Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
6921 tópicos neste fórum
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Trade Review and Advice on Trading the EuroA test of the 1.1692 level occurred just as the MACD indicator began moving up from the zero line, confirming a good entry point for buying euros. As a result, the pair rose by more than 50 pips. The US Consumer Price Index increased, but the growth was relatively modest. The actual increase was 0.4% versus an expected 0.3%. This put moderate pressure on the dollar and boosted demand for the euro. Evidently, August's CPI rise in the US was minor, which could push the Federal Reserve to lower interest rates at its next meeting. The released figures suggest inflationary pressures are slowing, giving the Fed more flexibility. Econom…
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The US dollar once again weakened against risk assets as traders increased their expectations of an interest rate cut next week. Despite no rate cut yet, the US Consumer Price Index came in close to expert forecasts. The actual uptick was 0.4% versus a forecast of 0.3%. This kept pressure on the dollar and stimulated interest in the euro, the British pound, and other risk assets. The released data indicate a smooth rise in inflation, giving the Federal Reserve more room to maneuver. Today, in the first half of the day, data is expected for Germany's and France's consumer price indices, Italy's unemployment rate, and a speech by Bundesbank President Joachim Nagel. Economis…
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Litecoin has observed a surge in its price as on-chain data shows the whales have participated in a significant amount of buying. Litecoin Whales Have Added 181,000 LTC To Their Wallets In a new post on X, on-chain analytics firm Santiment has talked about the latest trend in the holdings of the Litecoin whales. The indicator of interest here is the Supply Distribution, which tells us about the total amount of the LTC supply that a given address group is holding. Investors or wallets are put into these cohorts based on the number of coins that they are carrying in their balance. The 1 to 10 coins group, for instance, contains all addresses holding between 1 and 10 LTC. …
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[Ripple] – [Friday, 12 September 2025] The Golden Cross condition of the EMAs, along with the RSI being in the Neutral-Bullish area, means Ripple has the potential to strengthen throughout today. Although there is a possibility of a correction due to the appearance of Divergence on the RSI, as long as the price does not break and close below 2.9184, Ripple remains in a bullish bias. Key Levels 1. Resistance. 2 : 3.0800 2. Resistance. 1 : 3.0460 3. Pivot : 2.9992 4. Support. 1 : 2.9652 5. Support. 2 : 2.9184 Tactical Scenario Positive Reaction Zone: If Ripple's price breaks out and closes above 3.0460, it will likely continue strengthening up to 3.0800. Mom…
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This is a follow-up analysis and an update of our prior report “AUD/USD Technical: Further Aussie rally towards major resistance, supported by firmer China core inflation”, published on 10 September 2025. The price actions of the AUD/USD have indeed jumped as expected; it rallied by 1.2% to record an intraday high of 0.6690 on Friday, 12 September, Asia session at the time of writing, and hit the lower limit of the 0.6660/0.6680 major resistance zone mentioned in our publication. …
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[Chainlink] – [Friday, 12 September 2025] With the EMA(50) positioned above the EMA(200) which indicating a Golden Cross and the RSI in the Neutral-Bullish area, Chainlink is likely to strengthen today. Key Levels 1. Resistance. 2 : 24.84456 2. Resistance. 1 : 24.51180 3. Pivot : 23.91681 4. Support. 1 : 23.58405 5. Support. 2 : 22.98906 Tactical Scenario Positive Reaction Zone: If the price successfully breaks and closes above 23.91681, it has the potential to continue strengthening to 24.51180. Momentum Extension Bias: If 24.51180 is broken and closed above, the price could test the 24.84456 level. Invaldation Level / Bias Revision The upside bias weaken…
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Concerns about a potential crypto bubble have intensified over the past few days, with industry leaders like Arjun Sethi, co-CEO of crypto exchange Kraken, voicing alarm over the current state of the digital asset landscape. Sethi Warns Of Short-Term Crypto Bubbles In a recent interview with Fortune at the Brainstorm Tech conference in Park City, Utah, Sethi acknowledged the presence of a bubble when examining short-term market trends. During the panel discussion, Sethi noted, “If you look at it quarter by quarter, the answer is yes, we get into those bubbles all the time.” Since the beginning of the year, the market’s leading cryptocurrency, Bitcoin (BTC), has achie…
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BNB price is gaining pace above the $885 zone. The price is now showing positive signs and might aim for a move above the $920 level in the near term. BNB price started a fresh increase above the $880 and $900 levels. The price is now trading above $900 and the 100-hourly simple moving average. There is a key bullish trend line forming with support at $898 on the hourly chart of the BNB/USD pair (data source from Binance). The pair must stay above the $885 level to start another increase in the near term. BNB Price Extends Gains BNB price formed a base above the $850 level and started a fresh increase, beating Ethereum and Bitcoin. There was a steady move above the $87…
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Macroeconomic Report Analysis: There are a lot of macroeconomic reports scheduled for Friday, which is rather unusual. In Germany, a second, relatively minor estimate for August inflation will be released. In the UK, there will be low-importance monthly reports on GDP and industrial production. In the US, there's the not-so-important University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index. In all cases, significant market reaction is only possible if there is a serious deviation from forecasted values. Fundamental Events Analysis: There is nothing notable among fundamental events for Friday. The ECB meeting was just yesterday, so the market has already absorbed all nece…
