GOLD "Silent Signal" of the Central Banks and the explosion of 143% of mining companies

[Igor Pereira]

While retail discusses whether the price of gold is "priced", the owners of money – the Central Banks – are sending out the clearest signal of the last two decades. They're not just buying; they're fleeing the American Dollar on an unprecedented scale.

By Igor Pereira Financial Market Analyst

Below, we analyzed the institutional data that explain why mining actions increased. 13.2% in 2025 and why this may be just the beginning.

1. The Price Insensitive Buyer

Any institution or sovereign with the slightest understanding of geopolitics wants to get out of the USD risk, even if they cannot say that out loud. The Central Banks net purchase chart (2000-2025) proves this:

• The Change of Regime: Note that, in the early 2000s, the Central Banks were liquid sellers (brown bars).

• Acceleration: From 2010, they became buyers. But look at 2022, 2023, 2024 and the 2025 estimate: the yellow bars exploded to record levels, consistently exceeding 1,000 tons.

• What Does That Mean: Central banks are priceless buyers; they buy for strategic security, not profit. They're anticipating something the public still doesn't know.

2. The Mining Catch-Up: Does History Repeat?

The performance of gold mining actions (Miners) has been stellar in 2025, rising 13.2% between the beginning of the year and November. But as we look at the historical context, we see that there is still plenty of room to grow.

The comparative graph of decades shows us symmetry with the 1970s:

• First Weak Half: In the 2020s (golden line), the sector had a poor performance in the first half (+17%), well below the +363% seen in the 1970s.

• The Law of Compensation: A weak first phase offers scope for a violent catch-up in the second half.

• The Trigger: We're seeing exactly that now. The line of the 2020s began to tilt vertically, seeking to recover lost time from previous decades.

The combination is explosive:

1. The "Step" of the price is guaranteed by the insatiable purchase of Central Banks.

2. The "Leading" comes from mining companies, which are just beginning to price this new gold level, leaving a low historical base.

If the 1970s pattern is confirmed, this year's 143% discharge will only be the footnote of a much larger cycle.

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