Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
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On-chain data shows a Cardano whale has made a massive withdrawal from Coinbase, a sign that may be bullish for the ADA price. Cardano Whale Has Withdrawn Big From Coinbase According to data from cryptocurrency transaction tracker service Whale Alert, a large transfer has been spotted on the Cardano blockchain during the past day. The move in question involved the shifting of about 67.8 million ADA across the network, worth over $54.3 million at the time that the sender executed the transaction. Considering the significant scale of the transfer, it’s likely that a whale entity was responsible for it. Whales are big-money investors who carry large amounts in their walle…
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US- based Momentum Technologies announced Monday it has proven its ability to deliver commercial-quality battery materials at scale. The company said its demonstration unit in Carrollton, Texas has achieved commercial-grade purity and yield within the first year of the facility’s opening, marking a milestone in the company’s scale-up journey from pilot-scale operations to full commercial readiness. Momentum said its proprietary Membrane Solvent Extraction (MSX) technology represents the culmination of a systematic scale-up process that began with pilot-scale validation and has now been proven at demonstration scale. The company said it has consistently produ…
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Hedera’s HBAR declined about 1.6% for the day to hover near $0.211, but the overall outlook into “Uptober” remains positive. Momentum is supported by increasing ETF optimism, with new trust and ETF discussions bringing HBAR into the same conversation as large-cap altcoins, along with renewed engagement from SWIFT. Hedera Makes Global Partnerships Hedera representatives participated with SWIFT, Citi, and Germany’s Bundesbank on a Sibos panel to discuss digital-currency interoperability, highlighting Hedera’s role in real-world finance. Meanwhile, Wyoming’s Frontier Stablecoin pilot, which selects HBAR for low-cost, high-speed settlement, continues to validate Hedera’s …
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Bitcoin price started a recovery wave and traded above $114,200. BTC is now consolidating gains and facing hurdles near $114,750. Bitcoin started a fresh recovery wave above the $114,000 zone. The price is trading above $114,000 and the 100 hourly Simple moving average. There is a short-term bullish trend line forming with support at $113,300 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken). The pair might continue to move up if it clears the $114,750 zone. Bitcoin Price Eyes Upside Break Bitcoin price managed to stay above the $112,000 zone and started a recovery wave. BTC settled above the $113,200 resistance zone to start the current move. The bulls …
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Ripple is taking another bold step toward mainstream finance by extending the reach of its Interledger Protocol into the SWIFT network, regarded as the backbone of global payments. By enabling interoperability between two of the most influential payment ecosystems, Ripple is positioning XRP as a key player in the future of international money movement. Could XRP Become A Standard For Settlement? The strategy for mainstream adoption of the XRP Ledger (XRPL) and its native asset, XRP, is intricately linked to the Interledger Protocol (ILP). As highlighted by researcher SMQKE on X, Ripple’s approach is to become an essential part of the Society for Worldwide Interbank Finan…
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EUR/USD 5-Minute Analysis On Tuesday, the EUR/USD pair traded in both directions without establishing a clear directional bias. A significant amount of macroeconomic data was released throughout the day, influencing market sentiment and causing the pair to fluctuate. Key reports included German inflation and unemployment data, as well as the U.S. JOLTS job openings report. Germany's annual inflation rate rose to 2.4%, exceeding forecasts, and unemployment remained unchanged at 6.3%. These can be viewed as relatively solid reports for the euro. Meanwhile, the JOLTs report showed 7.227 million job openings in August, nearly in line with expectations — making the data ne…
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GBP/USD 5-Minute Analysis The GBP/USD currency pair also traded in a "neither here nor there" fashion. While the euro at least attempted to establish some directional movement throughout the day, the British pound didn't offer even that. Nevertheless, the pound managed to remain above the 1.3420 level as well as above the Kijun-sen line of the Ichimoku indicator. Earlier, the price had broken through a descending trend line, indicating that the trend has shifted to being upward. All that's left now is for the upward movement to resume, with hopes that this week's macroeconomic backdrop won't spoil the technical picture. But it very well might. Yesterday's GDP report f…
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The EUR/USD currency pair once again traded calmly on the second trading day of the week. While there was a minor intraday upward bias on Monday, it remained weak, accompanied by low volatility. Now that it's October 1 — and there's a 95% chance the U.S. government will shut down along with all federal agencies — the dollar's reaction to negative news is surprisingly modest. In fact, we would say it isn't reacting at all. Is this justified? Of course not. Even without the shutdown threat, there are already plenty of solid reasons for the dollar to be falling. While the pair has undergone a correction over the last two weeks, the fundamental and macroeconomic backdrop has …
