Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
2412 tópicos neste fórum
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In today’s trading, USD/CHF is trading ~0.03% higher around the ~0.80132 level. Having rallied yesterday, in today’s session dollar-franc looks for support at the 0.80000 key level, having retraced from intraday highs. close USD/CHF, OANDA, TradingView, 16/07/2025 …
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USD/CHF is down ~0.63% in today’s session, currently trading around the ~0.79378 level. Crucially remaining under the key level of 0.8000, the Swiss franc remains on pace for its best three-monthly performance versus the dollar since 2008 amid the latest wave of dollar weakness. USD/CHF: Key takeaways from today’s session With the DXY falling to three-year lows today shortly after the New York open, dollar-franc has predictably followed suit, falling to levels last seen in 2011~ Recent commentary from the Swiss National Bank, suggesting that both negative rates and currency interventions remain a possibility, might limit USD/CHF downside in the short term …
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Currently trading at ~0.79632, USD/CHF has found support at previous monthly lows of around ~0.78309. Having recently suffered its worst 6-monthly performance since 2010, losing over 12% in value, ongoing negotiations to suggest the US and the EU are ‘edging closer’ to a trade deal have offered some short-term USD/CHF buying pressure. USD/CHF: Key takeaways from today’s session Signifying a welcome episode of co-operation between the two economies, recent commentary from both the White House and the EU suggests negotiations on trade are proving fruitful, with US officials ‘optimistic’ that a deal is to be struckOtherwise, markets are adjusting expectations on SNB monet…
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The recent three-week rally of 4.5% in the USD/JPY, from its 1 July 2025 low of 142.68 to the 16 July 2025 high of 149.19 (a three-month peak), has reached a potential inflection zone of 149.00/149.60, where the next probable move is a decline back towards the bottom of a three-month ascending sideways range configuration in place since 22 April 2025. Alternative trend bias (1 to 3 weeks) A clearance above 149.60 shifts the focus back to the bulls for a range breakout scenario to propel the USD/JPY higher for the next resistances to come in at 150.40 and 151.15/30 (medium-term swing highs of 3 March/27 March 2025). Opinions are the…
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USDCAD had seen a decent rebound from last week lows, starting the week at 1.36850. It was a generally positive week for the US Dollar and a relatively muted one for the Loonie. A lack of key economic data before this morning led to some recovery in the USD, particularly as earnings came in overall better than expected. We just received the report for the Core PCE Data which came in as expected, at 2.5% Y/Y. This piece of data is what the FED wants to see to resume the cut cycle that had began in September 2024, taking the Effective FED Funds Rate (The main US Policy rate) from 5.50% to the current 4.25%. The last 25 bps cut was done in December 2024. The Bank of Can…
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Talks between the US and Canada appear to have resumed in the latest episode of “TACO” Trump trade drama. During a Friday news conference, Trump announced he was stepping away from negotiations with Canada. In response, the Land of Maple Syrup dropped its plans to implement a Digital Services Tax—one that would have directly impacted many American service-exporting firms. The proposed tax now appears to have been more of a negotiation tactic from Canada aimed at its increasingly unpredictable neighbor. Markets initially reacted sharply to Trump’s announcement on Truth Social, sparking a 900-pip rally. However, the move quickly faded as participants recognized a familiar…
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The United States continues to demonstrate why it remains the largest and most powerful economy in the world, consistently surprising markets with its resilience in the past few data releases. While market participants have been eager to question US strength—especially under President Trump’s “US Exceptionalism” policy, which many feared could backfire—recent economic data continues to challenge that narrative. Despite ongoing concerns over diplomatic volatility and declining business confidence, the US economy once again delivered upside surprises. The Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report, expected at 110K, surprised with a +37K beat, and the more influential ISM Services PM…
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USDJPY, a historically volatile forex pair, has failed to break lows and has been consolidating at the low of its 2024 to today’s monthly range. Looking at higher timeframes allows us to see where prices currently stand and zones of interest as the Federal Reserve and Bank of Japan’s Monetary policies diverge once again. From Monthly to Daily charts, we will look at zones of interest in potential breakouts or reversals. Opinions are the authors'; not necessarily that of OANDA Business Information & Services, Inc. or any of its affiliates, subsidiaries, officers or directors. The provided publication is for informational and educational purp…
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USDJPY has been range-bound between 142.30 and 146.29 since mid-May, following a five-month downtrend. Volatility within the range has remained elevated, driven by a combination of geopolitical developments and key data releases impacting multiple asset classes. From a geopolitical perspective, the conflict between Iran and Israel shows no clear signs of easing, with headlines emerging by the hour. Despite this, US equity markets have largely shrugged off risk-off sentiment, although they have pulled back from their intraday highs. Tonight, between 19:00 and 20:00 ET, the Bank of Japan will announce its latest rate decision. While no rate hike is expected, markets will b…
