Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
12183 tópicos neste fórum
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As Bitcoin (BTC) enters the third quarter (Q3) of 2025, bullish sentiment is growing, fueled by historical post-halving patterns that have repeatedly marked the beginning of explosive market moves. A crypto analyst now points to recurring trends observed in past cycles, where Q3 has often acted as a launchpad for significant price rallies in BTC following each halving year. Bitcoin Post-Halving Years Point To Explosive Q3 Luca, a crypto market expert on X (formerly Twitter), has doubled down on expectations for a major Bitcoin price rally in the coming quarter. He argues that expectations of an extended consolidation in Bitcoin, based on the fractals and market behavior…
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Markets are already positioning for a new month after a notably volatile June – Discover the Monthly Seasonal trends for July. As a reminder, Seasonals look at the average monthly performance for different trading assets depending on which time of the year they do best or worse. While investors had begun to turn the page on US tariffs—with the past month marked by "TACO Trump" headlines and a revival of trade talks with China—the Israel-Iran conflict brought fresh volatility. Oil prices spiked, risk-off flows intensified, and ironically, these developments helped propel stock indices to new all-time highs once the conflict de-escalated. More recently, Trump reignited…
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The SEC Grayscale deal just greenlit Grayscale’s plan to convert its Digital Large Cap Fund (GDLC) into a spot ETF. It’s another step toward folding crypto into Wall Street’s standard menu. The move gives everyday investors direct exposure to top digital assets, and no wallets or seed phrases are required. What the SEC Grayscale ETF Brings to the Table Bitcoin makes up the lion’s share of Grayscale’s GDLC ETF, but it’s not alone. Built on the CoinDesk 5 Index, the fund also pulls in Ethereum, XRP, Solana, and Cardano. It’s crypto-Jesus for the TradFi crowd, and as we’ve written about all this cycle, retail is being left in the dust while it is institutions who are driv…
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Bitcoin has been showing notable correlation to the stock equities recently, but data shows Ethereum is charting a more independent path. Bitcoin & Ethereum Showing Different Degrees Of Correlation To Other Assets In a post on X, the institutional DeFi solutions provider Sentora (previously IntoTheBlock) has talked about how the latest Correlation Matrix has looked between the two largest cryptocurrencies, Bitcoin and Ethereum, and traditional markets. The “Correlation Matrix” here refers to an indicator that tells us how closely tied together the prices of two given assets currently are. When the value of this metric is positive, it means the assets are reacting to…
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Overview: The continued release of US tariff announcements shapes the near-term considerations. Of the surprises, the 50% tariff on Brazil (10% on April's "Liberation Day") is among the most egregious. The US has a trade surplus with it and the letter made clear a personal animosity over the treatment of former President Bolsonaro. After having achieved retracement targets of the slide since the June 23 tirade against the Fed Chair Powell, the dollar has softer against most currencies today. Among the G10, the Swiss franc is the only one to be struggling to achieve traction. The Polish zloty, Turkish lira, and Taiwanese dollar are showing small losses. The Mexican peso is…
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The Canadian Dollar has had a rough year against the Euro, as the joined currency had been printing its best performance in years against its G10 counterparts – A return of the US Dollar is in the building and it is propping upwards North-American currencies in the start of the Second Half of 2025. After coming close to its 2018 highs, a daily engulfing bearish candle led to a full-handle pullback in EURCAD. With the ECB attaining the end of its cutting cycle, joining the Bank of Canada which expedited its own cutting cycle due to a struggling Canadian Economy, both interest rates for the Euro and CAD are close to parity (2.75% Canadian Main Rate vs 2.15% ECB Refinancin…
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Equity Markets have been fluctuating in the past week, and this has concerned the Dow Jones even more than the more properly trending Nasdaq and S&P 500, which have been making all-time highs almost every day or two since the end of the Israel-Iran war. The picture in Equities is red throughout the globe as more tariff uncertainty gets into the bullish sentiment – Don't forget that the TACO Trade has been the ongoing theme, outshining Tariff Fears, which may be making a comeback. One aspect that the market has been examining is why the Dow Jones has been lagging against its major index counterparts. The more tech-focused Nasdaq and S&P are being dragged up by t…
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Week in review: Tariff Uncertainty Drags On Read More: S&P 500, Dow Jones Q3 Outlook: Tariffs, Tech, and Small Cap Concerns The July 9 tariff deadline has come and gone and market participants are still left with a lot of questions. Trade deals have begun to filter through but the majority of countries are still locked in negotiations with the US as the tariff implementation date of August 1 beckons. close Source:TradingView.Com (click to enlarge) …
