Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
12122 tópicos neste fórum
-
Bitcoin dipped to $103,450 yesterday, wiping out about $1 billion in leveraged bets over the past 24 hours. Many traders hurried to sell, but the fall was short-lived. Bitcoin found its footing and climbed back to $104,400 by the time this report was filed. According to a recent analysis by crypto researcher Klarch, this pullback was expected and might just be a pit stop before another run to fresh highs. Recurring Cycle Patterns Based on examination by Klarch, Bitcoin tends to follow a familiar path after each halving. One year after the 2016 halving, it rose about 280%. After the 2020 halving, it jumped roughly 550% in 367 days. Right now, Bitcoin has only moved up …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
EMJ Capital CEO Eric Jackson has laid out one of the most aggressive long-term bitcoin targets in the space yet, arguing in an interview with reporter Phil Rosen that the cryptocurrency could reach $50 million per coin by 2041. His projection is tied to a thesis that bitcoin will evolve from “digital gold” into the core collateral layer of the global financial system. Jackson said his thinking grows out of the same “hundred bagger” framework he used when buying beaten-down equities like Carvana. He recalled entering Carvana after its share price collapsed from around $400 to roughly $3.50 in 2022, at a time when sentiment was almost universally hostile. “You would hear t…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Bitcoin is currently on the path to holding a strong footing above $109,000 after reclaiming the $108,000 price level in the past seven days. Notably, Bitcoin’s price has gained more than $3,000 over the past week, with bullish momentum building steadily across the broader crypto market. Bitcoin is once again flirting with all-time highs, and popular crypto analyst Merlijn The Trader recently shared a technical analysis on social media that claims Bitcoin has now entered its third parabolic phase. His chart places Bitcoin right on track for another historic climb to crazy price targets even in 2025. Bitcoin Following Familiar Price Schedule According to Merlijn’s anal…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
After hitting a one-week low on Thursday, Bitcoin (BTC) is attempting to reclaim the key $104,000-$105,000 area as support, but some analysts have warned that a visit to its range’s lows could be in BTC’s short-term future if volatility continues. Bitcoin to Continue Choppy Performance On Thursday afternoon, Bitcoin dropped 5.5% to the $102,000 support fueled by the news of the Iran-Israel conflict. Amid the market pullback, the flagship crypto failed to hold its $108,000-$110,000 three-day range, falling to the mid-zone of its post-November breakout range. Notably, BTC had just recovered from last week’s retest of the $100,000 level, reclaiming the key $106,800 area a…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Sentiment around Bitcoin has suffered a major hit in recent weeks after the price fell below $100,000. This has led to a series of bearish predictions for the cryptocurrency, as many analysts and investors alike believe that the crash is far from over. One analyst, who goes by Mr. Wall Street on the X (formerly Twitter) platform, has predicted a step decline, revealing how low the Bitcoin price will go and when the crash should be expected to be over. Bitcoin Headed below $60,000? In the post, Mr. Wall Street expressed that the Bitcoin price has already hit its cycle top, and as such, there is nowhere else to go but down. The chart points to possible price reversals for …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
After a week of volatile price action, Bitcoin has once again returned to familiar territory around the $106,000 price level. However, on-chain data shows that investors are still cautious, with the crypto Fear & Greed Index now in the neutral zone. On the other hand, technical analysis of Bitcoin’s price action on the 4-hour candlestick timeframe chart shows that its price behavior has completed a significant correction, one that’s paving the way for a major rally to $130,000. Bitcoin’s Wave 2 Correction Might Be Complete According to XForceGlobal, a crypto analyst who posted a detailed Elliott Wave chart on the social platform X, Bitcoin’s recent correction fits…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
On-chain data shows Bitcoin investors who purchased near the price top are choosing to hold even after the latest pullback. Bitcoin Cost Basis Distribution Shows Supply Still Firm Above $118,000 In a new post on X, the on-chain analytics firm Glassnode has discussed the latest trend in the Cost Basis Distribution Heatmap of Bitcoin. This indicator tells us about how much of the asset’s supply was purchased at the various spot price levels. In on-chain analysis, supply cost basis is considered a key concept, as investor behavior is often more pronounced when the cryptocurrency is trading at or near its acquisition level. When the market mood is bullish, investors in pro…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Bitcoin has observed a recovery surge toward $117,000 as on-chain data shows Binance users have been making consistent withdrawals recently. Binance Bitcoin Netflow Has Been Negative Recently As pointed out by CryptoQuant community analyst Maartunn in a Quicktake post, BTC has been flowing out of Binance recently. The on-chain indicator of relevance here is the “Exchange Netflow,” which keeps track of the net amount of Bitcoin that’s entering into or exiting out of the wallets connected to a given centralized exchange. When the value of this metric is positive, it means the inflows are overwhelming the outflows on the platform. Generally, one of the main reasons why inv…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
