Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
12114 tópicos neste fórum
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A closely watched derivatives strategist expects Bitcoin’s next major move to begin with a violent short squeeze, only to flip into a punishing “long trap” as October opens—a sequence he argues rhymes more with late-2023 than with the euphoric blow-offs of March and December 2024. In a thread posted on September 12 and expanded over the weekend, analyst Nik Patel (@cointradernik) said the current positioning backdrop “is less like March and Dec ’24 crossovers and more like Dec ’23,” warning that the market is set up for a “multi-week whipsaw going into early/mid Oct.” He added a specific liquidation map: “Give me $1.5bn in shorts liqs on the weekly and then $2.8bn of lon…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
According to a report by digital asset firm CoinShares, Bitcoin could see a surge of more than 65% from today’s price if it wins just a small slice of major monetary pools. At its current level just above $113,500, that jump would take BTC up to about $189,000. It’s a simple idea with big implications. Potential Market Share Based on reports, global liquidity—known as M2—is sitting at roughly $127 trillion, while all mined gold adds up to almost $24 trillion. CoinShares applies a so-called Total Addressable Market (TAM) model to those figures. If Bitcoin captures 2% of global M2 and 5% of gold’s market cap, the sum points to a $189,000 price tag. It doesn’t assume BTC…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Bitcoin (BTC) is currently stabilizing within the $116,000 to $120,000 range. However, fresh liquidity totalling $2 billion in stablecoins could help propel the flagship cryptocurrency to new all-time highs (ATHs). Bitcoin To Benefit From Fresh Liquidity According to a CryptoQuant Quicktake post by contributor Amr Taha, more than $2 billion worth of stablecoins – primarily Tether (USDT) – were deposited into major derivatives trading platforms earlier today. Taha believes that this surge in inflows signals increased appetite for leveraged positions among seasoned traders, many of whom are anticipating a potential breakout in BTC’s price. Notably, this fresh batch of US…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
As the overall market continues to move sideways, Bitcoin (BTC) is attempting to reclaim its local range highs as support. After short-term volatility, fueled by the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) rate cut, the cryptocurrency could be poised to close the month on a positive note. Bitcoin Nears Multi-Month Bullish Run On Wednesday, Bitcoin retested the $117,000 resistance for the first time in nearly a month before being rejected. The cryptocurrency has been hovering between the $107,000-$116,000 levels since late August, falling to the local lows at the start of September. Amid the retracement, investors expected to see another “Rektember,” as it has historically been one of …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Amid the tension in the Iran-Israel conflict, the cryptocurrency market experienced another daily pullback. Bitcoin (BTC), which had just recovered from Friday’s drop, erased its recent gains and recorded a 4.5% dip to the $103,000 mark in the past 24 hours. However, some analysts believe that the flagship crypto is preparing for a big move in the coming weeks. Bitcoin Could See Massive Move Soon On Monday, Bitcoin attempted to break its post-November range high but failed to hold the $108,000-$109,000 area as support for the fourth time in a month, falling back into its larger range. Market watcher Daan Crypto Trades noted that this resistance level remains a key area…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Bitcoin (BTC) trades just below $90,000 after a fluctuating week of price action resulted in a net loss of 1.8%. Despite initial hopes of a resurgence in late November, the premier cryptocurrency is now 29.16% away from its all-time high. Going by the price action, popular analyst with the X username PlanD postulates BTC is now in consolidation guided by two major price levels. Bitcoin Moves In Key Range Between $85,000-$93,000, Market Breakout Awaits In an X post on December 5, PlanD provides an update on a continued analysis of the Bitcoin market, stating the crypto market leader appears to be building momentum within a set price range. Notably, recent price action h…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
The price of Bitcoin has dropped by nearly 4% over the last seven days, indicating the waning bullish momentum in the largest cryptocurrency market. This recent sluggishness has called into question the strength of the latest bull rally that saw the market leader climb to a new all-time high last week. According to an investment data platform, the price of BTC might not be done just yet with its bullish run, with the latest on-chain data suggesting room for further upside movement. Is BTC In An Overheated Market Condition Yet? Market analytics firm Alphractal took to the social media platform X to share an exciting on-chain insight into the current setup of the Bitcoin p…
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The price of Bitcoin has struggled so far in the month of November, briefly falling below the psychological $100,000 level twice already. Although the flagship cryptocurrency appears to be in a state of calm this weekend, a recent on-chain evaluation shows the possibility of more price corrections in the short term. Bitcoin Risk-Adjusted Returns See Growing Downturn In a Quicktake post on the CryptoQuant platform, data analytics platform Arab Chain revealed that there seems to be a growing amount of risks for Bitcoin market participants on Binance. This on-chain observation revolves around the Bitcoin Sharpe Signal metric on Binance, which tracks the efficiency of the re…
