Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
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South Korea is lifting crypto restrictions for venture companies on September 16, giving them easier access to financing avenues and tax breaks. According to the Ministry of SMEs and Startups (MSS), the measure comes in response to the growing global trust in the crypto sphere, combined with advancements in the user protection department. The decision comes seven years after the country restricted crypto in October 2018, amidst concerns about speculation influencing the market and the lack of proper investor security. The shift marks a long-awaited move that could bring South Korea at the forefront of crypto adoption, which could rally projects like Pepenode (…
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The euro is virtually unchanged on Thursday, trading at 1.1692 in the European session. ECB expected to maintain rates The European Central Bank meets later on Thursday and the money markets have priced in a hold at close to 100%, which would keep the key deposit rate at 2.0%. The ECB has cut rates by more than half since last July but has hinted that there is no rush to continue lowering rates. Has inflation in the eurozone become too much of a good thing? Inflation is under control, but there is now a risk of inflation undershooting the 2% target, which would put pressure on the ECB to respond by reducing rates. There are differing opinions within the ECB with…
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Crypto feels electric today, especially with the bullish reports from major news outlets. Bitcoin has blasted past $114,000, and the mood across the market is very much about to go euphoric after a slight pump after weeks of flatlines. PriceBTC24h7d30d1yAll time Ethereum is playing chase, pushing over $4,400, while Solana, XRP, and ADA are seeing real gains. This surge is riding on softer PPI data that have people whispering “rate cuts soon.” Bitcoin dominance just need to slips under 52% as it means altcoin season are about to get real. Total crypto market cap is now back north of $4 trillion, and news today is all about how that shift is reshaping the space. (source…
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The pair is consolidating above the 1.1685 support level as the market awaits US inflation data and the outcome of next week's FOMC monetary policy meeting. Unlike the Federal Reserve, which is expected to lower interest rates, today the European Central Bank is anticipated to keep its rates and all monetary policy parameters unchanged. If today's US CPI report does not show inflation rising above the consensus forecast, the pair could receive support and continue its upward movement. From a technical point of view, the pair is above the support level of 1.1685. Technical View and Trade Idea: The price is below the middle line of the Bollinger Bands, below the 5-SMA, an…
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Global markets are tense, awaiting the release of the US consumer inflation report, which is especially intriguing ahead of next week's FOMC rate decision—especially after yesterday's producer inflation figures. Let's start with the producer inflation (PPI) data, which came in unusually low. The Producer Price Index fell year-over-year to 2.6%, versus a consensus forecast of 3.3%. Notably, the previous value was revised down from 3.3% to 3.1%. Recall that in August, a sharp jump in PPI shocked the market and reduced expectations that the Fed would cut rates this month. Now, with the CPI report imminent, the PPI numbers advise caution in interpreting these inflation measur…
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Wall Street Hits Fresh Highs The S&P 500 and Nasdaq closed at record levels on Wednesday, driven by a powerful surge in Oracle shares and cooler-than-expected US inflation data. Investors interpreted this as a strong signal that the Federal Reserve is likely to cut interest rates next week. Oracle's Breakthrough Oracle stock skyrocketed more than 36 percent in a single session, marking its biggest daily jump since 1992. The rally came after the company reported a sharp increase in demand for its cloud services, particularly from businesses developing artificial intelligence solutions. Oracle's market value reached 922 billion dollars, surpassing Eli Lilly, JPMorgan C…
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The Avalanche Foundation is in advanced talks to set up two US digital asset treasury vehicles to raise roughly $1 billion that would purchase millions of AVAX directly from the foundation at a discount, according to the Financial Times. Avalanche Foundation’s $1 Billion Buy Plan One vehicle, led by Hivemind Capital, would seek up to $500 million via a Nasdaq-listed company with Anthony Scaramucci advising; a second, sponsored by Dragonfly Capital, would be a $500 million SPAC. People familiar said the deals could close within weeks; Hivemind confirmed it was working on a deal, while the foundation declined to comment. Currently, AVAX has a 720 million max supply with ab…
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The crypto market is heating up as Bitcoin surged past $114,000. Traders are now wondering what the next crypto to explode could be, as altcoins also post impressive gains. Solana (SOL) climbed above $220, BNB hit a fresh all-time high, while Ethereum (ETH) is holding strong around $4,400. PriceBTC24h7d30d1yAll time Meanwhile, today marks a major milestone for Ethereum’s ecosystem: the long-awaited Linea airdrop is finally live. Linea, developed by Ethereum software firm Consensys, is launching its native LINEA token in one of the most anticipated events in years. Unlike other layer-2s, Linea will use ETH as its gas token while introducing a buyback-and-burn mechanism fo…