After rising rapidly over the weekend to hit new all-time highs, the Bitcoin price seems to have hit a brick wall above $120,000, sparking a correction. While this is expected to be a short correction, a notable development involving an 8-year trendline that has marked the top of previous cycles has emerged. If this trendline resistance holds and Bitcoin fails to break it, then it could mean that the top is in, and what usually follows is a drawn-out bear market. 8-Year Trendline Suggests Bitcoin Top Is In Crypto analyst MartyBoots, in an analysis on TradingView, caught a test of a an 8-year trendline which began back in the 2017-2018 cycle, marking the top of multiple b…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Bitcoin has continued to trade within a tight range just below its previous all-time high, showing recent signs of upward movement but falling short of reclaiming its peak price. The asset recorded a seven-day high of $110,307, but it has since cooled, with current trading levels around $108,311, representing a slight 0.3% drop over the last 24 hours. While the broader market maintains cautious optimism, several indicators suggest that market participants remain split on where Bitcoin is headed next. Bitcoin Shorts Increase on Binance Despite Price Climb Despite the price strength seen in recent days, certain signals hint at increasing friction between bullish price a…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Bitcoin continues to maintain upward momentum despite a recent pullback from its all-time high. Currently trading at $117,847, the asset has recorded nearly a 10% gain over the past week. The dip from peak levels, approximately a 4.1% decline, has not dampened broader investor sentiment, with several on-chain indicators suggesting renewed buying interest and reduced selling pressure. Bitcoin Whale Withdrawals Decline, While Stablecoins Flow In In a recent analysis posted to CryptoQuant’s QuickTake platform, analyst Amr Taha shared insights pointing to a strategic change in behavior among key Bitcoin holders and investors. The report, titled “Stablecoin Flood and Whale…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Bitcoin price is consolidating gains above $113,500. BTC could rise further if there is a clear move above the $115,750 resistance. Bitcoin started a fresh upward move above the $114,000 resistance level. The price is trading above $114,200 and the 100 hourly Simple moving average. There is a bullish trend line forming with support at $113,900 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken). The pair might continue to move up if it trades above the $115,750 zone. Bitcoin Price Starts Consolidation Bitcoin price formed a base and started a fresh increase above the $112,500 zone. BTC gained pace for a move above the main hurdle at $113,500. It opened the…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Bitcoin continues to correct. The technical picture at this time is clear, but yesterday's pattern somewhat complicates the situation. This refers to the "bearish" FVG on the daily timeframe, which contradicts the technical picture on the 4-hour timeframe and all existing patterns. Therefore, I had to refer to Bitcoin's "closest relative" – Ethereum, to clarify the situation. No similar pattern emerged for Ethereum, and on the 4-hour Bitcoin chart, the picture is more than telling. Thus, we conclude that the 4-hour chart is more relevant at this time, considering the corrective status of the movement. On the 4-hour timeframe, the pair worked off the nearest "bullish" IFVG…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Authorities in Europe have shut down a large crypto mixing service and seized a major amount of Bitcoin, according to law enforcement statements and media reports. The operation took down a key domain, seized servers, and captured $29 million in Bitcoin that investigators say was tied to illicit flows. Europol And Swiss Authorities Act Based on reports, a joint action by Europol, Swiss, and German authorities took place between November 24 and November 28, 2025. During the operation, three servers located in Switzerland were seized, the domain Cryptomixer.io was disabled, and investigators recovered about 12 terabytes of data. According to officials, the service had be…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Bitcoin is struggling to establish a clear direction as volatility tightens and traders face increasing uncertainty. After weeks of indecisive movement, short-term price action remains choppy, leaving both bulls and bears without conviction. According to new insights from CryptoQuant, a comprehensive analysis combining Price Action, Volume Profile, and Liquidation Heatmap data from Binance reveals that Bitcoin has been locked in a well-defined trading range for the past 120 days. The report highlights that this range is centered between $107,500 and $119,300, with the Point of Control (POC) — the level where the most trading volume has occurred — sitting near $117,500. …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Bitcoin is currently holding steady, trading water around the critical $90,000 level as the market enters a period of high compression. With ETF inflows slowing down, the price lacks the momentum to break through overhead resistance. The highly anticipated FOMC meeting is expected to provide the necessary catalyst to end the current consolidation and dictate Bitcoin’s next major directional move. BTC Compression Intensifies: Scaling Back Intraday Scalps According to a recent update from Lennaert Snyder, Bitcoin continues to tighten within a compression phase. The market has been trading in an increasingly narrow range, signaling that a larger move is approaching. Snyder …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Bitcoin (BTC) experienced a moderate price rebound last week, rallying to around $113,000 before witnessing a minor setback. The crypto market leader now trades near the $111,000 price level and stands 10.46% away from its all-time high. Meanwhile, recent data from blockchain analytics firm CryptoQuant has highlighted an intriguing trend in the accumulating activity of Bitcoin treasuries. Bitcoin Treasury Holdings Hit 840K In 2025 In a weekly report posted on September 5, CryptoQuant reports that Bitcoin treasury holdings by public and private companies have reached a new record of 840,000 BTC in 2025, representing the overwhelming institutional interest seen in the pr…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
