XAU/USD GOLD FOLLOW THE MAP: High Confirmed Choch and Breaked Trend Line – The Decisive Battle in 4246

[Igor Pereira]

Good night, traders and members. Premium.

Our previous structural analysis proved to be surgical.. The market has meticulously respected every level we set:

1. The SOW:$4112. It was respected, validating sales exhaustion.

2. The Break of Structure Lower:$3950 He acted as a support, preventing bigger falls.

3. The High CHOCH (H4): Our forecast of a 4035 "Character Change" for high was correct and was the trigger for the current movement.

Now, with the low break trend line, Gold (XAU/USD) is in a new phase. Let's decode the next step.

By Igor Pereira, Financial Market Analyst, Junior Member WallStreet NYSE

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1. The Current Structure: The Breakout

In graph H4, the price made a classic technical movement:

• LTB breakup: The price broke with conviction the Low Trend Line who had been guiding the correction. This confirms that the momentum has changed from sellers to buyers.

• The Immediate Target: The price is now advancing towards the next critical resistance zone around 4246.10.

My Analysis (Igor Pereira): This breakup is not random; it is confirmation that the accumulation/recumulation phase we identified was successful. Smart Money absorbed the offer and is now pushing the price to test the higher liquidity.

2. The binary scenario: 4246.10 is the key

We're approaching a binary decision point. The way the price reacts to the area of 4246.10 will define the trend of the coming weeks.

• A (Bullish Breakout):

  • If the price break and close above 4246.10 in graph H4/Diary, the high structure will be fully restored.

  • Target: The path will be clear for a test of the area of 4370-4380 (close to the historical maxims).

  • Strategy: Buy 4246 level retests (which will become support) or volume breakups.

• CENARY B (Later Consolidation):

  • If the price failure to break 4246.10 and is rejected, we will enter a phase of lateralization.

  • Range: The gold will probably be stuck inside the strip of 4035 (main support - LPS) to 4246 (CHoCH SC resistance).

  • Strategy: Operate the range – buy in support (4035) and sell in resistance (4246) until a clear breakup occurs.

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Conclusion of Igor Pereira: The Viet is from Alta, but Confirmation is Necessary

The technical structure (break of the LTB + CHOCH) favors the bulls. The momentum is with us. However, as professional traders, we do not guess; we react.

Level of 4246.10 It's our line in the sand.

• Above it: The sky is the limit (4380+).

• Below her: Patience and accumulation within the range > LPS.

Maintain discipline. The market is following our map.

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