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Cardano’s Brutal 2025: Is the 60% Crash a Death Spiral or a Buy Signal for 2026?

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Take me back to when Green Day was huge, the economy wasn’t anemic and everything looked like the image above. We’re sure Cardano holders are feeling this right now.

As 2025 winds down, Cardano Cardano 0.18% Cardano Cardano ADA Price $0.3501 0.18% /24h Volume in 24h $446.26M Price 7d Learn more is hovering near $0.35, down roughly 60% year to date, even as the network rolls out some of the most ambitious infrastructure upgrades in its history.

The ADA price is bleeding, development is accelerating, and all of this feels like a pivotal moment. WTF should you do?

DISCOVER: 20+ Next Crypto to Explode in 2025

Is Cardano Dying? ADA Price Collapse vs. Its Expanding Tech Stack

Market Cap

ADA spent 2025 on the wrong side of BTC/altcoin rotation. ETF inflows lifted Bitcoin Bitcoin 1.51% Bitcoin Bitcoin BTC Price $88,579.31 1.51% /24h Volume in 24h $30.92B Price 7d Learn more and select peers, but Cardano never reclaimed $0.50, slipping deeper into a low-volume grind that kept it among the weakest large caps, per CoinGecko.

The lone bright spot was Midnight, Cardano’s privacy-focused sidechain, which was launched and immediately drew serious demand.

chart-4.png
(Source: CoinGecko)

NIGHT surged out of the gate with its launch on December 8, flirting with a $1 Bn valuation, and secured listings across major exchanges.

Additionally, in other positive news for ADA, interoperability rumors have picked up. Ripple CTO David Schwartz publicly acknowledged Midnight’s design, following earlier comments from Charles Hoskinson suggesting the sidechain could eventually support XRP-related DeFi activity.

No partnership is confirmed, but the signaling alone reflects a broader shift toward pragmatic cross-chain alignment across legacy ecosystems.

DISCOVER: Top 20 Crypto to Buy in 2025

The Bad News: ADA Price Technicals Show a Market on a Knife’s Edge

Technically, ADA is compressing between $0.35 and $0.38.

The supertrend is near $0.415, RSI can’t clear 50, and Chaikin Money Flow is leaking just enough to show buyers aren’t committed.

 

The problem is timing. If ADA cannot defend the $0.34 zone, narrative strength, like recent upgrades and Midnight pumping, may not matter in the short term. But if the market stabilizes into 2026 and Midnight proves real usage beyond hype, Cardano could reprice violently higher from deeply compressed levels.

Development keeps rolling forward for Cardano, but besides Midnight, there’s been very little buying momentum for ADA. Our honest advice is ADA is swimming upstream to start 2026, and you shouldn’t expect any surges anytime soon.

EXPLORE: King of The Decade? Analyst says Bitcoin Price Returns Will Beat Gold and Silver

Follow 99Bitcoins on X For the Latest Market Updates and Subscribe on YouTube For Daily Expert Market Analysis 

Key Takeaways

  • The ADA price is bleeding, development is accelerating, and all of this feels like a pivotal moment.
  • Our honest advice is ADA is swimming upstream to start 2026, and you shouldn’t expect any surges anytime soon.

The post Cardano’s Brutal 2025: Is the 60% Crash a Death Spiral or a Buy Signal for 2026? appeared first on 99Bitcoins.

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