Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
6929 tópicos neste fórum
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Today, the crypto market seems to be breathing a sigh of relief amid some fud news. The Fear and Greed Index has bounced back to a neutral zone at 48 after the fear mood last week. Bitcoin is crushing above $113K or up by more than 1.3%. On the other hand, Ethereum is holding its ground near $4,350, showing its strength after dipping bellow $4,300 early on this month. Meanwhile, the total crypto market cap has reached about $3.96 trillion, a confident atmosphere closing to $4 trillion. Institutional interest feels more tangible now. Bitcoin ETFs pulled in roughly $246 million this week, led by big players such as BlackRock and Fidelity, showing that the smart money …
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On Monday, the EUR/USD pair reversed in favor of the euro and resumed growth toward the resistance zone at 1.1789–1.1802, which is now very close. Unfortunately, a rebound from the 76.4% Fibonacci level at 1.1695 did not occur yesterday, which could have given traders an opportunity to open new long positions. Today, a rebound from the 1.1789–1.1802 level will work in favor of the U.S. dollar and a pullback toward 1.1695. A breakout above 1.1789–1.1802 will increase the likelihood of further growth toward the next Fibonacci level at 127.2% – 1.1896. The wave structure on the hourly chart remains simple and clear. The last completed downward wave did not break the previ…
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On the hourly chart, the GBP/USD pair on Monday rebounded from the 76.4% Fibonacci level at 1.3482, reversed in favor of the pound, and began a new upward move. Today, a rebound from the 100.0% corrective level at 1.3587 or from the resistance zone 1.3611–1.3620 will work in favor of the U.S. currency and a certain pullback. A breakout above these two resistances will increase the likelihood of further growth for the pound toward the next corrective level at 127.2% – 1.3708. The wave situation is beginning to shift to "bullish." The last completed wave down broke through two previous lows, while the new upward wave broke the last two peaks. Thus, at this point, one can…
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The dollar continues to lose ground against a number of risk assets amid expectations of a looser monetary policy from the U.S. central bank. However, not everyone believes that rapid action is necessary. Goldman Sachs Group Inc. CEO David Solomon indicated in an interview that the Federal Reserve has no need to cut interest rates quickly, diverging from the Trump administration's pressure on the central bank to ease monetary policy. "I don't think the refinancing rate is excessively restrictive, given the appetite for risk," Solomon said at a Barclays Plc financial services conference. According to him, investor enthusiasm in the markets is currently at its peak. Solomo…
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European markets maintain balance amid political turbulenceOn Tuesday, European trading floors showed restrained dynamics. Optimism fueled by a series of major mergers and acquisitions managed to offset concerns over political uncertainty in France after Prime Minister Francois Bayrou resigned following a no-confidence vote. STOXX 600 climbs, resources sector leadsBy morning, the pan-European STOXX 600 index rose by 0.1% to settle at 552.69 points. The strongest performance came from resource companies, with the basic resources sector index jumping by 1.3%. France awaits new prime ministerFrance's CAC 40 opened with a 0.2% gain. The country's long-term bonds remained st…
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European markets steady amid French political shake-up On Tuesday, European stocks showed resilience as optimism from a series of major mergers and acquisitions helped offset concerns about political instability in France, following the resignation of Prime Minister Francois Bayrou after a no-confidence vote. STOXX 600 edges up, resources lead gains By 07:07 GMT, the pan-European STOXX 600 index had inched up 0.1 percent to 552.69 points. The strongest performance came from the basic resources sector, which advanced 1.3 percent. France awaits new prime minister France's CAC 40 index rose 0.2 percent at the open. Long-term French bonds remained steady as markets waited f…
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We introduce you to the daily updated section of Forex analytics where you will find reviews from forex experts, up-to-date monitoring of financial information as well as online forecasts of exchange rates of the US dollar, euro, ruble, bitcoin, and other currencies for today, tomorrow and this trading week.Useful links: My other articles are available in this section InstaForex course for beginners Popular Analytics Open trading account Important: The begginers in forex trading need to be very careful when making decisions about entering the market. Before the release of important reports, it is best to stay out of the market to avoid being caught in sharp market fluctu…
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Real Vision analyst Jamie Coutts argues that the current bitcoin market is being driven less by the asset’s four-year issuance cadence and far more by a broadening tide of global liquidity that is only now beginning to roll. In a wide-ranging interview with “Crypto Kid,” Coutts laid out a cycle framework anchored in policy, bank credit, and balance-sheet dynamics, while cautioning that classic momentum warnings and a cooling of corporate-treasury buying warrant respect. Why This Bitcoin Cycle Is Different “From a first-principles basis, global liquidity…drives risk assets,” Coutts said, adding that when he regresses bitcoin against his preferred liquidity composite—built…