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Avalanche (AVAX) has reclaimed a crucial level as support after its recent rally, fueled by multiple bullish developments for the ecosystem. Some analysts forecast a massive rally toward the start-of-year highs if the momentum holds. Avalanche Eyes 35%-40% Rally On Thursday, Avalanche hit a seven-month high of $29.99 after breaking out of its multi-month accumulation range and turning the $26.50 resistance into support for the first time since February. The cryptocurrency has been rallying over the past few days, currently printing five consecutive green candles in the daily timeframe. Analyst Sjuul from AltCryptoGems noted that AVAX had been pushing on the key resista…
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Gold, after reaching a low around $3,613, made a strong technical rebound and is now trading around $3,652. It is likely to continue rising until the price reaches the R_2 daily resistance around $3,667. The metal could eventually reach its high around $3,673. Conversely, if gold retraces below the 61.8% Fibonacci level around $3,650, we could expect the bearish cycle to resume, and it could fall to the 21SMA located at $3,630 and even return to price levels around the 6/8 Murray level located at $3,593. The Eagle indicator on the H1 chart has been showing a positive signal since September 11, so any pullback in the gold price in the coming days will be seen as a buy sign…
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Bitcoin, having reached a weekly high around $116,400, is currently undergoing a technical correction and is likely to find strong support around the 21SMA at $114,600 or around the bottom of the uptrend channel formed on September 9 at $114,500. If Bitcoin consolidates above $114,500, it will be seen as a signal to resume buying, with targets at the top of the uptrend channel around $117,448. Crypto could even reach the 6/8 Murray level at $118,750. Conversely, a break below $114,500 could be seen as a strong technical correction, and Bitcoin could drop to the 4/8 Murray level at $112,500. The eagle indicator on the H1 charts has reached overbought levels, and it's likel…
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Thursday Trade Review:1H Chart of GBP/USD The GBP/USD pair also showed decent growth on Thursday, mainly due to the US inflation report. Many traders are now wondering why the dollar fell again if US inflation rose (which is usually bullish for the dollar). After all, rising inflation means the Fed has less reason to cut the key rate aggressively. That's true, but for the last two weeks it's been clear that the Fed's No. 1 priority is now saving the labor market, which has been weak for four straight months. Thus, two rate cuts by year-end are now practically a done deal. The fact that US inflation is rising—who can be surprised by that during a global trade war the U…
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Thursday Trade Review:1H Chart of EUR/USD The EUR/USD currency pair demonstrated strong growth on Thursday and continues to remain in its new upward trend, although the movement is still somewhat weak. It feels like market makers are waiting for the right moment—and that moment has not yet arrived. Recall that the dollar still has every reason to keep falling: nothing has fundamentally improved in the US lately to justify a dollar rally. Yesterday, the ECB decided to keep all monetary policy parameters unchanged, signaling to the market that policy easing won't occur any time soon. Meanwhile, the Fed is set to resume cutting its key rate as early as next week, and in …
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XRP price gained pace for a move above the $3.00 resistance. The price is now consolidating gains and might start another increase above $3.080. XRP price is facing hurdles and struggling to clear the $3.080 resistance. The price is now trading above $3.00 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There is a key bullish trend line forming with support at $3.020 on the hourly chart of the XRP/USD pair (data source from Kraken). The pair could continue to rise if it stays above the $2.950 zone. XRP Price Eyes Upside Break XRP price managed to stay above the $2.880 level and started a fresh increase, beating Bitcoin and Ethereum. The price climbed above the $2.920 and $2.…
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As Ethereum (ETH) trades in the mid $4,000 range, the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) futures open interest (OI) for the digital asset continues to hit new highs. Against that backdrop, analysts are now predicting a new all-time high (ATH) for ETH later this year. Ethereum New ATH By End Of 2025? According to a CryptoQuant Quicktake post by contributor PelinayPA, Ethereum’s CME futures OI is steadily moving towards new highs. The analyst brought attention to past data about Ethereum futures OI to predict its next move. Back in 2021-2022, Ethereum futures OI remained relatively low, largely dominated by 1-2 month contracts. At the time, although ETH gained bullish mom…
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So, yesterday's ECB meeting, as expected, delivered no new information—except "wait and see." But the rise in US CPI for August triggered a flurry of paradoxical articles in the business media, along with increased bets on the Fed cutting rates three times by year-end. Core CPI stayed at 3.1% y/y, while headline CPI rose from 2.7% to 2.9% y/y. The main stir came from jobless claims, which jumped during the week from 235k to 263k. We believe market participants are headed for a rude awakening when the FOMC announces it expects not even two rate cuts, since they've already signaled just one, in September. In fact, the only scenario that could force the Fed to cut rates thre…