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On Tuesday, the GBP/USD currency pair traded with minimal volatility once again. The looming threat of a U.S. government shutdown had virtually no impact on trader sentiment — but that may not be the real reason. More likely, the market simply isn't willing to take risks right now or open positions that it might seriously regret in a few days. This explains both the low trading activity and the muted volatility. The dollar's position remains as vulnerable as ever. The greenback fell like a stone in early 2025, even as both the European Central Bank and the Bank of England were cutting interest rates. Now, roles have reversed: the ECB and BoE are taking a wait-and-see appr…
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Wisconsin lawmakers have put forward a new bill that could make life a lot easier for people working in crypto. The proposal, called Assembly Bill 471, aims to remove the need for a money transmitter license for certain blockchain-related activities. It’s meant to give a little more freedom to developers, stakers, node operators, and others who help keep crypto networks running behind the scenes. What the Bill Actually Covers This bill would let people accept crypto payments, use self-hosted wallets, or run a node without needing a money transmitter license from the state. It also covers things like creating blockchain software or staking your own crypto. If passed, the …
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Ethereum price started a recovery wave above $4,175. ETH is now consolidating and might aim for more gains if it clears the $4,240 resistance. Ethereum remained stable above $4,100 and started a recovery wave. The price is trading above $4,160 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There is a connecting bullish trend line forming with support at $4,120 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD (data feed via Kraken). The pair could continue to move up if it settles above $4,220 and $4,240. Ethereum Price Eyes Upside Break Ethereum price remained supported above the $4,050 level and started a recovery wave, like Bitcoin. ETH price was able to recover above the $4,150 and $4,200…
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Cardano (ADA) is trading around $0.78–$0.80, struggling beneath a strong resistance at $0.83–$0.85, where the 50/100/200-day EMAs converge. Prediction markets currently assign a 91%–95% chance of U.S. Cardano spot ETF approval, with dates tentatively set for late October 2025. This narrative has helped stabilize sentiment after September’s decline. Bulls believe institutional access could mirror BTC/ETH’s ETF strategy by increasing liquidity and expanding demand. However, options activity remains subdued, and recent long liquidations suggest traders are cautious about chasing gains before a clear breakout. If ADA closes above $0.85, potential upward targets are $0.87 (…
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The SEC and CFTC have finally agreed on something: they need to work together. After years of clashing over who should regulate what in the crypto space, both agencies are now aiming for better coordination. They say the confusion around who’s in charge has gone on for too long and it’s time to bring some order to the chaos. A Joint Roundtable as Starting Point This fresh approach came out of a joint roundtable in Washington, where both sides sat down to talk openly about the mess. SEC Chair Paul Atkins said it’s no longer acceptable for each agency to go off and do its own thing. He pointed out how the lack of coordination causes delays, piles on costs, and makes l…
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The Canadian dollar continues to weaken against the U.S. dollar, with no notable fluctuations, largely due to a relatively steady decline in oil prices (yesterday, -1.50%). The Marlin oscillator has settled in positive territory and is poised to turn upward. A breakout above the resistance level of 1.3958 (the high from September 26) opens the way to the next target at 1.4060. The first sign of a potential alternative (bearish) scenario for the Canadian dollar would be a decline below the 1.3890 level (high from September 11 and yesterday's low). However, a more significant signal would be a break below the 1.3860 level, which would open the path toward 1.3810. On the …
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On the daily chart, the price is approaching the convergence point of the balance indicator line (red) and the MACD line (blue). If today's potential shutdown of the U.S. government does not trigger a spike in demand for anti-dollar currencies (as we expect), the pound may fail to break through this magnetic level at 1.3466. A pullback toward the support level at 1.3364 (June 23 low) is possible. A firm move below this level would open the path toward the target at 1.3253. Meanwhile, the Marlin oscillator shows little optimism and is currently signaling a potential downturn. If the price manages to gain a foothold above the MACD line (1.3466), the next target would be 1…
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At midnight Washington time, the U.S. government will "shut down" due to a failure in Congress to reach an agreement on the continuation of enhanced COVID-era benefits. Employees of 21 federal agencies will be placed on unpaid leave. We believe this shutdown will likely be short-lived, as President Trump has threatened to close down additional Democrat-controlled agencies if "Democratic sabotage of government operations" and "reckless Medicare spending" continue. Over the past week, 154,000 federal employees have left their jobs. If we don't receive the September jobs report on Friday due to the shutdown, that alone may lead investors to view the U.S. labor situation more…
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Algorand just lined up two fresh catalysts: stablecoin liquidity and leadership, giving bulls a clean October narrative to trade. The Algorand Foundation has partnered with cross-chain protocol Allbridge to roll out a dedicated stablecoin bridge for the Algorand network, with the launch set for the fourth quarter of 2025. The new bridge will enable native stablecoins such as USDC to move directly into the Algorand ecosystem from other blockchains using Allbridge Core. The move is expected to improve liquidity and broaden the use of stablecoins across Algorand-based applications. What Does the Allbridge Integration Mean for Algorand Users? According to an official ann…
