Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
12114 tópicos neste fórum
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On-chain data shows the Bitcoin short-term holders have just made large deposits to exchanges, a potential sign profit-taking is underway. Bitcoin Short-Term Holder Exchange Inflows Have Shot Up In a new post on X, CryptoQuant community analyst Maartunn has talked about the latest trend in the deposits being made by Bitcoin short-term holders to centralized exchanges. The “short-term holders” (STHs) refer to the BTC investors who purchased their coins within the past 155 days. The STHs make up for one of the two main divisions of the network done on the basis of holding time, with the other side being known as the “long-term holders” (LTHs). Historically, the former c…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Bitcoin has managed to reclaim the $90,000 level after days of intense volatility, but upward momentum remains limited as the market continues to battle uncertainty and fear. While bulls have regained some ground, selling pressure is still dominating sentiment, and speculation about the start of a new bear market continues to grow. Many analysts warn that the recent bounce may not be enough to shift the broader trend unless stronger demand returns. According to fresh data from Darkfost, short-term stress among investors has eased slightly. The amount of BTC sent to exchanges at a loss has dropped sharply, now sitting around 11,600 BTC—significantly lower than the extrem…
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Bitcoin saw a modest retracement yesterday, dipping slightly but continuing to trade within a tight range between key support and resistance levels. While the broader altcoin market faces heightened volatility and notable losses, BTC remains relatively resilient, yet momentum appears uncertain. Analysts warn that if sentiment weakens, a broader correction could unfold. Top analyst Darkfost highlighted a critical dynamic now unfolding: the vulnerability of Short-Term Holders (STH). These investors, who entered the market during recent price surges, hold Bitcoin at significantly higher cost bases. As price action stalls or retraces, they’re typically the first to capitula…
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Bitcoin is entering a critical phase after losing the crucial $115,000 support level, with selling pressure mounting across key timeframes. The bullish momentum that previously fueled upside moves has faded, and price action now signals growing market weakness. As investor sentiment shifts from cautious optimism to concern, fears of a deeper correction below $110,000 are gaining traction among analysts. According to CryptoQuant analyst Axel Adler, Bitcoin has established a short-term resistance level at $112,000—a constructive sign that the market is attempting to stabilize. However, Adler warns that the $112K–$105K zone remains structurally fragile, acting as a buffer …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Bitcoin is once again at a pivotal moment, facing heavy resistance after setting a new all-time high around $124,000 yesterday. The milestone sparked excitement among bulls, but also renewed caution among analysts who warn that slowing momentum could signal a potential market cycle top. Some see the recent hesitation as a sign that buyers may be losing steam at these elevated levels. Despite the growing bearish speculation, on-chain data from CryptoQuant offers a more optimistic perspective. The Short-Term Holder Spent Output Profit Ratio (STH SOPR-7d) has climbed to 1.04 with Bitcoin trading near $119,000. This reading means that, on average, short-term holders are sel…
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On-chain data shows the Bitcoin short-term holder whales are sitting on their highest unrealized gain of the cycle after the latest rally. Bitcoin Short-Term Holder Whales Are Carrying $10.1 Billion In Profits As pointed out by CryptoQuant community analyst Maartunn in a new post on X, the Bitcoin short-term holder whales have seen their profits hit the highest point of the cycle. The short-term holders (STHs) broadly refer to the BTC investors who purchased the cryptocurrency within the past 155 days. These holders are considered to include the “weak hands” of the market, who tend to panic at the sight of volatility. In the context of the current topic, the STHs as a …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Bitcoin has regained footing after a turbulent week of selling pressure, reclaiming crucial support levels and signaling early signs of recovery. Bulls are cautiously stepping back in, though conviction remains limited as the $110K resistance — a key psychological and technical barrier — has yet to be tested. According to CryptoQuant data, underlying market dynamics suggest that a continuation of current momentum could fuel a potential surge toward $115K. The rebound follows a period of heightened liquidations and bearish sentiment that briefly pushed Bitcoin below $100K, triggering panic among short-term traders. On-chain metrics now show improving stability across se…
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Bitcoin is showing signs of renewed weakness as short-term investors begin to fold under selling pressure. According to the latest data from CryptoQuant, the Short-Term Holder Spent Output Profit Ratio (STH-SOPR) has fallen to 0.992, its lowest level since late April. This key on-chain metric tracks the average profit or loss realized by Bitcoin holders who have owned their coins for less than 155 days — a group often associated with speculative or reactive behavior. When the STH-SOPR dips below 1.0, it indicates that these holders are selling their coins at a loss, signaling a wave of capitulation and rising fear among newer market participants. The current value impli…
