Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
12020 tópicos neste fórum
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Monday's Trade Breakdown: 1H Chart of the GBP/USD Pair The GBP/USD pair traded sideways on Monday with minimal volatility. There were no important events or reports scheduled for that day, and the flat movement is clearly visible. The price has been trading between 1.3107 and 1.3203 for over a week, leaving only the option to open positions on rebounds from the boundaries of the sideways channel. Unfortunately, market movements are currently so weak that the price doesn't always even reach the boundaries of the channel. Therefore, the market is in a complete standstill right now. The market is clearly waiting for important macroeconomic information from the U.S. and …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Monday's Trade Breakdown: 1H Chart of the EUR/USD Pair The EUR/USD currency pair traded very weakly on Monday. No macroeconomic or fundamental events were scheduled for the first trading day of the week, so the minimal volatility is not surprising. The market has been trading very sluggishly in recent weeks and months, and the daily timeframe (as a reminder) continues to show flat movement, which we consider a key point in analyzing the EUR/USD pair. We understand that traders (especially beginners) want to make trades and earn profits every day. However, it is essential to recognize that periods of flat trading and news lulls occur in the market. Of course, it's up…
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Pepe’s price outlook has taken a sharp hit, with the token falling faster than any other major meme coin this year. As per Coingecko data, PEPE is now down -75% in 2025 and has lost another -19% over the past week. (Source: Coingecko) The token has struggled to hold any strength while rivals like Dogecoin and Shiba Inu remain comparatively steady. Sentiment has weakened even more after the Federal Reserve signaled uncertainty about a possible rate cut in December. DISCOVER: Top 20 Crypto to Buy in 2025 What Do On-Chain and Perp Data Reveal About PEPE’s Weak Liquidity? That shift has weighed on risk assets across the board, and PEPE seems to be taking the hardest bl…
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Cardano’s ADA is holding near $0.50 after sliding almost -15% over the past week, a drop that has added to the cautious mood across the market. The decline comes as founder Charles Hoskinson tries to lift sentiment and push back against what he sees as growing frustration in the space. In a post on X on November 16, he asked the community to keep things positive and “summon the gigachad bullrun we all deserve.” Hoskinson also criticized the quick cynicism that often pops up whenever new ideas or proposals surface in crypto, saying the space has become too quick to dismiss progress. His remarks follow months of shaky confidence and heavy losses across major altcoin…
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XRP price started a fresh decline from $2.250. The price is now showing bearish signs and might extend losses if it dips below $2.120. XRP price started a fresh decline below the $2.250 zone. The price is now trading below $2.20 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There is a bearish trend line forming with resistance at $2.220 on the hourly chart of the XRP/USD pair (data source from Kraken). The pair could continue to move down if it settles below $2.120. XRP Price Dips Further XRP price attempted a recovery wave above $2.30 but failed to continue higher, like Bitcoin and Ethereum. The price started a fresh decline below $2.250 and $2.20. There was a move below…
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The Bitcoin price has seen a significant pullback, retracing nearly 26% from its all-time highs, fueling speculation about the potential onset of a new bear market. Compounding this uncertainty, a fresh sell signal has emerged from one of the cryptocurrency’s key indicators, reminiscent of the past when similar signals led to a staggering 67% drop in value. Bitcoin Price Could Plunge To $31,000 Market expert Ali Martinez pointed out in a recent post on social media platform X (formerly Twitter) that the last time the SuperTrend indicator issued a sell signal for Bitcoin was in 2022. At that time, Bitcoin, which had reached an all-time high of $69,000, subsequently fell…
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Ethereum price failed to stay above $3,150 and extended losses. ETH is down over 5% and might struggle to recover above $3,200 in the near term. Ethereum started a fresh decline after it failed to stay above $3,150. The price is trading below $3,100 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There is a key bearish trend line forming with resistance at $3,150 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD (data feed via Kraken). The pair could continue to move down if it settles below the $3,000 zone. Ethereum Price Turns Red Ethereum price failed to continue higher above $3,150 and started a fresh decline, like Bitcoin. ETH price dipped below $3,180 and entered a bearish zone. The dec…
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On-chain data shows the Bitcoin Stablecoin Supply Ratio has declined into the buy territory. Here’s what followed this signal in the past. Bitcoin SSR RSI Is Giving A Buy Signal In a new post on X, CryptoQuant community analyst Maartunn has talked about the latest trend in the Stablecoin Supply Ratio (SSR) for Bitcoin. The SSR is an indicator that measures how the market cap of BTC compares against the total supply of the stablecoins. Stablecoins refer to cryptocurrencies that are pegged to a fiat currency. Investors generally park their capital in the form of these assets when they want to avoid the volatility associated with BTC and other assets. Such holders also u…
