Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
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The euro, the pound, and other risk assets received little support and were unable to sustain their gains against the US dollar. Yesterday, the US government resumed operations. Donald Trump signed the H.R. 5371 law, officially ending the record-long shutdown that was widely anticipated but had no effect. Firstly, the markets had long priced in the probability of the government resuming operations. Traders, having learned from the bitter experiences of past shutdowns, had already calculated possible scenarios and adapted to them. Secondly, the acute lack of fundamental indicators pertaining to the American economy remains the main reason why strong movements have not happ…
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Bitcoin has once again faced a significant sell-off, evidently lacking support from major US buyers and spot ETFs. However, the fact that it has managed to hold above $102,000 maintains the chances for further growth. Meanwhile, it was announced today that the first spot ETF for XRP will launch in the afternoon. Nasdaq has officially certified the listing of the spot XRP ETF from Canary Capital. This event marks an important milestone in the development of the cryptocurrency market, providing institutional and retail investors with direct access to XRP without requiring direct ownership of the digital asset. The integration of XRP into the ETF framework significantly sim…
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Following the recent comeback of privacy-focused cryptocurrencies, Cypherpunk Technologies has launched a $50 million Zcash (ZEC) treasury strategy backed by Winklevoss Capital. Cypherpunk Technologies Launches Zcash DAT On Wednesday, Leap Therapeutics announced the official launch of its Zcash Digital Asset Treasury (DAT) strategy and rebrand to Cypherpunk Technologies. The biotech company previously revealed that it had closed a $58.88 million private placement in October, led by Winklevoss Capital, as part of its plan to expand to the digital assets sector. The company currently holds 1.25% of the current ZEC supply after acquiring 203,775 ZEC at an aggregate purcha…
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Trade Analysis and Tips for the Euro CurrencyThe price test at 1.1580 occurred as the MACD indicator began to move above the zero mark, confirming the correct entry point for buying euros. As a result, the pair rose by more than 20 pips. As it was announced, the US government resumed operations yesterday after Donald Trump signed the H.R. 5371 bill. However, the US dollar's reaction to this event was minimal since the market had largely anticipated this outcome. The apparent stability of the currency, despite political turbulence, is explained by the good state of the US economy. Nevertheless, potential risks should not be ignored. Ongoing political conflicts and the risi…
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Trade Analysis and Tips for the British PoundThe price test at 1.3108 occurred when the MACD indicator was beginning its downward move from the zero mark, confirming the correct entry point for selling the pound. As a result, the pair dropped by 20 pips. The resumption of US government operations brought relief to hundreds of thousands of federal employees who had been placed on unpaid leave or worked without pay for 43 days. However, this did not support the US dollar. The H.R. 5371 bill only funds the government temporarily until January 30, 2026. This means that political battles will resume shortly. Congress and the White House will need to find a compromise by that d…
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Trade Analysis and Tips for the Japanese YenThe price test at 154.75 coincided with the MACD indicator moving significantly below the zero mark, which limited the pair's downside potential. For this reason, I did not sell the dollar. Yesterday marked the return to work for the US government. President Trump signed the H.R. 5371 bill, effectively ending the longest government shutdown in US history. The dollar rose against the Japanese yen following this event. The resumption of funding was a breath of fresh air for a large number of federal employees who had been forced to take unpaid leave. It is evident that they will receive compensation for the forced downtime, allowi…
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United States President Donald Trump late Wednesday signed legislation that ended the country’s 43-day government shutdown, reopening federal agencies and restarting paused services after what had become the longest shutdown in modern history. Reports have disclosed the measure passed both houses this week and moves quickly to restore pay and services. Funding Push Restores Pay And Services According to official House materials, the measure passed the House by a 222–209 vote and carries continuing appropriations that fund agencies through January 30, 2026. The bill covers several full-year appropriations and aims to return back pay to hundreds of thousands of federal …
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Yesterday, US stock indices ended mixed. The S&P 500 rose by 0.06%, while the Nasdaq 100 declined by 0.26%. The Dow Jones Industrial Average jumped by 0.68%. Global index futures continued their three-day rally, approaching record highs after President Donald Trump signed legislation to end the longest government shutdown in US history. This move breathed new life into the markets, weary from the political uncertainty prevailing in Washington. Investors, who had long stayed on the sidelines due to concerns over the impact of the partial government closure on the economy, rushed back into the market, causing a surge in demand for stocks and other risk assets. The opt…