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Gold had been struggling in the past few weeks, particularly since Israel-Iran war-induced Risk-off moves failed to bring the precious metal to new all-time highs. However, the Bullion hasn't retracted majorly from its elevated levels, still up around 28.60% in 2025 despite being about $200 from its ATH price – A sign of resilience. Last week's bearish formation got met with a renewed breakout taking Gold up 2% from its 3,284 lows – New tariff announcements with the infamous Trump Letters is creating further uncertainty, leading to more outflows from US exposure. US Stocks are down on the session, US Treasuries are once again downtrending since July 1st , Cryptocurrenc…
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In 2025, silver continues to present a compelling investment opportunity for both short term speculators and long term wealth builders. Unlike gold, silver is influenced by both its status as a precious metal and its wide range of industrial applications, including use in solar panels, electric vehicles, medical technologies, and electronics. As the world pushes toward cleaner energy and advanced technology, demand for silver is expected to rise steadily which could support strong price appreciation. At the same time, silver remains one of the most affordable precious metals, making it attractive to newer investors who want exposure to tangible assets without the higher …
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SaucerSwap SAUCE crypto jumps 70% in July 2025, breaking key resistance at $0.43 amid a Nvidia-Hedera deal. Rising DeFi TVL and the buyback program are driving demand. SaucerSwap, the decentralized exchange (DEX) on Hedera, is topping charts after surging 30% over the weekend, riding a wave of higher highs visible on the daily chart. As SAUCE, the governance token, rose above the local resistance at around $0.43, its total value locked (TVL), according to DeFiLlama data, is also trending higher. By July 14, 2025, SaucerSwap’s assets under management stood at nearly $70 million, pushing its revenue in 2025 even higher. (Source: SaucerSwap TVL on Defillama) SAUCE C…
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Overview: The US dollar is trading somewhat heavier against the G10 currencies but the Scandis today, ahead of the US CPI report. Most emerging market currencies are also firmer. The last few CPI readings were softer than expected, but economists continue to look for firmer price pressures. Late yesterday, the US announced a 17% tariff on imports of Mexican tomatoes but apparently has signaled approval of Nvidia selling its H20 chips to China. That decision helped lift Chinese tech stocks that trade in Hong Kong, but the CSI 300 itself managed only the most minor of gains. Most other bourses in the region rose. Europe's Stoxx 600 is posting a small gain after retreating i…
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After a week of losses, the New Zealand dollar has bounced back on Friday. In the European session, NZD/USD is trading at 0.5978, up 0.80% on the day. The New Zealand dollar is down 2.2% in July and fell as low as 0.5904 on Thursday, its lowest level since June 23. New Zealand releases the inflation report for the second quarter early on Monday. CPI is expected to rise to 2.8% y/y from 2.4% in Q1, which was the highest inflation rate since June 2024. Quarterly, CPI is expected to ease to 0.6% from 0.9% in Q1. Opinions are the authors'; not necessarily that of OANDA Business Information & Services, Inc. or any of its affiliates, subsidiaries, …
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At the end of the second quarter the MINING.COM TOP 50* ranking of the world’s most valuable miners had a combined market capitalization of just under $1.50 trillion, up a respectable $213 billion so far in 2025. The total stock market valuation of the world’s biggest mining companies remains nearly $250 billion below the all-time high reached three years ago however. The Top 50 also once again underperformed the broader market despite new multi-year highs and record prices for a number of major metals over the last three months. Rare event Since the inception of the Top 50, China Northern Rare Earth has been the only producer of the 17 elements in the rank…
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On-chain data shows the XRP whales have transferred significant amounts in the asset during the past day. Here’s where the coins are heading. XRP Whales Have Just Made Two Large Transactions According to data from cryptocurrency transaction tracker service Whale Alert, two massive transfers have been spotted on the XRP blockchain in the last 24 hours. Both of these moves were of a scale that can be associated to the whales, entities that carry significant amounts in their wallets. Due to their size, these investors can hold some degree of influence on the network, so their transfers can be worth keeping an eye on. They may not always directly affect the asset, but they …
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Who Pays the Real Cost of Tariffs? Who Ultimately Pays the Cost of U.S. Tariffs? I recently watched an interview where Treasury Secretary Bessent downplayed the inflationary impact of President Trump’s tariffs. According to him, the burden of these import taxes will mostly fall on exporters trying to maintain U.S. market share and on retailers who will trim their profit margins to keep prices stable. He even cited Toyota’s decision not to raise prices as an example of a company working to absorb costs rather than pass them on to consumers. Maybe Secretary Bessent sees something I don’t or maybe he’s painting a rosy picture of a complex economic reality. Because he…
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After failing to trade above the 99.00 psychological handle last Thursday, the Dollar Index had retracted strongly in the beginning of the week – Is the ongoing retracement over? Other majors have enjoyed from the close to 2% correction in the Index, particularly USDJPY which had been struggling since the onset of July. Markets tend to move chaotically on the small picture but the bigger picture sometimes offers some great insights. The US Dollar just marked what is for now an intermediate bottom on its index and this marked the end of the weekly run in European and Asia-Pacific currencies. Let's take a look at the DXY and a few other major charts to prepare for the m…
