Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
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The 12-hour Dogecoin chart shared by the analyst Cantonese Cat (@cantonmeow) maps a textbook Adam and Eve double-bottom that has been forming since early August. The left trough (“Adam”) is a sharp V-shaped selloff into the swing low at $0.18864. The second trough (“Eve”) is a broader, rounded base carved through late August and early September, with price repeatedly defending the lower-mid range around the $0.20–$0.21 band that aligns with the 0.136 Fibonacci retracement at $0.19976 and the 0.236 level at $0.20836. How High Can Dogecoin Go Short-Term? In classical charting, an Adam and Eve is a two-stage reversal structure: a fast, vertical capitulation (Adam) followed …
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US Producer Price Index (PPI) ex. Food & Energy August (Core) (YoY): +2.8% vs +3.5% expected, below consensus by -0.7%US Producer Price Index (PPI) ex. Food & Energy August (Core) (MoM): -0.1% vs +0.3% expected, below consensus by -0.4%US Producer Price Index (PPI) August (YoY): 2.6% vs +3.3% expected, below consensus by -0.7%US Producer Price Index (PPI) August (MoM): -0.1% vs +0.3% expected, below consensus by -0.4%US Producer Price Index Report (August 2025): …
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Following years of legal battles, PredictIt is finally approved by the US Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC). Now, the online prediction platform is getting set to go live in the US in October, operating as a designated contract market (DCM) and a derivatives clearing organization (DCO). This way, it’ll be able to expand into broader, more liquid markets with much greater regulatory clarity. With ambitious plans to operate ‘beyond politics,’ it might follow the likes of Polymarket – the largest online prediction platform – and include crypto bets. When considering the US’ current crypto-friendly stance under Trump, this wouldn’t come as a surprise. Say that ha…
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Bitcoin is once again at a decisive moment after several days of tight consolidation around the $110K level. Bulls are making an effort to defend this critical support, while also eyeing the $113K resistance as the next key barrier. A breakout above it could provide the momentum needed for BTC to retest higher supply zones and reignite bullish sentiment. However, the market remains fragile, with volatility and fear weighing heavily on investor confidence. Top analyst Axel Adler provided important context from the derivatives market. According to Adler, the Bitcoin Futures Pressure Score currently stands at 18%, which is considered low to moderate and closer to the neutr…
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US economy shows signs of recessionThe US economy is showing early signs of a recession amid a cooling labor market and a record negative revision to employment data. However, investors continue to respond optimistically to monetary and fiscal stimulus, supporting stock market growth. Analysts warn that prolonged labor market weakness could trigger a deeper decline in business activity. Follow the link for more details. US stock indices at record highsUS stock indices reached new all-time highs on expectations of Fed rate cuts due to labor market weakness. Investors are closely watching upcoming inflation data, which could influence the regulator's decisions. Marke…
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Rio Tinto (ASX, LON: RIO) and its partners in Guinea’s Simandou iron ore project have reportedly secured corporate tax concessions worth more than half off the standard rate for key parts of their $23.5 -billion development, regulatory filings show. Guinea’s ruling junta has approved a 15% corporate tax rate for the first 17 years of operations at the railway and port that will transport Simandou ore to global markets, the Australian Financial Review reports. That is well below Guinea’s usual 35% rate and less than half the 30% paid by major firms in Australia. News of the deal come just days after the government signalled Rio Tinto may be required to build a loca…
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ECB likely on hold; markets fully priced for no move.Headline inflation path could edge up; expectations ticked to 2.5%.Activity improving (PMI > 50); base case remains status quo at a 2% deposit rate.Baseline for Thursday: hold The European Central Bank will likely keep interest rates unchanged this Thursday and leave them at their current levels. The setup is favorable: inflation now appears closer to the 2% target than the ECB’s earlier assumptions suggested, and growth prospects are gradually improving. In such conditions, policymakers can feel comfortable with the deposit rate at 2%. Market pricing and messaging Markets do not expect a cut on Thursday. In a …
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Stablecoin issuance is a lucrative business, and in 2025, Hyperliquid, a leading decentralized derivatives trading platform generating at least $400 billion in trading volume, is set to launch its platform-specific stablecoin. While Circle’s USDC holds a larger market share, powering popular trading pairs like HYPE USDC, Hyperliquid believes a native stablecoin could funnel profits to HYPE crypto holders. According to Coingecko, the total stablecoin market cap exceeds $290 billion. USDT leads, commanding nearly 50% of the market with over $169 billion in circulation, primarily on Tron and Ethereum. USDC, the second largest, has issued over $72 billion, with a major prese…
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The Australian dollar continues to hover around the 0.66 level and close to three-week highs. In the European session, AUD/USD is trading at 0.6604, up 0.30% on the day. Inflation expectations expected to remain at 3.9% The Reserve Bank of Australia will be keeping a close eye on Thursday's consumer inflation expectations, which is expected to remain unchanged in September at 3.9%. Inflation expectations fell in August to 3.9% from 4.7%, the lowest level since March. With inflation largely under control, the Reserve Bank has continued its easing cycle, lowering rates in August to 3.6%, the lowest level since April 2023. At the meeting, the RBA signaled that it would c…
