Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
11977 tópicos neste fórum
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Trade Review and Recommendations for Trading the European Currency The price test of 1.1585 occurred at a time when the MACD indicator had already risen significantly above the zero mark, which limited the pair's upward potential. For that reason, I did not buy the euro. The second test of this price shortly thereafter coincided with the MACD being in the overbought zone, which allowed Scenario No. 2 (selling the euro) to play out. As a result, the pair fell by 20 points. Germany's Consumer Price Index (CPI) for October matched economists' forecasts. Although the October data met expectations, they still signal slight inflationary pressure in Europe's largest economy. The…
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Trade Review and Recommendations for Trading the British Pound The price test of 1.3145 occurred when the MACD indicator had already moved significantly above the zero line, which limited the pair's upward potential. For that reason, I did not buy the pound. The second test of this price shortly thereafter coincided with the MACD being in the overbought zone, which allowed Scenario No. 2 (selling the pound) to play out. As a result, the pair fell by 30 points. Pressure on the pound increased in the first half of the day. Investors likely shifted their focus to global risks and the overall uncertainty dominating the markets. The lack of positive domestic drivers left the B…
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Institutional capital is circling back to Solana (SOL) as Spot Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) open the gates to a new wave of inflows. Solana’s resurgence has caught the attention of the broader crypto community, recording consistent daily inflows and experiencing momentum it has not seen in months. The question now remains whether this steady buildup of institutional accumulation could eventually propel SOL’s price toward the $300 mark. Solana Records 11 Days Of Consecutive ETF Inflows The Solana price is currently hovering above $156, roughly half of its ATH of just over $294 set in January 2025. Over the past few months, the altcoin has experienced significant volatili…
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Trade Review and Recommendations for Trading the Japanese Yen The price test of 154.52 occurred when the MACD indicator had just begun to move downward from the zero line, confirming a valid sell entry point for the dollar. However, the expected decline did not follow, resulting in a loss on the trade. Going forward, market participants will closely monitor whether Federal Reserve officials maintain their wait-and-see stance or show greater readiness to ease policy, given the unfavorable economic data. The statements of these officials will be carefully analyzed for clues about how the Fed views the future prospects of interest rate changes. Let me remind you that FOMC me…
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Today, Wednesday, the NZD/USD pair attracted some buying interest. Prices are trading around 0.5650. Yesterday, the pair broke above the 100-hour SMA, indicating that the bulls attempted to stage a recovery. However, it encountered resistance at the 200-hour simple moving average (SMA) and has not yet managed to break through it, which supports the likelihood of a bearish outlook. Consequently, further weakness toward the intermediate support level of 0.5625 on the way to the round level of 0.5600 — a level last seen in April — appears likely. A sustained move below the latter level would make the NZD/USD pair vulnerable to an accelerated decline toward 0.5550, before pot…
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On Wednesday, the euro rose against the U.S. dollar, recovering previous losses as the dollar's rally slowed ahead of a key congressional vote to end the longest government shutdown in U.S. history. At the time of writing, the EUR/USD pair is trading around 1.1590, marking its sixth consecutive day of gains. Later on Wednesday, the House of Representatives is expected to vote on a bill that would resume federal government operations and restore budget funding. House Majority Leader Steve Scalise told CNBC that a decision is expected today. This follows Monday's vote in which both chambers expressed support for the bill, with the Senate passing it 60–40. This major step ha…
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After yesterday’s 1.7% rally, many participants believed that the bottom was finally in for Oil—and for good reason. Exxon (XOM) shares surged to 2025 highs, while a series of headlines about India and other major buyers of Russian oil reinforced strong fundamentals to the fakeout. zoom_out_map Exxon (XOM) 3-Day Chart, November 12, 2025 – Source: TradingView But that would hardly fit this year’s pattern for Oil, whic…
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Ripple’s Chief Technology Officer (CTO), David Schwartz, has provided a clear explanation for why the Bitcoin price remains so high, currently the most expensive cryptocurrency on the market. Notably, Schwartz’s statement had sparked new discussions across the crypto community. His remarks focused on how people view and use BTC in transactions, revealing a simple economic truth that helps explain the market’s continued confidence in the world’s leading cryptocurrency. Ripple CTO Explains Logic Behind Elevated Bitcoin Price On Tuesday, Schwartz shared his thoughts on X, offering a simple but insightful explanation for Bitcoin’s current price strength. Responding to a com…
