Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
12122 tópicos neste fórum
-
Bitcoin has tumbled more than 30% from its all-time high of $126k and is trading around $85,500 after briefly falling to $82K, according to market reports. Traders warn that recent moves by long-term holders are changing how the market reacts to stress. Liquidity has thinned, and that makes price swings larger than usual. Schiff Issues A Stark Warning According to gold investor Peter Schiff, Bitcoin is “finally having its IPO moment.” He said that when veteran holders turn into sellers, supply at the top of the market rises and future selloffs can become deeper. “This much Bitcoin moving from strong to weak hands not only increases the float, but also means future sell…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Bitcoin surged to a fresh all-time high of $124,500 just hours ago, but the celebration was short-lived as the price quickly retraced to the $121,500 level. The sudden pullback has split market opinion: some analysts interpret the drop as a sign of waning momentum, while others see it as a healthy pause before another breakout attempt. Adding to the intrigue, key data from CryptoQuant reveals that BTC volatility — measured by the 30-day Price High & Low metric — has compressed to its lowest point in two years. This metric tracks the range between Bitcoin’s rolling 30-day high and low, and its current tight squeeze suggests a rare balance between supply and demand. L…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Bitcoin’s volatility just hit its lowest point since September 2023. This event could be a signal that a major shift in Bitcoin and crypto market conditions is unfolding. According to the BVIV index by Volmex, Bitcoin’s 30-day implied volatility fell to a low of 36.11%. These levels haven’t been seen since September 30, 2023, back when BTC was trading below $30,000. And then, it was just days away from aggressively breaking out to the upside. Fast forward to today: Bitcoin is holding strong well above $114K, and yet, volatility has all but collapsed. This divergence is a big deal: it suggests that $BTC is starting to behave more like a TradFi asset, where bull runs are…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Following the steep corrections seen in late July, the Bitcoin market made a modest recovery in the past week, rising by 2.73% according to data from CoinMarketCap. However, another rejection amidst this price resurgence forces the premier cryptocurrency to now trade within the $116,000 price region. While the crypto market awaits the token’s next move, cumulative trading activity signals potential for a major price surge to a new all-time high. Golden Ratio In Sight: Bitcoin Targets $131K After Volume Shelf Hold In an X post on August 8, popular financial market analyst Donald Dean shares an interesting bullish price prediction on the Bitcoin market. Based on the exis…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Amid the chaos that was sparked by Israel’s attack on Iran, Bitcoin has climbed again, shaking off the losses triggered by the conflict. Not only has the price seen an increase from its last week’s lows, but there has also been a notable change in the cryptocurrency’s daily trading volume. This points to continued interest despite global factors and could mean that the expectations of war are already getting priced in for the crypto market. Bitcoin Sees Almost 100% Jump In Volume According to data from Coinglass, there has been a turn in the tide for the Bitcoin trading volume after starting out the new week in a slow trend. Sunday and Monday had seen the Bitcoin daily t…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
A key long-term indicator comparing Bitcoin to gold has just triggered a signal not seen before in market history. Analysts say such extreme compression typically precedes violent directional moves, and the fact that it’s happening at the intersection of two global safe-haven assets makes the setup even more significant. With BTC outperforming gold for over a decade, this rare signal suggests that the next phase of the BTC vs Gold battle could rewrite long-term market expectations. What Happens After A Historic Squeeze? The Bitcoin versus Gold monthly Bollinger Bands are expanding from the tightest reading in history. A chartered market technician and Bitcoin trader, Ton…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Bill Barhydt, the founder and chief executive of crypto-banking platform Abra, set Crypto-X alight over the weekend by reposting a collage of global M2-versus-Bitcoin charts first popularised by macro investor Raoul Pal and researcher Julien Bittel. “I’ve seen over a dozen posts with different versions of the global liquidity M2 vs Bitcoin price chart – I’ve attached several here. Credit @RaoulGMI and his colleague @BittelJulien for discovering the trend,” he wrote. “Most of these charts predict a dip over the coming days to around $100 k and then a move to new ATH of $130 k in August/September … Or this could all be horseshit. Whatever.” Will Bitcoin Follow M2? Expand…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Stany Zjednoczone oficjalnie rozpoczęły budowę Rezerwy Strategicznej Bitcoina, a Bitcoin Hyper($HYPER) wspiera rozwój warstwy drugiej króla kryptowalut. Nowa struktura powstała z inicjatywy administracji Donalda Trumpa, która zdecydowała się wykorzystać skonfiskowane środki w celu zabezpieczenia cyfrowych aktywów. Ten ruch nie wynika z przypadku. Z danych udostępnionych przez Gemini i Glassnode wynika, że ponad 30% całkowitej podaży BTC znajduje się w rękach scentralizowanych podmiotów. Wśród nich są fundusze ETF, giełdy kryptowalut, przedsiębiorstwa oraz rządy. W raporcie podkreślono, że zaangażowanie instytucji publicznych może mieć istotny wpływ na rozwój rynku. Każ…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
