Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
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Few coins capture the raw urgency, ambition, and chaos of the American Gold Rush the way the 1851 $50 Humbert 880 Reeded Edge does. Today, this octagonal “fifty-dollar slug” stands among the most legendary issues in American numismatics, but its story begins in the dusty, makeshift streets of early San Francisco—where gold was plentiful, coinage was scarce, and commerce was held together with luck, grit, and a handshake. The California Gold Rush and a Desperate Need for Coinage When waves of prospectors began pouring into California in 1848 and 1849, they brought a hunger for wealth but very little in the way of practical currency. Gold dust was everywhere, but federal m…
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The USD/CHF pair continues its recent rise from the November low of 0.7880 reached last week and has remained positive for the fourth straight day. The pair has now surpassed the round 0.8000 level, with bulls attempting to build on the momentum and break above the 100-day Simple Moving Average (SMA). The Swiss franc remains relatively stable amid fresh data indicating that Switzerland's export-driven economy contracted in the third quarter for the first time in two years. In contrast, the U.S. dollar is approaching a weekly high, supported by a reduced likelihood of a Federal Reserve rate cut in December. This has become an important driver of USD/CHF strengthening.Howev…
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What to Know: Bitcoin futures moving into backwardation signal derivatives stress and extreme fear, conditions that often cluster around important, but messy, market bottoms. $BTC fails to recover momentum and remains stuck in the $90K–$91K zone after a massive two-week long dip. Bitcoin Hyper ($HYPER), Best Wallet Token ($BEST), and LiquidChain ($LIQUID) target structural themes – scaling, wallets, and cross-chain liquidity – rather than short-lived memes. Both Bitcoin Hyper ($HYPER) and Best Wallet Token ($BEST) are among the best presales of 2025, after raising over $28M and 17.1M respectively so far. Bitcoin is still in choppy waters, after failing to gain momentu…
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Donald Trump has pushed the Federal Reserve back into the center of the crypto macro narrative, telling reporters he “already” knows who should succeed Jerome Powell and triggering a sharp repricing in real-money prediction markets in favor of Kevin Hassett. In remarks in the Oval Office, Trump said: “I think I already know my choice,” when asked about the next Fed chair. He added that he would “love to get the guy currently in there out right now, but people are holding me back,” a clear swipe at Powell without naming him. Trump also hinted at the shape of his shortlist, saying, “We have some surprising names and we have some standard names that everybody’s talking abou…
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On Tuesday, the EUR/USD pair continued a weak downward movement and consolidated below the 61.8% retracement level at 1.1594. Thus, the decline in quotes may continue toward the next 76.4% Fibonacci level at 1.1517. A consolidation of the pair above 1.1594 would work in favor of the euro and a resumption of growth toward the resistance zone of 1.1645–1.1656. The wave situation on the hourly chart remains simple and clear. The last upward wave did not break the peak of the previous wave, while the last completed downward wave broke the previous low. Thus, the trend remains "bearish." Bullish traders have moved into offense, but they must maintain momentum for the "bulli…
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We introduce you to the daily updated section of Forex analytics where you will find reviews from forex experts, up-to-date monitoring of financial information as well as online forecasts of exchange rates of the US dollar, euro, ruble, bitcoin, and other currencies for today, tomorrow and this trading week.Useful links: My other articles are available in this section InstaForex course for beginners Popular Analytics Open trading account Important: The begginers in forex trading need to be very careful when making decisions about entering the market. Before the release of important reports, it is best to stay out of the market to avoid being caught in sharp market fluctu…
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While the cryptocurrency market is experiencing a downturn, with only occasional small corrections, the Ethereum Foundation has introduced the concept of the Ethereum Interoperability Layer. The essence of this initiative is to establish a unified compatibility layer that will integrate all Layer 2 (L2) networks into a cohesive ecosystem. With this layer, users will be able to perform transactions across different L2s directly from their wallets, without the need for bridges or third-party relays. In simple terms, this is a step towards ensuring that all L2s operate as a single Ethereum blockchain. The developers at the Ethereum Foundation are confident that the Intero…
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What to Know: Bitcoin’s slow throughput, high fees, and lack of smart contracts limit its role in DeFi, even as market interest returns. Bitcoin Hyper builds a Bitcoin Layer-2 using SVM, a canonical bridge, and ZK proofs to deliver fast, low-fee, programmable $BTC. The $HYPER presale has raised over $28M at $0.013295, offering around 41% staking rewards and strong early staking participation. If roadmap milestones and listings land, upside scenarios imply multi-x potential from presale levels, but risks remain significant. Bitcoin is back in one of its moody phases. The price is barely climbing back to $92K, majors are bleeding double digits, and on-chain activity ke…
