Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
11988 tópicos neste fórum
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On-chain data shows Bitcoin long-term holders have been ramping up their selling recently, a potential reason behind BTC’s fall under $100,000. Bitcoin Long-Term Holders Have Been Booking Profits In a new post on X, on-chain analytics firm Glassnode has discussed about the latest trend in the supply of the Bitcoin long-term holders (LTHs). These are referred to as the investors holding their coins for a period longer than 155 days, without selling or involving them in a transaction on the blockchain. Statistically, the longer an investor holds onto their coins, the less likely they become to sell them in the future. As such, the LTHs with their long holding times are u…
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The euro, pound, and other risky assets continued to rise against the U.S. dollar. Confusion among the U.S. Federal Reserve, with significantly differing statements from policymakers, has put pressure on the dollar. Growing uncertainty about the monetary policy trajectory, combined with contradictory statements from members of the Open Market Committee, undermines traders' confidence in the stability of the U.S. currency. On one hand, there are increasing calls for further tight monetary policy to finally curb inflation, which, although slowing, remains above the target level of 2%. On the other hand, the camp advocating rate cuts is gaining strength, pointing to negative…
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Yesterday, several entry points were established in the market. Let's look at the 5-minute chart and analyze what happened. In my morning forecast, I highlighted the level of 1.1636 and planned to decide whether to enter the market from there. The rise and formation of a false breakout around 1.1636 led to a sell entry for the euro, resulting in a 15-pip decline of the pair. In the afternoon, a false breakout around 1.1605 enabled the establishment of long positions, after which the euro rose by more than 50 pips. To Open Long Positions for EUR/USD: Confusion within the U.S. Federal Reserve regarding what to do next with interest rates is putting pressure on the dollar. …
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Yesterday, several entry points were established in the market. Let's look at the 5-minute chart and analyze what happened. In my morning forecast, I highlighted the 1.3133 level and planned to decide whether to enter the market from there. The breakout and retest of 1.3133 led to a buy entry for the pound, resulting in a gain of more than 30 pips. In the afternoon, a false breakout around 1.3181 enabled the establishment of short positions, resulting in a 25-pip decline. Similar short positions from 1.3216 yielded a profit of about 30 pips relative to the market. To Open Long Positions for GBP/USD: News that the UK Chancellor of the Exchequer, Rachel Reeves, is consider…
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Analysis of Transactions and Trading Tips for the EuroThe test of the price at 1.1633 coincided with the MACD indicator rising significantly above the zero mark, which limited the pair's upward potential. For this reason, I did not buy the euro. The lack of fundamental data from the U.S. and disagreements within the Federal Reserve regarding further actions on the key interest rate negatively impact the dollar's position. Growing uncertainty regarding the monetary policy direction, exacerbated by conflicting statements from the Federal Open Market Committee members, is a key factor that leads traders to avoid long positions in the dollar. The ambiguity surrounding the cen…
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Analysis of Transactions and Trading Tips for the British PoundThe test of the price at 1.3145 coincided with the MACD indicator just beginning to move down from the zero mark, confirming the right entry point for selling the pound. However, the trade incurred a loss as the pair did not decline. The statements by the UK Chancellor of the Exchequer regarding her consideration of abandoning tax increases led to buying activity for the pound, while uncertainty regarding the future actions of the U.S. Federal Reserve created additional problems for the dollar, resulting in the strengthening of the GBP/USD pair. Since there are no economic data releases from the United Kingdom…
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Analysis of Transactions and Trading Tips for the Japanese YenThe price test at 154.66 coincided with the MACD indicator just beginning to move up from the zero mark, which allowed buying the dollar in line with the trend. However, after a rise of 10 pips, pressure on the pair returned. Despite a slight strengthening of the yen, Japan's economy is expected to contract in the third quarter of this year, marking the largest decline in several years. GDP data will be released next Monday. If this happens, it will provide Prime Minister Sanae Takachi an opportunity to prepare a significant economic stimulus package, which will likely weaken the Japanese yen against the U.S. d…
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Canary Capital’s XRP ETF made a historic debut on Thursday, surpassing its competitors by hitting $58 million in trading volume on its first day, setting a record for the most traded ETF launch this year. This milestone was lauded by Bloomberg expert Eric Balchunas on the social media platform X (formerly Twitter), underlining the remarkable success of the XRP ETF in the market. The launch of the first XRP ETF in the United States earlier today had a notable impact on the XRP price, propelling it towards the crucial $2.5 level. However, subsequent market movements saw a 4% retracement, bringing the token’s current trading price to $2.3. XRP ETF Potential Canary Capita…
