Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
11982 tópicos neste fórum
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CME Group is bringing prediction markets closer to everyday users in one of its most direct shifts from Wall Street to Main Street. FanDuel, the US sports-betting leader, and CME Group, the world’s largest derivatives exchange, said late Wednesday that they will roll out a new prediction-markets app in December. The app, called FanDuel Predicts, will let people trade on outcomes tied to sports, major stock indexes, energy prices, and US economic data. It will be available only in states where online sports betting is still prohibited. The two companies announced the partnership on November 12 in New York and Chicago. The plan is straightforward: meet rising interest i…
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A large, dormant Bitcoin wallet moved a massive amount of coins to an exchange on Thursday, rattling traders and reigniting debate about where big holders stand. According to on-chain data, a Satoshi-era wallet that had not moved funds for 13 years transferred roughly 12,000 BTC — about $1.4 billion at current prices — in a set of transactions that landed on an exchange ledger. Whale Moves Stir Markets Reports have disclosed that the transfers came as Bitcoin hovered near a key price band. The coin fell about 2% after the activity, a quick reaction as traders guessed the funds might be put up for sale. Some market watchers warned that if larger sell orders hit exc…
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The Czech National Bank (CNB) said on Thursday that it has bought $1M in cryptocurrencies for the first time. The move is a small test meant to see how a digital asset reserve might work and to give the bank hands-on experience with managing crypto. The pilot reserve will hold Bitcoin, a US dollar-linked stablecoin, and a tokenized bank deposit. CNB officials described the step as a controlled experiment. They said the goal is to understand how these assets behave in real conditions and to prepare for a future where digital assets may play a larger role in global finance. The CNB said it has no plans to move toward a full digital asset reserve anytime soon. DISC…
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EUR/USD Analysis on 5M The EUR/USD currency pair continued its upward movement on Thursday, which has intensified. So what happened yesterday that caused the euro to accelerate its growth while the dollar declined? The answer is simple: the US shutdown has officially ended. Wait a minute! Shouldn't such an event provide support for the US currency? Yes, it should, if the dollar hadn't been rising for a month and a half for unknown reasons. Although we have often mentioned the reasons, they are purely technical. The daily timeframe is currently flat, with the price declining from the upper to the lower boundary. When the pair approached the lower line of the sideways c…
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GBP/USD Analysis on 5M On Thursday, the GBP/USD currency pair continued its downward movement throughout the day, following British data that significantly disappointed and the end of the US government shutdown. If anyone is unclear about these events, the end of the shutdown is a positive event for the dollar and should have prompted an appreciation of the US currency (i.e., a decline in the pair). However, weak (below-expected) GDP growth and a contraction in UK industrial production are negative factors that should have weighed on the British pound (i.e., a decline in the pair). In fact, we observed the exact opposite movement, which intensified sharply. As we've noted…
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The EUR/USD currency pair continued its upward movement on Thursday, which aligns perfectly with the overall fundamental backdrop but does not correspond to the news of the day. Let's clarify once again. The overall fundamental background (global) has been and continues to work against the US dollar. Therefore, any increase in the pair is logical, while any decrease is purely technical, corrective, and illogical. Yesterday, the US shutdown officially ended —what did we see? A decline in the American currency. Where is the logic? There is none. Many experts continue to devise various explanations for market movements, failing to understand a simple truth: illogical movemen…
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The GBP/USD currency pair traded up throughout Thursday. Most traders likely wonder why. However, for those who regularly read our reviews, this question should not arise. Let's look at the situation from yesterday in general. In the morning, news broke that the US government had finished the longest shutdown in history after 43 days. Is this a positive factor for the American economy and currency? Undoubtedly. So why did the dollar fall during the day? Also in the morning, the UK published reports on GDP and industrial production. Both reports were a dismal failure. If the British economy grew by even a meager 0.1%, industrial production fell by 2% in September. Is this …
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Visible buying from spot bitcoin ETPs and corporates has not translated into decisive upside, leaving traders to ask a blunt question: who is supplying the market? For Chris Kuiper, CFA, vice president of research at Fidelity Digital Assets, the answer is clear. “ ‘Who is selling?’ is the number one question I’ve been getting regarding bitcoin’s continued price pressure against a backdrop of visible buying,” he wrote on X on November 12. “I’m not unique in suggesting it’s the long-term holders (or HODLers).” Kuiper points to a simple but powerful on-chain gauge: the percentage of outstanding bitcoin that has not moved for at least one year. Glassnode’s “Percent of Suppl…