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What to Know: Solana’s strong defense of $130, plus a V-shaped recovery pattern, keeps a move back toward the $180–$250 range firmly on the table. Spot SOL ETFs have now attracted around $420M in cumulative inflows, signalling sustained institutional interest even after the recent correction. SUBBD Token, PEPENODE, and Aster tap AI creators, GameFi mining, and perp DEX liquidity respectively, aligning with narratives favored in risk-on phases. Solana just printed the kind of setup traders love. After a sharp 25% drawdown from $173, $SOL bounced perfectly from weekly support around $130 and is now forming a V-shaped recovery pattern, with technicians eyeing a move bac…
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On the hourly chart, the GBP/USD pair continued trading within the horizontal channel of 1.3110–1.3186 on Tuesday. Today, a new rebound of quotes from the 161.8% retracement level at 1.3110 will work in favor of some growth toward the 127.2% Fibonacci level at 1.3186. A rebound from 1.3186 will favor a slight decline toward 1.3110. One can count on continued growth only after the quotes consolidate above the 1.3186 level. The wave situation remains "bearish." The new upward wave has not yet broken the previous peak, while the last downward wave (which formed over three weeks) broke the previous low. The fundamental backdrop in recent weeks has been negative for the U.S…
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The Japanese yen has resumed its decline against the U.S. dollar after Sanai Takaichi, a member of the prime minister's key advisory group, stated that the central bank is unlikely to raise the key interest rate before March of next year. According to her, the authorities need to make sure that the large additional spending they plan to undertake truly stimulates domestic demand. "Fiscal policy is the starting point," said Goushi Kataoka, a member of Takaichi's economic growth strategy group. He estimated that an additional budget of about 20 trillion yen (129 billion dollars) will be needed in this fiscal year — significantly more than the 13.9-trillion-yen package comp…
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Trend Analysis (Fig. 1). On Wednesday, the market may begin moving upward from the 1.3141 level (yesterday's daily candle close), targeting 1.3194 — the 21-period EMA (thin black line). When testing this line, the price may pull back downward toward 1.3178 — the 23.6% retracement level (blue dashed line). Figure 1 (daily chart). Comprehensive Analysis: indicator analysis – upward;Fibonacci levels – upward;volumes – upward;candlestick analysis – upward;trend analysis – upward;Bollinger Bands – upward;weekly chart – upward.Overall conclusion: an upward trend. Alternative scenario: On Wednesday, the market may begin moving upward from the 1.3141 level (yesterday's daily c…
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With the Bitcoin price struggling recently, the expectations are that the crypto market is headed into another bear run. This is characterized by Bitcoin losing $100,000 after over four months, and has not been able to reclaim this major level. Meanwhile, sell-offs among whales have continued, putting billions of dollars worth of selling pressure on the cryptocurrency. As such, the probability that Bitcoin is going into a bear market has shot up considerably during this time. Analyst Warns Of Imminent Bitcoin Bear Market Crypto analyst Titan of Crypto has taken to the X (formerly Twitter) platform to share a warning with the broader crypto community. This warning was tha…
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Trend Analysis (Fig. 1). On Wednesday, the market may begin moving upward from the 1.1580 level (yesterday's daily candle close), targeting 1.1608 — a historical support level (blue dashed line). When testing this level, the price may pull back downward toward 1.1593 — the 61.8% retracement level (blue dashed line). Figure 1 (daily chart). Comprehensive Analysis: indicator analysis – upward;Fibonacci levels – upward;volumes – downward;candlestick analysis – upward;trend analysis – upward;Bollinger Bands – upward;weekly chart – upward.Overall conclusion: an upward trend. Alternative scenario: From the 1.1580 level (yesterday's daily candle close), the price may begin …
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This time, everything is different. Investors have adapted to buy the dips, and the rapid rally in the S&P 500 from April to October proved the effectiveness of such a strategy. However, in November, the stock market began sending one alarming signal after another. The first drop of the broad index below the 50-day moving average since May was the first of these signals. Others followed soon after. The Dow Jones has fallen by 4.5% over four trading sessions, marking the most serious sell-off from record highs since 1999. The Magnificent Seven stocks lost 5% of their value in November, with only Alphabet trading in the green. The S&P 500 has gone 14 days without a…
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Yesterday, US stock indices closed lower. The S&P 500 fell by 0.82%, while the Nasdaq 100 dropped by 1.21%. The Dow Jones Industrial Average decreased by 1.07%. The indices declined ahead of the earnings release from Nvidia Corp., which serves as a significant test for market stability after fears of overvaluation triggered a sell-off that resulted in a $1.6 trillion loss. Investors are currently focused on whether Nvidia can meet high expectations, given its dominant position in the AI chip market. Any signs of slowing growth or inability to meet projected demand could trigger a new wave of sell-offs, impacting not only the tech sector but also the broader market.…