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Bitcoin has fallen below $100,000, which is a rather alarming signal for traders. Ethereum is also trading around $3,100, preparing to test the $3,000 mark soon. The sharp decline in the stock markets pulled the cryptocurrency market down yesterday, which is not particularly surprising. According to CryptoQuant and Glassnode, sales by long-term BTC holders are rising, putting strong pressure on the market. However, there are still no buyers, which previously included various spot ETFs, so don't be surprised if we see Bitcoin at $90,000 or even $80,000 in the coming days. The pressure exerted by long-term holders is due to several factors. First, it is the realization of …
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Yesterday, gold prices rose, preparing for the best week in the last month as traders grappled with uncertainty surrounding the resumption of the U.S. government after a six-week hiatus and the risk of a pause in the rate-cutting cycle. The precious metal traded above $4,200 per ounce, reflecting a weekly increase of about 5% and recovering losses from the previous session. Expectations of another rate cut in the U.S., driven by weak economic outlooks, continue to provide tailwinds for the precious metal, which yields no interest. The five-day growth in silver exceeded 10%, approaching last month's record levels. The rise in gold prices reflects the classic market respon…
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Asia Market Wrap - Asian Stocks Follow Wall Streets Lead Most Read: Dow Jones & S&P 500 Slip More Than 1%, Focus on US Data Releases as Rate Cut Bets Tumble Asian stock markets tumbled on Friday, joining a worldwide selloff after hawkish comments from Federal Reserve officials dampened hopes for a US interest rate cut next month. This fear, combined with a messy schedule of economic data, caused Wall Street to snap its four-day winning streak with its biggest one-day fall since April, which then spread to Asia. Key regional markets saw steep declines: Japan's Nikkei fell 2%, Australia's resource shares slid 1.4%, and South Korea tumbled by as much as 3.6%. Sepa…
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Buy the rumor, sell the fact. This time-tested principle has knocked the S&P 500 out. The broad stock index found itself in the worst wave of sell-offs in a month amid the closing of long positions due to the end of the US government shutdown. Despite the government's promise to provide statistics as possible, the stock market continues to exist in a data vacuum. Investors understand that they have clearly overestimated the chances of a cut in the federal funds rate this December. Hopes for a continuation of the Fed's monetary easing cycle served as a kind of safety cushion for the S&P 500, especially for the rapidly growing technology stocks. Confidence in the s…
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Yesterday, US stock indices closed with losses. The S&P 500 fell by 1.66%, while the Nasdaq 100 dropped by 2.22%. The Dow Jones Industrial Average decreased by 1.55%. The stock indices declined after four consecutive days of growth amid uncertainty regarding the Federal Reserve's interest rate reduction and the overvaluation of technology companies, negatively impacting market sentiment. The MSCI Asia Pacific Index fell by 1.4%, with significant losses in technology companies such as SK Hynix Inc., following comments from Fed officials that weakened expectations for monetary policy easing in December. This drop concluded a week of stock gains on optimism that the end…
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Over the last few weeks, analysts have been predicting that the Bitcoin price could crash again after the initial October 10 crash. This is because of the weakening market trends that have shown that Bitcoin is still favoring a downtrend at this point. Crypto analyst Lixing_Gan on the TradingView website also shares this view, with the appearance of a descending trend pattern that suggests that the Bitcoin price is more likely to fall than rise. Bitcoin Price At Risk Of Major Crash Below $90,000 So far, the Bitcoin price has been able to maintain its hold above the psychological level of $100,000, despite bears briefly pushing the price below this level. It has been trad…
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What to Know: Bitcoin’s ETF-driven evolution into digital gold is softening strict maximalism and encouraging more diversified crypto portfolios. Capital is rotating into top altcoins with real narratives, especially in infrastructure, AI and DePIN rather than pure speculation. PEPENODE mixes meme culture with gamified virtual mining and multi token rewards to keep holders engaged. For most of crypto’s history the script was simple: own Bitcoin, ignore everything else. That mindset is fading. Bitcoin now behaves more like digital gold, while the real experimentation (and much of the upside) is shifting to newer chains and app layers. Spot Bitcoin ETFs accelerated tha…
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We introduce you to the daily updated section of Forex analytics where you will find reviews from forex experts, up-to-date monitoring of financial information as well as online forecasts of exchange rates of the US dollar, euro, ruble, bitcoin, and other currencies for today, tomorrow and this trading week.Useful links: My other articles are available in this section InstaForex course for beginners Popular Analytics Open trading account Important: The begginers in forex trading need to be very careful when making decisions about entering the market. Before the release of important reports, it is best to stay out of the market to avoid being caught in sharp market fluctu…
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The crypto market is experiencing one of its strongest pullbacks in weeks as .cwp-coin-chart svg path { stroke-width: 0.65 !important; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-graph-container.positive svg path:nth-of-type(2) { stroke: #008868 !important; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-coin-trend.positive { color: #008868 !important; background-color: transparent !important; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-coin-popup-holder .cwp-coin-trend.positive { border: 1px solid #008868; border-radius: 3px; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-coin-trend.positive::before { border-bottom: 4px solid #008868 !important; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-coin-price…