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GameStop is making big moves. The video game retailer reported a narrower loss for Q2, and it’s all thanks to a bold new Bitcoin strategy. While revenue still dipped a bit, the company’s holdings of 4710 $BTC gave its balance sheet a massive boost with a valuation of over half a billion dollars. This is a shift in how GameStop operates. Under Chairman Ryan Cohen, the company is reshaping its entire financial playbook. They’ve sold off international units and raised cash through a big bond sale. Now they’re joining a small yet growing club of publicly traded companies that have diversified into digital assets. GameStop announced a unique dividend in the form of warra…
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The crypto market is flashing green today, and Solana crypto is front and center. With Bitcoin hovering around $112K and Ethereum getting steady above $4,300, Solana has reclaimed a massive $120 billion crypto market cap after a 20% jump in a month. Solana current rally is depegging from majors altcoins like ETH and is showing strong momentum, catapulting it 10% above $200, putting it just 20% below ATH. (source – SOL/USD, TradingView) People are now bullish on Solana likely due to its impressive revenue generation, which saw it generates $1.25 billion so far this 2025. This growth has solidified its standing as one of the top crypto performers no doubt. (source –…
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Canada’s newest altcoin exchange-traded funds have raced to category leadership, with the Solana-focused SOLQ crossing C$300 million in assets under management (AUM) and the XRP-focused XRPQ topping C$150 million, according to a Tuesday announcement. The issuer said both funds now hold the largest AUM in their respective categories among Canadian peers, underscoring a sharp acceleration in institutional and retail demand for regulated exposure to Solana and XRP. Investor Demand Surges For 3iQ’s SOL And XRP ETFs SOLQ, a Toronto Stock Exchange–listed Solana staking ETF that debuted in April, benefited from marquee early allocations. The firm disclosed a lead investment fro…
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Overview: The US dollar is trading quietly today, ahead of the August PPI, though with a weaker bias against most of the G10 currencies. The yen and Canadian dollar are the laggards. Two news developments are among the talking points. First, a federal judge temporarily blocked President Trump's attempt to remove Federal Reserve Governor Cook. Barring a new ruling, she will vote at next week's FOMC meeting. Most likely, so will Miran, as he will likely be confirmed shortly. The Fed funds futures are discounting about a 1-in-8 chance of a 50 bp cut. It was around a 1-in-12 chance after the employment data before the weekend. Second, tensions are elevated after Poland shot d…
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On Tuesday, the EUR/USD pair turned in favor of the U.S. dollar, falling short of the 1.1789 level by just 8 points. Subsequently, the pair declined to the 76.4% Fibonacci level – 1.1695. A rebound from this level would favor the euro and a resumption of growth toward the resistance zone of 1.1789–1.1802. A close below 1.1695 would favor the U.S. dollar and further decline toward the support zone of 1.1637–1.1645. The wave picture on the hourly chart remains simple and clear. The last completed upward wave broke the previous peak, while the last downward wave did not break the prior low. Thus, the trend is currently "bullish," though not very strong or confident. Recen…
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On the hourly chart, the GBP/USD pair on Tuesday rebounded from the 100.0% Fibonacci retracement level – 1.3587, turned in favor of the U.S. currency, and began a decline toward the 76.4% Fibonacci level – 1.3482. Today, the pair is stuck between two important levels, so the formation of new signals will depend on which direction the price moves during the day. The wave situation continues shifting toward "bullish." The last completed downward wave broke through two previous lows, while the new upward wave broke through the last two peaks. Thus, it can currently be considered that a new "bullish" trend is starting after more than two months of bearish dominance. That d…
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Investors await key inflation figures on Wednesday and Thursday. S&P 500 +0.27%, Nasdaq +0.37%, Dow +0.43%. Nebius surged sharply after a $17.4 billion deal with Microsoft. UnitedHealth sees entry into the Medicare program list with the highest rating. Albemarle declined on concerns over reduced lithium supply. Markets gain ahead of key inflation dataOn Tuesday, the global MSCI equity index advanced, the dollar strengthened, and US Treasury yields moved higher. Investors are cautiously awaiting fresh inflation statistics against the backdrop of revised labor indicators in the US economy. US labor market proves weaker than expectedThe US Department of Labor reported…
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Markets climb ahead of crucial inflation reportOn Tuesday, the MSCI global equity index edged higher, the US dollar strengthened, and Treasury yields moved upward as investors awaited key inflation figures. The cautious optimism followed a significant revision of US employment statistics. Labor market growth revised downwardThe US Department of Labor announced that for the 12 months ending in March, the economy generated 911 thousand fewer jobs than previously estimated. Analysts note that the slowdown in hiring began even before President Donald Trump introduced aggressive import tariffs. Wall Street sets new highsAll three major Wall Street benchmarks closed in positive…
