Bitcoin Slides Back to $100K — Is the Parabolic Run Finally Cracking?

Ben Graham · Novembro 5

Bitcoin price is gaining bearish pace below $103,500. BTC could continue to move down if it stays below the $103,500 resistance.

Bitcoin started a fresh decline below the $105,000 support.
The price is trading below $104,000 and the 100 hourly Simple moving average.
There is a bearish trend line forming with resistance at $103,500 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken).
The pair might continue to move down if it settles below the $100,000 zone.

Bitcoin Price Dips Again

Bitcoin price failed to stay above the $105,500 support level and started a fresh decline. BTC dipped below $104,000 and $103,500 to enter a bearish zone.

The decline was such that the price even spiked below the $100,000 support. A low was formed at $98,900 and the price is now consolidating losses near the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $111,000 swing high to the $98,900 low.

Bitcoin is now trading below $104,000 and the 100 hourly Simple moving average. If the bulls attempt a recovery wave, the price could face resistance near the $102,000 level. The first key resistance is near the $103,500 level. There is also a bearish trend line forming with resistance at $103,500 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair.

The next resistance could be $105,000 and the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $111,000 swing high to the $98,900 low. A close above the $105,000 resistance might send the price further higher. In the stated case, the price could rise and test the $106,400 resistance. Any more gains might send the price toward the $107,500 level. The next barrier for the bulls could be $108,500 and $108,800.

More Losses In BTC?

If Bitcoin fails to rise above the $103,500 resistance zone, it could continue to move down. Immediate support is near the $100,200 level. The first major support is near the $100,000 level.

The next support is now near the $98,800 zone. Any more losses might send the price toward the $96,200 support in the near term. The main support sits at $95,500, below which BTC might struggle to recover in the near term.

Technical indicators:

Hourly MACD – The MACD is now gaining pace in the bearish zone.

Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for BTC/USD is now below the 50 level.

Major Support Levels – $100,200, followed by $100,000.

Major Resistance Levels – $103,500 and $105,000.