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A long-silent Bitcoin wallet woke up this week and emptied roughly 400 BTC into several new addresses. According to blockchain trackers, the address sent its coins in multiple transactions, mostly split into batches of 15 BTC. The total value moved is roughly $44 million, based on current prices. Wallet Linked To Early Mining Reports have disclosed that the coins trace back to mining activity from nearly 15 years ago. Lookonchain tied the funds to the early days of Bitcoin, and records show the wallet last moved coins in 2013, when Bitcoin traded near $135 per unit. That price then compared with today’s level — around $111,763 per BTC — means the holding rose by about …
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Gold is trading around 3,865 with a positive bias and could continue its rise in the coming days, reaching +2/8 of the Murray level at 3,906. The bullish trend channel formed since September 18 is favoring a further upward movement. On the H4 chart, we can see that gold, after reaching a high around 3,870 in the last 24 hours, made a strong technical correction until reaching the support of this channel around 3,795. Gold, after reaching a low at the bottom of the bullish trend channel and around the 21SMA, found a strong technical rebound and is now trading at yesterday's high and could continue its rise in the coming hours, reaching 3,881 and 3,906. Technically, gold is…
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Bitcoin is trading around 114,380, bouncing after reaching the key support at 112,500. Bitcoin could continue its climb in the coming days and advance to 5/8 Murray at 115,625, potentially reaching 6/8 Murray at 118,750. On the other hand, if the Bitcoin price falls below the 4/8 Murray pivot point, we could see a strong technical correction during which the price could reach the psychological level of $110,000 and potentially fall to the 3/8 Murray level around $109,375. The H4 chart shows a positive bias for Bitcoin, so the key will be to monitor whether the price remains above 112,500. Therefore, any pullback will be seen as an opportunity to open long positions. The e…
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Early in the European session, the euro is trading around 1.1738, above the 21 SMA and above the 200 EMA. The euro could continue its rise only if it sharply breaks the downtrend channel formed since September 16 and consolidates above 1.1770. Conversely, if the euro falls below 1.1714, a continuation of the downward movement is expected, potentially reaching the 7/8 Murray level around 1.1596. The Eagle indicator is showing positive signals, so we will look for buying opportunities whenever the price consolidates above the 8/8 Murray level. Any pullback will be seen as an opportunity to enter long positions. This week, data releases will bring strong market volatility, s…
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Tuesday Trade Review:1H Chart of EUR/USD On Tuesday, the EUR/USD currency pair continued its upward movement, though the pace throughout the day remained very slow, despite a relatively large number of macroeconomic reports. In Germany alone, reports on retail sales, unemployment, jobless claims, and inflation were released. The data was mixed, but we believe that the inflation figure is currently the most important. In Germany, inflation rose more than forecast, giving grounds to expect a rise in eurozone-wide inflation. Higher inflation across the eurozone makes any new ECB rate cut nearly impossible and even opens up the possibility of future rate hikes. Naturally,…
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Tuesday Trade Review:1H Chart of GBP/USD On Tuesday, the GBP/USD pair was practically motionless. Although the downtrend on the hourly time frame can be considered complete, as the trendline has been broken, traders are hesitant to open new positions. This market standstill is easily explained by caution ahead of major U.S. labor market and unemployment reports scheduled for release on Friday. However, these key reports might not even be published due to the government shutdown, which begins today. To recap, a shutdown is a temporary suspension of government operations and funding due to the absence of an approved budget for the next fiscal year. Until Republicans and…
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Bitcoin (BTC) showed resilience over the last weekend as it defended the crucial $108,000 support level amid heightened whale selling on leading crypto exchanges around the world, including Binance. Bitcoin Survives September Whale Selling Pressure According to a CryptoQuant Quicktake post by contributor Arab Chain, September was marked by clear fluctuations between Bitcoin’s attempts to rally and exposure to selling pressure by whales and long-term holders. Binance trading volume data confirms this. Arab Chain highlighted Binance’s Exchange Inflow Coins Days Destroyed (CDD) indicator, which showed significant volatility throughout September. The indicator recorded mul…
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Macroeconomic Report Analysis: Several macroeconomic reports are scheduled for release on Wednesday. The most important among them are the U.S. ISM Manufacturing PMI and euro area inflation. It's worth noting that although inflation no longer has a major direct impact on ECB monetary policy decisions, a high reading could significantly reduce the likelihood of further rate cuts — and perhaps even increase the chance of future rate hikes. Therefore, high inflation in the eurozone is considered a positive factor for the euro. The ISM Manufacturing PMI is a critical standalone indicator. Also scheduled for release in the U.S. is the ADP employment report. However, trader…
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