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The price of Bitcoin has shown signs of resilience and strength over this weekend after facing significant bearish pressure heading into it. On Friday, August 5, the flagship cryptocurrency suffered a mild correction following the release of weaker-than-expected employment data in the United States. While the Bitcoin price has struggled to break out of its current choppy state, its sustained hold above the psychological $110,000 level displays the current resolution of investors. The latest on-chain data suggests that the market might have absorbed excess selling pressure and could be regaining momentum. Is BTC Ready For A Sustained Move Higher? In a September 6 post o…
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As volatility engulfs the cryptocurrency market amid war tensions, on-chain data shows that the Bitcoin short-term holders are selling at a loss. Bitcoin Short-Term Holders Just Made Large Exchange Inflows At A Loss In a new post on X, CryptoQuant author Axel Adler Jr has talked about how the Bitcoin short-term holders have reacted to the price volatility that has come alongside rising tensions in the Middle East following US strikes on three nuclear facilities in Iran. The short-term holders (STHs) refer to the BTC investors who purchased their coins within the past 155 days. The other side of the network, the holders with a holding time greater than 155 days, are ter…
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Bitcoin rose 50% in 45 days from April into May, before reaching a new all-time-high just shy of $112K. Since then, it’s fallen 6%, sitting now right at $105K. Was the ATH a rare surge, and have Bitcoin’s fundamentals returned to something more pessimistic? Or is this a temporary pullback with strong support underneath? Evidence points more to the latter, especially with news that Bitcoin miners in Nigeria are addressing one of the longest-standing objections to crypto. And that could set Bitcoin, and the Bitcoin meme coin BTC Bull token, up for big moves in the weeks to come. Bitcoin Goes Green in Nigeria, Answers Longstanding Criticism Nigerian startup Green Flare a…
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Bitcoin’s price action has drawn a sharp dividing line between long-term bullish expectations and short-term reality. After peaking above $111,000 in May, the Bitcoin price has entered a retracement phase and is now trading below $105,000. While some interpret the current downturn as a sign of a weakening trend, others see it as a textbook bullish correction. Among them is crypto analyst MasterAnanda, whose latest chart suggests that Bitcoin is structurally strong enough to reach new highs, but it might fall short of the speculated $200,000 price target this cycle. MasterAnanda Predicts Higher Low And $137,000 Target In his TradingView post, MasterAnanda stated clearl…
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The recent decision by the US Federal Reserve to lower interest rates by a quarter point and adjust its more dovish expectations for the coming year to a more conservative approach has weakened the positions of Bitcoin and Ethereum, leading to sell-offs of many altcoins in the cryptocurrency market. However, there is a ray of hope that the market can weather these developments. Yesterday, US Senator Cynthia Lummis announced her intention to release a draft bill outlining the structure of the crypto market by the end of this week. This will allow industry representatives and both parties to review the bill before consideration next week. Senator Lummis's statement is un…
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Just as everyone started to believe that demand for Bitcoin had returned—especially after its rapid surge toward the $114,000 mark—some traders seized the opportunity to lock in profits, quickly dragging BTC back down to its intraday lows. This high volatility suggests the presence of large players in the market, which is actually a positive sign, as it shows the battle for direction is still ongoing. Ethereum also faced challenges in holding the $4,000 level, slipping below it by the end of the day's close. Meanwhile, according to the latest data from SoSoValue, spot BTC and ETH ETFs recorded new inflows during yesterday's trading session. These inflows, combined wit…
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GameStop is making big moves. The video game retailer reported a narrower loss for Q2, and it’s all thanks to a bold new Bitcoin strategy. While revenue still dipped a bit, the company’s holdings of 4710 $BTC gave its balance sheet a massive boost with a valuation of over half a billion dollars. This is a shift in how GameStop operates. Under Chairman Ryan Cohen, the company is reshaping its entire financial playbook. They’ve sold off international units and raised cash through a big bond sale. Now they’re joining a small yet growing club of publicly traded companies that have diversified into digital assets. GameStop announced a unique dividend in the form of warra…
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Bitcoin price started a fresh increase above $92,000. BTC is now testing the key barrier at $94,000 and might attempt an upside break. Bitcoin started a fresh increase above the $92,000 zone. The price is trading above $91,500 and the 100 hourly Simple moving average. There is a bullish trend line forming with support at $92,000 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken). The pair might continue to move up if it settles above the $94,000 zone. Bitcoin Price Extends Gains Bitcoin price managed to stay above the $88,000 zone and started a fresh increase. BTC gained strength for a move above the $88,800 and $92,000 levels. There was a clear move abov…
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A black swan has landed on the cryptocurrency market. Donald Trump's announcement of 100% tariffs on Chinese goods—made via social media—served as the unforeseen trigger that led to record sell-offs in Bitcoin from its historic highs. BTC/USD plummeted by 12% in intraday trading. According to Coinglass, a staggering $19 billion in positions were liquidated within 24 hours, and over 1.6 million trader accounts were closed due to unrecoverable losses. The crypto market incurred the heaviest damage due to its 24/7 trading cycle. Trump, careful to spare his beloved equities, made his tariff announcement after U.S. stock markets had closed. Bitcoin fared relatively well under …
