Jump to content
Create New...

US Freedom Trading is Back! – North American Mid-Week Market Update

🎧
Analista ExpertFX

ExpertFX Podcast -
No time to read? Let me read it for you. Press Play!


Ben Graham
 Share

Recommended Posts

  • REDATOR

US Freedom Trading is Back! – North American Mid-Week Market Update - ExpertFX School

Log in to our mid-week North American Markets overview, where we examine the current themes in North America and provide an overview of indices and currency performances.

Traders are officially getting back to work after a well-deserved winter holiday break. Hope that you all had wonderful Christmas and New Year celebrations.

Markets are already getting what they wanted in terms of volatility and news with the capture of Venezuela's President/Dictator Nicolas Maduro, leading to significant gaps on the Monday open and massive rallies across all asset classes.

With the Trump Administration following up the capture with threats to other Latin American countries like Colombia or Mexico, and even more deranging, threats to Greenland, we can expect quite an adventurous 2026 trading.

This created a boost to the Freedom Trade, which added a significant boost to Stocks, pushing the Dow Jones and S&P 500 to new record highs and further driving demand for Metals, as safe-haven demand also makes considerable sense.

Wall Street is loving these flows, in any case, with a sense of rebound in confidence in US strength, as US exceptionalism can even cross borders to protect US Interests.

Banks and investors are uncertain about how to proceed with the new fundamental data, as the impact of the latest geopolitical developments has yet to be fully felt.

This also combines with quite uncertain US inflation and economic outlooks, leaving a still cloudy picture of a Fed rate cut.

US Freedom Trading is Back! – North American Mid-Week Market Update - ExpertFX School
zoom_out_map
Rate Cut Pricing for the January Meeting – 10% Priced for now

What’s certain is that Canada could face further challenges with Venezuela's Maduro capture. A reopened Venezuelan oil market offers alternatives to the Canada Western Select, a special class of heavy sour Crude Oil.

You can learn more on this right here.

The weekly open sent the Loonie struggling – You can see more on this further in the article.

Adding to the uncertainty of the USMCA Agreement, traders can still expect volatility for the CAD and USD.

Keep a close eye on headlines regarding the economic debates with news expected to release during the month. And don't forget that Markets are still awaiting a real US-Canada Trade deal.

Let's dive right into our Mid-Week North American Markets recap.

North-American Indices Performance

US Freedom Trading is Back! – North American Mid-Week Market Update - ExpertFX School
zoom_out_map
North American Top Indices performance since last Monday – January 7, 2026 – Source: TradingView

Stocks have had quite a sweet Year-Beginning run.

Most global Stock Indexes are up since the Yearly open, particularly after Monday's buying spree across US Benchmarks.

Still, the US NFP is coming up on Friday which could put a brutal stop to the ongoing frenzy.

Dollar Index 8H Chart

US Freedom Trading is Back! – North American Mid-Week Market Update - ExpertFX School
zoom_out_map
Dollar Index Daily Chart, January 7, 2026 – Source: TradingView

I invite you to check out our freshly release in-depth US Dollar Analysis where you can get access to trading levels, ideas and much more:

What’s Next for the US Dollar After the "Freedom Trade" Surge? – DXY Outlook

US Dollar Mid-Week Performance vs Majors

US Freedom Trading is Back! – North American Mid-Week Market Update - ExpertFX School
zoom_out_map
USD vs other Majors since last Monday, January 7, 2026 - Source: TradingView

The performance for the US Dollar is very mixed – APAC Currencies, particularly the Antipodeans are taking the lead but FX trends have yet to materialize.

Canadian Dollar Mid-Week Performance vs Majors

US Freedom Trading is Back! – North American Mid-Week Market Update - ExpertFX School
zoom_out_map
CAD vs other Majors, January 7, 2026 - Source: TradingView.

It seems that the Loonie is still quite hungover from its New Year's Eve.

The Canadian Dollar is down against all of its major counterparts to start the year.

Intraday Technical Levels for the USD/CAD

US Freedom Trading is Back! – North American Mid-Week Market Update - ExpertFX School
zoom_out_map
USD/CAD 4H Chart, January 7, 2026 – Source: TradingView

USD/CAD is rallying quite strongly since forming its bottom around mid-December, supported by its uptrend.

With the mean-reversion higher forming a Bearish RSI divergence, watch for a potential sell entry around the 4H 200-period MA, currently at 1.38570.

A break of the upwards trendline can be used as confirmation.

A close above on the session would on the other hand see a breakout to retest the 1.39-1.3925 August resistance.

Levels of interest for USD/CAD:

Resistance Levels

  • 4H 200 MA at 1.38570
  • 1.38730 FOMC Highs
  • 1.39 to 1.3925 Support turned resistance
  • 1.40 Major Resistance

Support Levels

  • 1.38 Handle Major Pivot +/- 150 pips
  • 1.3780 Trendline Mini-Support
  • August support 1.3750
  • 1.3660 July Breakout support
  • 1.3550 Main 2025 Support

US and Canada Economic Calendar for the Rest of the Week

US Freedom Trading is Back! – North American Mid-Week Market Update - ExpertFX School
zoom_out_map
US and Canadian Data for the rest of the week, MarketPulse Economic Calendar

The end of the week is firmly centered on NA labor markets.

Thursday opens with U.S. employment signals via Challenger job cuts and initial jobless claims, followed by Q3 productivity and unit labor cost data—useful inputs for gauging wage pressure and anticipate labor market dynamics heading into payrolls.

Friday is the main event, with Canada and the U.S. releasing jobs data simultaneously (8:30 A.M.).

In Canada, focus is on employment change, unemployment, and wage growth, with consensus pointing to a soft print after November’s strength.

In the U.S., the full labor report hits at once: NonFarm Payrolls, unemployment, participation, underemployment, and earnings, alongside housing data.

The session closes with preliminary Michigan sentiment and inflation expectations, rounding out a data-heavy finish likely to set the tone for rates and FX into the following weeks. Keep an eye on developments for the US Dollar!

Safe Trades and Much Success for 2026!

Follow Elior on Twitter/X for Additional Market News, interactions and Insights @EliorManier

Opinions are the authors'; not necessarily that of OANDA Business Information & Services, Inc. or any of its affiliates, subsidiaries, officers or directors. The provided publication is for informational and educational purposes only.
If you would like to reproduce or redistribute any of the content found on MarketPulse, an award winning forex, commodities and global indices analysis and news site service produced by OANDA Business Information & Services, Inc., please refer to the MarketPulse Terms of Use.
Visit https://www.marketpulse.com/ to find out more about the beat of the global markets.
© 2026 OANDA Business Information & Services Inc.

  • Oush! 1
  • Wow! 1
  • Nova Reação 1
💬 Did you like this content? Your feedback is very important!
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.
Note: Your post will require moderator approval before it will be visible.

Terminal Visitor
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.

 Share

TRADING HUB
● MARKET OPEN
Loading...
RETAILS SENTIMENT
INVERSE
  • Loading...


×
×
  • Create New...

Important Information

By using this site, you agree to our Terms of Use of Use and Privacy Policy

Search In
  • More options...
Find results that contain...
Find results in...

Write what you are looking for and press enter or click the search icon to begin your search

Enjoying ExpertFX? 📈
Your review helps our community grow. Rate the app in seconds.