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Gold price to reach new highs in 2026: Goldman poll

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Almost 70% of global institutional investors expect gold prices to post additional gains next year, Goldman Sachs said, citing the conclusions of a new poll.

The biggest proportion of respondents — 36% — think gold will top $5,000 per oz. by the end of 2026, New York-based Goldman said Friday. Another third of participants said they expect the precious metal to trade between $4,500 and $5,000 over the same timeframe, while just over 5% of those polled see prices dropping to between $3,500 and $4,000.

The investment bank surveyed more than 900 clients on its Marquee platform from Nov. 12 to 14.

Rate cuts

Buoyed in part by sustained central buying and expectations of interest-rate cuts, prices for the yellow metal have set multiple records this year, outperforming virtually every major asset class. With a year-to-date gain of about 61% to $4,223.36 as of Friday afternoon, gold is on course for its third-straight year of double-digits gains. It broke through the $4,000 mark for the first time last month.

Central bank buying of gold – picked by 38% of respondents – was seen as the main driver of gold’s increase in 2026, Goldman said. Fiscal concerns, with 27% support, ranked as the second-biggest factor.

The structural forces driving gold are far from exhausted, Sprott Asset Management argued in its November 2025 Precious Metals Report. It described how investors are exiting assets like bonds denominated in dollars and stocks vulnerable to currency devaluations towards precious metals and cryptocurrencies.

Bull market

Gold is now in a multi-year bull market, Daan Struyven, Goldman’s co-head of global commodities research, said in a podcast recorded Oct. 27. He sees the metal hitting $4,900 by the end of 2026 because “most of the rally year to date, or in fact over the last few years, is by sticky purchases, especially of central banks. We think they will continue to diversify into gold.”

Other Wall Street firms share that optimism. JPMorgan Chase sees gold topping $5,055 in the final quarter of 2026, while Morgan Stanley projects the metal will hit $4,400 by the end of next year.


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