Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
11988 tópicos neste fórum
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According to remarks made at Yahoo Finance’s Invest event, Eric Trump told attendees he expects a major shift in how money flows between traditional stores of value and newer digital assets. He said Bitcoin’s fixed supply of 21 million coins and growing institutional buying are key drivers. In a separate interview with Fox Business in late September, he forecasted a long-term price target of $1 million per Bitcoin, a prediction that underscores how bullish his view is. Bitcoin Seen As A Faster Mover Of Value Eric argued that Bitcoin – which he called the “greatest asset” ever – moves value faster and cheaper across borders than metal that must be hauled and locked away…
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Bitcoin news and Ethereum price held steady over the past day as traders kept one eye on price and the other on new policy signals from Washington and London. Bitcoin traded near $95,648, up +0.04%, while Ethereum hovered around $3,168, a small gain of 0.16%. Market Cap 24h 7d 30d 1y All Time Robert Kiyosaki, the author of Rich Dad Poor Dad, told his audience on X that he has no plans to sell his Bitcoin or gold, despite the sharp decline in prices. Bitcoin Price Prediction: Is BTC USD Latest Bearish Crossover Signaling a Deeper Correction Ahead? B…
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The price of Bitcoin has struggled around the $95,000 mark after showing some early-weekend strength on Saturday, November 15. According to a prominent analyst on the social media platform X, the premier cryptocurrency seems to be showing signs of a potential rebound in the coming days. BTC Price To Return To $110,000? In a November 15 post on X, market analyst Burak Kesmeci shared that the price of Bitcoin is showing signs of recovery based on different technical indicators. In his analysis, Kesmeci fiddled with the possibility of BTC rising to $110,000 and the risk of falling to $85,000. Firstly, Kesmeci analyzed the Bitcoin fear (VIX) score, a technical indicator tha…
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Alphabet (Nasdaq: GOOGL) CEO Sundar Pichai gave a light, indirect response to the growing discussion about Gemini 3, Google’s next major language model – and it had major implications for predictions markets on Polymarket. The comment came as speculation intensified on Polymarket, where traders now estimate a 69% chance that Google will launch the model on November 22. His short reply signals that he is holding back on details, likely to avoid adding to the growing hype. Still, the upcoming release matters for Google. The company is under pressure to narrow the distance between itself and firms that currently lead the AI field, especially OpenAI. The wider indust…
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According to market reports, Bitcoin fell sharply this week and pushed the Crypto Fear & Greed Index down to 10, a level tied to extreme fear. Investors and traders are asking whether this marks the bottom of the cycle or just another step lower in a run that has already seen a 25% correction. Extreme Fear Hits Crypto Markets Retail panic has been clear. Funding rates on some derivatives desks have turned negative, and newer entrants to the market are showing signs of stress. Based on reports, large parts of the investor base are worried. That worry is visible in price action and in sentiment gauges that sit at the lower end of their historical ranges. Some trade…
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A significant event occurred that market participants seemingly ignored, judging by their reaction. However, this event will undoubtedly be taken into account. The longest government "shutdown" in U.S. history has come to an end. It lasted 43 days, and ironically, before the "shutdown" ended, the market was already talking about a new "shutdown" planned for early February. During all 43 days, Republicans and Democrats unsuccessfully tried to agree on funding for social and medical programs that Donald Trump had decided to cut. Democrats insisted on maintaining all programs at full funding, while Republicans demanded approval of funding for the upcoming year and only then …
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Stephen Miran, a key "protege" of Donald Trump within the Federal Reserve, stated on Friday that the central bank must reduce the interest rate by 50 basis points in December. He warned that failure to do so would lead to an economic slowdown. Miran does not take into account that the economy could be slowing not because of the Fed's inaction, but because of the White House's new immigration and trade policies. It would be more logical to slightly adjust the policies themselves rather than demand that the Fed tries to sit on two chairs at once. It is worth remembering that the Fed continues to oscillate between two fires. To prevent the labor market from "cooling," a redu…
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Federal Reserve Governor Stephen Miran also stated that the central bank should not focus solely on current indicators. He believes that actions should be based on the conditions expected in 12-18 months, as this is how long it takes for changes in monetary policy to fully manifest in the economy. If rates are lowered too slowly now, tightening will be necessary in a year or a year and a half. Miran also reported that current data already indicates a slowdown in inflation, which should prompt the FOMC committee to adopt a more "dovish" stance at the December meeting. Meanwhile, the likelihood of a third consecutive round of easing in December has decreased to 44%, accordi…