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Bitcoin price failed to recover above $95,000. BTC is down over 4% and there are chances of more downsides below $90,000. Bitcoin started a fresh decline below $94,000 and $93,500. The price is trading below $93,000 and the 100 hourly Simple moving average. There is a bearish trend line forming with resistance at $95,850 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken). The pair might continue to move down if it settles below the $91,500 zone. Bitcoin Price Continues To Weaken Bitcoin price failed to stay in a positive zone above the $93,500 pivot level. BTC bears remained active below $93,500 and pushed the price lower. The bears gained strength and we…
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Ethereum is trading around key demand levels as fear and uncertainty grip the broader crypto market. The second-largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization has struggled to regain bullish momentum, currently hovering near $3,150 after weeks of consistent selling pressure. However, new on-chain data from CryptoQuant reveals that Ethereum might be nearing a crucial accumulation zone — one historically associated with long-term holder activity and market bottoms. According to the report, the ETH price is now just 8% away from touching the Accumulation Addresses Realized Price level at $2,895. This metric represents the average cost basis of long-term investors who have…
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The GBP/USD currency pair traded very calmly on Monday as well. It is not surprising since there were no significant events or reports scheduled for the first trading day of the week. Donald Trump did not announce new tariffs, and Federal Reserve representatives have already expressed their views on the December meeting. In short, without compelling reasons, the FOMC committee is not ready to vote for a third round of monetary policy easing. This includes everyone except for Stephen Miran, who is troubled by the U.S. labor market, for which there are currently no data. It should also be noted that this week, macroeconomic data on the U.S. labor market, including job vaca…
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The EUR/USD currency pair traded with low volatility on Monday, showing a complete lack of desire to move in either direction. Overall, we have been drawing traders' attention to several very important technical points for several weeks now. It may seem that we have completely forgotten about the macroeconomic or fundamental background, but that is not the case. Let's understand why. Firstly, the fundamental background has been ignored by the market for the past month and a half. Let's recall that the dollar rose by 300 pips during the US "shutdown". It then calmly continued (the previously started) decline when the "shutdown" officially ended. Additionally, during that s…
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Analysis of GBP/USD 5M The GBP/USD currency pair traded within a sideways channel on Monday, bounded by the 1.3096 level and the Senkou Span B line. The price alternately bounces off one boundary of the channel and then the other, allowing traders to make some transactions in the currency market. The upward trend for the pound started a couple of weeks ago, breaking the descending trend line last week. Thus, there are more reasons to expect continued growth rather than a new decline. However, the pair needs to confidently overcome Senkou Span B and the level of 1.3212. The fundamental backdrop for the British currency has not been great lately, but traders often inter…
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Analysis of EUR/USD 5M On Monday, the EUR/USD currency pair saw a minor pullback. Over the past week and a half, the euro has been slowly but steadily rising, recovering from the unjustified decline of the previous one-and-a-half months. Therefore, a minor correction within the local upward trend would not be detrimental. However, it is essential to note that the concept of trend is quite conditional, even on the hourly timeframe. The daily chart continues to show a global flat that has persisted for three months. Thus, any internal movement is a correction against a correction against a correction. The ascending trend on the hourly timeframe remains intact, as the pr…
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The Dogecoin multi-year recovery trend is under pressure as price slips below a key ascending support and rests on an historic horizontal level, according to a new chart from trader and analyst Rekt Capital. Dogecoin Is Inches Away From A Bear Market In an X post, Rekt Capital shared a 1-month DOGE/USDT chart from Binance, created on TradingView on Nov. 15, and warned: “Dogecoin needs to protect its multi-year technical uptrend heading into December to keep chances for macro upside alive.” The chart tracks Dogecoin from the 2021 blow-off top through the 2022–2023 bear market and the subsequent recovery. A rising trendline, built from the bear-market lows, currently runs…
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The crypto market remains under intense selling pressure, with sentiment turning increasingly bearish as Bitcoin trades below the $100,000 mark for the first time since May. Altcoins have fared even worse, extending a downtrend that began in early October. Despite this wave of uncertainty and fading bullish momentum, capital inflows into the market continue to grow — suggesting that investors may be preparing for the next phase of accumulation. Lookonchain reports that stablecoin issuance has surged in recent weeks, led by giants like Tether (USDT) and Circle (USDC). Together, the two firms have minted over $14 billion in new stablecoins since the October 10 market cras…
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Data shows the Bitcoin Social Dominance has spiked to a 4-month high, something that has tended to be a reversal signal for the market. Social Media Is Shifting Attention To Bitcoin According to data from analytics firm Santiment, social media talk has recently become more concentrated on Bitcoin. The indicator of relevance here is the “Social Dominance,” which measures the percentage of cryptocurrency-related discussions on social media that a given asset accounts for. The metric gauges social media talk using the Social Volume indicator, which tracks the total number of posts/threads/comments that contain unique mentions of the coin. To give a relative measure, the S…
