Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
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Crypto analyst Trader Mayne is cautioning that Bitcoin may be setting up for a sharper drawdown before resuming its broader uptrend into year-end, arguing that a “$98,000 weekly liquidity level” sits uncollected below price and could be targeted early in October. Two Price Scenarios For Bitcoin In a video analysis posted on September 30 titled “Did Bitcoin Just Top? The Signal Everyone’s Ignoring…,”Mayne outlined a two-track playbook: a tactical long on a lower-timeframe liquidity sweep that could precede a deeper correction, and, if that setup fails, a decisive flush that takes out $98,000 before a fourth-quarter continuation higher. “TLDR — I think we are due for a l…
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Trade Analysis and Advice on Trading the Euro The test of 1.1770 coincided with the moment when the MACD indicator had already moved far above the zero line, which limited the pair's upward potential. For this reason, I did not buy the euro. The second test of 1.1770, with MACD in the overbought area, triggered scenario #2 for selling, resulting in a 30-point decline in the pair. Revised upward data on the eurozone manufacturing PMI still showed a decline compared to the previous month, which negatively affected the euro in the first half of the trading day. Inflation figures fully matched economists' forecasts, which also failed to spark renewed demand for risk assets. D…
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Trade Analysis and Advice on Trading the British Pound The test of 1.3472 occurred when the MACD indicator had already moved far above the zero line, which limited the pair's upward potential. For this reason, I did not buy the pound. The second test of 1.3472 coincided with MACD being in the overbought area, which triggered scenario #2 for selling. The UK Manufacturing PMI released today confirmed analysts' forecasts, providing no momentum for further GBP/USD growth. The data matched expectations, indicating no unexpected changes in the country's manufacturing activity. This anticipated outcome nullified previous attempts of the pound to strengthen against the U.S. dolla…
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Trade Analysis and Advice on Trading the Japanese Yen The test of 147.23 in the first half of the day occurred when the MACD indicator had already moved far below the zero line, which limited the pair's downward potential. For this reason, I did not sell the dollar. The second test of 147.23 coincided with MACD being in the oversold area, which triggered scenario #2 for buying the dollar, but the pair did not actually manage to grow afterward. For further downward movement in USD/JPY later in the day, the key drivers will be the U.S. ADP employment change report and the ISM Manufacturing Index. Investors will carefully analyze the incoming data to assess the state of the …
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The wave structure on the 4-hour chart for EUR/USD has not changed for several months, but in recent days it has taken on a rather complex form. It is still too early to conclude that the upward section of the trend is canceled, though a more complicated wave structure in the near term is quite possible. The formation of the upward trend section continues, and the news background largely supports not the dollar but the euro. The trade war initiated by Donald Trump continues. The confrontation with the Fed continues. The market's "dovish" expectations regarding Fed rates are growing. The market holds a very low opinion of Trump's first 6–7 months in office, despite nearly …
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Trend Analysis In October, from the level of 1.1732 (closing of the September monthly candle), the price may continue moving upward with the target at 1.1918 – the upper fractal (yellow dashed line). From this level, a corrective move downward is possible with the target at 1.1664 – the 14.6% retracement level (yellow dashed line). Fig. 1 (monthly chart). Indicator Analysis: Indicator analysis – upward;Fibonacci levels – upward;Volumes – upward;Candlestick analysis – upward;Trend analysis – upward;Bollinger Bands – upward.Comprehensive analysis conclusion: an upward trend is possible. Overall outcome for the EUR/USD monthly candle calculation: the price will most likel…
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The global gold sector was jolted this week by a cascade of major developments not seen in decades. It began with the sudden departure of Mark Bristow from Barrick Mining (TSX: ABX) (NYSE: B). The long-time executive, who had pledged in May to stay until 2028 to oversee projects such as the $9-billion Reko Diq copper and gold mine in Pakistan, stepped down abruptly. Barrick quickly named Mark Hill as interim chief while it searches for a permanent replacement. Bristow, a South African known for his blunt style and penchant for risk-taking, took the helm of Barrick in 2019 after orchestrating its merger with Randgold, where he had generated a 4,000% return. But hi…
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Hooked on Headlines: Why Financial Markets Are Addicted to News Financial Decisions and Headlines Financial markets today are hooked on news, so much so that it often feels like an addiction. Headline news is the primary mechanism by which uncertainty is reduced and expectations are formed. At the same time, news can create new uncertainty, especially when it delivers a surprise. That uncertainty can spark volatility. While investors often dislike volatility, traders thrive on it, as it creates opportunities for quick gains. In this article, we break down why news matters to financial markets and why traders can’t escape the pull of the next headline. Financial D…