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Bitcoin price failed to recover above $104,000. BTC is down over 4% and there are chances of more downsides below $98,000. Bitcoin started a fresh decline below $102,000 and $100,000. The price is trading below $100,000 and the 100 hourly Simple moving average. There is a bearish trend line forming with resistance at $102,200 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken). The pair might continue to move down if it settles below the $98,500 zone. Bitcoin Price Dips Sharply Bitcoin price failed to stay in a positive zone above the $103,500 pivot level. BTC bears remained active below $102,500 and pushed the price lower. The bears gained strength and we…
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Bitcoin is no longer the speculative playground it once was. What began as a retail-driven movement powered by early adopters and crypto enthusiasts has evolved into a market increasingly shaped by institutional capital, from BTC ETFs absorbing billions in inflows to corporations and hedge funds adding BTC to their balance sheets. Why Institutional Accumulation Has Changed Bitcoin Volatility The narrative around Bitcoin has undergone a fundamental transaction. According to the Arch Network post on X, the institutional participant in Bitcoin is no longer emerging; it’s already established. Spot Bitcoin ETF now holds over 1 million BTC, which is roughly 5% of the total sup…
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Ethereum price failed to stay above $3,350 and extended losses. ETH is down over 5% and might struggle to recover above $3,450 in the near term. Ethereum started a fresh decline after it failed to stay above $3,500. The price is trading below $3,350 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There is a key bearish trend line forming with resistance at $3,500 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD (data feed via Kraken). The pair could continue to move down if it settles below the $3,150 zone. Ethereum Price Dips Sharply Ethereum price failed to continue higher above $3,550 and started a fresh decline, like Bitcoin. ETH price dipped below $3,500 and entered a short-term bearish …
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In yesterday’s crypto update, the market was consolidating, waiting for a catalyst to drive a change in price action. Today, the catalyst has manifested, and not for the better. .cwp-coin-chart svg path { stroke-width: 0.65 !important; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-graph-container.positive svg path:nth-of-type(2) { stroke: #008868 !important; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-coin-trend.positive { color: #008868 !important; background-color: transparent !important; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-coin-popup-holder .cwp-coin-trend.positive { border: 1px solid #008868; border-radius: 3px; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-coin-trend.positive::b…
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As Bitcoin continues to show a bearish trajectory, the cryptocurrency Fear & Greed Index has fallen to its lowest extreme fear level since March. Bitcoin Fear & Greed Index Suggests Investors Are Extremely Fearful The “Fear & Greed Index” refers to an indicator created by Alternative that tells us about the average sentiment that’s present among traders in the Bitcoin and wider cryptocurrency markets. The index uses the data of the following five factors to determine the investor mentality: trading volume, volatility, market cap dominance, social sentiment, and Google Trends. It then represents the sentiment using a scale running from 0 to 100. All values …
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XRP price started a fresh decline from $2.550. The price is now showing bearish signs and might extend losses if it dips below $2.250. XRP price started a fresh decline below the $2.450 zone. The price is now trading below $2.40 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There is a short-term contracting triangle forming with resistance at $2.235 on the hourly chart of the XRP/USD pair (data source from Kraken). The pair could continue to move down if it settles below $2.250. XRP Price Dips Further XRP price attempted more gains above $2.50 but failed to continue higher, like Bitcoin and Ethereum. The price started a fresh decline below $2.450 and $2.420. There was a m…
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Canary’s spot XRP Exchange-Traded Fund (ETF) has surpassed most of the experts’ predictions, and it is currently on track to see a record-breaking debut after registering strong institutional demand on its first day. First Spot XRP ETF Begins Trading On Thursday, the first single-token XRP spot ETF began trading on Nasdaq, smashing the initial performance expectations of multiple experts after clearing the last regulatory hurdles this week. Following the launch of Canary Capital’s spot XRP ETF (XRPC), the investment management firm asserted its conviction that “XRP Ledger represents a leading framework for global payments — purpose-built for interoperability and real-w…
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OKX has rolled out a major update to its mobile app, allowing users to trade directly on decentralized exchanges within the same interface. This new feature supports trading across Base, Solana, and OKX’s own X Layer network. By introducing in-app access to self-custody DEX trades, OKX is removing a lot of the friction that normally comes with juggling different wallets or apps. What’s Included in the New Trading Feature When users activate the DEX trading option, the app creates a passkey-protected wallet automatically. From there, it connects to over 100 liquidity pools to ensure trades get routed through the best available prices. Everything happens inside the a…
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Trade Analysis of Thursday: 1H Chart of the GBP/USD Pair The GBP/USD pair rebounded from the 1.3107 level on Thursday, which we identified as strong support, showing new growth and breaking the trend line, only to pull back immediately after. We believe the downward trend is over, but, as often happens, the pair may first correct before resuming its growth. Despite the British currency falling again overnight, it was in an upward trend for most of the previous day. Were there local reasons for this? No, there were not. If the pair had dropped by 100 pips yesterday, it would have been reasonable given the news and events throughout the day. Recall that the official co…