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The upcoming week promises to be relatively dull. Despite the end of the "shutdown" in the U.S., there hasn't been an influx of economic data into the market, and all three meetings of the Federal Reserve, European Central Bank, and Bank of England have taken place fairly recently. Consequently, only secondary information may come to the market. It is worth noting that in recent months, market activity has been low, and without strong news, it is unlikely to increase significantly. Therefore, the euro and the pound can expect to continue their upward movement, as suggested by wave analysis. However, expecting a rapid increase in these instruments is not realistic. In the …
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The new week promises new challenges for the British pound. The UK will be the country where several important reports are released, potentially altering the market's perceptions of the Bank of England's monetary policy. The key report of the week will undoubtedly be the inflation report. It is worth recalling that the consumer price index in Britain has been rising for over a year, but the previous report showed a "status quo," and the new report may indicate a slowdown to 3.6%–3.7% year-on-year. The BoE stated at its last meeting that it expects inflation to slow over the coming years and to return to the 2% target. Therefore, if inflation resumes its movement toward th…
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Looking at the event calendar for the upcoming week for the U.S. dollar, one might get the impression that the "shutdown" is still ongoing. At least, no news has been added to the calendar following its official conclusion. Undoubtedly, the Bureau of Statistics will require considerable time to resume operations and gather all necessary data to compile missing and future reports. However, this does not alleviate the situation for market participants. The most interesting event of the coming week will be the FOMC minutes, commonly referred to as the "FOMC minutes." I label this event as "the most important" (though it is not truly so) because the remaining reports and even…
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From a technical perspective, Friday's decline below the horizontal support at $4,150, followed by subsequent downward movement and a close below the round level of $4,100, became a new trigger for the bears. However, it's worth noting that the oscillators on the daily chart have not yet moved into negative territory, indicating that the bulls are not ready to give up. Therefore, this requires caution on the part of the bears. The nearest support remains at $4,075, where the 14-day EMA is located. Following that, the zone around $4,030-$4,020 will help protect against a decline toward the round level of $4,000. After that, the XAU/USD pair will accelerate its decline towa…
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Before the weekend, the USD/JPY pair regained some of its earlier losses, rising to levels close to twelve-month highs amid a strengthening dollar. Market sentiment in the U.S. improved after the temporary government shutdown was partially resolved, though cautious sentiment persists amid uncertainty over the release of delayed economic data following the record-long government shutdown. \ According to U.S. Labor Secretary Lori Chavez-DeRemer, the situation regarding the release of inflation data remains uncertain, as the Bureau of Labor Statistics has been unable to fully gather data on the Consumer Price Index (CPI) for October. This report may never be published. How…
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The upcoming week promises to be informative and, consequently, volatile. The shutdown has ended, allowing the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) to publish official macroeconomic statistics as data becomes available. Since October 1, when the American government was suspended, the BLS has published only one report – the CPI for September. Now, the market eagerly awaits the release of the remaining inflation indicators (PPI, PCE) and, of course, the employment data—Non-Farms. All other fundamental factors will take a back seat. As of now, the September NFP report, initially scheduled for release on October 3, will be published on Thursday, November 20. Preliminary f…
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Last week, the EUR/USD pair ended with a slight 0.10% decline but posted a weekly gain of 0.51%, amid reduced risk appetite amid speculation that the Federal Reserve will pause its monetary easing cycle in December. Nevertheless, the pair closed above the round level of 1.1600, opening the prospects for further growth. However, most Federal Reserve officials maintained a hawkish tone. The heads of regional Feds—Beth Hammack, Raphael Bostic, Alberto Musalem, Susan Collins, Neel Kashkari, and Jeffrey Schmid—advocated for moderately restrictive monetary policy. On the dovish side are Fed Chair Stephen Miran, San Francisco Fed President Mary Daly, and governors Christopher Wa…
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Analysis of EUR/USD 5M The EUR/USD currency pair maintained its upward momentum from the last two weeks on Friday but failed to extend gains. Throughout the day, volatility was relatively low, yet prices still fluctuated in various directions. Overall, the macroeconomic backdrop on that day was highlighted by just one report: the Eurozone GDP for the third quarter. The EU economy grew by 0.2% quarter-on-quarter and by 1.4% year-on-year. However, the report was released as a second estimate, which is the least significant and least interesting to traders. As a result, there was no reaction to this report, and during the European trading session, the euro weakened. Duri…
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Analysis of GBP/USD 5M The GBP/USD currency pair traded in various directions on Friday, with low volatility. Overall, the British pound has been in a sideways channel of 1.3096–1.3212 for an entire week. Last week, the British currency could have experienced a significant decline, as the UK's macroeconomic backdrop remained consistently negative. However, it is worth noting that over the past month and a half, the dollar has primarily been strengthening. And although disappointing news occasionally emerged from Britain, the U.S. also faced a continuous flow of negative reports. Therefore, we cannot classify the dollar's rise as entirely logical. On November 5, a local do…