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The US government shutdown officially took effect at midnight, immediately clouding the economic calendar with uncertainty. You can track the latest headlines on the shutdown right here. Key releases, including the all-important Non-Farm Payrolls and weekly Jobless Claims, are set to be delayed — leaving markets grasping for alternative signals on the labor picture. That made today’s ADP private employment report all the more critical, and it disappointed: a sharp miss at –32K versus +52K expected, coupled with yet another downward revision for August (-3K vs +54K announced). This should at least keep rate cuts hope high with a 25 bps cut still 99% priced in. On the m…
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Drilling at DPM Metals’ (TSX, ASX: DPM) Loma Larga project in Ecuador has been put on hold following widespread protests, the Canadian miner said as it released a new study that showed higher capital costs and smaller potential returns. A 23,000-metre drilling program, which had previously been expected to start in the second half, has been “paused,” DPM said late Tuesday without providing a timeframe. The company said it will “continue to engage with stakeholders to address their concerns, and work with the government to understand its expectations for resuming DPM’s planned activities.” Ecuador’s President Daniel Noboa last month requested further information on…
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According to Arkham, a wallet labeled “Tether: Bitcoin Reserves” received 8,889 Bitcoin in a single transfer from Bitfinex. The move added roughly $1 billion to Tether’s holdings and pushed the firm’s Bitcoin stash to about $9.8 billion based on the market price. It was one of the biggest single top-ups to its BTC balance this year. Quarter-End Buying Pattern Based on reports, the timing of the buy was not random. Blockchain records show Tether has made similar quarter-end additions in September 2024, December 2024, and March 2025. Analysts say the pattern points to a deliberate effort to bolster reserves ahead of public attestations. Tether’s second-quarter attestati…
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Andrew Bailey, the Bank of England (BoE) Governor has dramatically softened his stance on stabelcoins. Talking to the Financial Times on 1 October 2025, Bailey said that it would be “wrong to be against stablecoins as a matter of principle.” Stablecoins are digital tokens designed to maintain a stable value by being pegged to traditional currencies like the British Pound at a one-to-one ratio. And unlike Bitcoin, stabelcoins can offer stability while offering benefits of digital transactions. Hence, Bailey’s latest comments could finally indicate UK’s acceptance of stablecoins. Especially since industry analysts at Citigroup predict this market could explode to $4 tri…
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Gold prices soared to a new record on Wednesday, lifted by safe-haven demand amid a US government shutdown, while softer jobs data reinforced expectations of a Federal Reserve rate cut this month. Spot gold rose as much as 1% to $3,895.13 an ounce, surpassing its previous all-time high of $3,871.45 set just a day ago. US gold futures surged to as high as $3,922.70 per ounce, also a new high. Click on chart for live prices. Driving the rally was the economic uncertainty of a US government shutdown — the first in seven years — which drove investors towards the safety of gold and assets like Bitcoin. The US dollar, meanwhile, continued to weaken, further bolsterin…
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The recent technical picture for Bitcoin presents a tug-of-war between short-term momentum and macro necessity. While the bulls are aggressively defending support and pushing toward the $117,000 resistance area, the yet-to-be-filled CME gap hangs over the market. This historical pattern suggests that although the price action is bullish, a mandatory downside move may be required to reset the chart before the target can truly be breached. Gap-Filling Before The Next Big Rally Ezy Bitcoin, in a recent short-term market outlook shared on X, explained that Bitcoin may need to close an existing gap before it can build momentum for its next major rally. However, such a move sh…
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Shares of lithium producers in Australia slumped after Chinese regulators approved reserve reports for two major projects in Yichun, easing fears of prolonged supply disruptions. Liontown Resources Ltd. tumbled as much as 10.6% at close in Australia, Pilbara Minerals shed 6.3%. The declines followed Bloomberg reports that Contemporary Amperex Technology Co. Ltd. (CATL) secured approval for a reserve report at its Jianxiawo mine in Jiangxi province. Operations at the site have been suspended since August, after the battery giant failed to renew an expired mining permit. The approval brings CATL closer to a potential restart, though no timeline has been confirmed. …
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Crypto pundit Mikybull Crypto has revealed that XRP has flipped green for the first time since 2017. Based on this, he predicted that the altcoin could record a rally of up to 500%, reaching $15 in the process. XRP Eyes Rally To $15 As Price Flips Green In an X post, Mikybull Crypto predicted that XRP could rally to between $5 and $15. This came as the analyst noted that the altcoin has flipped green on the quarterly chart for the first time since 2017. He suggested that the rally of up to 500% may already be underway, noting that XRP has already broken above the resistance, just as it did in 2017. In a follow-up X post, Mikybull Crypto doubled down on his bullish se…
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Bitcoin (BTC), the leading cryptocurrency, has ignited a notable recovery in the broader cryptocurrency market, recording a 5% gain during Wednesday’s trading session to recover the $117,000 mark. This momentum has positively impacted major altcoins, including Ethereum (ETH), XRP, Solana (SOL), and Binance Coin (BNB), which have seen average increases of around 3% in what may signal the onset of a new altcoin season. Crypto Prices Surge Amidst US Government Shutdown The surge in crypto prices coincided with political developments as the US Senate’s failure to pass a temporary funding bill resulted in a government shutdown shortly after midnight on Wednesday. Such unc…