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Trend Analysis (Fig. 1). On Tuesday, from the level of 1.3541 (yesterday's daily candle close), the market may continue moving upward with the target at 1.3593 – the upper fractal (yellow dotted line). Upon testing this level, the price may then move downward with the target at 1.3565 – the upper fractal (daily candle from August 18, 2025). Fig. 1 (daily chart). Comprehensive Analysis: Indicator analysis – up;Volumes – up;Candlestick analysis – up;Trend analysis – up;Bollinger Bands – up;Weekly chart – up.Overall conclusion: upward trend. Alternative scenario: from the level of 1.3541 (yesterday's daily candle close), the price may start moving upward with the target a…
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Trend Analysis (Fig. 1). On Tuesday, from the level of 1.1752 (yesterday's daily candle close), the market may continue moving upward with the target at 1.1788 – the upper fractal (yellow dotted line). Upon testing this level, the price may retreat downward to test the upper fractal at 1.1765 (daily candle from September 8, 2025). Fig. 1 (daily chart). Comprehensive Analysis: Indicator analysis – up;Volumes – up;Candlestick analysis – up;Trend analysis – up;Bollinger Bands – up;Weekly chart – up.Overall conclusion: upward trend. Alternative scenario: from the level of 1.1752 (yesterday's daily candle close), the price may continue moving upward with the target at 1.1…
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The US dollar is under heavy pressure, as yet another set of extremely weak labor market data has led to a revision of Fed rate forecasts—now, it's expected that the rate will be cut three times before year-end. There are also growing concerns about whether the Fed can maintain its independence, as Trump is actively trying to reshape the Board of Governors to secure decisions from the Fed that align with his new economic policy. It goes without saying that if the Fed starts doing what Trump wants, this would automatically mean a sharp rise in the risk of losing control over inflation. The Fed is attempting to preserve financial stability even in the face of a looming rece…
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Asia Market Wrap - Nikkei Breaches 44000 Most Read: Bitcoin (BTC/USD) Eyes Further Gains as Strategy Expands Holding and ETF Flows Remain Strong The market shrugged off political uncertainty and rose for a fifth day as optimism about US interest rate reduction spread to Asia, fuelling a buying binge in technology shares. The MSCI all-country stock index was on track to reach another record high. In Asia, tech companies like TSMC and Alibaba helped stock markets rise. South Korean, Taiwanese, and Hong Kong shares went up, but Indonesian shares fell after the long-serving finance minister was dismissed. On Tuesday, Japan's Nikkei went above 44,000 for the first time …
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Amid the back and forth that has rocked the crypto market, the Ethereum price has now found itself between a rock and a hard place. Right now, bulls and bears are still locked in a tug-of-war in a quest to take control of the digital asset. Here, there are now multiple levels to watch that could determine the next steps for the Ethereum price. Ethereum Price Close To Critical Demand Zone After falling back below $4,300 over the weekend, the Ethereum price is now trading very close to a critical demand zone. Crypto analyst ProfitMagnet highlights this in a TradingView analysis, showing the possibilities for the Ethereum price as it looks to test this zone. So far, the E…
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On Tuesday, gold reached another record, driven by increased bets on a wave of Federal Reserve rate cuts this year. The price of gold rose by 0.6%, reaching a new historic high of over $3,659 per ounce, surpassing the previous high set on Monday. Over the last two sessions, prices rose by 2.5% after unexpectedly weak US employment data on Friday prompted traders to price in at least two rate cuts this year, including a quarter-point cut at the upcoming Federal Reserve meeting next week. Investors are betting that lower interest rates will make gold a more attractive asset since it does not yield interest. Recall that gold has traditionally been considered a safe-haven as…
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US stock indices closed higher yesterda. The S&P 500 rose by 0.21%, while the Nasdaq 100 gained 0.41%. The industrial Dow Jones strengthened by 0.25%. On Tuesday, global indices continued to rise for the fifth consecutive day as optimism over US rate cuts spread to Asia and triggered a wave of buying in technology stocks. Asian markets responded to positive signals from the United States, where investors increased expectations for Federal Reserve monetary easing. The MSCI Asia Pacific index, excluding Japan, showed solid growth. The yield on 10-year Treasuries rose by 1 basis point to 4.05%. The dollar weakened, while gold hit another record high. Particular attent…
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Trade Review and Advice on Trading the Japanese YenThe price test at 147.60 occurred when the MACD indicator had already moved far down from the zero level, which limited the pair's downside potential. For this reason, I did not sell the dollar. Today's data on the growth of the money supply aggregate in Japan supported the yen and weakened the dollar's position. An increase in the money supply, reflecting higher liquidity in the Japanese economy, is usually seen by the market as a positive factor. This may indicate increased business activity, rising investments, and consumer spending. In turn, this strengthens investor confidence in the prospects of the Japanese economy…
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Trade Review and Advice on Trading the British PoundThe price test at 1.3520 occurred when the MACD indicator was just starting to move upward from the zero line, which confirmed the correct entry point for buying the pound and resulted in growth toward the target level of 1.3555. Unfortunately, there is no economic data out of the UK today, so the further direction of the pair will be determined more by technical factors, as well as the bullish momentum that has persisted in the market since the end of last week. Given the absence of fundamental drivers from the UK, technical analysis takes on primary importance. Traders will closely watch the support and resistance leve…