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Good day, traders! On Wednesday, EUR/USD made several bounces from the 76.4% correction level at 1.1695, but as of Thursday morning, it has returned to test this level again. Another bounce from here would support the euro and renew the uptrend toward the resistance zone at 1.1789–1.1802. Consolidation below 1.1695 would increase the chances for further decline toward the support zone at 1.1637–1.1645. The wave structure on the hourly chart remains simple and clear. The last completed wave up broke a previous top, while the latest down wave failed to break the prior low. This means the current trend is bullish—though not particularly strong or assured. Recent US labor …
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While Bitcoin and Ethereum are preparing for a new bullish impulse, the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) has once again postponed decisions on several ETF rule changes linked to cryptocurrencies. On Wednesday, the SEC announced it needed more time to review applications for permission regarding Ethereum staking. Although SEC Chair Paul Atkins has recently expressed open support for digital assets, the agency continues to delay rulings on many crypto-related ETFs. The SEC's hesitation in making decisions on ETFs and Ethereum staking can be attributed to concerns over investor protection and the need to develop clear regulatory frameworks for decentralized finan…
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Asia Market Wrap - Tech Shares Lead the Way, SoftBank Up 9% Most Read: US CPI Preview: Implications for the DXY & Federal Reserve Major benchmarks for Japan, South Korea, and mainland China increased, while those for Australia and Hong Kong decreased. MSCI’s Asia-Pacific index was unchanged following five straight days of increases. Japan's Nikkei .N225 gained 1.2% to hit a record as tech, energy and utilities firms jumped. South Korean shares .KS11 rose 0.6%. Asian technology stocks had a strong day, thanks to a huge surge in Oracle's stock. This boosted stock markets in Japan, Taiwan, and South Korea to new record highs, even though the session was expected t…
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In his latest keynote speech at the OECD in Paris, SEC Chair Paul Atkins reassured that ‘most crypto tokens are not securities,’ and that the agency continues to work on market guidelines. Atkins emphasized that his focus is on changing the regulations for digital assets and on-chain capital in the US, while providing more clarity for investors and minimizing legal uncertainty for entrepreneurs. He also urged the SEC to end selective enforcement (which has been arguably bad for the industry) and promised growth-oriented regulatory rules in the future. Finally, Atkins mentioned the development of a Super app and an integrated blockchain vision that could validate all-in-…
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With the recent market recovery, the XRP price has been able to confirm an important Wave 3 move that was earlier highlighted by crypto analyst Dark Defender. Since this move has been completed, it is now time for the cryptocurrency to move into the next stage of the analysis. At this junction, there is a simple roadblock to a continuation of the rally and that lies at $3.13. In the follow-up analysis, Dark Defender reveals what could happen if the XRP price were to either break or get rejected at this level. What To Expect From The XRP Price In the analysis, Dark Defender highlighted that there is a possibility of some downside after the XRP price hits the 3rd Wave targ…
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Good day, traders! On the hourly chart, GBP/USD on Wednesday traded exactly between the 1.3482 and 1.3587 levels. Thus, no new trading signals or ideas emerged—one of those two levels needs to be tested before a clearer direction returns. If the pair bounces off 1.3587, the decline may resume. The wave picture continues to shift to bullish. The last completed down wave broke through two previous lows, but the new up wave broke the last two highs. At the moment, this suggests a new bullish trend after more than two months of weak bearish dominance—largely unsupported by fundamentals. On Thursday, the US will release its August Consumer Price Index—the data that traders …
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Elliott Management, the activist investment firm led by Paul Singer, has raised concerns regarding the cryptocurrency market, suggesting that it may be on the brink of an “inevitable collapse.” In a recent investor letter reported by Fortune, the firm attributed the inflation of this so-called “crypto bubble” to the perceived endorsement from the White House, particularly during President Donald Trump’s administration. Impending Crypto Collapse Ahead? The letter articulated fears that the US government’s backing of cryptocurrencies could undermine the dollar’s position as the world’s primary reserve currency. Elliott Management highlighted that the dramatic rise in c…
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The S&P 500 achieved its 23rd record high of 2025, fueled by Oracle's stunning performance and an unexpected drop in US producer prices in August. The odds of aggressive monetary easing from the Federal Reserve have increased, helping US equities sustain their stellar run. US equity index performance Oracle shares surged 36% in a single day, highlighting the company's best session since 1992 and a remarkable move for a 48-year-old tech giant. This leap added $247 billion to Oracle's market value, propelling it to become the 10th-largest S&P 500 constituent by market capitalization, surpassing JP Morgan. Market chatter is already likening Oracle to the next NVID…
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The recent movement of the USD/JPY has been very choppy as it continues to trade within a four-month-plus “Ascending Wedge” range configuration since its 22 April 2025 low of 139.89. The initial 0.8% intraday rally of the US dollar against the Japanese yen at the start of this week’s Asia session on Monday, 8 September 2025, to hit an intraday high of 148,58 has evaporated as the USD/JPY is now trading almost unchanged week-to-date as of Thursday, 11 September, at 147.40. Market participants have largely looked beyond the political uncertainty stemming from Prime Minister Ishiba’s resignation, shifting their focus to factors that could shape the Bank of Japan’s ongoin…