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On Thursday, the British pound broke above the MACD line resistance and consolidated above it. However, two factors prevent us from adopting a bullish outlook as the main scenario: the very weak growth of the Marlin oscillator and the proximity of the key event of the autumn—the upcoming Fed monetary policy decision next week. If the mass investor is wrong about the market expecting three rate cuts by year-end—and given that the September meeting is extended and features individual FOMC member rate projections—we could see GBP fall to the 1.3253 level (or even 1.3140) in the days immediately following the Fed meeting. For now, we wait. A rise toward 1.3700—the upper boun…
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Ethereum price started a fresh increase and climbed above $4,500. ETH is now consolidating and might aim for more gains if it clears $4,550. Ethereum is now eyeing an upside break above the $4,550 zone. The price is trading above $4,500 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There is a bullish trend line forming with support at $4,470 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD (data feed via Kraken). The pair could start a fresh increase if it settles above $4,550 and $4,580. Ethereum Price Eyes More Gains Ethereum price started a recovery wave after it formed a base above the $4,320 zone, like Bitcoin. ETH price was able to climb above the $4,350 and $4,440 resistance levels. …
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A China-based entertainment company has made a major move into crypto, buying 300 Bitcoin just as the market trades near $114,000. Pop Culture Group (NASDAQ: CPOP), headquartered in Xiamen, disclosed the $33M purchase in a press release. The company emphasized the beginning of its digital asset treasure and part of wider plans to connect its entertainment business with Web3. It shared its plan to invest in additional assets in Bitcoin, Ethereum, and BOT to establish a diversified crypto fund to finance blockchain-oriented entertainment initiatives. Bitcoin Price Analysis: How is Bitcoin Trading Post Purchase? Bitcoin is holding near $114,400, with intraday moves betwe…
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Bitcoin price is showing positive signs above $114,500. BTC is now consolidating and might rise further if it clears the $116,200 resistance zone. Bitcoin started a fresh increase above the $114,200 zone. The price is trading below $115,000 and the 100 hourly Simple moving average. There is a bullish trend line forming with support at $115,000 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken). The pair might start another increase if it clears the $116,200 zone. Bitcoin Price Gains Traction Bitcoin price started a fresh recovery wave from the $111,200 zone. BTC managed to climb above the $112,500 and $113,500 resistance levels. The bulls were able to pus…
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Yesterday, the EUR/NZD pair broke below the daily-scale MACD line at its intersection with the balance line. This is a strong signal for a continued decline. The Marlin oscillator is also moving downward, already into the bearish zone. Downside targets are: 1.9519 (the August 8 low)1.9350 (the July 11 low)1.9188 (the price channel line, as a possible third target, though here the Marlin oscillator would be in oversold territory)We expect a correction from the 1.9350 support level. On the four-hour chart, price and the Marlin oscillator have formed a bullish divergence. However, since the price has passed the magnetic point on the daily chart, the correction is unlikely …
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Crypto markets are “on the edge” of a broad altcoin breakout, with XRP, Dogecoin, and Cardano positioned to lead, according to technical strategist CryptoInsightUK. In a video analysis released today, the analyst argues that structural signals across major charts—supported by improving macro conditions—tilt the risk-reward toward a decisive upside move, provided US inflation data doesn’t deliver a negative surprise. The setup begins with Bitcoin grinding higher into range highs while still sitting in what he calls “a position of potential reversal,” a juncture he links to today’s US CPI print after a softer-than-expected PPI reading. “If CPI comes in weak today, I think …
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BlackRock is exploring the idea of turning its exchange-traded fund shares into blockchain-based tokens. The goal is to build a stronger digital foundation for its asset offerings and make them easier to access and move around. This would link traditional financial products with the kind of tech that powers crypto. Builds on Earlier Tokenized Funds This isn’t their first step in the tokenization world. Back in March 2024, BlackRock launched a tokenized money market fund that brought in over two billion dollars. That project worked well enough to spark new ideas. Now, the focus is on expanding tokenization to include ETFs. What Tokenized ETFs Could Unlock By tokenizi…
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Coinbase is pushing back hard against the SEC. The company filed a motion in federal court, asking for sanctions and fast-tracked discovery after learning that text messages from former SEC Chair Gary Gensler had been deleted. These messages spanned almost a full year, covering a period packed with major crypto developments. Timeline of Missing Messages The missing texts stretch from October 18, 2022 to September 6, 2023. This includes key moments like the collapse of FTX and a series of high-profile enforcement actions. According to an internal report, the texts were wiped when Gensler’s government-issued phone was reset. The SEC had a policy in place to wipe inac…
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