As Bitcoin (BTC) retreats from its recent all-time high (ATH) of $111,814 – currently trading in the mid-$100,000 range – emerging on-chain data signals that the cryptocurrency’s strong momentum over the past month may be waning. Deeper Correction Ahead For Bitcoin? According to a recent CryptoQuant Quicktake post by contributor Amr Taha, the Bitcoin market is undergoing several notable on-chain shifts. These include significant stablecoin outflows from Binance, a decline in long-term holder (LTH) participation, and diverging accumulation patterns among wallet cohorts. One of the most striking indicators is the net outflow of over $1 billion in stablecoins from Binance…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Global Macro Investor (GMI) head of macro research Julien Bittel posted a bitcoin “oversold RSI” roadmap on X, arguing the market has tracked it closely and tying the setup to a broader view that the cycle could run into 2026—an outlook he says would render the traditional “four-year cycle” framework obsolete. “A lot of people have been asking for an update on this chart, so I’ll just leave this here for anyone who needs to see it,” Bittel wrote, sharing a chart of bitcoin’s average price path after RSI falls below 30, with the RSI breach marked as t=0. “This shows the average BTC trajectory following an oversold RSI reading, with RSI falling below 30 at t=0.” Can Bitco…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Bitcoin (BTC) witnessed a slight surge earlier today, climbing from $113,000 to around $117,000 at the time of writing, in contrast to expectations of several crypto analysts who were predicting a decline in risk-on assets due to the US government shutdown. Bitcoin Rises Despite US Government Shutdown The US federal government shut down at midnight on September 30, as President Donald Trump and Congress failed to reach a deal on funding. Specifically, the two camps were at odds over enhanced Obamacare subsidies, with neither party willing to take the blame. However, Bitcoin made a surprise move to the upside despite the uncertain environment created by the US governme…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
As Bitcoin (BTC) stalls near the $113,000 level, Ethereum (ETH) continues to show strength, highlighting a clear divergence in price action between the top two cryptocurrencies by market cap. This contrast has some investors considering a rotation from BTC into ETH to capture the latter’s bullish momentum. Bitcoin Shows Correction Risks – Is ETH Safe? According to a CryptoQuant Quicktake post by contributor XWIN Research Japan, on-chain data reveals underlying weakness in BTC price action. By contrast, ETH is displaying notable resilience even as broader crypto market momentum fades. Currently, Bitcoin’s exchange reserves are hovering around 2.53 million BTC, showing l…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Bitcoin is making waves once again, flashing strength on the weekly chart as it closes well above key moving averages. With momentum indicators still favoring the bulls and no signs of exhaustion in sight, the current setup hints that the rally might be far from over. Could this be the beginning of an even bigger breakout? Bitcoin Stays Elevated: Bulls Show No Signs of Fatigue In a recent update shared on X, Shaco AI highlighted Bitcoin’s continued bullish momentum, pointing to strong weekly performance on the BTC/USDT chart. The analyst noted that BTC has “ballooned past recent expectations,” closing the week at an impressive $105,700. This places the asset well above…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Bitcoin heads into the new week with a clean catalyst: the White House’s tariff brinkmanship with China and a market structure that just absorbed the largest crypto liquidation on record. Markets have marched through the tariff cycle almost beat-for-beat, and as of Monday we are squarely at Step 8 of The Kobeissi Letter’s template: the post-open reassurance from Treasury. The sequence since late week ties cleanly to the blueprint Kobeissi published after “10 months analyzing EVERY single tariff development,” which it summarized as an “EXACT playbook for investors.” Bitcoin Weekly Preview In their words: “1) Trump puts out cryptic post… 2) Trump announces large tariff ra…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Bitcoin’s weekly chart shows promising signs of strength as the RSI continues to climb, hinting at the potential for further upside. However, the battle isn’t over yet. With price hovering near the critical $107,000 support, bulls must defend this level to prevent deeper downside pressure. RSI And Price Alignment: A Textbook Case Of Momentum Confirmation In a recent market update, EGRAG CRYPTO questioned whether the bulls and bears are even analyzing the same chart, as the current macro weekly structure of Bitcoin shows no signs of bearishness. The broader setup remains firmly bullish, suggesting that the ongoing price movements are part of a healthy uptrend. The analy…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Bitcoin fell below $90,000 this week for the first time in seven months, and big transfers have surged. According to Santiment, more than 102,000 transactions above $100,000 and roughly 29,000 transactions above $1 million were recorded over the recent stretch — a level that could make this the most active whale week of 2025. Whale Counts Climb As Small Holders Fall Back Based on Glassnode figures, the number of addresses holding at least 1,000 BTC rose to 1,384 from 1,354 about three weeks earlier, a 2.2% rise and the highest count in four months. At the same time, wallets with one BTC or less slipped to about 977,420 from 980,577 late in October, showing smaller hol…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Bitcoin began October on a strong bullish note, gaining by over 12% to establish a new all-time-high price around $126,100. However, the recent days have presented a troubling amount of selling pressure, especially in the last few hours due to tariff threats from the United States’ President Donald Trump. Amidst this highly volatile environment, on-chain data has also surfaced, highlighting market whales’ confidence in the market. Bitcoin Whales Are Holding Their Ground In a QuickTake post on the CryptoQuant platform, a market analyst with the username PelinayPA revealed that there is very little exchange activity among the Bitcoin whales despite the recent fall in Bit…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
