leading crypto exchange, and expanding its presence in Africa is key. From this week, over 30,000 more merchants began accepting Binance Pay through Zapper’s rail. Meanwhile, Luno Exchange has expanded its tokenized stock options to the Nigerian market. With N…
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The price of Bitcoin has struggled to capitalize on its recent bullish momentum, oscillating in and around the $116,000 level so far this weekend. This choppy price action has raised doubts about the flagship cryptocurrency’s potential to resume its bull run and reach a new all-time high price. A crypto expert on social media platform X has come forward with an interesting outlook for the Bitcoin price, stating that the market leader could be gearing up for its next explosive move. However, the on-chain analyst added that a certain condition must be met for BTC to resume its uptrend. A Break Above $118,000 Could Precede Price Explosion: Analyst In a September 13 post on…
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In a recent post on X, crypto analyst CRYPTOWZRD shared a bullish daily technical outlook for Ethereum (ETH), highlighting a strong close that suggests further upward movement is likely. The analyst’s primary expectation is for more gains to follow as the ETH/BTC pair begins to surge. This key relationship is a central focus for the analyst, as a strong performance from Ethereum against BTC often signals a broader bullish period for ETH itself. ETH And ETHBTC Daily Candles Flash Strong Bullish Close Giving a detailed market update, CRYPTOWZRD highlighted that both Ethereum’s daily candle and the ETHBTC pair closed strongly bullish. ETHBTC’s surge occurred as Bitcoin’s do…
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Dogecoin’s price action over the past week has seen it trending upwards. This movement has seen the meme cryptocurrency make a push towards the upper end of a consolidation range in the daily candlestick timeframe chart. A recent analysis shared on TradingView by The_Alchemist_Trader points to a possible shift in momentum, as Dogecoin is retesting its point of control with a bullish reaction that might push it to $0.35 in the short term and as high as $0.6 in the long term. Dogecoin Retesting Point Of Control According to the analysis, Dogecoin is currently testing its point of control, a high-volume resistance area that has defined much of its trading structure in r…
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