Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
2412 tópicos neste fórum
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Bitcoin has jumped more than 170% from its launch‑month price around $45,000 to about $123,000 earlier this month. Based on reports from Citi, the bank has laid out three scenarios for where the price might land by year‑end 2025. These range from a low of $64,000 in a weak market to a bull case of $199,000 if everything goes right. ETF Flows Take Center Stage In Bitcoin Uptrend According to Citi analysts, spot Bitcoin ETFs now explain over 40% of the recent price swings. Since their debut, US ETFs have snapped up about $54.66 billion worth of Bitcoin. That buying power helped drive BTC from roughly $45,000 to $123,000 in just a few months. The bank’s base case assumes…
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Overview: The US dollar is trading softer against most G10 and emerging market currencies today. The dollar seemed to lose its bid late yesterday after Federal Reserve Governor Waller argued in favor a rate cut at this month's meeting, despite the TIC data that showed foreign investors bought more US securities in May than they did in the first five months of 2024 ($311 bln vs $95 bln), driving home the message again that the talk of a capital strike against the US over its large deficit/debt or loss of "American exceptionalism" has been grossly exaggerated. The US announced a 93.5% tariff on graphite from China (given the other tariffs the effective rates is near 160%), …
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Bitcoin’s run above $120,000 has drawn fresh selling from the very people who dug it up. On July 15, miners sent a hefty 16,000 Bitcoin to exchanges—the most in a single day since April—raising questions about how long the rally can keep climbing. According to CryptoQuant data, those daily outflows edged past the earlier high, signaling that miners are cashing in on recent gains. That kind of supply surge can weigh on prices, at least for a little while. Miner Sales Hit Yearly High Based on reports from CryptoQuant, the jump to 16K BTC occurred as miners sensed a chance to lock in profits after Bitcoin’s latest spike. Earlier this year, on the way up from $75K to …
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Bitcoin continues to trade below its record high set earlier this month, hovering above the $119,000 mark. While price action over the past week has shown only a modest 0.3% gain, analysts suggest the market may be nearing a turning point. The sideways movement in price has not deterred the broader bullish outlook, but on-chain indicators now suggest caution may be warranted. One such indicator comes from CryptoQuant’s QuickTake contributor Arab Chain, who flagged potential overheating in Bitcoin’s current market structure. Bitcoin Bullish Trend Persists, but Signs Point to Caution In a recent post, the analyst highlighted the behavior of the Bull and Bear Market Cycle…
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Bitcoin continues to maintain its upward trajectory following a minor correction, now trading at $107,251, reflecting a 2.3% increase over the past week. Although still trailing its May all-time high of $111,000 by around 4%, the asset’s price action signals a notable return of momentum. The crypto market, led by Bitcoin, has seen renewed trading activity in recent weeks as investor sentiment oscillates between bullish optimism and profit-taking behavior. According to new on-chain data analyzed by CryptoQuant contributor Amr Taha, Bitcoin may be approaching a critical phase that demands greater attention from market participants. Open Interest Spikes Signal Potential …
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Washington State just dropped the hammer on a crypto-linked fraud operation, filing to seize $7.1 million in digital assets tied to an international oil storage scam. The scheme lured investors with promises of high returns, but it turns out that everything is smoke. Backed by the DoJ and Homeland Security Investigations, the civil action targets crypto wallets allegedly used to launder investor funds. The main suspect, Geoffrey K. Auyeung, already faces a criminal indictment and could see up to 200 years behind bars. BitcoinPriceMarket CapBTC$2.36T24h7d30d1yAll time Inside the Oil Storage Scam: Crypto, Shell Companies, and Global Laundering Fraud Investigation suggest…
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The Bitcoin price has not had quite the same spark it did at the beginning of the last month so far in June. The premier cryptocurrency has somewhat struggled to break out of a consolidation range since reaching a new all-time high in the month of May. The Bitcoin price recently succumbed to bearish pressure, falling to around $101,000 on Friday, June 6. While the market leader has enjoyed some resurgence to begin the weekend, a prominent blockchain firm has now identified significant levels in the event of a return to the $100,000 level in the coming days. Here Are The Next Support Levels For BTC In a June 6 post on the social media platform X, crypto analytics firm Se…
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Hours after Ripple Labs said it would abandon its long-running appeal in its securities case with the US Securities and Exchange Commission, watched market technician CasiTrades (@CasiTrades) on X argued that XRP’s price structure has already completed its corrective phase and is “now wave 3 in motion.” The pseudonymous trader described how Friday’s slide to $2.07 had “tagged” three separate Fibonacci confluence markers—the 0.618 retracement of the March-to-May rally, a 1:1 equality projection for wave C of the prior correction, and a 0.618 extension of sub-wave 5. “The market snapped upward from that exact price,” she observed, before adding: “$2.07 tagged. $2.25 loadin…