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As Bitcoin (BTC) steadily makes its way toward its current all-time high (ATH) of $124,128, optimism seems to be returning to the market. However, fresh data from Binance shows that BTC’s gains barely outweigh the risks posed by the digital asset’s volatility. Bitcoin Maintaining A Risk-Reward Balance According to a CryptoQuant Quicktake post by contributor Arab Chain, latest data from Binance – the world’s leading cryptocurrency trading platform in terms of liquidity – suggests that BTC is currently maintaining a risk-reward balance. Specifically, the Sharpe-like ratio on Binance currently stands at 0.18, a figure very close to neutral territory. To explain, a Sharpe-…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Strategy (previously MicroStrategy), the leading corporate holder of Bitcoin (BTC), is on the verge of reaching a significant milestone as it approaches the acquisition of 600,000 tokens. In its latest move, the company purchased 4,980 Bitcoin between June 23 and June 29 for an average price of $106,801 each, totaling approximately $531.9 million. This latest purchase has brought the company’s total Bitcoin holdings to 597,325, acquired for around $42.4 billion. Strategy Shares Surge 4.7% Despite Bitcoin’s price remaining relatively stable at around $107,000 and $107,500 over the past 24 hours, Strategy’s shares, MSTR, increased by 4.7% to $402.07 on Monday, reflecting …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Bitcoin is struggling to reclaim the $90,000 level as selling pressure continues to dominate across the crypto market. The sharp decline from the all-time high has fueled growing speculation that the current cycle may have already peaked, with many analysts now calling for the beginning of a bear market. Sentiment has shifted rapidly, and fear is spreading as traders question whether the bullish structure has been permanently broken. However, not everyone agrees with the bearish outlook. A segment of market participants still expects a rebound, arguing that the correction is part of a broader continuation pattern rather than the end of the cycle. These optimistic observ…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
After a tumultuous week, the Bitcoin price is starting to find its footing again, rising from major support around the $115,000 level. Currently, the pioneer cryptocurrency looks to be on the path of recovery and possibly moving toward new highs this week as momentum picks up. There is also the possibility of a coming short squeeze, as explained by crypto analyst Luca on X, using recent developments that show that the recent crash may have only been temporary. Bitcoin Shows Tendency To Cross $123,000 Again In an X post, Luca pointed to the Bitcoin market makers as the ones behind the recent price movements and that there was a reason for this. The initial move downward l…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Following a quick drop to nearly $98,000 over the weekend, Bitcoin (BTC) has recovered most of its recent losses and is now trading above $107,000 at the time of writing. Fresh on-chain data suggests that the short-term holder (STH) floor for BTC has been steadily rising toward the $100,000 level. Bitcoin STH Floor Approaching $100,000 According to a recent CryptoQuant Quicktake post by contributor unchained, Bitcoin’s STH Realized Price has been making its slow grind up toward the psychologically important $100,000 level. Notably, the analyst had earlier dubbed this metric as the “fault line” to watch. For the uninitiated, the STH Realized Price represents the average…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
On-chain data shows the Bitcoin short-term holder RVT has plummeted recently. Here’s what history suggests could happen next for BTC. Bitcoin Short-Term Holder Realized Value RVT Is Approaching Cycle Lows In a new post on X, on-chain analytics firm Glassnode has shared the latest trend in the Bitcoin Realized Value RVT of the short-term holders. The Realized Value RVT is an oscillator that measures the ratio between the sum of profits and losses being realized by BTC investors, and the total transfer volume on the network. In simple terms, what the metric tells us about is whether holders are participating in a high or low amount of profit-taking/loss-taking compared to…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
On-chain data shows that the Bitcoin short-term holders have switched to loss-taking recently. Here’s what this could mean for the asset. Bitcoin Short-Term Holder SOPR Has Dropped Below 1.0 In a new post on X, the on-chain analysis platform Checkonchain has talked about how the behavior of the Bitcoin short-term holders has changed recently. The indicator shared by Checkonchain is the Spent Output Profit Ratio (SOPR), which tells us about whether the BTC investors are selling/moving their coins at a profit or loss. When the value of the metric is greater than 1, it means the holders as a whole are participating in profit-taking. On the other hand, it being under the m…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Bitcoin is once again trading at a critical juncture after a sharp Monday rally pushed the price above the $114,000 level. The surge comes as bulls attempt to counteract days of persistent selling pressure, with momentum beginning to tilt back in their favor. This move marks a potential turning point in the market, signaling that investors are testing whether Bitcoin can hold above this key threshold and establish it as a new base for higher gains. Supporting this view, fresh on-chain data from CryptoQuant highlights a notable development in short-term holder behavior. The Short-Term Holder Spent Output Profit Ratio (STH SOPR) has reset to 1, a crucial equilibrium level…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Bitcoin is under pressure after struggling for several days to hold above the $120,000 mark, and now the $115,000 level has become the key battleground. The latest price action shows increased volatility as momentum shifts toward the bears, raising concerns about whether BTC can sustain its consolidation range or risk breaking lower. Despite reaching new all-time highs earlier this month, Bitcoin’s inability to maintain strength above resistance zones has fueled speculation of a possible deeper correction. Traders are closely watching whether this consolidation phase is a healthy reset or the beginning of a sharper downturn. Adding to this uncertainty, CryptoQuant anal…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Onchain analytics platform Glassnode has revealed that most Bitcoin short-term holders are in profit. This development has raised the possibility of the flagship crypto facing another sell-off from this category of holders, who may be unable to hold during this period of sideways action. 