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NexGen Energy (TSX, NYSE: NXE) (ASX: NXG) is now the 100% owner of its portfolio of exploration assets in the southwestern Athabasca Basin after consolidating a minority interest held by Rio Tinto on certain projects. On Thursday, the Vancouver-headquartered uranium miner announced it has acquired Rio’s 10% production carried interest over 39 mineral claims in the region, including those hosting the PCE discovery, by exercising its right of first refusal on these assets. Financial details of the transaction were not disclosed by the company. As set out in the parties’ initial arrangement, Rio is entitled to a 10% undivided interest in future production from th…
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Highlights include Trade talks and deadlines, Fed, BoJ, BoC, US NFP, Mfg PMI, PCE, QRA, EZ CPI & GDP and Aussie CPI Newsquawk Week Ahead: Highlights 28th July-1st August 2025 MON: US Dallas Fed (Jul), German GfK (Aug) TUE: US Consumer Confidence (Jul), JOLTS (Jun) WED: FOMC & BoC Policy Announcements; ECB Wage Tracker, Australian CPI (Jun/Q2), German Retail Sales (Jun), Swiss KOF (Jul), EZ Flash Prelim. GDP (Q2), US ADP (Jul), GDP Advance (Q2), PCE Advance (Q2), Pending Home Sales (Jun) THU: BoJ & SARB Policy Announcements; Chinese NBS PMIs (Jul), Australian Retail Sales (Jun), Export/Import Prices (Q2), German Unemployment (Jul), French & German …
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Most Read: USD/CAD Breakout Gathers Pace After Bank of Canada Rate Hold A forward-looking analysis of Amazon's (AMZN) Q2 2025 earnings, scheduled for release on July 31, 2025, at 2:00 PM PT/5:00 PM ET. Amazon is expected to show growth in revenue and earnings, thanks to its profitable Amazon Web Services (AWS) and advertising businesses. However, big spending on AI infrastructure and new tariffs affecting its e-commerce and third-party sellers bring both opportunities and challenges. The company’s focus on cutting costs and improving customer experience, especially through its Prime program, will be key to managing a tough economic climate. …
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It was full-on panic mode this past weekend as Bitcoin’s price plunged to $112,000. The entire market followed, with major ETH holders dumping their tokens as the price dropped below $3,400. But not everyone followed the same strategy. Smart money began looking for the best crypto to buy while prices were low. While some whales were offloading, others, like SharpLink, kept accumulating. SharpLink received another 15,822 ETH (worth $53.9M) just six hours ago. In total, they’ve spent 108.57M USDC over the past two days to buy 30,755 ETH at an average price of $3,530. SharpLink now holds 480,031 ETH, currently valued at approximately $1.65 billion. EXPLORE: Best Meme Coin …
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Bitcoin is undergoing a sharp correction after losing the $115K support level, triggering a wave of uncertainty across the market. Following weeks of consolidation in a tight range, BTC has broken down, fueling debates among analysts about the asset’s short-term direction. Some experts warn that Bitcoin could face further declines as investors take profits and sentiment turns cautious. Others maintain a more optimistic view, suggesting that the correction is a healthy pause before BTC makes another attempt to reclaim its all-time highs. Key data from CryptoQuant adds another layer to the analysis. Metrics indicate that Bitcoin is currently in an “overheated” state, with…
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On-chain data shows Bitcoin investors who purchased near the price top are choosing to hold even after the latest pullback. Bitcoin Cost Basis Distribution Shows Supply Still Firm Above $118,000 In a new post on X, the on-chain analytics firm Glassnode has discussed the latest trend in the Cost Basis Distribution Heatmap of Bitcoin. This indicator tells us about how much of the asset’s supply was purchased at the various spot price levels. In on-chain analysis, supply cost basis is considered a key concept, as investor behavior is often more pronounced when the cryptocurrency is trading at or near its acquisition level. When the market mood is bullish, investors in pro…
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The Ethereum (ETH) blockchain is experiencing a renewed surge in network activity, recently reaching a fresh all-time high (ATH) in daily transactions. However, despite this increase in on-chain fundamentals, ETH’s price continues to trade below major resistance levels, raising concerns that bullish momentum may be fading. Ethereum Network Activity Picks Momentum According to a CryptoQuant Quicktake post by contributor CryptoOnChain, Ethereum’s daily transaction count – highlighted in pink in the below chart – has surged to a new ATH of approximately 1,550,000 transactions per day. This sharp increase in daily transactions, particularly noticeable over the past few mon…
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Майкл Сэйлор, известный сторонник Биткоина и сооснователь компании Strategy, снова использовал поп-культурный образ, чтобы продвинуть идею BTC в соцсетях. Он опубликовал сгенерированное ИИ изображение, на котором он предстает в роли Индианы Джонса внутри храма, напоминающего южноамериканский. Подпись к картинке гласила: “Я искал золото… и нашел кое-что лучше”. Коротко и по делу, пост повторяет давнюю мысль: Биткоин лучше золота. Сэйлор в стиле поп-культуры Судя по публикациям Сэйлора, это не разовая акция. Недавно он поделился еще одним ИИ-изображением, на котором предстал в образе Тайлера Дердена из фильма “Бойцовский клуб”. Визуалы простые, однако цепляющие, и они по…
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