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Yesterday, US stock indices closed mixed. The S&P 500 rose by 0.30%, while the Nasdaq 100 added 0.03%. The industrial Dow Jones fell by 0.48%. Futures on US and European equities showed stability ahead of the highly anticipated US inflation data, due today, while the Asian session was marked by gains in technology giants. Euro Stoxx 50 futures were little changed, while S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 futures pared losses during Asian trading. Japan, South Korea, and mainland China's major stock indices advanced, while Australian and Hong Kong indices declined. The MSCI Asia-Pacific regional index was flat after five straight days of gains. US Treasuries stabilized afte…
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Trade Review and Advice on Trading the Japanese YenA test of the 147.32 price level coincided with the MACD indicator just starting to move down from the zero line—a good confirmation to sell the dollar. However, this did not lead to a significant drop in the pair. The yen reacted with only a minor gain against the US dollar after news that US producer prices in August declined, not increased. This restrained reaction reflects a mix of factors, including ongoing concerns about Japan's economic outlook and the Bank of Japan's monetary policy. Despite dollar weakness from US data, investors remain cautious about the yen, given its sensitivity to global economic swings—weak …
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Trade Review and Advice on Trading the British PoundA test of the 1.3545 price level coincided with the MACD indicator just starting its move up from the zero line, confirming a good buy entry in GBP. However, the pair never developed a significant upward move. The sharp 0.1% drop in US producer prices in August led to a dollar decline and a strengthening of the British pound. Still, a major bullish run did not materialize. First, the PPI drop was a one-off event, shifting the focus to today's US Consumer Price Index figures. Second, ongoing uncertainty over the British economy continued to weigh on sterling. There are no UK data releases today, so most of the market move…
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Trade Review and Advice on Trading the EuroA test of the 1.1718 level coincided with the MACD indicator just starting to rise above the zero mark, which confirmed this as a valid long entry in EUR and resulted in only a 10-pip upward move. The 0.1% decline in the US Producer Price Index for August triggered a weakening of the dollar and, consequently, a strengthening of the euro. This development came as a surprise to many and forced analysts to reconsider their outlook on the Fed's future monetary policy. However, a major risk asset rally did not materialize—indicating that FX markets remain volatile and uncertain. Market participants are closely watching economic releas…
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Yesterday, Bitcoin managed to hold above the $113,000 level, which indicates a relatively high probability of further growth. Ethereum also posted a strong move upward. This growth is not surprising. According to reports from several expert firms, buying demand for BTC has surged in recent days, hitting a historic record. CryptoQuant attributes this to inflows of new investments and idle funds from institutional players. This surge in interest clearly shows Bitcoin's growing recognition as a legitimate asset class among large investment funds and corporations. Institutional investors, who are traditionally more conservative, are increasingly viewing BTC as a means of po…
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[Natural Gas] – [Thursday, 11 September 2025] Although there is potential for strengthening, as long as it does not break and close above 3.052, Natural Gas will return to its bearish bias because the RSI is in the Neutral-Bearish area and both EMAs are forming a Death Cross. Key Levels 1. Resistance. 2 : 3.160 2. Resistance. 1 : 3.095 3. Pivot : 3.052 4. Support. 1 : 2.987 5. Support. 2 : 2.944 Tactical Scenario Pressure Zone: If #NG breaks down and closes below 2.987, it may test the next support at 2.944. Momentum Extension Bias: If 2.944 is broken and closed below, there is potential for further weakening towards 2.897. Invalidation Level /…
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[Nasdaq 100 Index] – [Thursday, 11 September 2025] Although there is a potential for correction as the RSI is at the Neutral-Bearish level, but as long as it does not break and close below 23606.5, there is still potential for a return to the bullish bias because both EMAs are still forming a Golden Cross. Key Levels 1. Resistance. 2 : 24119.9 2. Resistance. 1 : 23974.1 3. Pivot : 23863.2 4. Support. 1 : 23717.4 5. Support. 2 : 23606.5 Tactical Scenario Positive Reaction Zone: If the Nasdaq 100 Index manages to break through and close above 23,863.2, it will likely test the next resistance at 23,974.1. Momentum Extension Bias: If 23,974.1 is broken and closed above, t…
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An analyst has pointed out how Dogecoin could see a rally to $0.50, if the upper boundary of this technical analysis pattern breaks. Dogecoin Is Currently Trading Inside A Parallel Channel In a new post on X, analyst Ali Martinez has shared a technical analysis (TA) pattern forming in the 1-day price of Dogecoin. The pattern in question is a Parallel Channel, which forms when the price of an asset observes movement restricted between two parallel trendlines. The upper line of the channel is likely to provide resistance, while the lower one support. A break out of either of these boundaries can imply a continuation of trend in that direction. There are a few different …
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