Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
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The GBP/USD pair once again traded quite calmly on Wednesday, which is not surprising given that only one report—the US Producer Price Index—was published during the day. Although this report triggered a strong market reaction a month ago, we warned in advance that the reaction would depend entirely on actual versus forecast data. Still, while in recent weeks both major currency pairs have not delighted traders with trending moves, that doesn't mean there's a lack of news. Most headlines, of course, are tied to Donald Trump. For example, Trump is still trying to "put out" the Ukraine–Russia conflict, but knows no method other than tariffs and sanctions to achieve his goal…
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The EUR/USD currency pair traded very quietly on Wednesday, as it has for most of the past few months. The chart below highlights that euro volatility has rarely exceeded 70-75 pips per day. That's not low, but not particularly high either. In addition, in the last month, we've seen movements that are very similar to a sideways flat. Despite a mild upward bias and the dollar's inability to even stage a meaningful correction, the price mainly remained between 1.1597 and 1.1719. Last Friday, prices broke out of this stubborn range, but by the start of the week, they had already returned to it. And, inexplicably, they returned to this range even though Tuesday saw the releas…
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GBP/USD 5-Minute Analysis The GBP/USD pair also traded in a very strange and frustrating way for traders on both Tuesday and Wednesday. On Tuesday, there was a decline when everyone expected growth. On Wednesday, the British pound edged higher, but volatility was again near zero. The market justifiably ignored the Producer Price Index, since the Consumer Price Index will be released today, and it no longer matters much. If inflation rises rapidly, the Fed will still cut the key rate at least twice this year. What happens next year is anyone's guess. If inflation grows slowly or not at all, the odds of monetary easing at every meeting through the year-end will grow eve…
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EUR/USD 5-Minute Analysis The EUR/USD pair posted completely illogical moves on Tuesday and Wednesday. On Tuesday, following the release of the annual NonFarm Payrolls report (which, unsurprisingly, disappointed), the US dollar rose. Then on Wednesday, when the dollar had every chance to fall again, there was no decline in the US currency—even though the Producer Price Index showed a drop of 0.1%. Historically, the PPI figure is usually around 0.2–0.3%. The slowdown could indicate simply a correction after the previous month's surge (when prices rose by 0.9%), as well as the minimal impact of Donald Trump's tariffs on inflation. However, low inflation still (potential…
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BitMine Immersion has reportedly accumulated a staggering 319,000 ETH in just a single week. The massive purchase, worth over a billion dollars, underscores growing conviction in Ethereum’s long-term value among institutions and big players, tightening market liquidity. Could This Trigger An Ethereum Supply Crunch? In a move that highlights the growing institutional confidence in Ethereum, Paul Barron has mentioned on X that BitMine Immersion has just absorbed 319,000 ETH in a single week, which is equivalent to 0.26% of Ethereum’s total supply removed from circulation. Barron extrapolates this acquisition velocity, calculating that at the same rate, BitMine could dema…
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Federal prosecutors in Albany are going after more than $12 million in USDT, they say, that was tied to a crypto investment scam. They’ve filed a civil forfeiture complaint in an attempt to take the funds back. It’s another signal that officials are treating crypto scams just like any other financial crime. How the Scam Played Out The scheme began with random text messages promising profitable investment opportunities. Those messages led victims to a fake trading platform called ShakepayEX. The site was made to look like a real Canadian crypto exchange, but it wasn’t. People who deposited funds were then hit with fake fees and obstacles when they tried to withdraw. Many …
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SEC Chair Paul Atkins says raising money on the blockchain should not feel like walking through a legal fog. Speaking at a global policy event hosted by the OECD, he emphasized that entrepreneurs must understand the rules before they enter the game. Uncertainty about what constitutes a security is holding things back. Most Tokens Should Not Be Treated Like Stocks Atkins took a direct stance and said most tokens should not be treated the same way as traditional securities. It is a big statement, especially from someone in his position. If that view holds, it could give crypto projects more breathing room to grow without worrying they might be hit with a lawsuit later. …
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Bitcoin’s latest bounce off a support level at $110,000 has coincided with a technical observation shared by crypto analyst CrypFlow, who highlighted a shakeout pattern that’s currently playing out, which has always preceded the strongest legs of Bitcoin’s bull runs. According to the analyst, the ongoing shakeout pattern setup may be laying the foundation for another rally that could take Bitcoin above its all-time high and beyond $130,000. The Anatomy Of Bitcoin’s Shakeout Pattern Bitcoin’s price action in the past 24 hours has been highlighted by intense volatility, opening the day just above $113,000 before dipping to $110,800 and quickly rebounding to now trading bac…