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USDJPY hasn’t failed to generate some volatility in the past few weeks. The pair, which had seen some steep up moves since the beginning of July, has been met by some sharp realities for its bulls. Such Daily ranges are strong, and without weekly closes or a substantial fundamental change, Technicals indicate that they are expected to hold. In today’s analysis, however, we will try to spot if anything from the new situation emerging in Japan has the potential to create a real upside breakout or if the range is deemed to continue. Also we'll be monitoring the effect of the ISM PMI results on the pair – Services PMI Came in with a beat (55.2 vs 53.0 exp) and Manufacturi…
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The most volatile major currency pair delivered another textbook session, marked by two-handle swings over consecutive days. After a brief show of strength, the U.S. Dollar resumed its broader decline against most major currencies. The post-war reversal was continued further after today's speech from Fed Chair Powell at the US Congress, in which he offered no fresh signals regarding a rate cut at the July 30 FOMC meeting—a message that markets are watching closely. The absence of new dovish guidance was interpreted as a continuation of the current policy stance, prompting traders to resume the prevailing bearish trend on the Greenback. The Japanese Yen, which had underp…
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USDJPY has been the most affected major pair since the US Dollar reversal that happened since July 1st, rising to a maximum of 6464 pips (around 4.50%), a consequential move in Forex. Beyond the position covering due to oversold and overpositions US Dollars adding to a conclusion of a weekly Head and Shoulders in the Dollar Index, Yen traders haven't been able to find any fundamental reason to be long that currency. Japan's monetary policy, despite being more hawkish than the past 20 years, is still loose – especially compared to the US which keeps pushing back their cuts (strong data obliges). Furthermore, a lack of new communication from the Bank of Japan is also cons…
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Good morning for the North-American readers and nice start to the week to everyone. The ongoing Forex session is a very calm one, as most traders brace for the upcoming US CPI data release tomorrow, with the most moving currency in the day being the AUD and NZD seeing some selling. France is also celebrating their National Day! (Bonne fête aux compatriotes !) Other markets have however seen some movements: the Singapore STI has been making records highs on its 6th consecutive sessionBitcoin hit highs of $123,000Orange Juice Futures are squeezing again (up above 18% on the session, +50% since July) Let's prepare for tomorrow's huge number by taking a look at where we sta…
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ChatGPT Agent went live on July 17, allowing users to delegate high-frequency trading logic and crypto analysis to AI. The tool is already changing how traders interact with markets. But that’s not all. Sam Altman confirmed this week that OpenAI GPT-5 will be here in early August. Today, the best crypto trades are being made using AI tools. Here’s what you should know: Why ChatGPT Agent Matters for Crypto Traders AI in crypto is nothing new. Yet what makes this new suite of upgrades different is execution. ChatGPT Agent combines browser tools, terminal access, spreadsheets, code interpreters, and API integrations into a unified desktop. It can monitor charts, track wha…
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US Oil is still in the range established after the first part of May. The commodity prices have been whipsawing throughout the past few weeks. Fears from higher supply have been priced in which can be observed as prices are consolidating - The prices are bouncing sharply from every retest of the mid-month lows. WTI is currently up 1.24% on the day, trading at 62.20. Dive into a technical analysis comprising the 1H timeframe and a look on the Daily picture. US Oil Hourly Chart Analysis close …
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Vale S.A. (NYSE: VALE) said on Monday that it has obtained a preliminary environmental licence for its Bacaba copper project in Pará state. The miner expects to invest about $290 million during the project’s implementation phase. The Bacaba project is designed to extend the operational life of the nearby Sossego mining complex, contributing an average of approximately 50,000 tonnes of copper per year over eight years of operation, with production scheduled to begin in the first half of 2028. “This is the first in a series of copper projects that Vale intends to develop in the Carajás mineral province, as part of a strategic plan to double its copper productio…
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Weeks after its high-profile spinout from Anglo American, newly listed Valterra Platinum (JSE: VAL) is charting its independent course in the platinum group metals (PGM) sector. With a valuation of £8.5 billion ($11.5bn) and assets spanning operations in South Africa and Zimbabwe, CEO Craig Miller says the company is positioned for sustainable growth and disciplined returns despite a volatile market. In an interview with MINING.com host Devan Murugan, Miller emphasized that the demerger gave Valterra a platform to showcase the quality of its long-life, high-reserve assets and its talented team. “It’s been a real privilege to demonstrate that on the global stag…
