Gold and Silver Colapsam – The "Consensus" Was Punished and Macro Changed?

[Igor Pereira]

Today in precious metals is not a "profit-making". It's a structural dismount of positions. Gold and Silver became the consensus macro bet for 2025 – and in the financial market, consensus is always punished eventually when retail sees this trend too late.

All our previous Silver and Gold targets were successful. Now, it's time to look at a break in structure or an initial consolidation to operate in both trends (buy and sell), let's see at the moment what comes next?

By Igor Pereira Financial Market Analyst

The narrative of inflationary protection and physical scarcity collided with a macroeconomic reality wall. Below, I explain why prices are melting and what Smart Money is seeing that retail has ignored.

Today's fall signals that the Macroeconomic pressure's back..

• Change: After the big rally, the market began to price slower growth, but with incomes (Yields) from American bonds remaining high ("sticky").

• The Reality Shock: The expectation of aggressive interest cuts for 2026 is being reviewed. The market now questions the strength of the Fed's next easing cycle.

• The Impact: When the Real Interest they rise (or cease to fall), the attractiveness of assets that do not pay dividends (such as Gold and Silver) disappears instantly in front of Treasury Securities.

Silver is suffering more because it is both currency and industrial commodity.

• The Fear of Growth: Unlike Gold, Silver depends on the real demand of solar panels, EVs and electronics. When the market smells of "economic slowdown" or tighter financial conditions, industrial demand contracts.

• The Result: Silver lost its hedge status and fell along with global growth expectations.

We need to be honest: the 2025 rally was driven by aggressive positioning, backwardation (physic prize) and supply restrictions.

• Reverse: Rapid falls like this show that speculative demand was massive. When the macro signal turns (Yields rise), this demand evaporates.

• Liquidity: The movement is violent because everyone is trying to walk out the same door at the same time. It's a risk repreech, not just metal sales.

The signal here is macro. Violent reversals in commodities occur when the Excessive Positioning collides with More Rigid Financial Conditions. However, for the technical trader, it is time for coldness.

Monitor these Closing levels Journal:

• Silver (XAG/USD): Full attention to the area between $68 - $72. Keeping the daily closure above this range is the sign of initial consolidation. If you lose the $68, the fall speeds up.

• Gold (XAU/USD): Critical support is in $4,341 - $4,348. Also in the daily chart, keeping above these values signals that buyers are defending the initial consolidation structure.

Immediate Strategy:

1. Don't try to catch the knife falling Quickly: Wait for the day to close to confirm that the above levels ($68 in Silver and $4341 in Gold) will be respected.

2. Monitor Yields and Credit: If interest on Treasuries continues to rise, the pain in metals will continue.

3. Liquidity is King: This move is a liquidity warning. Easy money's gone.

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Game Turned: Will You Watch or Protect Your Capital?

We warn about the risk of corrections when the market becomes parabolic. Public analysis explains the Why the fall, but only the members Premium know the exact levels of support where the big banks will institutionally buy again.

Don't operate in panic. Operate with institutional levels.

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