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Ripple has once again caught headlines after quietly transferring 15 million XRP tokens just hours after securing a legal win against the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). The transaction, recorded on Ledger #98,741,614, carried a negligible fee of 0.000015 XRP, showcasing the network’s efficiency. While Ripple has not provided an official statement, analysts suggest the move could be tied to liquidity preparation for exchanges, settlement mechanisms, or the expansion of Ripple’s On-Demand Liquidity (ODL) corridors. The timing, so close to its courtroom victory, has fueled speculation that Ripple is positioning itself for a new phase of institutional adop…
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In addition to financial losses, the U.S. has already suffered reputational damage either way. What happens with trade agreements worth hundreds of billions of dollars that have been signed? After all, these also involve specific tariffs. What about retaliatory tariffs? Donald Trump "stirred the pot," but how to "clean up the mess" remains entirely unclear. In the 1974 Act (IEEPA), there really are no references to the president having the authority to enact trade measures unilaterally. However, it is essential to recognize that America, like many countries worldwide, faces issues that cannot always be resolved legally or fairly. For example, some economists have noted th…
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The American tariff drama continues and is only gaining momentum. To recap: several months ago, twelve Democratic governors filed a lawsuit in the International Trade Court against Donald Trump, arguing that the U.S. president does not have the right to impose trade tariffs against entire industries or specific countries. The Trade Court upheld the Democrats' claim, declared Trump's actions illegal, but left the tariffs in place, shifting responsibility for lifting them to the Court of Appeals — where Trump immediately filed an appeal. Some time later, the Appeals Court delivered a similar verdict: Trump's tariffs (with some exceptions) are illegal, and the 1974 Emergency…
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On September 11th – that is, on Thursday – the next meeting of the European Central Bank (ECB) will take place, and the central bank is widely expected to leave all monetary policy settings unchanged. This is the base case and the most anticipated scenario, so its realization won't trigger volatility in the EUR/USD pair. Still, this doesn't mean the September meeting is just a formality. The real intrigue concerns the ECB's future actions: Will the central bank consider its easing cycle complete, or are further rate cuts still on the table? Let's first analyze the general macroeconomic picture in the Eurozone. In short, we are seeing weak but still positive economic gr…
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There's no defense against a crowbar—except another crowbar. The return of financial markets to a world ruled by raw power has pushed EUR/USD below 1.17. Geopolitical risks continue to plague the Eurozone economy. They create uncertainty, and rising oil prices are particularly unwelcome for a region that imports most of its "black gold." Add to this the threat of snap elections in France, and the drop in the main currency pair ahead of US inflation data seemed logical. However, the US PPI data dampened the mood for the US dollar. If Moscow is not prepared to sit down at the negotiation table with Kyiv, Washington is ready for economic war. For this, it needs the support o…
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Toncoin and Quant are two altcoins that have witnessed a surge in whale transactions recently, something that could foreshadow volatility for their prices. Toncoin & Quant Have Seen A Spike In Whale Transaction Count In a new post on X, on-chain analytics firm Santiment has talked about the latest trend in the Whale Transaction Count for two altcoins: Toncoin (TON) and Quant (QNT). This indicator measures the total amount of transfers occurring on a given network that are carrying a value of more than $100,000. Generally, only the big-money investors or “whales” are capable of making transfers this large, so the metric’s value is considered to correspond to the acti…
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Beaver Creek, Colorado – The single biggest driver of returns now isn’t what’s in the rock, it’s what’s on the books, a panel heard on Tuesday at the Precious Metals Summit in Beaver Creek, Colorado. Permitting timelines, disclosure discipline and where the world’s metals are refined are set to be the gatekeepers to industry success. Moderator Anthony Vaccaro, president of The Northern Miner Group, framed the discussion against a backdrop of record bullion, fragile geopolitics and a scramble for “strategic” metals. The panel featuring hedge fund manager Warren Irwin, Bear Creek Mining (TSXV: BCM) chair Catherine McLeod-Seltzer, and CEO Jonathan Goodman of financier Du…
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Log in to today's North American session Market wrap for September 10 Tensions around the world keep increasing, with Russia sending 19 drones overnight to attack Poland from Belarus. A consequent diplomatic shower followed with the usual condemnations. However, what attracted attention was the "Here we go" post from US President Trump, awakening Markets, particularly in the precedingly dormant US Oil. A popular American conservative activist, Charlie Kirk, was also tragically shot at a rally in another round of political madness. Between a revolution in Nepal and France going through gigantic protests against French President Macron, economic uncertainty and a flood …
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Gold prices are holding in and around the $3650/oz handle. The precious metal is benefitting from the perfect combination of political uncertainty, geopolitical risk and of course Fed rate cut bets. Russia Conflict Sees Nato Trigger Article 4... What Next? On Wednesday, Poland, with help from its NATO allies, shot down what they believed to be Russian drones that had entered Polish airspace. This is the first time a NATO country has fired shots during the conflict between Russia and Ukraine. Poland's Prime Minister, Donald Tusk, told parliament that this was "the closest we have been to open conflict since World War Two." However, he also added that he doesn't beli…