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The XRP price may be on the verge of a significant breakout, according to a new wave count analysis combining the Elliott Wave Theory and the Wyckoff reaccumulation principles. After months of sideways trading and corrective movement, analysts have pinpointed a critical price level that could serve as a trigger point for XRP’s next leg higher. XRP Price Primed For Major Lift-Off From This Level A new analysis published by crypto analyst the ‘Charting Prodigy’ on X (formerly Twitter) suggests that the XRP price is following a clear Elliott Wave structure that began forming after the April lows this year. The price has completed Wave 1 of a new impulse cycle, followed by …
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Singapore-based WazirX is shifting its base to Panama after local courts ruled against its restructuring plan. The crypto exchange announced the court’s decision via a post on X on 4 June 2025. In an email shared with its user base, WazirX detailed recently redacted documents revealing Zettai, WazirX’s parent company, will move to Panama and rebrand itself in the region. The document read, “Zettai has taken steps to incorporate a subsidiary, Zensui Corporation, in the Republic of Panama, and has been preparing for the transfer of the operations of the Platform’s cryptocurrency-related services to Zensui.” This news comes in the wake of Singapore’s central bank mandatin…
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The Israel-Iran war continues, but outside of oil, the capital markets have barely reacted. WTI rose by about 2.7% last week after a 13% rally the previous week. It reached levels not seen since early January. The average retail price of unleaded gasoline has risen by almost 2.5% this month. The price of gold fell by nearly 2% last week, its first weekly decline in three. The dollar rose against all of the G10 currencies. The US tariff threats, with postponement of the so-called reciprocal tariffs coming to an end on July 9, continue to cast a long shadow. The last-minute scramble for deals has begun. The recent doubling of the US steel and aluminum tariffs to 50% seem to…
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President Trump says there are trade talks with China. Beijing denies it. Around the time the US reports that the world's largest economy contracted slightly in Q1 (0.3% annualized), US Treasury Secretary Bessent said that the effective embargo was shutting down the China's economy. The week ended with China's Commerce Ministry statement that it was evaluating US overtures for trade talks, which implies the US caved, as the psych-ops continue. Trump and Bessent's call for lower interest rates will get little attention for the Federal Reserve. With a decent jobs report in hand, the Fed has no incentive to either cut rates or signal that it is preparing to cut. The uncertai…
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The response of the US dollar and Treasuries to Israel's attack on Iran and the palatable risk of escalation was uninspiring. It supports the popular narrative about the changing role of the US dollar and assets in the world economy. US stocks and bond sold off ahead of the weekend. It should not be regarded as a "smoking gun" but part of an incremental addition to the accumulating evidence. The G7 meeting in Canada (June 15-17) may command attention, but if it can agree on a statement, it will be likely be so bland to express the divergence of views (and the apparent isolation of the US) that it likely have limited impact in the capital markets. The US dollar has tended …
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Between its trade war and the "big, beautiful budget", which is both regressive and adds on more debt, the US has roiled the capital markets. Before the weekend, the US said the EU was not negotiating in good faith. President Trump threatened a 50% tariff as of June 1. This looks harsher than the current state of play with China. Europe's Stoxx 600 was sold, and it suffered its biggest loss since April. He also called for a 25% tariff on Apple and Samsung smartphones. Benchmark 10-year yields fell 5-8 bp. The euro itself dropped about two-thirds of a cent but recovered to settled around 0.7% higher on the day and posted its first weekly gain since the week ending April 18…
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The dollar traded choppily last week but settled higher against all the G10 currencies. It finished the week on a firm note. The messy upside correction for the dollar may continue. Despite disappointing retail sales and manufacturing output, and softer than expected CPI and PPI, the market has pushed the next Fed cut into Q4 from Q3. Most of the other G10 central banks will likely (again) cut before the Federal Reserve. Halfway through the quarter, the Atlanta Fed's GDPNow Tracker has Q2 growth at 2.4%, which if accurate, would probably be the best in the G10. Still the 90-day reduction of US (and Chinese) punitive tariffs has seen shipment orders surge, and imports, wit…
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Many seemed optimistic that the weekend trade talks between the US and China will de-escalate the tension. We are less sanguine. Even if the tariffs on both sides were halved, there would still be an effective bilateral embargo. In the larger picture we are concerned that blocking PRC's exports and denying it a direct investment strategy as an alternative will ultimately not lead to significant reforms in Beijing but will strengthen nationalism and create a more determined and aggressive adversary. It was not out of affection for Berlin that Keynes warned against the bleeding of Germany after WWI. It is in a similar realpolitik vein that we encourage caution of what cou…
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Last week, the US dollar fell to new lows for the year against half the G10 currencies, including sterling, the Norwegian krone, and Canadian, Australian, and New Zealand dollars. A key question is whether it is a breakout and a signal that ana acceleration of the dollar's decline is at hand. On balance, and within a larger downtrend, we think there is a better case for the dollar trade consolidate with a firmer bias in the near-term. The three-month moving average of nonfarm payrolls rose in both April and May. The unemployment rate has been steady at 4.2% for the past three months. From the Fed's vantage point, it is not signaling a new for urgent action. This will allo…