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Bitcoin surged past the $115,000 level just a few hours ago, sparking speculation among investors about the potential for further upside. The move comes after weeks of tight consolidation that began in July, a period marked by choppy trading and indecision. Now, with momentum showing signs of returning, many analysts believe the next breakout could be aggressive, setting the tone for the final quarter of the year. The reclaim of $115,000 has reignited bullish sentiment, with traders closely watching whether Bitcoin can build a base above this threshold and aim for the next major resistance at $117,500. Historically, prolonged consolidation phases have often preceded str…
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Log in to our mid-week North American Markets overview, where we examine the current themes in North America and provide an overview of indices and currency performances. We are now halfway through the week, and the main storyline has shifted squarely toward the US government shutdown, which has sparked a sharp N-shaped (for nope) reversal in the US Dollar. The greenback had been climbing steadily after a streak of upbeat economic data — GDP, jobless claims, and Powell’s more balanced-than-dovish tone last week pushed the DXY to fresh highs near 98.60. But shutdown rumors quickly flipped the narrative, triggering heavy selling pressure in the reserve currency, currentl…
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Guanajuato Silver Company (TSXV: GSVR) is looking to raise as much as C$43 million ($31 million) in a bought deal public offering to support its Mexican mine operations. However, its shares dropped nearly 15% on the news. The company initially announced that it planned to raise C$30 million through the sale of 60 million units priced at C$0.50 each, but later increased the offering to C$43 million (87 million units) due to strong demand. The units each carry one common share and one-half of a common share purchase warrant, with each whole warrant exercisable at C$0.65 per share for three years. Guanajuato Silver’s stock traded at C$0.46 with a market capitaliz…
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SWIFT, the global network that handles most of the world’s cross-border payments, is preparing to launch its own blockchain as rumors about an ongoing payments battle with Ripple circulate. While many often compare SWIFT’s role to Ripple due to its XRP-linked payment solutions, this new plan is not a direct challenge to the fintech company, but rather part of a much larger trillion-dollar race to define the future of digital money. SWIFT Partners With Consensys To Build Blockchain Network According to the announcement, SWIFT is collaborating with Consensys, the Ethereum development company founded by Joe Lubin, to create a shared digital ledger that supports faster, chea…
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Trend Analysis In October, from the level of 1.3441 (closing of the September monthly candle), the price may begin moving upward with the target at 1.3990 – the historical resistance level (blue dashed line). When testing this level, the price may roll back downward toward 1.3786 – the upper fractal (red dashed line). Fig. 1 (monthly chart). Indicator Analysis: Indicator analysis – upward;Fibonacci levels – upward;Volumes – upward;Candlestick analysis – upward;Trend analysis – upward;Bollinger Bands – upward.Comprehensive analysis conclusion: an upward trend is possible. Overall outcome for the GBP/USD monthly candle calculation: the price will most likely have an upwa…
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Log in to today's North American session Market wrap for October 1st The US government shutdown officially kicked in, but beyond a brief selloff in the US Dollar — which stopped well short of breaking any key levels — markets have largely brushed it aside: US equities reversed early weakness seen in futures and at the open, with both the Nasdaq and S&P 500 climbing to fresh all-time highs by the close. In commodities, gold extended its rally, coming within just $5 of the $3,900 mark in yet another push toward uncharted territory. With the dollar under pressure but not yet cracking, and risk assets pushing higher, investors seem willing to ignore Washington headlin…
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An update for Aclara Resources’ (TSX: ARA) Carina project in Brazil has lifted most of the deposit to the indicated category and raised grades for its four rare earths compared to the previous estimate. Shares jumped. The update converts 79% of the inferred resource from last year’s preliminary economic assessment (PEA) to 236.3 million indicated tonnes, Aclara reported Wednesday. Grades rose at least 3% to 293 parts per million (ppm) neodymium praseodymium (NdPr), 43 ppm dysprosium and 6.8 ppm terbium for 371,492 tonnes of total rare earth oxides (TREO). Carina is in the central state of Goiás. “The quality of the Carina deposit has been affirmed,” Aclara chief o…
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The Dogecoin price is about to complete a Golden Cross pattern, a technical event that often signals the start of a super bullish run. A crypto analyst argues that the real test lies at $0.33, a resistance level that could determine whether DOGE begins its next major rally and extends its momentum into the broader altcoin market. Golden Cross Forms On Dogecoin Price Chart Crypto analyst Cas Abbe recently highlighted in an X social media post Dogecoin’s bullish momentum, noting that the meme coin is about to complete another Golden Cross. In technical terms, a Golden Cross signals the potential start of an extended bullish cycle. Cas Abbe emphasized the significance …
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