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As gold hits another level around $4,186, having rebounded well from the $3,900 mark it reached earlier this month, JP Morgan Private predicts that the rapid increase in gold prices is likely to push prices above $5,000 per ounce next year, primarily driven by purchases from central banks in developing economies. The bank believes that by the end of 2026, prices could reach $5,200-$5,300. Central bank purchases have become a key factor in the surge in gold prices this year, as policymakers look for ways to preserve value and diversify assets. Prices reached record highs, surpassing $4,380 in October, before declining in recent weeks. Since the start of the year, the valu…
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An analyst has pointed out how Chainlink could see its next major move after it breaks past the range of this technical analysis (TA) pattern. Chainlink Has Been Trading Inside A Triangle Recently In a new post on X, analyst Ali Martinez has shared about a pattern forming in the 1-week price of Chainlink. The pattern is a Triangle from TA, which is a type of consolidation channel that appears whenever an asset’s price trades between two converging trendlines. Like other consolidation patterns in TA, the upper level of a Triangle is a source of resistance, while the lower one that of support. Also, a break out of either of these boundaries can signal a continuation of t…
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Memecoin POPCAT experienced a significant downturn on Wednesday following a major manipulation event on Hyperliquid (HYPE), one of the leading decentralized exchanges in the cryptocurrency market. POPCAT Faces 43% Drop Following Manipulative Scheme According to a detailed analysis of the situation by DeFi researcher Hanzo on social media site X (previously Twitter), an unknown trader executed a well-coordinated strategy approximately 13 hours prior to the market disruption. The trader withdrew $3 million in USDC from the OKX exchange and distributed the funds across 19 different wallets on Hyperliquid. Subsequently, they initiated sizable long positions on POPCAT, acc…
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Fame does not last forever. What seems perfect today becomes ordinary tomorrow. Any sign of weakness from a favorite transforms into a catastrophe. As we approach the end of 2025, there is a reevaluation of views on artificial intelligence and related technology stocks in the US equity market. The mixed dynamics of stock indices suggest that investors have stopped buying dips, an alarming sign for the bull market. The Dow Jones Index set its 17th record in 2025 on news of the government resuming operations, while the S&P 500 barely rose, and the NASDAQ 100 declined. Portfolio diversification is taking place in the market. Due to hopes of accelerating economic growth, …
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Trend Analysis (Fig. 1) On Thursday, the market from the level of 1.3129 (yesterday's daily candle close) may continue its downward movement with the target of 1.3110 – the target level of 161.8% (red dotted line). From this level, the price may possibly pull back upward with the target of 1.3178 – the 23.6% retracement level (blue dotted line). Fig. 1 (Daily Chart) Comprehensive Analysis:Indicator analysis – downwardFibonacci levels – downwardVolumes – downwardCandlestick analysis – downwardTrend analysis – downwardBollinger Bands – downwardWeekly chart – downwardGeneral conclusion: Downward trend. Alternative scenario:From the level of 1.3129 (yesterday's daily candl…
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The Shiba Inu price and its trajectory over the last few months have been a source of growing concerns for SHIB investors as the meme coin has failed to secure any meaningful recovery. Despite the Bitcoin price rallying, Shiba Inu has remained quite muted, failing to reach new all-time highs through the bull rally. Therefore, with only two months left in the year 2025, the question remains as to whether the Shiba Inu price can still rally to new all-time highs. Machine Learning Algorithm Predicts Shiba Inu Price Trajectory The machine learning algorithm at the Coincodex website has shown a trajectory for the Shiba Inu price that suggests that the meme coin is destined fo…
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Yesterday, Boston Federal Reserve Bank President Susan Collins stated that she supports keeping interest rates at their current level amid still-strong economic growth, which could slow or halt progress in reducing inflation. "It will likely be appropriate to maintain interest rates at their current level for some time to balance the risks of inflation and employment in this highly uncertain environment," Collins said Wednesday in prepared remarks at the bank's annual regional banking conference. Her comments came at a time of increasing debate among Fed policymakers about how long to maintain current rates in order to achieve a sustained decline in inflation to the 2% t…
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On the hourly chart, the GBP/USD pair on Wednesday returned to the 161.8% retracement level at 1.3110 and bounced off it. On Thursday morning, despite economic data from the UK, the pair bounced from this level once again. Thus, today the upward movement may resume toward the 127.2% Fibonacci level at 1.3186. A consolidation of the pair's rate below 1.3110 will favor the U.S. dollar and a decline toward the 200.0% retracement level at 1.3024. The wave structure remains bearish. The new upward wave failed to break the previous peak, while the latest downward wave (which formed over the past three weeks) broke the previous low. The news background in recent weeks has been…