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Bitcoin’s recent price action suggests a cooling phase after its failed attempt to secure a close above the $123,000–$124,000 all-time high zone. While short-term retracement appears likely, the broader market structure remains bullish. This correction could serve as a healthy reset before Bitcoin gathers momentum for its next major wave, with $150,000 standing as the next target. Heatmap Reveals Key Gaps In Bitcoin’s Support Levels ZYN, a prominent crypto analyst, recently posted an update on X highlighting a key observation from Bitcoin’s cost basis heatmap. The analyst noted that there’s limited support between the $121,000 and $120,000 levels, creating a fragile zone…
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Bitcoin finds itself at a critical crossroads, hovering between two major price zones that could define its next big move. Buyers and sellers are locked in a tight battle, and the market now waits for a decisive break. A push above key resistance could open the door to $107,000, while weakness at support risks a deeper slide toward $71,000. Bounce Scenario: A Return Toward The Pink Box And Descending Trendline Kamile Uray, in her latest update on Bitcoin, noted that BTC failed to hold above the $90,720 level on the hourly chart, triggering the expected decline. The first immediate support now sits at $87,644, while the deeper support range lies between $83,822 and $82,47…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Bitcoin is struggling to reclaim the $90,000 level as it continues to test critical demand around the $86,000 zone. After weeks of corrective price action, bulls are finding it increasingly difficult to build a convincing case for trend continuation. Momentum has faded, upside attempts have been rejected, and market confidence is weakening. As a result, a growing number of analysts are beginning to openly discuss the possibility that Bitcoin is transitioning into a broader bear market phase rather than a temporary pullback within a larger uptrend. This shift in narrative is supported by structural data. In a recent analysis, Axel Adler highlights that Bitcoin’s price a…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Bitcoin has been consolidating in a wide range between $100,000 and $112,000, facing heightened volatility driven by rising geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and growing macroeconomic uncertainty. Despite these external pressures, Bitcoin has held strong above the six-figure mark, signaling resilience as it prepares for a decisive move. Market sentiment is cautiously optimistic, with many traders expecting a breakout in the coming weeks. Top analyst Daan shared a technical analysis highlighting that Bitcoin is now trading just below its all-time high, but continues to face strong resistance around the $109,000–$112,000 zone. Price has tested this level multiple t…
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Bitcoin has struggled to reclaim the short-term holder Realized Price, a key on-chain level. Here’s where the next major support line lies for the asset. Bitcoin Has Again Dipped Below STH Realized Price In its latest weekly report, on-chain analytics firm Glassnode has discussed about some key Realized Price levels for Bitcoin. The “Realized Price” here refers to an indicator that measures the cost basis of the average investor or address on the BTC network. When the metric is trading above the asset’s price, it means the holders as a whole are sitting on a net unrealized profit. On the other hand, it being below the spot BTC value implies the dominance of loss on the…
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In his August 5 “Macro Monday” livestream, crypto analyst Josh Olszewicz delivered a review of the market’s late-summer state, arguing that while Bitcoin’s price action has gone quiet, the broader cycle remains intact. “We’re in this pocket of seasonal weakness for August and September that we typically see most years,” he explained, pointing to seasonality charts showing that historically, Bitcoin underperforms in this time window. “It’s a high likelihood that August and September is a giant nothing burger,” he added. Is The Bitcoin Bull Run Over? At day 978 of the current cycle, the question many investors are asking, Olszewicz noted, is simple but existential: is the …
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Bitcoin’s listless tape in the face of roaring macro risk is less a contradiction than a timing problem, argues this week’s edition of The Weekly Insight (Week 160, Sept. 20, 2025). Writing under the banner “Why’s BTC Lagging?”, contributor @CryptoinsightUK sets a decisively constructive medium-term tone—“I want to start this week by saying I am bullish, and I will continue to be bullish until I believe we are close to a top”—while acknowledging that the market feels late-cycle and emotionally frayed. “With that said, I do think we are closer to a top than a low here,” he adds, but the author still believes “we are approaching the most euphoric stage of this bull cycle.” …
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In a wide-ranging interview with Anthony Pompliano published on October 2, Jeff Park, partner and Chief Investing Officer at ProCap BTC, argued that gold’s surging price and shifting global ownership patterns are not a threat to Bitcoin—but potentially the catalyst for its next structural leg higher. Park’s thesis centers on flows, geopolitics, and balance-sheet mechanics: if policymakers and large allocators learn to tap the paper gains embedded in sovereign gold holdings, they could redirect a meaningful slice of that liquidity into Bitcoin and ignite what he repeatedly framed as a supercycle. Why Gold’s Rally May Trigger A Bitcoin Supercycle “The math is pretty simple…
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