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Gold continues to rise, as mounting economic challenges fuel market expectations of Federal Reserve interest rate cuts. At the same time, the U.S. dollar is struggling to attract new buyers due to pessimistic Fed policy expectations and fears of slower economic growth caused by the prolonged U.S. government shutdown. These factors remain key drivers, supporting demand for the yellow metal, which is traditionally viewed as a safe-haven asset during periods of uncertainty. Meanwhile, the gradual reopening of the U.S. government is helping to improve risk sentiment, which may reduce traders' appetite for aggressive gold purchases, since gold is generally considered a defensi…
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The 4-hour wave pattern for EUR/USD has transformed — unfortunately, not for the better. The upward trend segment that began in January 2025 is still intact, but the wave pattern since July 1 has become more complex and extended. In my view, the pair is currently forming a corrective wave 4, which has taken on an unusual structure. However, the recent five-wave corrective formation suggests that the current downward phase may be ending. The upward trend segment continues to develop, while the news background generally supports everything except the dollar. The trade war launched by Donald Trump is ongoing, as is the President's confrontation with the Federal Reserve. The …
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The wave pattern for GBP/USD continues to indicate the formation of an upward trend segment (see lower chart). However, in recent weeks it has taken on a complex and ambiguous shape (see upper chart). The pound has fallen too sharply, which makes the trend segment beginning on July 1 look uncertain. This section can be viewed as wave 4 — or even as a global corrective wave, since it exhibits a corrective rather than impulsive internal structure. The same applies to its sub-waves. Therefore, despite the prolonged correction, I believe the upward trend remains intact. The downward wave pattern that began on September 17 has taken the form of a five-wave structure a–b–c–d–e …
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BNB’s price is showing signs of a rebound but remains trapped within a head and shoulders pattern. This setup could decide whether the token continues higher or faces another pullback in the coming sessions. Head and Shoulders Pattern Signals Possible Downside Move Crypto analyst Batman highlighted in a recent update on X that BNB is currently forming a Head and Shoulders (H&S) pattern on the lower timeframe chart. This classic top formation is a significant bearish signal, strongly indicating that the immediate upward momentum is failing and a structural reversal may be imminent as sellers gain control of the asset. Supporting this bearish outlook, Batman identifi…
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Market Insights Podcast (12/11/2025): Join TraderNick and host Jonny Hart as they discuss a likely end to the upcoming government shutdown, rising probability of a BoE rate cut, and a fall in crude pricing. Join Nick Syiek (TraderNick) and podcast host Jonny Hart as they review the latest market news and moves. MarketPulse provides up-to-the-minute analysis on forex, commodities and indices from around the world. MarketPulse is an award-winning news site that delivers round-the-clock commentary on a wide range of asset classes, as well as in-depth insights into the major economic trends and events that impact the markets. Opinions are the authors'; no…
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Log in to our mid-week North American Markets overview, where we examine the current themes in North America and provide an overview of indices and currency performances. The longest US government shutdown in history (43rd day) is still ongoing, but a resolution to finally end it appears imminent, with the House vote scheduled for tonight at 7 p.m. White House economic advisor Hassett also mentioned earlier this week that the shutdown will undoubtedly have a quantifiable negative impact on this quarter's GDP. This impact on the US economy may have just been felt through a round of worrying private data this past week. The Challenger Layoffs report indicated that the n…
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XRP is entering one of its most crucial weeks in months as a series of bullish catalysts align to set the stage for what could be a breakout move. The token has held firmly above the $2.20 support zone despite the recent market crash, and both technical and fundamental factors now point toward a possible surge in price. According to crypto analyst Guy on the Earth, XRP is in a make-or-break moment, with abundant news catalysts giving traders reasons to stay optimistic about the short-term direction. XRP Holds $2.20 Support; Analyst Eyes Resistance Ahead “Another reversal from lows as XRP holds onto the $2.20 support,” said Guy on the Earth in a recent post on X, captur…
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Log in to today's North American session Market wrap for November 12 Traders came back from the November 11th Holiday and the Stock rotation came strong yet again. The Dow Jones pursued its strong rally higher, following European benchmarks, towards a new record close of 48,254 (+0.68%). Even on a lower scale than yesterday, tech stocks continued to see major outflows towards more traditional sectors such as Financials and healthcare – A new trend could be in its early beginnings. When looking at the renewed downmove in Cryptos, it really resembles like an aversion towards higher beta assets is at least forming. Metals however have shined bright in another remarkable …
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On Wednesday, the euro-dollar pair tested the upper boundary of the range 1.1530–1.1590 again, which corresponds to the middle line of the Bollinger Bands indicator on the daily chart. Overcoming this target will open the way to the next resistance levels – 1.1650 (the lower boundary of the Kumo cloud on D1) and 1.1700 (the upper line of the Bollinger Bands on the same timeframe). However, for EUR/USD buyers, this is by no means an easy task; for instance, the previous day's attempt failed. Tuesday's high was 1.1606, while the day closed at 1.1583. In other words, despite the prevailing bullish sentiment for the pair, traders remain cautious. As soon as the price cros…