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Analysis of Trades and Trading Tips for the Japanese YenThe test of the 155.39 price coincided with the MACD indicator just beginning to move upward from the zero mark, providing a good entry point to buy the dollar and resulting in a rise of more than 30 pips for the pair. Yesterday's statement by Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda did not help the Japanese yen, which continued to lose value against the dollar. Ueda informed Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi about the central bank's plans to gradually reduce the volume of economic support provided through accommodative monetary policy. This step indicates the BoJ's firm intention to further tighten borrowing costs. However, s…
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Analysis of Trades and Trading Tips for the British PoundThe test of the price at 1.3144 occurred when the MACD indicator was beginning to move downward from the zero mark, confirming the correct entry point for selling the pound. However, the pair did not drop as expected, resulting in a loss. In the absence of UK data, the pound declined after news of a rise in manufacturing orders that beat analysts' forecasts. At the same time, Federal Reserve representatives, in cautious statements about the outlook for inflation and economic activity, indicated that the central bank would not rush into changes in monetary policy, which also strengthened the dollar. This morning, dat…
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Analysis of Trades and Trading Tips for the EuroThe test of the price at 1.1597 occurred when the MACD indicator had moved significantly above the zero mark, which limited the pair's upward potential. For this reason, I did not buy euros, and it turned out to be the right decision. Improvement in durable goods orders in the U.S. and cautious comments from Federal Reserve officials supported the U.S. dollar in the second half of the day. The rise in manufacturing orders indicates a revival in industry and an increase in economic growth. This, in turn, reduces the likelihood of further Fed interest rate cuts. The Fed's conservative tone, emphasizing the dependence of future…
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Key takeaways Nvidia’s 16% pullback ahead of earnings has become the deepest correction in its medium-term uptrend, driven by valuation concerns, AI bubble fears, and notable investor exits (SoftBank and Peter Thiel’s Thiel Macro LLC).The sell-off has amplified downside pressure across U.S. equities, with the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 falling 5% and 7% respectively, underscoring Nvidia’s outsized influence as the largest weight in both indices and a central pillar of the AI-driven market rally.Despite the correction, Nvidia’s medium-term uptrend remains intact above the 183.30/177.70 support zone, and a break above 198.70 could reignite bullish momentum toward its all…
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Bitcoin recovered quite well yesterday to around $93,500, but was unable to hold that level and is currently trading below $91,000. Ethereum also pulled back above $3,150, but at the time of writing, it has returned to around $3,000. Meanwhile, many traders are anxiously watching the market as assets rapidly lose value, despite news of institutional and corporate purchases of cryptocurrency. According to the November BofA survey, the level of cryptocurrency adoption among institutions remains very low. Approximately 76% of global fund managers surveyed have not yet invested in crypto and are only considering it in the near future. This raises doubts about the common beli…
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Amid the second wave of crypto-based Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs), Solana (SOL)-based investment products have been leading the charge, fueled by strong demand despite the recent market volatility. As a new group of investment products based on the altcoin hits the market and SOL’s price starts to recover, some suggest that a rebound could be underway. Solana ETFs Take Over The second wave of Solana ETFs has arrived in the market after the successful launch of SOL-based investment products. On Monday, VanEck debuted its Solana ETF (VSOL) on Nasdaq, becoming the third investment product based on the altcoin to launch over the past month. According to the announcement, t…
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The US-based cryptocurrency exchange Kraken recently secured a substantial $200 million investment from Citadel Securities, a global market maker. This investment values the exchange at an impressive $20 billion. Kraken’s Growth Backed By Citadel Securities Citadel Securities has expressed enthusiasm about supporting Kraken’s growth, emphasizing the firm’s role in shaping the future landscape of digital innovation within markets. Jim Esposito, president of Citadel Securities, highlighted their commitment to collaborating with Kraken on risk management and market structure analysis, among other strategic initiatives. This capital infusion comes on the heels of a pre…
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The euro and pound have only slightly decreased against the dollar, but overall, trading has remained within sideways channels, from which the trading instruments have been unable to escape for a whole week. Positive data on U.S. industrial orders and cautious statements from Federal Reserve officials supported the dollar. Positive macroeconomic indicators, particularly the increase in industrial orders, signal a recovery in the industrial sector and strengthening economic growth. This, in turn, reduces the necessity for aggressive interest rate cuts from the Fed, as reflected in recent comments from the central bank. The Fed's cautious rhetoric, emphasizing that future d…
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