70% of Bitcoin Short-Term Holders Are in Profit A Glassnode report revealed that 70% of the Bitcoin short-term holders’ supply is in profit despite the recent Bitcoin price pull-back. The platform noted that the deeper the correction, the more their supply is likely to fall into loss, a development which could affect these holders’ confidence. The report further stated that, consideri…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
On-chain data shows Bitcoin short-term holders have transferred a large amount of BTC at a loss to exchanges, a sign of another capitulation wave on the network. Bitcoin Short-Term Holders Are Depositing To Exchanges At Loss As explained by CryptoQuant community analyst Maartunn in a new post on X, short-term holders (STHs) have just made another wave of underwater exchange deposits. The STHs refer to the investors who purchased their Bitcoin during the past 155 days. This cohort is generally considered to include the weak hands of the market, who easily sell at the sight of market volatility. Recently, the market has been witnessing a bearish shift, which is exactly …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
New Bitcoin (BTC) price forecasts suggest that the leading cryptocurrency could cross $140,000 before the end of October. Based on historical data and advanced empirical modeling, a crypto analyst has confirmed that the probability of Bitcoin finishing the month above this key level appears increasingly likely. Bitcoin Price Set For Major October Rally According to a price prediction shared by crypto analyst and economist Timothy Peterson on X social media, Bitcoin’s trajectory in October appears promising. His AI-based bootstrapped simulation chart also suggests that half of the month’s gains may have already been realised. The empirical model, which draws on data f…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
The on-chain analytics firm Glassnode has revealed Bitcoin has recently been trading within a short-term band that has its upper level currently located at $117,000. Bitcoin Is Trading Between These Two Short-Term Holder Price Bands In a new post on X, Glassnode has discussed about the short-term price band that Bitcoin has been trading inside lately. The band in question is based on two levels relevant to the short-term holders (STHs), investors who purchased their coins within the past 155 days. The indicator related to the STHs that’s of interest here is the Realized Price, which keeps track of the average cost basis or acquisition level of the BTC addresses belongi…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
The dynamic landscape of the Bitcoin market is entering a full momentum reset, the kind that typically appears in the cooling phase between major trend cycles. After a period of decisive movements, the market now finds itself in a state where previous directional force has largely dissipated, allowing for a re-evaluation of its path. A Necessary Reset Before Bitcoin’s Next Big Push In an X post, Swissblock has mentioned that Bitcoin momentum is clearly in a reset phase, and the question now is how long until it flips. Historically, in late February to early April 2025, the bottom required roughly 7 weeks for a full momentum to reset. Moving further back to late June to l…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Bitcoin may be sliding into a new bear phase unless fresh macro liquidity – particularly through spot ETFs – returns to the market, according to CryptoQuant CEO Ki Young Ju. Bitcoin Bear Market Incoming? Sharing a composite on-chain dashboard overlaid on the BTC price, Ju wrote on X: “Most Bitcoin on-chain indicators are bearish. Without macro liquidity, we enter a bear cycle.” The chart stacks ten CryptoQuant metrics behind the price in a red-to-green heatmap from 2021 to 2025, highlighting how regime shifts in prior cycles coincided with clusters of bearish readings. The indicators in the panel include the MVRV Z-score, CryptoQuant P&L Index, the Bull-Bear Cycle …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Despite recent volatility, several key indicators are pointing to a bullish undercurrent for Bitcoin (BTC). These include Binance’s rising market dominance, renewed accumulation by long-term holders (LTH), and significant BTC withdrawals from major crypto exchanges. Bitcoin Showing Signs Of Renewed Strength At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading in the mid-$100,000 range – approximately 6.1% below its latest all-time high (ATH) recorded on May 22. The flagship cryptocurrency has declined more than 3.5% over the past seven days amid renewed concerns over global trade tensions and tariffs. However, according to a recent CryptoQuant Quicktake post by contributor Amr T…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
The market’s leading cryptocurrency, Bitcoin (BTC), experienced a notable spike on Monday, surging past the $108,000 mark after a period of consolidation between $100,000 and $106,000 for the past week. This surge comes as key officials from the United States and China prepare for critical trade negotiations in London, aimed at addressing ongoing tensions and salvaging “a fragile trade agreement.” US-China Trade Talks Spark Investor Optimism The cryptocurrency gained 2% on Monday, briefly touching a peak of $108,900 before settling back slightly. This uptick reflects growing investor optimism regarding the potential resolution of trade disputes between the US and China…
Last reply by Ben Graham,