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Trade Review and Advice on Trading the EuroThe price test at 1.1735 occurred when the MACD indicator was starting to move upward from the zero line, which confirmed the correct entry point for buying the euro. As a result, the pair rose by 20 pips. Today is marked by the release of fresh data on the dynamics of France's industrial sector and a speech by the head of Germany's central bank, Joachim Nagel. The Eurogroup meeting will also be in focus. The French data will move the market only if actual figures differ from expectations. Joachim Nagel's speech also attracts traders' and analysts' attention. The Bundesbank president usually takes a tough stance, but his comments…
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Bitcoin continues to demonstrate strength. After a minor correction during today's Asian trading session down to the $110,000 area, it is now trading at $112,500, indicating ongoing demand. This is clearly being supported by news that the US Congress is reviewing a bill requiring the Treasury Department to study the possibility of creating a "Strategic Bitcoin Reserve" and a "National Digital Asset Reserve." Even at the discussion stage, such an initiative sends a powerful signal to the market, indicating potential recognition of bitcoin as a strategic asset at the state level. The creation of a strategic bitcoin reserve could set a precedent that other countries may fol…
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This is a follow-up analysis and a timely update of our prior report, “EUR/USD Technical: Euro on the brink of a medium-term bullish breakout”, published on 1 September 2025. The EUR/USD has formed the expected bullish breakout above the former medium-term descending trendline resistance, which was in place from the 1 July 2025 high, and rallied by 0.8% to print an intraday high of 1.1778 on Tuesday, 9 September, during the Asia session at the time of writing. After last Friday's, 5 September, weaker-than-expected US non-farm payrolls data print for August, this week’s key risk events that are likely to trigger a significant volatile movement in the EUR/USD will be th…
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It is necessary to use what works. The market is convinced that the Fed will cut the federal funds rate. Even a hawkish surprise from US inflation in August will not stop the central bank from easing monetary policy. Combined with strong corporate earnings and investor confidence in consumers, this provides grounds to keep buying the dips in the S&P 500, even in the seasonally weak month of September for the broad stock index. In fact, the first month of autumn may not be so bad for equities. According to Bloomberg research, since 1971, the S&P 500 has often risen in September if the Fed cut rates outside of a recession. A typical example was September of last ye…
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This week is shaping up to be critical for the broader crypto market, marked by a prevailing sense of caution as prices consolidate ahead of their next direction. According to market analysis firm Bull Theory, the forthcoming Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is on the horizon, and its outcome will largely hinge on the economic data released this week. Stability Or Further Pressure For Crypto? The Federal Reserve (Fed) has two primary mandates: to maintain inflation around 2% and to support employment levels. Currently, the landscape appears challenging, with rising unemployment juxtaposed against persistent inflation. On September 9, the Bureau of Labor S…
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The US dollar continued to lose ground slowly but steadily against the euro, the pound, and other risk assets. Apparently, the pressure on the dollar is coming from expectations of the Federal Reserve's first interest rate cut this year, anticipated for the middle of this month. Today, data on changes in France's industrial production will be released, and Bundesbank President Joachim Nagel is scheduled to speak. There will also be a Eurogroup meeting, which will likely not have a significant impact on the currency market. Market participants will closely watch the French data. Any unexpected deviations from forecasted values could cause short-term volatility in the euro …
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[USDX] – [Tuesday, September 09, 2025] Although a divergence has appeared between the RSI and the price movement of the USDX, but with the EMAs currently in a Death Cross formation and the RSI in the Neutral-Bearish zone, #USDX has the potential to continue its weakening today. Key Levels 1. Resistance. 2 : 98.09. 2. Resistance. 1 : 97.76. 3. Pivot : 97.57. 4. Support. 1 : 97.24. Tactical Scenario Pressure Zone: If the price breaks down and closes below the 97.24 level, the USDX may continue weakening toward 97.05. Momentum Extension Bias: If 97.05 is broken and closed below, the index may weaken further toward 96.72. Invalidation Level / Bias Revision The downside b…
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[XAG/USD] – [Tuesday, September 09, 2025] The EMA(50) forming a Golden Cross with the EMA(200) and RSI being in the Neutral-Bullish level provide the potential for Silver to continue strengthening toward the nearest resistance today. Key Levels : 1. Resistance. 2 : 42.258. 2. Resistance. 1 : 41.777. 3. Pivot : 41.138. 4. Support. 1 : 40.657. 5. Support. 2 : 40.018. Tactical Scenario Positive Reaction Zone: If XAG/USD breaks and closes above 41.777, Silver is likely to continue strengthening to 42.258.Momentum Extension Bias: If 42.258 is broken and closed above, XAG/USD will likely test the 42.897 level.Invalidation Level / Bias Revision The upside bias…
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