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On Wednesday, the EUR/USD pair made its third return to the 61.8% retracement level at 1.1594. This third consecutive rebound from the level once again favored the U.S. dollar, leading to a slight decline toward the 76.4% Fibonacci level at 1.1517. A consolidation of the pair above 1.1594 will increase the likelihood of continued growth toward the next resistance level at 1.1645–1.1656. The wave pattern on the hourly chart remains simple and clear. The new upward wave has not yet broken the previous peak, while the last downward wave broke the prior low — meaning the trend still remains bearish. Bullish traders are not taking advantage of the opportunities for an advan…
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Trade Analysis and Recommendations for the EuroThe price test at 1.1593 occurred when the MACD indicator had just begun to move upward from the zero mark, confirming a correct entry point for buying the euro, which resulted in growth toward the target level of 1.1619. The resumption of U.S. government operations has reduced uncertainty in financial markets, leading to a weaker dollar. Investors who had previously avoided risk due to concerns about the U.S. economy have once again shown interest in higher-yielding but riskier assets. The euro, in particular, benefited from this shift in sentiment. An additional supportive factor for the euro is the completion of the Europe…
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Trade Analysis and Recommendations for the British PoundThe price test at 1.3111 occurred when the MACD indicator had just begun to move downward from the zero mark, confirming a correct entry point for selling the pound. Together with weak U.K. data, this suggested the possibility of a strong decline in the pair. nHowever, that decline never materialized, and losses were eventually recorded. Then, a price test at 1.3131 coincided with the MACD starting to move upward from the zero mark, providing a buy signal, after which the pair rose toward the target level of 1.3170. As mentioned earlier, the pound fell following news that the U.K. GDP shrank by 0.1% in September. Ind…
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What to Know: Solana’s order books show renewed whale demand while spot $SOL ETFs log a multi-day inflow streak, reinforcing risk appetite. SoFi’s crypto rollout adds a mainstream on-ramp for US retail, a structural tailwind for altcoin participation. Bitcoin Hyper ($HYPER), Best Wallet Token ($BEST), and SPX6900 ($SPX) align with throughput, utility, and liquidity narratives that typically lead early in rotations. Solana just lit up the order books. Fresh ‘smart money’ buy walls and block-sized prints show whales leaning in, with net spot inflows building across top venues. The flow tells a simple story: big players are scaling bids into weakness and front-running a…
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Trade Analysis and Recommendations for the Japanese YenThe price test at 154.81 occurred when the MACD indicator had just started moving downward from the zero mark, confirming a correct entry point for selling the dollar. As a result, the pair declined toward the target level of 154.36. Today, in the second half of the day, no key U.S. economic data releases are scheduled, so market participants' attention will be focused on speeches by members of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC). The remarks from Musalem and Hammack are expected to be an important source of insight into the outlook for U.S. monetary policy. It's essential to remember that FOMC officials' stateme…
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Bitcoin is days from printing another daily “death cross” — the 50-day simple moving average slipping beneath the 200-day — but analyst Kevin (Kev Capital TA) argues the label misleads more than it informs. In a November 12 video breakdown titled “BTC Daily Death Cross — How It Works And What To Expect,” he contends that every daily death cross of this cycle has coincided with the late stages — and, in practice, the lows — of multi-month corrective phases. “Don’t fall for the posts that say, ‘Oh my god, death cross on the daily, we’re going down 80%.’ That’s not how these have played out,” he says. “Remember, moving averages are lagging indicators […] the move that cause…
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What to Know: Bitcoin’s constraints on throughput and programmability cap mainstream utility. A performant L2 with Bitcoin settlement is the logical unlock. Bitcoin Hyper pairs SVM-speed execution with ZK-verified settlement on Bitcoin, targeting fast, low-cost transactions and DeFi. The $HYPER presale is nearing $27M raised, signaling strong interest ahead of mainnet milestones and initial listings. Using the current $0.013265 price, our forecast for $HYPER goes to a 1.9x high in 2025 and 6.5x in 2026 if roadmaps land. Bitcoin still moves like a freight train: unstoppable over distance, painfully slow up close. Block space is scarce, fees spike when demand pops, and…
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Overview: The US dollar is trading heavier against most of the world's currencies today. Better than expected Australian employment data, which boosts speculation that the central bank's easing cycle is over, helps explain the Australian dollar's gain to its best level of the month. However, sterling is firm and extended yesterday's gains despite news that the economy contracted in September and barely grew at all in Q3. September industrial output in the eurozone disappointed but the euro reached $1.1635, a new high for the month, as well. Emerging market currencies are also firmer, but for a few East Asian currencies, and the Turkish lira. Equities are mostly higher. …
Last reply by Ben Graham,