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Trade Analysis of Thursday: 1H Chart of the EUR/USD Pair The EUR/USD currency pair continued its upward movement on Thursday, and volatility and strength of the growth even... increased. Novice traders need to remember that the pair's growth indicates a rise in the euro and a fall in the dollar. Thus, the dollar continued its decline yesterday on the news of the end of the US government shutdown. One doesn't need to be an analyst or an expert to see the lack of logic in this movement. Simply put, another important yet local piece of news had no impact on the pair's movement. The market continues to trade as it sees fit, ignoring local macroeconomic and fundamental f…
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Analysis of Macroeconomic Reports: There are very few macroeconomic reports scheduled for Friday, and the market has been reacting very rarely to local news and macroeconomic reports in recent weeks. Thus, the Eurozone GDP report for the third quarter has a "loud" headline but may actually be ignored by traders. Economic growth is expected to be 0.2%, which is very low in any case. As we can see, the European Central Bank's monetary policy easing has not yet led to an acceleration in the economy. The euro is unlikely to gain support from this report, but it may continue to rise on technical factors. Analysis of Fundamental Events: There are quite a few fund…
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Solana started a fresh decline below the $150 zone. SOL price is now consolidating losses below $150 and might decline further below $142. SOL price started a fresh decline below $155 and $150 against the US Dollar. The price is now trading below $150 and the 100-hourly simple moving average. There is a key bearish trend line forming with resistance at $148 on the hourly chart of the SOL/USD pair (data source from Kraken). The price could start a recovery wave if the bulls defend $142 or $140. Solana Price Dips Again Solana price failed to remain stable above $162 and started a fresh decline, like Bitcoin and Ethereum. SOL declined below the $155 and $150 support level…
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XAU/USD is trading around 4,203, above the 21-SMA and within the ascending trend channel formed since early November. Yesterday, during the US session, gold underwent a sharp technical correction from its high of 4,246 to a low of 4,145. From this level, which coincided with the 21-SMA, gold is bouncing and could attempt to reach a new high, potentially hitting the top of the ascending trend channel around 4,275. On the other hand, if gold continues its technical correction, we could expect it to reach the key support level of 4,160. This level could trigger a significant technical bounce and could be seen as a buying opportunity. A sharp break below the 21SMA located at …
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Cash App, the payment platform created by Jack Dorsey’s Block Inc., is stepping things up. A fresh update is now live that lets users send Bitcoin through the Lightning Network and also move around stablecoins inside the app. This means faster payments, more choices for users, and a broader range of ways to handle money, all without needing to leave the platform. Instant Payments with Lightning and Stablecoins With the new Lightning feature, eligible users can make Bitcoin payments that settle in seconds. No fees are added, and you can pay using either your Bitcoin balance or your regular U.S. dollars. The app supports Lightning Network QR codes, so transactions ar…
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ER/USD is trading around 1.1639, above the 200 EMA, and above the 21 SMA, within a descending trend channel. In the coming hours, the euro could reach the strong resistance at 1.1650. If this level is broken in the coming days, it could reach 1.1718 around Murray's 8/8 level, and finally, we could expect it to reach 1.1740. Should the euro fall below the 200 EMA at 1.1609 and below the 21 SMA at 1.1592, the bearish cycle could resume, and we could expect EUR/USD to reach Murray's 6/8 level at 1.1474. The Eagle indicator has reached overbought levels, so the most prudent course of action is to wait until EUR/USD reaches a resistance zone before opening short positions. The…
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[Polkadot] With the RSI in the Neutral-Bearish zone and both EMAs forming a Death Cross, Polkadot is likely to weaken toward its nearest support level today. Key Levels: 1. Resistance. 2 : 3.1364 2. Resistance. 1 : 2.9587 3. Pivot : 2.8575 4. Support. 1 : 26798 5. Support. 2 : 2.5786 Tactical Scenario: Pressure Zone: If the price of Polkadot breaks down and closes below 2.6798, it may continue its decline to 2.5786. Momentum Extension Bias: If 2.5786 is breached, Polkadot will test 2.4009. Invalidation Level / Bias Revision: The downside bias is contained if Polkadot strengthens and breaks above 3.1364. Technical Summary: EMA(50) : 2.8938 EMA(200):…
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[Uniswap] Although the EMA has not yet formed a Death Cross, but with the RSI position at the Neutral-Bearish level, Uniswap has the potential to weaken and fall to its nearest support level. Key Levels: 1. Resistance. 2 : 8.446 2. Resistance. 1 : 7.998 3. Pivot : 7.726 4. Support. 1 : 8.446 5. Support. 2 : 7.006 Tactical Scenario: Pressure Zone: If the price of Uniswap breaks down and closes below 8.446, it may continue its decline to 7.006. Momentum Extension Bias: If 7.006 is breached, Uniswap could continue weakening to 6.558. Invalidation Level / Bias Revision: The downside bias is contained if Uniswap strengthens and breaks above 8.446. Techni…
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