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SOL Strategies, a leading Canadian firm with a Solana treasury and validator operations, has become the first Solana-centric enterprise to debut on the Nasdaq. The stock will be listed under the ticker ‘STKE’ as of September 9, 2025. Leah Wald and other crypto analysts posted sentiments on X, claiming that this move ‘validates the Solana ecosystem.’This is an exciting milestone for crypto investors, as it accomplishes two goals simultaneously. It not only bridges traditional finance with the decentralized Solana ecosystem but also offers institutional validation for Solana’s infrastructure. The Nasdaq listing could drive increased institutional inflows and higher total …
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Yesterday, reports emerged that a judge blocked President Donald Trump from removing Federal Reserve Chair Lisa Cook, allowing her to remain in office while she defends against the president's attempts to dismiss her over allegations of mortgage fraud. This court decision marked an important milestone in the fight to protect the Fed's independence and its ability to make decisions without political interference. Trump's attempts to oust Lisa Cook sparked serious concerns in financial circles and among economists, who warned of potential negative consequences for the U.S. economy. Removing the Fed Chair for political reasons could undermine confidence in the central bank …
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Yesterday, President Donald Trump told European officials that he was prepared to impose large-scale new tariffs on India and China to push President Vladimir Putin to the negotiating table with Ukraine—but only if EU countries did the same. According to media reports, Trump made this request when he invited senior U.S. and EU officials to a meeting in Washington. The U.S. is expected to introduce tariffs, but only on the condition that Europe imposes similar measures. This proposal posed a challenge, given that a number of countries, including Hungary, had previously blocked stricter EU sanctions targeting Russia's energy sector. Such measures would require the backing …
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Recently, the price of gold has received substantial support based on two main factors. First, the anticipated reduction of interest rates by the Federal Reserve would weaken the US dollar. The second factor is the ongoing global tensions, which threaten to escalate into a major conflict. These factors could spark a renewed rise in the price of the "yellow" metal, pushing it first to the recent high of 3672.42, and then to a new all-time level at 3682.00. From a technical perspective, the pair is testing the resistance level at 3644.00; breaking above this level could provide grounds for further price growth. Technical picture and trading idea: The price is above the mi…
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The Bitcoin bull cycles have always been similar in the fact that each one has always ended with the Bitcoin price multiples higher than the previous high. While the digital asset has hit new all-time highs this cycle, it is far from being multiples of the previous all-time high, and has yet to hit the 2x mark. However, with a lot of similarities popping up between this cycle and what was seen in 2017, there is still the possibility that the Bitcoin price will run higher from here. Bitcoin Price Mirroring 2021 Cycle Moves Crypto analyst Merlijn The Trader took to X (formerly Twitter) to share some similarities that they noticed between the current Bitcoin price trend and…
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BTC ▲0.49% kicked off the day trading just above $112,000, with ETH ▲0.73% crossing $4,300. In addition to price action, news on the SEC has triggered discussion on privacy and how it will affect crypto. A change in regulatory tone is taking shape, and markets are now paying attention. BitcoinPriceMarket CapBTC$2.24T24h7d30d1yAll time There has been news on chatter around the SEC lately, especially with signs that crypto regulators potentially can ease up on privacy-related issues, something many in the space have been hoping for. With altcoins like SOL ▲1.23% rallying, the optimism seems to be spreading for altcoins season. (source – SOL/USD TradingView) DISCOVER: Ne…
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The dollar has stabilized ahead of the release of important US inflation data, starting today with the producer price inflation (PPI) report, and to be followed tomorrow by consumer inflation figures (CPI). How might these affect the dollar and the financial markets overall? Recall that the market already has well-founded expectations that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates in response to the extremely challenging situation in the labor market. It is assumed that the key rate will be cut by 0.25% as a matter of course, but there remains a significant probability—currently at 8%—of a 0.50% cut. For the most part, a 0.25% cut is already priced into the value of US …
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Trend Analysis (Fig. 1). On Wednesday, the market may start moving upward from the 1.1707 level (yesterday's daily close) toward the target at 1.1742 – upper fractal (blue dotted line). Upon testing this level, the price may continue rising toward 1.1788 – upper fractal (yellow dotted line). Fig. 1 (daily chart). Comprehensive Analysis: Indicator analysis – upward;Fibonacci levels – upward;Volumes – upward;Candlestick analysis – downward;Trend analysis – upward;Bollinger Bands – upward;Weekly chart – upward.Overall conclusion: upward trend. Alternative scenario: from the 1.1707 level (yesterday's daily close), the price may start moving upward toward 1.1742 – upper fra…
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