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The US dollar rose against the G10 currencies and most emerging market currencies last week. But to the extent the upside correction this month has been spurred by a backing up of US rates, its recovery may be over or nearly so. The US two-year yield settled lower on the week and the 10-year yield saw its gains pared to less than three basis points after the 4.50% level held. The greenback was sold aggressively in the middle of the week amid heightened speculation, spurred in part by the White House itself that the president was on the verge of firing Fed Chair Powell. The dramatic market response may have encouraged official assurances that the dismissal was not going to…
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The dollar rose against most of the G10 currencies last week. The Australian dollar and Swedish krona were the exceptions. The Aussie was helped by the central bank's surprise decision not to cut rates. The krona may have been helped by stronger than expected June inflation, with the key measure jumping to 3.3% from 2.5%), ostensibly delaying a final rate cut in the cycle. We have been framing the recent dollar recovery as a technical correction, aided by higher US rates, of the leg down from June 23, apparently inspired at the time by more aggressive attacks on the Fed's monetary stance that has continued to be decided with no dissents. The Dollar Index rose every sessio…
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Fresh off judicial victories, and achieving a cease fire between Israel and Iran, the Trump administration is on the verge of closing its initial chapter in its dramatic changes of America's foreign economic policy. The 90-day hiatus since Liberation Day comes to an end in the week ahead. Ahead of it, President Trump has indicated letters will go out to individual countries to announce the new bilateral tariff that will be imposed on US importers of their goods. The impact of the tariffs so far seems limited, but there are some preliminary signs of pass through. In April and May, US import prices, excluding oil, rose by an average of 0.3%. In the previous four quarters, …
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Weir Group announced Wednesday it has signed a binding agreement to acquire US-based engineering product maker Townley, as well as its foundry business, for an enterprise value of £111m ($150m). Weir says this acquisition will help strengthen the group’s market channels and manufacturing footprint in North America, including in the phosphate market, a key mineral in fertilizers. The deal will be financed from Weir’s existing debt facilities and has no impact on its previous debt guidance for fiscal years 2025 and 2026, the Glasgow-based firm said. The transaction is expected to be completed in the third quarter of 2025, subject to the customary US antitrust ap…
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West Red Lake Gold Mines Ltd. (TSXV: WRLG) has resumed operations at its Madsen Mine in Red Lake, Ontario, following a brief pause triggered by a fatal incident. Operations were suspended on June 16 after an underground employee was fatally injured. The mill resumed operations approximately 40 hours later, with mining restarting 12 hours after that. Ramp-up to full capacity is ongoing, dependent on workforce availability and compliance with safety protocols. Shares rose 3.8% in Toronto following the news, giving the company a C$278 million ($203 million) market capitalization. The mill has been averaging 650 tonnes per day with 95% gold recovery and has…
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Rio Tinto (LSE/ASX: RIO) chief executive officer Stausholm was in Western Australia’s Pilbara region Friday, attending the opening of the company’s new Western Range iron ore mine. Stausholm said the opening of the $2 billion Western Range mine represented a new beginning following the scandal surrounding the company’s destruction of the culturally significant Juukan Gorge caves in 2020. It is also Rio’s first project to feature a co-designed social, cultural and heritage management plan with Traditional Owners. “I could not be more proud of seeing how we have worked in deep partnership with the Yinhawangka People,” Stausholm said at the event. “It’s a new…
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Westhaven Gold (TSXV: WHN) is set to receive an investment of C$3.16 million ($2.3 million) through a private placement with Canadian mining billionaire Eric Sprott as well as EarthLabs (TSXV: SPOT). In total, the Vancouver-headquartered gold explorer will issue approximately 8.33 million units at C$0.12 per unit and 12.5 million charitable flow-through units at C$0.1728 each. The units all contain one common share of Westhaven and one-half of a share purchase warrant exercisable at C$0.18. Westhaven Gold opened Monday’s session at C$0.16 apiece, with a market capitalization of C$28.2 million ($20.8 million). For the past 52 weeks, the stock traded between C$0.085…
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Chainlink (LINK) is trading at $13.36, following a 3% drop in the past 24 hours, which places the altcoin approximately 74% below its all-time high of $52.70, recorded in May. Despite this short-term dip, LINK has held onto weekly gains of around 2.4%, suggesting broader market participants may still be weighing its long-term potential. While price remains rangebound, recent on-chain data indicates that LINK’s price action could be the result of diverging behavior between retail and institutional investors. Chainlink Institutional Accumulation and Supply Pressure CryptoQuant contributor “Banker” highlighted a growing structural dynamic in the LINK ecosystem in a recen…
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