On-chain analytics firm Glassnode has explained how the Bitcoin price trend remains constructive as long as the asset trades above the short-term holder cost basis. Bitcoin Is Still Maintaining Above Short-Term Holder Realized Price In a new post on X, Glassnode has discussed about the Realized Price of the Bitcoin short-term holders. The “Realized Price” here refers to an indicator that keeps track of the cost basis of the average investor or address on the BTC network. When the value of the metric is greater than BTC’s spot price, it means the investors as a whole are sitting on some net unrealized profit. On the other hand, it being under the asset’s value implies t…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
The yen carry trade unwind has been hovering over markets lately — the kind of “plumbing” story that most people ignore right up until volatility spikes and everything suddenly feels connected. Graham Stephan put it into a Bitcoin and crypto-friendly frame yesterday. In a Dec. 15 post, the popular YouTuber described the yen carry trade as Wall Street’s long-running “infinite money glitch” — and argued it’s breaking down just as the Fed is signaling a shift in its outlook for next year. “Wall Street found an ‘infinite money’ glitch 20 years ago. They called it the Yen Carry Trade. It just broke, right when the Fed announced its plans for next year,” Stephan wrote. What T…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Bitcoin remains under the $120,000 price mark following a pullback triggered by remarks from the US Treasury that the federal government will not be purchasing the cryptocurrency. At the time of writing, BTC is valued at approximately $118,612, representing a 4.1% decline from its record high above $124,000 reached earlier this week. The market seems to be currently assessing whether this consolidation phase will lead to renewed upward momentum or extend the correction. Recent blockchain data has brought attention to activity on Binance, the world’s largest cryptocurrency exchange by trading volume. Bitcoin Exchange Inflows and Potential Impact According to CryptoOnch…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Bitcoin (BTC) reached a new all-time high (ATH) yesterday, climbing to $111,999 on Binance exchange before dipping slightly to around $110,000 at the time of writing. While the broader trend remains bullish, some analysts now anticipate a short-term pullback. Bitcoin Remains Bullish But Some Pullback Expected According to a recent CryptoQuant Quicktake post by contributor BorisVest, early warning signs suggest that BTC may face a brief correction. The analyst noted that if momentum doesn’t pick up soon, Bitcoin could struggle to maintain its bullish trajectory. Binance taker buy/sell volume has shown a noticeable spike in aggressive buy orders – usually a bullish signa…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
After a disappointing performance during the week, the price of Bitcoin has continued its sluggish action over the weekend. According to data from CoinGecko, the premier cryptocurrency has been hovering around the $102,000 level over the past 24 hours. While this current choppy price action seems like an improvement from the severe downturn witnessed in recent days, it doesn’t particularly bring calm to the world’s largest cryptocurrency. Interestingly, the latest on-chain data suggests that the Bitcoin price might still be at risk of further correction in the coming days. Why BTC Price Might Find Bottom Around $95,000 In a November 8 post on the social media platform X…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
According to the latest on-chain data, Bitcoin has been witnessing an interesting change in its holder behavior, further intensifying the bullish speculation in the market. Bitcoin UTXO Count Declines As Price Surges In a Quicktake post on CryptoQuant, market analyst CryptoOnchain revealed that long-term Bitcoin investors seem to be changing their investment strategy by increasingly holding on to their coins. This on-chain observation is based on the Bitcoin UTXO Count metric, which tracks the total number of individual unspent transaction outputs on the blockchain. For context, an unspent transaction output is an amount of a cryptocurrency (in this case, Bitcoin) th…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Bitcoin price corrected losses and traded above the $114,000 level. BTC is now struggling and might face hurdles near the $116,000 level. Bitcoin started a recovery wave above the $113,500 resistance level. The price is trading below $116,000 and the 100 hourly Simple moving average. There is a bearish trend line forming with resistance at $119,500 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken). The pair might continue to move down if it trades below the $113,500 zone. Bitcoin Price Starts Recovery Bitcoin price started a recovery wave after a massive liquidation event below $110,000. BTC recovered above the $111,500 and $112,000 resistance levels. Th…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Bitcoin’s latest market pullback has pushed its MVRV ratio back into a critical zone that has historically been associated with macro correction lows and early-stage recovery setups. The MVRV metric now reflects a valuation reset similar to the conditions that preceded major rebound phases in prior cycles. Why The Reset Reinforces Bitcoin Value Proposition The crypto bearish performance echoes through the Bitcoin community as the Market Value to Realized Value (MVRV) ratio dips into the critical 1.8 to 2.0 range, a zone significant for past cycle corrections where BTC found its footing before initiating a recovery. An ambassador and market expert, BitBull, has revealed o…
Last reply by Ben Graham,