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Avalanche (AVAX) has been riding a wave of optimism as bulls push for a breakout above the crucial $27–$28 resistance zone. Currently, AVAX trades just above $26.5, marking its fourth consecutive day of gains. The move comes as Ava Labs strengthens its ecosystem with two high-profile partnerships: an MoU with Korean firm WeBlock to expand real-world asset (RWA) tokenization and a collaboration with Toyota Blockchain Lab on mobility infrastructure. Strategic Partnerships Drive Real-World Adoption for Avalanche The WeBlock deal is set to introduce regulation-compliant tokenized products and a new stablecoin pilot in South Korea. Meanwhile, the Toyota partnership aims…
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XRP has entered a shocking new phase of development, with reports confirming its ledger’s use in debt tokenization. This development comes when the United States (US) faces a multitrillion-dollar debt problem, drawing attention to the XRP Ledger’s (XRPL) potential role in modernizing how debt is managed and settled on a larger scale. As adoption for XRPL accelerates, its integration into debt-related infrastructure highlights how blockchain technology is beginning to intersect with the world’s largest financial challenges. XRP Ledger: A Potential National Debt Solution Crypto analyst SMQKE has alerted the crypto community to a shocking World Economic Forum (WEF) report,…
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Log in to our mid-week North American Markets overview, where we examine the current themes in North America and provide an overview of indices and currency performances. This week, some data dampened the economic outlook for both the US and Canada. The past four months didn't show much in that aspect, and participants started to believe that tariffs wouldn't influence activity that much. However, it seems that the markets were too optimistic for North America. August gave a first warning sign, with the US Non-Farm Payrolls showing the first crack in the labor market, which was confirmed by last Friday's report. Canada is also struggling with a regressing GDP in the se…
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A Bitcoin farm in Missouri is cooking up a rare stew: ranching, Bitcoin, and a freedom-driven community. At the center of it is Ryan Cooper — a rancher, libertarian political candidate, and community builder who has become one of the key figures driving the orange signal forward in St. Francois County. I had the chance to sit down with Ryan for a full-length conversation, which turned into an hour-long YouTube interview. In it, he opens up about his path to Bitcoin, his faith, his family, and the vision he has for the ranch. It’s well worth a listen for anyone curious how grassroots sovereignty really works in practice. link to youtube From Politics to Pastures Ryan …
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The PPI report time for August 2025 is scheduled to be released on Wednesday, September 10, 2025, at 8:30 a.m. Eastern Time. Cassandra’s curse. Analysts expect CPI and PPI to be hot, and institutions could unload their bags onto retail in the aftermath. It will be a brief but brutal drop that will shake off a lot of weak hands. Here’s what to know: DISCOVER: 20+ Next Crypto to Explode in 2025 PPI Report Time: Will Inflation Be a Dealbreaker for Fed Cuts? The most impactful releases this week will be the Producer Price Index (PPI) on Wednesday and the Consumer Price Index (CPI) on Thursday. Both reports will test whether Trump’s tariffs are pressuring the Fed to cut…
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Ethereum has recently come under selling pressure, pausing the relentless bullish momentum that earlier this year pushed ETH to fresh all-time highs. After an aggressive impulse that began in April, the second-largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization is now showing signs of fatigue, with analysts debating whether this is simply a healthy correction or the early stages of a deeper pullback. For some, the cooldown is a natural breather after months of parabolic growth, giving the market a chance to reset before its next leg higher. However, the risks of an extended correction are mounting, especially as investors reassess valuations across the broader crypto landsca…
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What’s the Difference Between Pre-Tax and Post-Tax Retirement Withdrawals? Executive Summary: The main divide in pre-tax vs post-tax retirement withdrawals comes down to when you pay taxes. Pre-tax accounts delay taxes until you withdraw money in retirement, often forcing taxable distributions at age 73. Post-tax accounts, like Roth IRAs, tax your contributions upfront, but qualified withdrawals can be tax-free for life. Choosing between them—or better yet, balancing both—shapes how much income you keep after taxes, how you manage Medicare and Social Security, and how much you leave to heirs. Why This Question Matters Retirement savings are not just about how much you …
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Ariana Resources (AIM: AAU) (ASX: AA2) officially entered the Australian capital markets on Wednesday with an A$11 million ($7.3m) capital raise. About 39.2 million Chess Depositary Interests, each representing 10 underlying shares of the company, were sold in its ASX debut a price of A$0.28 per CDI. The dual-listing, the London-based gold miner says, would help raise the profile of the company, in particular its 100%-owned Dokwe project in Zimbabwe, with the benefit of an extended shareholder base and enhanced liquidity. “Gold companies listed on the ASX have attracted significant investor interest of late. As such, we believe that the listing will help enable th…
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