As Bitcoin (BTC) reels amidst escalating geopolitical tensions between Israel and Iran – dropping from $110,530 on June 9 to just above $106,900 today – concerns are mounting that BTC’s upward momentum may have stalled. However, on-chain data suggests that both Bitcoin whales and retail investors still anticipate further upside for the leading cryptocurrency. Bitcoin Whale And Retail Inflows To Binance Tumble According to a recent CryptoQuant Quicktake post by contributor Darkfost, Bitcoin inflows to Binance crypto exchange from two distinct cohorts – whales and retail investors – have fallen to their lowest levels in the current market cycle. Darkfost shared the follo…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
A long-dormant Bitcoin stash moved into an exchange this week, renewing worries about old coins re-entering the market and the effect that could have on prices. Mt. Gox Origins And Staggering Returns According to blockchain tracker Lookonchain, a cluster of addresses tied to coins pulled from Mt. Gox more than 13 years ago sent 300 BTC to Binance in a single transaction. Those coins were reportedly bought at about $11 each, meaning the original outlay was roughly $8,151. The transfer is now worth about $33.47 million, a mark-up of roughly 410,624%. Reports have disclosed that about 590 BTC still remain in the same group of addresses. Wallet Activity And What Chang…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Based on reports, a long-dormant Bitcoin whale made a surprise move this week, snapping up 250 BTC for about $26.37 million. It’s the first time this wallet has shown activity in two years. The purchase has stirred talk among traders and on-chain analysts alike. Some see it as a sign that big players are getting ready for more action in the weeks ahead. Whale Returns After Two Years According to Lookonchain data, the same whale pulled 500 BTC out of Gemini back in 2022 when Bitcoin was trading near $27,400, a move worth nearly $14 million at the time. Now, with BTC hovering around $105,000, the whale’s holdings sit on an unrealized gain of over $39 million. That kind …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Bitcoin continues to hover around the $112,500 level, with volatility persisting across the market following last week’s historic crash. According to on-chain data, short-term holders (STHs) remain under heavy pressure, showing clear signs of panic. The STH realized price, a metric that tracks the average cost basis of recent buyers, indicates that many traders are still reacting emotionally to price fluctuations. The latest liquidation event seems to have deeply impacted market sentiment — even a small pullback yesterday was enough to trigger another wave of panic selling. Yet, while some investors capitulate, others are seizing the opportunity. The famous Bitcoin OG w…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
A long-dormant Bitcoin “OG” has been rotating billions of dollars’ worth of BTC into ETH over the past two weeks, executing the bulk of the trades on Hyperliquid and withdrawing large tranches of ETH to self-custody—before staking a significant portion on the Beacon Chain. Bitcoin OG Whale Still Rotates Into ETH On-chain sleuth “MLM” has chronicled the flows in real time. In the most recent 46-hour window, the address cluster associated with the trader sold 7,000 BTC (≈$759 million at reference prices used by MLM) and bought 171,791.84 ETH (≈$773 million). MLM added that 3,000 BTC remained in the actively used source address—likely earmarked for further rotation—while t…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Over the past week, the Bitcoin (BTC) market recorded a new all-time high at $123,091 on July 14. However, the premier cryptocurrency has experienced a slight price retracement since reaching this milestone. Interestingly, this fall in Bitcoin market prices has collided with a widespread gain in the altcoin market, with specific large-cap tokens notching up remarkable gains. 7-Day SMA Bitcoin Whale Exchange Transfers Near 12,000 BTC – Glassnode In an X post of July 18, prominent blockchain analytics firm Glassnode shares a profound on-chain insight on the Bitcoin market, stating that the volume of whale transfers to exchanges is presently on the rise. Notably, this deve…
-
Bitcoin and Ethereum rose after US President Donald Trump confirmed a meeting with China’s leader during the APEC summit on October 31. Based on reports, Bitcoin climbed nearly 4% while Ethereum gained about 5% and traded around $4,030. The whole market added roughly $100 billion in value in a short window, according to market watchers. Insider Whale Bets And Mixed Positions Reports have disclosed that an insider whale opened $255 million in long positions across Bitcoin and Ethereum. At the same time, the same trader put on a $76 million short on Bitcoin with 10x leverage. The moves look like a bet on swings in price rather than a single directional stake. Observers n…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Bitcoin continues to trade within a tight range, consolidating above the $115,000 level and just below the key psychological barrier at $120,000. While the price structure remains bullish, market analysts are increasingly divided. Some expect Bitcoin to break higher toward uncharted territory, while others warn of an incoming correction, citing historical patterns and profit-taking behaviors. Adding weight to the cautionary outlook, new data from CryptoQuant reveals a significant spike in whale activity. The Whale to Exchange Flow monthly average has surged by nearly $17 billion in just four days. This kind of jump historically coincides with either profit realization o…
Last reply by Ben Graham,