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On Wednesday, prices for West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil plummeted, erasing all three days of gains and reaching a November low amid various fundamental factors. Expectations of an imminent end to the record-long government shutdown in the US are strengthening the dollar. This fact positively affects investor sentiment and leads to profit-taking. The US national debt is currently under discussion — a vote in the House of Representatives is expected on a bill that proposes restoring government operations and resuming the work of federal agencies. This progress has helped alleviate some short-term financial risk concerns, increased risk appetite in global markets, a…
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The Australian dollar is once again trying to reach the boundaries of the 66 figure after a short-term drop to 0.6520. The corrective pullback was driven by the greenback's overall strengthening, which responded positively to the Federal Reserve's October meeting results. The central bank lowered the interest rate by 25 basis points but expressed doubts about the prospects of a December rate cut due to the ongoing government shutdown. Before the October meeting, the probability of a December rate cut was estimated at 95%, so the Fed's cautious signals were interpreted as favorable for the greenback. However, subsequent comments from Fed representatives and (especially…
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On Wednesday, the euro continued its strengthening against the British pound amid the overall weakness of the pound, driven by escalating political tensions within the UK Labour Party and speculation about Prime Minister Keir Starmer's leadership. These events have heightened market uncertainty ahead of the annual budget scheduled for the end of this month. According to recent media reports, supporters of Starmer warned that any attempts to challenge his leadership would be considered "reckless," amid rumors of internal discord and declining public support. This uncertainty has arisen just days before the budget is announced on November 26, as investors grow increasingly …
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Tariffs on all imports from India to the US remain at 50%. Recently, Donald Trump announced a breakthrough in negotiations with New Delhi, announcing an "honest and fair trade agreement." It is worth recalling that Trump's main complaint against India has been its purchases of oil and gas from Russia. The US President aims to end the war in Ukraine and believes that all countries purchasing energy supplies from Moscow indirectly finance the continuation of the war. Undoubtedly, Trump's motivations extend beyond just peace efforts. Almost all trading partners from whom he demands cessation of oil and gas purchases from Russia are being encouraged to procure those from the …
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According to an analyst, Bitcoin sits in a liquidity set-up that has shown up before big rallies. Prices are not shooting higher yet. At press time Bitcoin trades around $104,500, down 0.5% over the past day. Traders watched a decline of about 1.8% earlier that pushed the price near $103,400 and it briefly touched $102,850 during the move. Stablecoin Signal Points Toward Accumulation CryptoQuant analyst Moreno points to the Stablecoin Supply Ratio, or SSR, as the first clear indicator. The SSR compares Bitcoin’s market cap to the total market cap of stablecoins. It has dropped back into the 13 range. Based on historical readings, that 13 area has lined up with market …
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Gold has been valued across civilizations for its beauty, rarity, and intrinsic worth. Today, many Americans turn to physical gold to help protect their retirement savings from inflation, market volatility, and the uncertainty created by heavy government debt. Unfortunately, the high value of gold also makes it a prime target for counterfeiters. If you own gold jewelry or are considering adding physical gold to your diversified portfolio, it is important to understand how to spot fake pieces. Gold has unique physical and chemical characteristics. It is resistant to oxidation, conducts heat and electricity extremely well, is non-magnetic, and is softer than most metals. Th…
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The SEC crypto news shows the plans to introduce a formal “token taxonomy” that could redefine how digital assets are classified under US law. Speaking in Philadelphia on November 12, SEC Chair Paul S. Atkins said the agency will “in the coming months” propose a structured framework based on the Supreme Court’s Howey test, the legal standard used to decide whether an asset counts as a security. The move aims to bring clarity to one of the most contentious areas in crypto regulation: determining when a token constitutes a security and when it does not. Atkins also said the Commission intends to release a “package” of exemptions designed to create a more flexible system…
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Zcash has a new would-be “treasurer,” but not a new ruler. Tyler and Cameron Winklevoss are backing a newly renamed public company, Cypherpunk Technologies, which has already bought about 203,775 ZEC roughly $50M worth. The company states that it aims to hold at least 5% of Zcash’s total supply. The plan came to light this week through an SEC filing and company statements. It follows a $58.88M private placement led mostly by Winklevoss Capital and lands at a time when ZEC is trading through sharp and unpredictable swings. The key question inside the privacy-coin community is simple: Does holding a large share of the treasury give anyone real influence over the ne…
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