XRP Final Test: Will Wave 4 End With One More Shakeout Before Liftoff?

[Ben Graham]

XRP hovers at a key resistance, signaling a crucial decision point. With momentum building, traders now wonder, will one final dip come before the next major breakout?

XRP Faces A Crucial Decision Zone Amid Ongoing Range

CasiTrades, in a recent market update, highlighted that XRP continues to range within a critical zone, keeping its setup for a potential final wave down valid. The analyst noted that the price remains at a key decision point, with ongoing tests of the Wave 4 highs acting as a firm ceiling against further upside movement. 

According to CasiTrades, the pivotal level to watch is $2.82 on Binance. A confirmed breakout and sustained hold above this resistance would invalidate the bearish setup and signal renewed bullish momentum. However, XRP has so far failed to push through, maintaining a range-bound structure between support and resistance, a sign that the market has yet to commit to a clear directional trend.

The analyst emphasized that a V-shaped recovery typically breaks through resistance with strong conviction, but such a move has not been seen here. Instead, XRP’s hesitancy indicates that selling pressure may still be present, preventing a clean continuation to the upside. 

Exchange Variations Add Complexity To Market Analysis

CasiTrades went on to explain that most major exchanges are now aligning around their key Fibonacci retracement levels, particularly the 0.618 zone. On Binance, this range sits between $1.35 and $1.46, which the analyst identified as the area where the next corrective wave could complete. According to the expert, this move would finalize the macro Wave 2 correction, paving the way for a powerful Wave 3 impulse that might propel XRP toward $6.50 or even $10.

The analyst emphasized that these lower price levels shouldn’t be viewed as a cause for concern but rather as valuable accumulation opportunities for long-term investors. Historically, zones like these have marked points of strong institutional buying and major trend reversals, presenting some of the best risk-to-reward setups before a large bullish expansion.

CasiTrades also noted that exchange discrepancies add a layer of complexity to the analysis. For instance, during a recent liquidation event, Binance briefly fell to $0.77, while Coinbase never reached its .618 retracement. This variation means traders should always chart on the specific exchange they plan to execute trades on, as price reactions can differ slightly between platforms. In conclusion, the analyst noted that until XRP breaks and holds above $2.82, the market structure still supports the idea of one final downward wave before a major upward cycle begins.