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Gold has now fallen below Friday's low, demonstrating its weakness. An increasing number of Federal Reserve officials are leaning towards caution, avoiding further steps to ease monetary policy. In particular, Kansas City Fed President Jeffrey Schmid emphasized on Friday that inflation remains excessively high and that there is no reason for complacency regarding inflation forecasts and expectations. Jeffrey Schmid stated that the current monetary policy is moderately restrictive, which aligns with its essence, and should account for demand dynamics. By the end of last week, the probability of a 25-basis-point rate cut in December had fallen below 50%, which also contrib…
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Stephen Jen, head of the London investment fund Eurizon SLJ Capital and author of the "Dollar Smile Theory," believes that the U.S. currency will lose an additional 13.5% of its value on top of the 7% it has already lost. This pertains specifically to the dollar index. Against the euro, the dollar has declined by 13% in 2025. Consequently, the dollar's losses over the next three years could be much more pronounced. This economic theory explains the cycles of growth and decline of the U.S. dollar. Jen asserts that the U.S. dollar strengthens in two scenarios: when the U.S. economy is extremely strong or when it is in a deep recession. During periods of moderate economic gr…
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The U.S. dollar index fell by 7% in 2025 during Donald Trump's presidency. However, few doubt that the current market calm is merely a pause before a new decline in the American currency. The news backdrop in the U.S. can be described as both "bad" and "conducive to the dollar's decline," depending on one's perspective. It's worth noting that the dollar looks very weak against the euro. The European Central Bank is unlikely to cut interest rates again in the coming year, while the Bank of England may conduct a few more rounds of monetary easing, as it lags far behind the ECB. At the same time, the Federal Reserve is 100% likely to continue its easing policy. Whether quick…
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The EUR/USD pair continues to trade within the range of 1.1580–1.1650, which lies between the middle line of the Bollinger Bands and the lower boundary of the Kumo cloud on the daily chart. Last week, buyers of EUR/USD attempted to break through the upper boundary of the range, but to no avail: sellers seized the initiative, and Friday's trading ended at the 1.1620 mark. As the new trading week begins, sellers are trying to build on their success, moving toward the lower boundary of the aforementioned range. However, fundamentally, the pair remains stuck in a sideways move, awaiting key macroeconomic reports due this week. On Monday, the price retreat is attributed to…
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As the saying goes, "man proposes, but God disposes." Expectations often do not align with reality. It was previously thought that Donald Trump's extensive tariffs would significantly slow economic growth in the Eurozone. However, the currency bloc's economy has shown remarkable resilience. As a result, growth forecasts are being raised, which plays in favor of EUR/USD. On the other hand, markets are driven by expectations, and for the euro, things are not as good as one might assume. The European Commission has recently upgraded its GDP estimates for 2025, following similar moves from the International Monetary Fund and the European Central Bank. The Brussels forecasts a…
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Ethereum (ETH) is flashing a rare technical warning sign for bears. According to the analysis, the daily chart has hit a historically oversold MACD reading not seen in years, aligning with a deeply oversold RSI. This confluence of extreme momentum signals suggests that the price has entered a major demand zone, dramatically increasing the likelihood of a powerful relief rally and setting the stage for a significant short-term rebound. MACD Hits Rare Historical Lows — A Zone Linked To Major ETH Bottoms According to a recent post from More Crypto Online, Ethereum is currently flashing one of its most extreme MACD readings seen in years on the daily timeframe. While the MAC…
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Log in to today's North American session Market wrap for November 17 Markets opened the week on some fragile risk-sentiment to continue what has been going on since the end-October price peaks. Cryptocurrencies have led the risk-unwinding. Bitcoin plunged to its lowest level since early May, trading around $92,000 at the close. This action, marking a multi-month low, is starting to scare investors, particularly the most leveraged ones. Today's drop was not just surrounded by Tech and AI names. The Dow Jones also took a severe hit, shedding 550 points, closing down 1.2%. Sectors that had performed solidly last week, like Financials, Consumer Defensive, and Energy, got…
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Dogecoin has spent the past few days struggling to regain momentum after a series of pullbacks dragged the price back toward the mid-$0.16 region. The broader market has also been unstable, adding pressure to Dogecoin. Despite this stretch of bearish price action, a deeper look at the higher-timeframe chart shows a structure that has not been invalidated by the recent decline. This is where a technical analysis from XForceGlobal comes in, as he argues that Dogecoin is sitting inside an “insanely bullish” long-term formation that is unfolding beneath the surface. The 5-Wave Structure Behind Dogecoin’s Bullish Setup A detailed technical analysis shared by XForceGlobal on …
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