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The EUR/USD currency pair continued to trade in an upward trend on Friday with low volatility. Volatility has been decreasing over the past three or four months, which aligns with the technical picture on the daily timeframe. It is important to note that we consider the current consolidation on the daily chart as a key moment for the EUR/USD pair. Almost all market movements depend on this consolidation. The dollar had been rising for a month and a half. While it cannot be said that it rose significantly, it did so at a time when another decline would not have surprised anyone. The dollar gained strength during the longest government shutdown in U.S. history and while the…
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The GBP/USD currency pair traded sideways on Friday and throughout the current week with low volatility. Recently, significant differences have emerged in the technical picture between the euro and the pound. For instance, the euro has been maintaining a clear and strong consolidation on the daily timeframe, while the British pound is more in a descending correction. On the 4-hour timeframe, the euro is rising, but the pound has been stagnant throughout the week. Why have these differences arisen? The problem lies within the British pound itself, specifically within the British economy. What have we learned about its condition over the past week? The unemployment rate con…
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Bitcoin price failed to recover above $96,500. BTC is down over 3% and there are chances of more downsides below $92,000. Bitcoin started a fresh decline below $95,000 and $94,500. The price is trading below $98,000 and the 100 hourly Simple moving average. There is a bearish trend line forming with resistance at $96,600 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken). The pair might continue to move down if it settles below the $92,500 zone. Bitcoin Price Dips Further Bitcoin price failed to stay in a positive zone above the $95,500 pivot level. BTC bears remained active below $95,500 and pushed the price lower. The bears gained strength and were able…
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Ethereum price failed to stay above $3,250 and extended losses. ETH is down over 5% and might struggle to recover above $3,250 in the near term. Ethereum started a fresh decline after it failed to stay above $3,200. The price is trading below $3,200 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There is a key bearish trend line forming with resistance at $3,160 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD (data feed via Kraken). The pair could continue to move down if it settles below the $3,000 zone. Ethereum Price Dips Further Ethereum price failed to continue higher above $3,350 and started a fresh decline, like Bitcoin. ETH price dipped below $3,200 and entered a bearish zone. The …
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XRP price started a fresh decline from $2.350. The price is now showing bearish signs and might extend losses if it dips below $2.150. XRP price started a fresh decline below the $2.320 zone. The price is now trading below $2.30 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There is a short-term bearish trend line forming with resistance at $2.2550 on the hourly chart of the XRP/USD pair (data source from Kraken). The pair could continue to move down if it settles below $2.150. XRP Price Dips Again XRP price attempted a recovery wave above $2.320 but failed to continue higher, like Bitcoin and Ethereum. The price started a fresh decline below $2.30 and $2.250. There was a…
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Trade Analysis for Friday: 1H Chart for EUR/USD The EUR/USD currency pair traded predominantly sideways on Friday. There was little macroeconomic data available on that day. Essentially, the only notable data was the Eurozone GDP, which neither disappointed nor pleased the market. Traders still lacked the most critical piece of information—macroeconomic data from the U.S. Individual reports are published occasionally, but they are far from the most significant. The key reports have yet to be released due to the "shutdown." The American government and federal structures resumed operations last week; however, gathering information and data will require considerable ti…
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Trade Analysis for Friday: 1H Chart for GBP/USD The GBP/USD pair traded sideways on Friday. Over the past week, the British pound failed to mount an upward impulse or to initiate a new decline. The macroeconomic backdrop has not supported the British currency, but it has not shown any significant decline either. The global fundamental backdrop remains sharply unfavorable to the dollar, yet the dollar itself did not decline. The descending trendline has been broken, but the pair has not been able to consolidate above it or the 1.3203 level. A global upward trend remains, but there has been a correction for several consecutive months. In the short term, we can expect t…
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Dogecoin started a fresh decline below the $0.180 zone against the US Dollar. DOGE is now correcting some losses and might face hurdles near $0.1650. DOGE price started a fresh decline below the $0.180 level. The price is trading below the $0.170 level and the 100-hourly simple moving average. There is a bearish trend line forming with resistance at $0.1650 on the hourly chart of the DOGE/USD pair (data source from Kraken). The price could extend losses if it stays below $0.1650 and $0.170. Dogecoin Price Attempts Recovery Dogecoin price started a fresh decline after it closed below $0.20, like Bitcoin and Ethereum. DOGE declined below the $0.180 and $0.1720 support le…
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