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Sitting on significant free cash amid gold trading at record price levels, Agnico Eagle Mines (NYSE; TSX: AEM) would rather hand back surplus cash than chase marginal deals, CEO Ammar Al‑Joundi says. Agnico reported record net income of $815 million (C$1.1 billion) and free cash flow of nearly $600 million in the first quarter of 2025. The Toronto‑based producer says it won’t sacrifice returns per share for size. “If I can’t find something good to do with your money, I would rather give it back to you than invest in something that doesn’t make sense,” Al‑Joundi told The Northern Miner’s western editor, Henry Lazenby, at an industry conference this month in Boca Ra…
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Streamex, a New York-based cryptocurrency trading platform, joined mining hall of famer Frank Giustra’s company to secure $1.1 billion (C$1.5 billion) this month to put gold assets on blockchain. They plan to launch a gold-backed treasury strategy, Streamex founder Henry Mcphie told The Northern Miner at a recent industry conference in Boca Raton, Fla. The idea is to turn assets into tokens that can be traded like cryptocurrency. Streamex expects its first asset issuance by year‑end and wants to eclipse existing gold tokens within three years. “We’re going to denominate our balance sheet in gold,” McPhie says in a new video. Tokenized gold will track spot pric…
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Things are looking up in the Vietnamese crypto landscape! According to local sources, the country passed its Law on Digital Technology Industry on 14 June 2025. A first of its kind in the country, the legislation aims to properly regulate Vietnam’s newly legitimised digital economy. Local sources have quoted, “The law defines crypto assets as digital assets that use encryption or similar digital technologies for validation during creation, issuance, storage, or transfer.” Interestingly, the legislation demarcates virtual and crypto assets in addition to taking steps to sync up Vietnam’s anti-money laundering (AML) protocols with global standards. Industry experts fores…
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Did the next major move in blockchain technology just come from Vietnam? Developing nations are becoming key crypto drivers, with Vietnam and Pakistan emerging in recent days as potential leaders. Establishing country-level crypto standards like Vietnam has done, or developing frameworks and planning a national Bitcoin reserve, the way Pakistan is doing, can only boost crypto adoption at home and abroad. It also showcases how Bitcoin and broader blockchain technology can help emerging economies fuel growth and innovation. As we’ll discuss later, it could also add rocket fuel to some of the top altcoins. Vietnam, Saylor, Pakistan: 4 Takeaways What do the moves in Paki…
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Ethereum co-founder Vitalik Buterin is calling on developers to reconsider how they license open-source software. In a new blog post, he argued that permissive licenses may no longer be enough to protect innovation in a world where tech giants have become increasingly dominant. Instead, he believes more projects should adopt “copyleft” licenses that require any modified version of the code to remain open. Why Buterin Thinks It Matters Buterin’s concern is that large platforms are now in a position to quietly absorb useful open-source code and lock the benefits behind closed systems. He acknowledged that permissive licenses like MIT and Apache helped grow the open-source …
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Canadian miner Vizsla Silver (TSX, NYSE: VZLA) is raising about $100 million to advance the exploration, drilling and development of its flagship Panuco project in western Mexico. The stock plunged. A group of underwriters has agreed to purchase about 33.3 million common shares at $3 apiece via a bought deal, Vizsla said Monday in a statement. An over-allotment option gives the group the option to buy 15% more stock, which would boost gross proceeds to about $115 million if it was exercised in full. The offering is expected to close on or about Thursday. Canaccord Genuity is the sole bookrunner. Vancouver-based Vizsla is conducting a 10,000-metre drill program…
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Another day where markets hang on to a positive sentiment following a similar picture from yesterday - risk-assets are in the green and safe-havens are lagging on the day. The US dollar as recently shines on optimist flows from markets, though as the DXY is still trading below the 100.00 level. The Greenback is leading today's forex action. On the other hand, the Yen is not showing such a rosy picture. Comments from the Minister of Finance Katsunobu Kato about reducing the issuance on long-end bonds made Japanese yields go down and the Yen got dragged with it. How do yields moving down influence the Yen? For a quick-to-understand explanation, lon…
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The XRP news to start this week is bleak. We have never seen the XRPL Volume this low in months. It’s ded; pack it up XRP’s latest uptick, up 2.18% to $2.18, feels more like a dead cat bounce than a turnaround. After tanking to $2.08 last week, the token managed to claw back a few cents by Monday. Whether it holds is anyone’s guess. However, while the price action appears promising, underlying market indicators paint a mixed picture. Here’s what you should know: 24h7d30d1yAll time XRP News Trading Volume Plummets, Raising Questions XRP volume is drying up fast, down nearly 49% since last week while resistance between $2.50 and $2.60 hasn’t even been scratched. For tra…
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