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Trend Analysis (Fig. 1). On Friday, the market may continue moving upward from the level of 1.1632 (yesterday's daily candle close), targeting 1.1655 – the 50% retracement level (blue dashed line). When testing this level, a downward retracement movement may occur, targeting 1.1640 – the 38.2% retracement level (yellow dashed line). Fig. 1 (daily chart). Composite Analysis: Indicator analysis – upwardFibonacci levels – upwardVolumes – upwardCandlestick analysis – upwardTrend analysis – upwardBollinger Bands – upwardWeekly chart – upwardOverall conclusion: upward trend. Alternative scenario: Today, from the level of 1.1632 (yesterday's daily candle close), the price may…
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What to Know: Sentiment flipped negative after Bitcoin dipped below $100K for the second time this month, turning investors cautious and rather pessimistic. However, institutions remain bullish into year-end, with many planning to increase crypto allocations as regulatory clarity improves. Bitcoin Hyper ($HYPER) and Maxi Doge ($MAXI) are among the best crypto presales that align with today’s market: one solves throughput; the other captures rotation with community utility. Quant ($QNT) provides listed exposure to interoperability, trading on major exchanges with a market cap around the $1B+ zone. Pessimism spiked after this week’s drawdown. Derivatives funding reset, …
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Trend Analysis (Fig. 1). On Friday, from the level of 1.3187 (yesterday's daily candle close), the market may begin moving downward toward 1.3110 – the 161.8% target level (red dashed line). When testing this level, an upward retracement toward 1.3148 – a historical resistance level (light-blue dashed line) is possible. Fig. 1 (daily chart). Composite Analysis: Indicator analysis – downwardFibonacci levels – downwardVolumes – downwardCandlestick analysis – downwardTrend analysis – downwardBollinger Bands – downwardWeekly chart – upwardOverall conclusion: downward trend. Alternative scenario: From the level of 1.3187 (yesterday's daily candle close), the price may begin…
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It seemed that everyone had already come to terms with the idea that the UK budget would partly rely on new taxes imposed on the population, when yesterday, UK Chancellor of the Exchequer Rachel Reeves stated that she is considering abandoning plans to raise basic income tax rates and several other levies. This raises questions about how she intends to compensate for the existing budget deficit. According to media reports, Reeves may decide not to increase either the basic or higher income tax rate after widespread concerns emerged within the party about breaking the Labor Party's campaign promise not to do so. Reeves' statement, which came unexpectedly, caused a strong …
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JPMorgan has put a numerical marker under this Bitcoin cycle, telling clients that the market’s “pain threshold” now sits near $94,000 — a level the bank frames as both a mining-economics floor and an answer to the question of how low spot can realistically trade before fundamentals start to bite. According to reporting by The Block, the analyst team led by Nikolaos Panigirtzoglou argues that “Bitcoin’s downside from current levels appears to be ‘very limited,’” because they “see its support price at around $94,000.” How Low Can Bitcoin Go? The core of the call is JPMorgan’s updated estimate of Bitcoin’s production cost. In their latest note, cited by The Block, the anal…
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On the hourly chart, the GBP/USD pair on Thursday made another rebound from the 161.8% retracement level at 1.3110 and rose above 1.3186. At that moment, it might have seemed that the bullish advance would continue, but over the next 10 hours the quotes again returned to the support level of 1.3110–1.3139. Today we once again have to expect either a rebound from this zone or a close below it. In the latter case, the decline will continue toward the 200.0% Fibonacci level at 1.3024. The wave situation remains bearish. The new upward wave did not break the previous peak, while the last downward wave (which formed over three weeks) broke the previous low. The news backgro…
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On Thursday, the EUR/USD pair consolidated above the 61.8% retracement level at 1.1594 and rose toward the resistance level of 1.1645–1.1656, as forecast. A rebound from this zone on Friday will favor the US dollar and a slight decline toward 1.1594. A consolidation above this zone will increase the likelihood of continued growth toward the next 38.2% corrective level at 1.1718. The wave structure on the hourly chart remains simple and clear. The new upward wave has not yet broken the peak of the previous wave, while the last downward wave broke the previous low. Thus, the trend remains bearish at this time. Bullish traders have launched an offensive, but they need to …
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Metaverse? Anyone? That was 2020-2021. It was so trendy that Facebook had to rebrand to Meta. Everyone believed the tech would revolutionize crypto gaming by 2025, a scene where Illuvium was a top dog. Roughly four years later, and there is nothing to show. Crypto games have been devastated, and only those who continue now, even with some of the best cryptos to buy, at all-time highs, are burning cash quickly. It is the sorry state in which Illuvium finds itself. Falling Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Solana crypto prices have not helped either. ILV crypto is now down 99.6% from all-time highs of $1,911 printed in late 2021. In the last year alone, .cwp-coin-chart svg path {…
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